São Paulo

141

02 Oct

1 - 2

Full time

Santos

HT: 1-1FT: 1-2

Luciano34’ (P)

36’, 54’Gabriel Barbosa

HOME

47%

DRAW

29%

AWAY

25%

AI Insights

True AI

60%

Better pick

BTTS Yes

BTTS

Confidence MediumMarkets 4Risk Medium

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

2.6Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

10.2Corners/match

10.27.75.12.6

015’45’90’

Total Goals (Line 2.5)

O/U

48%Low

Over 48%Under 52%

Both teams score

BTTS

60%Yes · Medium

São Paulo78%

Santos78%

Chance each side scores at least once; BTTS = both do.

1x2

True AI

Home

São Paulo Win

47%

Draw

29%

Away

Santos Win

25%

The Home team has the slight advantage but it's less than 50% — a balanced match.

Handicap

True AI

Santos+0.5

51%

São Paulo−0.5

49%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Santos +0.5

Total Goals

True AI

Under 3.5

74%

Under 3

66%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 2.5

48%

Most likely: Under 3.5 (74%)

Total Corners

True AI

Over 8.5

69%

Over 9.5

57%

Under 10.5

56%

Over 10.5

44%

Most likely: Over 8.5 (69%)

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for São Paulo - SP and Santos FC - SP.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.

See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 07 Oct 2026, 17:44 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time1-2

+5 minute of added time

86’

ThacianoGabriel Barbosa

76’

Everton

76’

RonyEverton

73’

67’

64’

54’

Gabriel MeninoArthur Melo

54’

Gabriel Barbosa

Everton

HT 1-1

45’

Christian Oliva

+8 minute of added time

45’

Philippe CoutinhoÁlvaro Barreal

45’

Gustavo HenriqueVinicius Moreira de Lima

41’

36’

Gabriel Barbosa

Gonzalo Escobar

34’

1-0

33’

Lucas Veríssimo

31’

Start0-0

Kick-off0-0

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+6'

90'+6' Second Half ends, São Paulo 1, Santos 2.

90'+5'

90'+5' Gustavo Santana (Sao Paulo) foul.

90'+5'

90'+5' Rony (Santos) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

90'+5'

90'+5' Corner, São Paulo.Conceded by Diógenes.

90'+5'

90'+5' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Danielzinho (Sao Paulo)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the box in the top right corner by Diógenes (Sao Paulo).

90'+2'

90'+2' Corner, São Paulo.Conceded by Willian Arão.

90'+2'

90'+2' Attempt blocked.Newton (Sao Paulo)’s right foot shot.Danielzinho assists.

90'+2'

90'+2' Fourth official has announced 5 minutes of added time.

90'+1'

90'+1' Corner, Santos.Conceded by Carlos Coronel.

90'+1'

90'+1' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Rony (Santos)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom right corner by Carlos Coronel (Santos).Thaciano assists.

90'+1'

90'+1' Attempt blocked.Gabriel Menino (Santos)’s left foot shot.Philippe Coutinho assists.

89'

89' Corner, São Paulo.Conceded by Diógenes.

89'

89' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Artur (Sao Paulo)’s left foot shot from from the right side of the box in the top left corner by Diógenes (Sao Paulo).Pablo Maia assists.

89'

89' Attempt blocked.Wendell (Sao Paulo)’s left foot shot.Victor Sá assists.

88'

88' Victor Sá (Sao Paulo) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

88'

88' Philippe Coutinho (Santos) foul.

86'

86' Victor Sá (Sao Paulo) foul.

86'

86' Rodinei (Santos) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

86'

86' Substitution, Santos.Substituton in Thaciano,Substitution out Gabriel Barbosa.

83'

83' Attempt blocked.Gustavo Santana (Sao Paulo)’s right foot shot.Victor Sá assists.

77'

77' Corner, São Paulo.Conceded by Lucas Veríssimo.

76'

76' Substitution, Santos.Substituton in Rony,Substitution out Everton.

76'

76' Yellow card by Everton (Santos).

74'

74' Artur (Sao Paulo) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

74'

74' Everton (Santos) foul.

74'

74' Handball by Gustavo Santana (Sao Paulo).

73'

73' Substitution, São Paulo.Substituton in Victor Sá,Substitution out Pedro Lima.

73'

73' Attempt missed.Pedro Lima (Sao Paulo)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the right.Danielzinho with a cross assists.

72'

72' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Pedro Lima (Sao Paulo)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom left corner by Diógenes (Sao Paulo).

72'

72' Corner, São Paulo.Conceded by Gonzalo Escobar.

71'

71' Attempt blocked.Gustavo Henrique (Santos)’s right foot shot.Rodinei assists.

70'

70' Attempt missed.Artur (Sao Paulo)’s left foot shot.Newton following a fast break assists.

70'

70' Pedro Lima (Sao Paulo) foul.

70'

70' Everton (Santos) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

69'

69' Pedro Lima (Sao Paulo) foul.

69'

69' Gonzalo Escobar (Santos) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

67'

67' Attempt saved.Pablo Maia (Sao Paulo)’s right foot shot is saved in the centre of the goal by Diógenes (Sao Paulo).Danielzinho with a cross assists.

67'

67' Corner, São Paulo.Conceded by Willian Arão.

67'

67' Substitution, São Paulo.Substituton in Wendell,Substitution out Iago Borduchi.

67'

67' Handball by Gabriel Menino (Santos).

64'

64' Substitution, São Paulo.Substituton in Newton,Substitution out Rafael Tolói.

64'

64' Substitution, São Paulo.Substituton in Danielzinho,Substitution out Damián Bobadilla.

64'

64' Substitution, São Paulo.Substituton in Gustavo Santana,Substitution out Ryan Francisco.

61'

61' Attempt missed.Luciano (Sao Paulo)’s header from the centre of the box is close, but misses to the right.Artur with a cross following a set piece situation assists.

61'

61' Pedro Lima (Sao Paulo) gets a free kick on the right wing.

61'

61' Gonzalo Escobar (Santos) foul.

59'

59' Attempt missed.Everton (Santos)’s right foot shot.Philippe Coutinho assists.

58'

58' Iago Borduchi (Sao Paulo) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

58'

58' Gabriel Menino (Santos) foul.

57'

57' Corner, São Paulo.Conceded by Willian Arão.

54'

54' Goal! São Paulo 1, Santos 2.Gabriel Barbosa (Santos)’s left foot shot to the bottom left corner.Everton assists.

54'

54' Delay over.The match resumes.

54'

54' Substitution, Santos.Substituton in Gabriel Menino,Substitution out Arthur because of an injury.

53'

53' The match delays because Arthur (Santos) injured.

45'+8'

45'+8' First Half ends, São Paulo 1, Santos 1.

45'+8'

45'+8' Ryan Francisco (Sao Paulo) foul.

45'+8'

45'+8' Arthur (Santos) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

45'+6'

45'+6' Attempt blocked.Artur (Sao Paulo)’s header from the right side of the box Defensive player blocked.Ryan Francisco assists.

45'+5'

45'+5' Iago Borduchi (Sao Paulo) foul.

45'+5'

45'+5' Arthur (Santos) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

45'+4'

45'+4' Luciano (Sao Paulo) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

45'+4'

45'+4' Gonzalo Escobar (Santos) foul.

45'+2'

45'+2' Attempt missed.Ryan Francisco (Sao Paulo)’s header from the centre of the box is close, but misses to the left.Artur with a cross following a corner assists.

45'+2'

45'+2' Attempt blocked.Robert Arboleda (Sao Paulo)’s header from the right side of the six yard box Defensive player blocked.Artur with a cross assists.

45'+2'

45'+2' Corner, São Paulo.Conceded by Willian Arão.

45'+1'

45'+1' Corner, São Paulo.Conceded by Arthur.

45'+1'

45'+1' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Artur (Sao Paulo)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom left corner by Diógenes (Sao Paulo).

45'

45' Substitution, Santos.Substituton in Gustavo Henrique,Substitution out Lima.

45'

45' Second Half begins São Paulo 1, Santos 1.

45'

45' Substitution, Santos.Substituton in Philippe Coutinho,Substitution out Álvaro Barreal.

45'

45' Fourth official has announced 8 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Yellow card by Christian Oliva (Santos) for a bad foul.

45'

45' Artur (Sao Paulo) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

45'

45' Christian Oliva (Santos) foul.

43'

43' Everton (Santos) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

43'

43' Marcos Antônio (Sao Paulo) foul.

42'

42' Delay over.The match resumes.

41'

41' The match delays because Iago Borduchi (Sao Paulo) injured.

41'

41' Yellow card by Luciano (Sao Paulo).

37'

37' Christian Oliva (Santos) foul.

37'

37' Luciano (Sao Paulo) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

36'

36' Goal! São Paulo 1, Santos 1.Gabriel Barbosa (Santos)’s header from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner.Gonzalo Escobar with a cross assists.

34'

34' Goal! São Paulo 1, Santos 0.Luciano (Sao Paulo) takes a penalty kick with a’s left foot shot.

33'

33' Yellow card by Lucas Veríssimo (Santos) for a bad foul.

31'

31' Delay over.The match resumes.

31'

31' VAR Decision: Penalty São Paulo.

31'

31' The match delays (Santos).

30'

30' Lucas Veríssimo (Santos) after a foul in the penalty area conceded the penalty.

30'

30' Penalty São Paulo.Ryan Francisco draws a foul in the penalty area.

29'

29' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Iago Borduchi (Sao Paulo)’s left foot shot from from a difficult angle on the left in the bottom left corner by Diógenes (Sao Paulo).Damián Bobadilla assists.

28'

28' Lima (Santos) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

28'

28' Marcos Antônio (Sao Paulo) foul.

28'

28' Álvaro Barreal (Santos) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

28'

28' Pedro Lima (Sao Paulo) foul.

24'

24' Attempt blocked.Pedro Lima (Sao Paulo)’s header from the centre of the box Defensive player blocked.

22'

22' Dangerous play by Lucas Veríssimo (Santos).

22'

22' Luciano (Sao Paulo) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

22'

22' Attempt missed.Rodinei (Santos)’s right foot shot misses to the left.Álvaro Barreal with a cross assists.

15'

15' Corner, São Paulo.Conceded by Lima.

11'

11' Attempt missed.Luciano (Sao Paulo)’s left foot shot.Marcos Antônio assists.

11'

11' Lima (Santos) gets a free kick on the right wing.

11'

11' Marcos Antônio (Sao Paulo) foul.

10'

10' Damián Bobadilla (Sao Paulo) foul.

10'

10' Everton (Santos) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

8' Marcos Antônio (Sao Paulo) foul.

8' Lima (Santos) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

6' Attempt missed.Pedro Lima (Sao Paulo)’s right foot shot.

6' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Artur (Sao Paulo)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom left corner by Diógenes (Sao Paulo).

5' Corner, São Paulo.Conceded by Rodinei.

4' Attempt missed.Gabriel Barbosa (Santos)’s left foot shot.

4' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Everton (Santos)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Carlos Coronel (Santos).Arthur assists.

2' Corner, São Paulo.Conceded by Diógenes.

2' Corner, São Paulo.Conceded by Everton.

1' Corner, São Paulo.Conceded by Diógenes.

Kick-off.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

12 wins

40%

7 draws

23%

11 wins

37%

1-1