NED Eredivisie - Round 5

Willem II

05 Sep

0 - 3

Full time

Excelsior SBV

HT: 0-2FT: 0-3

8’David Garden

34’Rick Meissen

85’Irakli Yegoian

HOME

32%

DRAW

27%

AWAY

41%

AI Insights

True AI

58%

Better pick

BTTS Yes

BTTS

Confidence MediumMarkets 4Risk Medium

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

2.8Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

9.8Corners/match

9.87.44.92.5

015’45’90’

Total Goals (Line 2.5)

O/U

54%Low

Over 54%Under 46%

Both teams score

BTTS

58%Yes · Medium

Willem II76%

Excelsior SBV76%

Chance each side scores at least once; BTTS = both do.

1x2

True AI

Home

Willem II Win

32%

Draw

27%

Away

Excelsior SBV Win

41%

The Away team has the slight advantage but it's less than 50% — a balanced match.

Handicap

True AI

Willem II+0.25

51%

Excelsior SBV−0.25

50%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Willem II +0.25

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Willem II and Excelsior SBV.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.

See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 29 Oct 2026, 20:27 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time0-3

0-1

8’

David Garden

Irakli Yegoian

0-2

34’

Rick Meissen

Simon Janssen

+1 minute of added time

HT 0-2

Tonny VilhenaEser Gürbüz

45’

Maxim DekkerMats Lemmens

45’

kasper boogaard

51’

Thomas Verheydtkasper boogaard

63’

64’

Ilano Silva TimasAymen sliti

65’

Daniel van VianenEric da Silva Moreira

70’

Nesto groenÁgúst Orri Thorsteinsson

Jaden Slory

81’

Chido ObiJaden Slory

82’

Giulliano CairoDavid Garden

0-3

85’

Irakli Yegoian

Stijn van Gassel

87’

Nesto groen

+3 minute of added time

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+3'

90'+3' Second Half ends, Willem II 0, Excelsior 3.

90'+3'

90'+3' Corner, Willem II.Conceded by Daniël van Vianen.

90'+2'

90'+2' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Nathan Tjoe-A-On (Willem II)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Stijn van Gassel (Willem II).

90'+1'

90'+1' Attempt blocked.Lennard Hartjes (Excelsior SBV)’s right foot shot.

90'+1'

90'+1' Fourth official has announced 3 minutes of added time.

89'

89' Calvin Twigt (Willem II) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

89'

89' Tonny Vilhena (Willem II) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

89'

89' Simon Janssen (Excelsior SBV) foul.

89'

89' Hidde ter Avest (Willem II) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

89'

89' Lennard Hartjes (Excelsior SBV) foul.

89'

89' Devin Haen (Willem II) foul.

89'

89' Daniël van Vianen (Excelsior SBV) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

88'

88' Attempt missed.Calvin Twigt (Willem II)’s left foot shot.

87'

87' Corner, Willem II.Conceded by Simon Janssen.

87'

87' Yellow card by Nesto Groen (Excelsior SBV) for a bad foul.

87'

87' Hidde ter Avest (Willem II) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

87'

87' Nesto Groen (Excelsior SBV) foul.

85'

85' Goal! Willem II 0, Excelsior 3.Irakli Yegoian (Excelsior SBV)’s right foot shot.Stijn van Gassel following a fast break assists.

85'

85' Nathan Tjoe-A-On (Willem II) gets a free kick on the left wing.

85'

85' Handball by Nesto Groen (Excelsior SBV).

84'

84' Attempt blocked.Devin Haen (Willem II)’s left foot shot.Maxim Dekker assists.

84'

84' Corner, Willem II.Conceded by Casper Widell.

83'

83' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Irakli Yegoian (Excelsior SBV)’s right foot shot from from the left side of the box in the bottom right corner by Maxime Delanghe (Excelsior SBV).Daniël van Vianen assists.

82'

82' Substitution, Excelsior.Substituton in Guilliano Cairo,Substitution out David Garden.

82'

82' Substitution, Willem II.Substituton in Chido Obi,Substitution out Jaden Slory.

81'

81' Yellow card by Jaden Slory (Willem II) for a bad foul.

81'

81' Jaden Slory (Willem II) foul.

81'

81' Simon Janssen (Excelsior SBV) gets a free kick on the left wing.

81'

81' Attempt saved.Jaden Slory (Willem II)’s left foot shot is saved in the top right corner by Stijn van Gassel (Willem II).Nathan Tjoe-A-On with a cross assists.

81'

81' Attempt saved.Jaden Slory (Willem II)’s left foot shot is saved.

77'

77' Delay over.The match resumes.

76'

76' The match delays because Daniël van Vianen (Excelsior SBV) injured.

73'

73' Attempt missed.Thomas Verheydt (Willem II)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the right.Nathan Tjoe-A-On with a cross assists.

72'

72' Hidde ter Avest (Willem II) foul.

72'

72' Daniël van Vianen (Excelsior SBV) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

71'

71' Attempt missed.Tonny Vilhena (Willem II)’s right foot shot.

71'

71' Attempt blocked.Nathan Tjoe-A-On (Willem II)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.

71'

71' Substitution, Excelsior.Substituton in Nesto Groen,Substitution out Ágúst Thorsteinsson.

70'

70' Attempt missed.Irakli Yegoian (Excelsior SBV)’s right foot shot.

68'

68' Attempt blocked.Jaden Slory (Willem II)’s right foot shot.

68'

68' Attempt blocked.Calvin Twigt (Willem II)’s header from the centre of the box Defensive player blocked.Tonny Vilhena with a cross assists.

68'

68' Attempt blocked.Calvin Twigt (Willem II)’s header from the centre of the box Defensive player blocked.Devin Haen assists.

68'

68' Attempt blocked.Calvin Twigt (Willem II)’s right foot shot.

68'

68' Attempt blocked.Devin Haen (Willem II)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.

68'

68' Attempt blocked.Thomas Verheydt (Willem II)’s header from the centre of the box Defensive player blocked.Tonny Vilhena with a cross assists.

67'

67' Corner, Willem II.Conceded by Rick Meissen.

66'

66' Hidde ter Avest (Willem II) foul.

66'

66' Ágúst Thorsteinsson (Excelsior SBV) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

65'

65' Substitution, Excelsior.Substituton in Daniël van Vianen,Substitution out Eric da Silva Moreira.

64'

64' Substitution, Excelsior.Substituton in Ilano Silva Timas,Substitution out Aymen Sliti.

63'

63' Substitution, Willem II.Substituton in Thomas Verheydt,Substitution out Kasper Boogaard.

61'

61' Attempt missed.David Garden (Excelsior SBV)’s right foot shot.

57'

57' Tonny Vilhena (Willem II) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

57'

57' Rick Meissen (Excelsior SBV) foul.

57'

57' Attempt missed.Devin Haen (Willem II)’s header from the right side of the box is close, but misses to the left.Calvin Twigt with a cross following a corner assists.

56'

56' Attempt missed.Uriel van Aalst (Willem II)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the right.Jaden Slory with a cross assists.

56'

56' Corner, Willem II.Conceded by Casper Widell.

56'

56' Attempt missed.Uriel van Aalst (Willem II)’s header from the centre of the box.

55'

55' Tonny Vilhena (Willem II) foul.

55'

55' Rick Meissen (Excelsior SBV) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

54'

54' Attempt blocked.Kasper Boogaard (Willem II)’s header from the centre of the box Defensive player blocked.Nathan Tjoe-A-On with a cross assists.

53'

53' Simon Janssen (Excelsior SBV) foul.

53'

53' Jaden Slory (Willem II) gets a free kick on the right wing.

51'

51' Yellow card by Kasper Boogaard (Willem II) for a bad foul.

51'

51' Lennard Hartjes (Excelsior SBV) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

51'

51' Kasper Boogaard (Willem II) foul.

51'

51' Calvin Twigt (Willem II) foul.

45'+2'

45'+2' First Half ends, Willem II 0, Excelsior 2.

45'+1'

45'+1' Corner, Willem II.Conceded by Eric da Silva Moreira.

45'+1'

45'+1' Calvin Twigt (Willem II) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

45'+1'

45'+1' Lennard Hartjes (Excelsior SBV) foul.

45'+1'

45'+1' Fourth official has announced 1 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Second Half begins Willem II 0, Excelsior 2.

45'

45' Substitution, Willem II.Substituton in Maxim Dekker,Substitution out Mats Lemmens.

45'

45' Substitution, Willem II.Substituton in Tonny Vilhena,Substitution out Eser Gürbüz.

44'

44' Calvin Twigt (Willem II) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

44'

44' Eric da Silva Moreira (Excelsior SBV) foul.

44'

44' Devin Haen (Willem II) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

43'

43' David Garden (Excelsior SBV) gets a free kick on the right wing.

43'

43' Mats Lemmens (Willem II) foul.

39'

39' Attempt missed.Eric da Silva Moreira (Excelsior SBV)’s right foot shot misses to the left following a corner.

39'

39' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Lennard Hartjes (Excelsior SBV)’s left foot shot from from the left side of the box in the bottom left corner by Maxime Delanghe (Excelsior SBV).

39'

39' Corner, Excelsior.Conceded by Maxime Delanghe.

37'

37' Attempt blocked.Lennard Hartjes (Excelsior SBV)’s right foot shot.Simon Janssen assists.

37'

37' Corner, Excelsior.Conceded by Mats Lemmens.

36'

36' Jaden Slory (Willem II) gets a free kick on the left wing.

36'

36' Casper Widell (Excelsior SBV) foul.

35'

35' Uriel van Aalst (Willem II) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

35'

35' Lennard Hartjes (Excelsior SBV) foul.

34'

34' Goal! Willem II 0, Excelsior 2.Rick Meissen (Excelsior SBV)’s header from very close range to the high centre of the goal.Simon Janssen with a cross following a corner assists.

33'

33' Corner, Excelsior.Conceded by Nathan Tjoe-A-On.

30'

30' Corner, Excelsior.Conceded by Eser Gürbüz.

29'

29' Calvin Twigt (Willem II) foul.

29'

29' Irakli Yegoian (Excelsior SBV) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

26'

26' Attempt missed.Uriel van Aalst (Willem II)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the right.Eser Gürbüz assists.

26'

26' Jaden Slory (Willem II) foul.

26'

26' Eric da Silva Moreira (Excelsior SBV) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

21'

21' Attempt missed.Devin Haen (Willem II)’s header from the centre of the box is close, but misses to the right.Eser Gürbüz assists.

21'

21' Simon Janssen (Excelsior SBV) foul.

21'

21' Eser Gürbüz (Willem II) gets a free kick on the right wing.

19'

19' Corner, Willem II.Conceded by Jan Plug.

17'

17' Attempt saved.Irakli Yegoian (Excelsior SBV)’s left foot shot is saved in the bottom right corner by Maxime Delanghe (Excelsior SBV).Aymen Sliti assists.

17'

17' Corner, Excelsior.Conceded by Maxime Delanghe.

14'

14' Irakli Yegoian (Excelsior SBV) foul.

14'

14' Jaden Slory (Willem II) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

11'

11' Offside, Willem II.Uriel van Aalst is caught offside.

9' Finn Stam (Willem II) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

9' David Garden (Excelsior SBV) foul.

8' Goal! Willem II 0, Excelsior 1.David Garden (Excelsior SBV)’s left foot shot.Irakli Yegoian with a cross assists.

8' Goal! Willem II 0, Excelsior 1.David Garden (Excelsior SBV)’s left foot shot.

7' Attempt blocked.Jan Plug (Excelsior SBV)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.

7' Attempt blocked.Jan Plug (Excelsior SBV)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.

4' Handball by Lennard Hartjes (Excelsior SBV).

1' Ágúst Thorsteinsson (Excelsior SBV) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

1' Attempt blocked.Aymen Sliti (Excelsior SBV)’s left foot shot.Eric da Silva Moreira assists.

1' Attempt blocked.Aymen Sliti (Excelsior SBV)’s right foot shot.Eric da Silva Moreira assists.

1' Corner, Excelsior.Conceded by Mats Lemmens.

1' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Aymen Sliti (Excelsior SBV)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom left corner by Mats Lemmens (Excelsior SBV).Eric da Silva Moreira assists.

1' Eric da Silva Moreira (Excelsior SBV) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

1' Hidde ter Avest (Willem II) foul.

HEAD TO HEAD

8 wins

36%

8 draws

36%

6 wins

28%

1-6

3-1

2-0