AUS A-League - Round 2

Wellington Phoenix

24 Oct

2 - 0

Full time

Central Coast Mariners

HT: 0-0FT: 2-0

Rafael Duran55’

Corban Piper57’

HOME

51%

DRAW

25%

AWAY

25%

AI Insights

True AI

67%

Better pick

BTTS Yes

BTTS

Confidence HighMarkets 4Risk Low

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

3.4Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

10.4Corners/match

10.47.85.22.6

015’45’90’

Total Goals (Line 2.5)

O/U

60%Medium

Over 60%Under 40%

Both teams score

BTTS

67%Yes · High

Wellington Phoenix82%

Central Coast Mariners82%

Chance each side scores at least once; BTTS = both do.

1x2

True AI

Home

Wellington Phoenix Win

51%

Draw

25%

Away

Central Coast Mariners Win

25%

The Home team is favoured at 51%.

Handicap

True AI

Wellington Phoenix−0.5

52%

Central Coast Mariners+0.5

48%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Wellington Phoenix −0.5

Total Goals

True AI

Under 3

76%

Under 3.5

76%

Over 2.5

60%

Under 2.5

41%

Most likely: Under 3 (76%)

Total Corners

True AI

Over 8.5

71%

Over 9.5

59%

Under 10.5

54%

Over 10.5

46%

Most likely: Over 8.5 (71%)

Correct Score

True AI

WEL / CEN	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	0 - 06.4%	0 - 16.9%	0 - 23.8%	0 - 31.1%	0 - 40.1%	0 - 50.0%
1	1 - 011.7%	1 - 113.0%	1 - 27.2%	1 - 32.3%	1 - 40.5%	1 - 50.0%
2	2 - 010.4%	2 - 112.0%	2 - 26.6%	2 - 32.3%	2 - 40.5%	2 - 50.0%
3	3 - 06.0%	3 - 17.2%	3 - 24.3%	3 - 31.5%	3 - 40.3%	3 - 50.0%
4	4 - 02.7%	4 - 13.3%	4 - 21.9%	4 - 30.6%	4 - 40.1%	4 - 50.0%
5	5 - 00.0%	5 - 10.0%	5 - 20.0%	5 - 30.0%	5 - 40.0%	5 - 50.0%

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13.0%), 2-1 (12.0%), 1-0 (11.7%)

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Wellington Phoenix and Central Coast Mariners.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

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Prediction last updated: 27 Oct 2026, 17:47 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time2-0

90’+2

Shumba Mutokoyi

+3 minute of added time

84’

72’

Max NaylorAli Auglah

70’

62’

Shumba MutokoyiTy Mckibbin

62’

Luke BecvinovskiBailey Brandtman

61’

Jesse MantellHaine Eames

59’

Ali Auglah

57’

2-0

55’

1-0

HT 0-0

+2 minute of added time

45’

Arthur De LimaAlex Bolton

22’

Start0-0

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+4'

90'+4' Second Half ends, Wellington Phoenix 2, Central Coast Mariners 0.

90'+4'

90'+4' Attempt missed.Nathan Walker (Wellington Phoenix)’s left foot shot.Kazuki Nagasawa following a fast break assists.

90'+4'

90'+4' Attempt blocked.Luke Becvinovski (Central Coast Mariners)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Chris Donnell with a cross assists.

90'+3'

90'+3' Corner, Central Coast Mariners.Conceded by James McGarry.

90'+2'

90'+2' Yellow card by Shumba Mutokoyi (Central Coast Mariners) for a bad foul.

90'+2'

90'+2' Shumba Mutokoyi (Central Coast Mariners) foul.

90'+2'

90'+2' Kazuki Nagasawa (Wellington Phoenix) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

90'+1'

90'+1' Jesse Mantell (Central Coast Mariners) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

90'+1'

90'+1' Max Anderson (Wellington Phoenix) foul.

90'

90' Fourth official has announced 3 minutes of added time.

87'

87' Attempt blocked.Luke Becvinovski (Central Coast Mariners)’s right foot shot.

87'

87' Corner, Central Coast Mariners.Conceded by James McGarry.

84'

84' Delay over.The match resumes.

84'

84' Substitution, Wellington Phoenix.Substituton in Luke Mitchell,Substitution out Corban Piper.

84'

84' Substitution, Wellington Phoenix.Substituton in Nathan Walker,Substitution out Bryce Duke.

83'

83' The match delays because Noah McCann (Central Coast Mariners) injured.

81'

81' Attempt missed.Riley Bidois (Wellington Phoenix)’s left foot shot.Bryce Duke following a fast break assists.

81'

81' Shumba Mutokoyi (Central Coast Mariners) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

81'

81' Kazuki Nagasawa (Wellington Phoenix) foul.

80'

80' Noah McCann (Central Coast Mariners) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

80'

80' Bryce Duke (Wellington Phoenix) foul.

79'

79' Noah McCann (Central Coast Mariners) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

79'

79' Corban Piper (Wellington Phoenix) foul.

79'

79' Offside, Wellington Phoenix.Bill Tuiloma is caught offside.

78'

78' Shumba Mutokoyi (Central Coast Mariners) foul.

78'

78' Kazuki Nagasawa (Wellington Phoenix) gets a free kick on the left wing.

76'

76' Offside, Central Coast Mariners.Luke Becvinovski is caught offside.

73'

73' Offside, Central Coast Mariners.Oliver Lavale is caught offside.

73'

73' Attempt blocked.Bryce Duke (Wellington Phoenix)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Kazuki Nagasawa assists.

72'

72' Substitution, Central Coast Mariners.Substituton in Max Naylor,Substitution out Ali Auglah.

71'

71' Jesse Mantell (Central Coast Mariners) foul.

71'

71' Bryce Duke (Wellington Phoenix) gets a free kick on the right wing.

70'

70' Substitution, Wellington Phoenix.Substituton in Riley Bidois,Substitution out Rafael Durán.

70'

70' Attempt missed.Alex Rufer (Wellington Phoenix)’s right foot shot.

67'

67' Attempt saved.Max Anderson (Wellington Phoenix)’s left foot shot is saved in the top centre of the goal by Andrew Redmayne (Wellington Phoenix).

62'

62' Attempt missed.James McGarry (Wellington Phoenix)’s left foot shot is too high.Alex Rufer assists.

62'

62' Substitution, Central Coast Mariners.Substituton in Luke Becvinovski,Substitution out Ty Mckibbin.

62'

62' Substitution, Central Coast Mariners.Substituton in Shumba Mutokoyi,Substitution out Bailey Brandtman.

61'

61' Substitution, Central Coast Mariners.Substituton in Jesse Mantell,Substitution out Haine Eames.

61'

61' Attempt missed.Kazuki Nagasawa (Wellington Phoenix)’s right foot shot.

59'

59' Yellow card by Ali Auglah (Central Coast Mariners) for a bad foul.

59'

59' Ali Auglah (Central Coast Mariners) foul.

59'

59' Alex Rufer (Wellington Phoenix) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

59'

59' Attempt blocked.Corban Piper (Wellington Phoenix)’s right foot shot.Bryce Duke assists.

57'

57' Goal! Wellington Phoenix 2, Central Coast Mariners 0.Corban Piper (Wellington Phoenix)’s right foot shot to the bottom right corner.Kazuki Nagasawa following a fast break assists.

57'

57' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Rafael Durán (Wellington Phoenix)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the box in the bottom left corner by Andrew Redmayne (Wellington Phoenix).Bryce Duke assists.

55'

55' Goal! Wellington Phoenix 1, Central Coast Mariners 0.Rafael Durán (Wellington Phoenix)’s header from very close range to the high centre of the goal.Matthew Sheridan with a cross assists.

54'

54' Attempt saved.Bryce Duke (Wellington Phoenix)’s header from the centre of the box is saved in the centre of the goal by Andrew Redmayne (Wellington Phoenix).James McGarry with a cross assists.

52'

52' Corner, Wellington Phoenix.Conceded by Noah McCann.

51'

51' Attempt blocked.Haine Eames (Central Coast Mariners)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.

49'

49' Offside, Central Coast Mariners.Ali Auglah is caught offside.

45'+3'

45'+3' First Half ends, Wellington Phoenix 0, Central Coast Mariners 0.

45'+1'

45'+1' Oliver Lavale (Central Coast Mariners) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

45'+1'

45'+1' Lukas Kelly-Heald (Wellington Phoenix) foul.

45'

45' Second Half begins Wellington Phoenix 0, Central Coast Mariners 0.

45'

45' Substitution, Central Coast Mariners.Substituton in Arthur De Lima,Substitution out Alexander Bolton.

45'

45' Fourth official has announced 2 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Bailey Brandtman (Central Coast Mariners) foul.

45'

45' Lukas Kelly-Heald (Wellington Phoenix) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

43'

43' Oliver Lavale (Central Coast Mariners) foul.

43'

43' Matthew Sheridan (Wellington Phoenix) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

41'

41' Delay over.The match resumes.

40'

40' The match delays because Corban Piper (Wellington Phoenix) injured.

39'

39' Ali Auglah (Central Coast Mariners) gets a free kick on the right wing.

39'

39' Kazuki Nagasawa (Wellington Phoenix) foul.

36'

36' Attempt blocked.Corban Piper (Wellington Phoenix)’s header from the centre of the box Defensive player blocked.Matthew Sheridan with a cross assists.

35'

35' Attempt blocked.Max Anderson (Wellington Phoenix)’s header from the centre of the box Defensive player blocked.James McGarry assists.

34'

34' Offside, Central Coast Mariners.Alexander Bolton is caught offside.

34'

34' Alexander Bolton (Central Coast Mariners) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

34'

34' Matthew Sheridan (Wellington Phoenix) foul.

33'

33' Attempt saved.Bailey Brandtman (Central Coast Mariners)’s left foot shot is saved in the centre of the goal by Henry Gray (Central Coast Mariners).Alexander Bolton assists.

32'

32' Offside, Central Coast Mariners.Bailey Brandtman is caught offside.

22'

22' VAR Decision: No Goal Wellington Phoenix 0-0 Central Coast Mariners.

22'

22' GOAL OVERTURNED BY VAR: Corban Piper (Wellington Phoenix) scores but the goal is ruled out after a VAR review.

22'

22' Offside, Wellington Phoenix.Rafael Durán is caught offside.

19'

19' Attempt blocked.Oliver Lavale (Central Coast Mariners)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.

15'

15' Attempt missed.Ty Mckibbin (Central Coast Mariners)’s right foot shot.Ali Auglah with a headed pass assists.

13'

13' Alex Rufer (Wellington Phoenix) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

13'

13' Bailey Brandtman (Central Coast Mariners) foul.

10'

10' Matthew Sheridan (Wellington Phoenix) foul.

10'

10' Lucas Mauragis (Central Coast Mariners) gets a free kick on the left wing.

7' Corban Piper (Wellington Phoenix) foul.

7' Noah McCann (Central Coast Mariners) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

4' Kazuki Nagasawa (Wellington Phoenix) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

4' Chris Donnell (Central Coast Mariners) foul.

3' Kazuki Nagasawa (Wellington Phoenix) foul.

3' Ali Auglah (Central Coast Mariners) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

1' Oliver Lavale (Central Coast Mariners) foul.

1' James McGarry (Wellington Phoenix) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

14 wins

47%

7 draws

23%

9 wins

30%

Standing

See All

TeamPGDPTS

Wellington Phoenix236

Western Sydney234

Macarthur FC214

Sydney FC214

Brisbane Roar113

Auckland FC2-13

Newcastle Jets202

Melbourne Victory2-11

Melbourne City2-21

Central Coast Mariners2-21

Adelaide United1-10

Perth Glory2-20

Wellington Phoenix

WLWLW

Central Coast Mariners

DLLLL

Sam Kelly

Referee

Stadium

Hnry Stadium

Capacity

34,500

Location

Wellington, New Zealand

Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners AI Prediction vs Final Result

AI Insights

Expected Goals

Expected Total Corners

Total Goals (Line 2.5)

Both teams score

1x2

Handicap

Total Goals

Total Corners

Correct Score

How this AI prediction is made