HT:
0-1FT:
1-1
Abel Hernández90’+2
26’nahuel lopez
HOME66%
DRAW21%
AWAY13%
AI Insights
True AI
53%
Better pick
BTTS Yes
BTTS
Confidence LowMarkets 3Risk High
TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer
Expected Goals
xG2.6Goals/match
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
Expected Total Corners
xC10.2Corners/match
10.27.75.12.6
015’45’90’
Total Goals (Line 2.5)
O/U48%Low
Over 48%Under 52%
Both teams score
BTTS53%Yes · Low
CA Penarol73%
Club Atletico Progreso73%Chance each side scores at least once; BTTS = both do.
1x2
True AI1
Home
CA Penarol Win
66%
2
Draw
21%
3
Away
Club Atletico Progreso Win
13%
The Home team is the clear favourite at 66%.
Handicap
True AI1
Club Atletico Progreso+1.25
51%
2
CA Penarol−1.25
50%
The bet favored by TrueAI: Club Atletico Progreso +1.25
Total Goals
True AI1
Under 3.5
74%
2
Under 3
66%
3
Under 2.5
52%
4
Over 2.5
48%
Most likely: Under 3.5 (74%)
Total Corners
True AI1
Over 8.5
69%
2
Over 9.5
57%
3
Under 10.5
56%
4
Over 10.5
44%
Most likely: Over 8.5 (69%)
Correct Score
True AI| CAP / CLU | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 - 08.2% | 0 - 16.0% | 0 - 21.9% | 0 - 30.3% | 0 - 40.2% | 0 - 50.0% |
| 1 | 1 - 017.4% | 1 - 112.3% | 1 - 24.3% | 1 - 30.8% | 1 - 40.2% | 1 - 50.0% |
| 2 | 2 - 017.7% | 2 - 112.5% | 2 - 24.3% | 2 - 30.8% | 2 - 40.2% | 2 - 50.0% |
| 3 | 3 - 011.8% | 3 - 18.2% | 3 - 22.9% | 3 - 30.5% | 3 - 40.2% | 3 - 50.0% |
| 4 | 4 - 06.0% | 4 - 14.3% | 4 - 21.3% | 4 - 30.2% | 4 - 40.2% | 4 - 50.0% |
| 5 | 5 - 00.0% | 5 - 10.0% | 5 - 20.0% | 5 - 30.0% | 5 - 40.0% | 5 - 50.0% |
Most likely scores: 2-0 (17.7%), 1-0 (17.4%), 2-1 (12.5%)
How this AI prediction is made
TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for CA Penarol and Club Atletico Progreso.
Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.
18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.
See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.
Prediction last updated: 27 Oct 2026, 12:44 (UTC)
Stats
Full Time1-1
Abel Hernández90’+2
1-1
83’
Santino BruschiAgustín Ocampo
83’
Agustin CodagnoneFacundo De Leon
78’
76’
71’
70’
Gastón SilvaAyrton Cougo
70’
Matteo copelottiMaximiliano Juambeltz
61’
58’
46’
46’
HT 0-1
26’
nahuel lopez
5’
hernan carrosoMarco Antonio Saravia
Start0-0
Goal
Own Goal
Penalty
Penalty missed
Red card
Yellow card
Second yellow
Injury time
Substitution
Var
OffsideStanding
See All#
TeamPGDPTS
1
Racing Club Montevideo15931
2
Deportivo Maldonado15829
3
Albion FC151028
4
CA Penarol15727
5
Central Espanol15124
6
Torque15623
7
Nacional Montevideo15522
8
Defensor Sporting Montevideo15221
9
Liverpool URU15220
10
Montevideo Wanderers FC15-520
11
Danubio FC15-418
12
Cerro Largo15-317
13
Boston River15-617
14
CA Juventud15-515
15
Club Atletico Progreso15-1110
16
Cerro Montevideo15-1610
Mathias De Armas
Referee
Stadium
Estadio Centenario
Capacity
60,235
Location
Montevideo, Uruguay
