BRA Serie A - Round 28

Athletico Paranaense

20 Sep

2 - 1

Full time

Bahia

HT: 1-1FT: 2-1

Lucas Esquivel16’

26’erick pulga

jorge rivaldo69’

HOME

41%

DRAW

29%

AWAY

29%

AI Insights

True AI

53%

Better pick

Bahia +0.25

Handicap

Confidence LowMarkets 3Risk High

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

2.6Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

10.2Corners/match

10.27.75.12.6

015’45’90’

Total Goals (Line 2.5)

O/U

48%Low

Over 48%Under 52%

1x2

True AI

Home

Athletico Paranaense Win

41%

Draw

29%

Away

Bahia Win

29%

The Home team has the slight advantage but it's less than 50% — a balanced match.

Handicap

True AI

Bahia+0.25

53%

Athletico Paranaense−0.25

46%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Bahia +0.25

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Athletico Paranaense - PR and Bahia - BA.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

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Prediction last updated: 02 Nov 2026, 00:02 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time2-1

Odair Hellmann

90’+6

2-1

90’+5

Everaldo Stum

90’+1

Everaldo Stum

+6 minute of added time

Odair Hellmann

90’

jorge rivaldo

89’

85’

Éverton RibeiroRodrigo Nestor

85’

Rodrigo Nestor

85’

Everaldo StumAlejo Veliz

Gilberto JuniorGilberto

80’

Bruno ZapelliKerwin Vargas

79’

74’

Kauê Furquim

73’

Caio AlexandreNicolas Acevedo

jorge rivaldoKerwin Vargas

69’

2-1

64’

Kauê FurquimAdemir

64’

Jean LucasErick Luis Conrado Carvalho

Eduardo Kogitzki AnastacioJuan Aguirre

45’

jorge rivaldoLeonardo Caetano Silva

45’

HT 1-1

+6 minute of added time

Arthur Dias

45’

Juan Aguirre

38’

30’

Nicolas Acevedo

1-1

26’

erick pulga

Lucas EsquivelKerwin Vargas

16’

1-0

Start0-0

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+11'

90'+11' Second Half ends, Athletico Paranaense 2, Bahia 1.

90'+5'

90'+5' Penalty saved.Everaldo (Bahia)’s right foot shot.

90'+1'

90'+1' VAR Decision: Penalty Bahia.

90'+1'

90'+1' Jádson (Atletico Paranaense) with a handball in the penalty area conceded the penalty.

90'+1'

90'+1' Attempt blocked.Everaldo (Bahia)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Kanu with a headed pass assists.

90'+1'

90'+1' Fourth official has announced 6 minutes of added time.

89'

89' Yellow card by Jorge Rivaldo (Atletico Paranaense) for a bad foul.

89'

89' Caio Alexandre (Bahia) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

89'

89' Jorge Rivaldo (Atletico Paranaense) foul.

88'

88' Attempt missed.Steven Mendoza (Atletico Paranaense)’s left foot shot.

88'

88' Corner, Athletico Paranaense.Conceded by Ronaldo.

86'

86' Kanu (Bahia) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

86'

86' Jorge Rivaldo (Atletico Paranaense) foul.

85'

85' Substitution, Bahia.Substituton in Éverton Ribeiro,Substitution out Rodrigo Nestor.

85'

85' Substitution, Bahia.Substituton in Everaldo,Substitution out Alejo Veliz.

85'

85' Erick Pulga (Bahia) foul.

85'

85' Gilberto (Atletico Paranaense) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

84'

84' Handball by Jorge Rivaldo (Atletico Paranaense).

82'

82' Corner, Athletico Paranaense.Conceded by David Duarte.

82'

82' Attempt blocked.Steven Mendoza (Atletico Paranaense)’s right foot shot.Bruno Zapelli assists.

80'

80' Substitution, Athletico Paranaense.Substituton in Gilberto,Substitution out Gilberto.

79'

79' Substitution, Athletico Paranaense.Substituton in Bruno Zapelli,Substitution out Kerwin Vargas.

78'

78' Offside, Athletico Paranaense.Kerwin Vargas is caught offside.

74'

74' Yellow card by Kauê Furquim (Bahia) for a bad foul.

74'

74' Kauê Furquim (Bahia) foul.

74'

74' Lucas Esquivel (Atletico Paranaense) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

73'

73' Substitution, Bahia.Substituton in Caio Alexandre,Substitution out Nicolás Acevedo.

72'

72' Jádson (Atletico Paranaense) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

72'

72' Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia) foul.

71'

71' Attempt missed.Dudu Kogitzki (Atletico Paranaense)’s right foot shot.Kerwin Vargas following a fast break assists.

69'

69' Goal! Athletico Paranaense 2, Bahia 1.Jorge Rivaldo (Atletico Paranaense)’s right foot shot to the bottom left corner.Kerwin Vargas with a cross assists.

64'

64' Jorge Rivaldo (Atletico Paranaense) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

64'

64' Kanu (Bahia) foul.

64'

64' Substitution, Bahia.Substituton in Kauê Furquim,Substitution out Ademir.

64'

64' Substitution, Bahia.Substituton in Jean Lucas,Substitution out Erick.

63'

63' Attempt blocked.David Duarte (Bahia)’s header from the left side of the six yard box Defensive player blocked.Rodrigo Nestor with a cross assists.

62'

62' Corner, Bahia.Conceded by Luiz Gustavo.

62'

62' Attempt blocked.David Duarte (Bahia)’s header from the centre of the box Defensive player blocked.Rodrigo Nestor with a cross assists.

61'

61' Corner, Bahia.Conceded by Mycael.

61'

61' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)’s left foot shot from from a difficult angle on the left in the bottom left corner by Mycael (Bahia).Luciano Juba assists.

61'

61' Attempt missed.Dantas (Atletico Paranaense)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the right.Lucas Esquivel with a cross following a corner assists.

60'

60' Corner, Athletico Paranaense.Conceded by David Duarte.

59'

59' Jorge Rivaldo (Atletico Paranaense) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

59'

59' David Duarte (Bahia) foul.

58'

58' Corner, Bahia.Conceded by Dantas.

56'

56' Lucas Esquivel (Atletico Paranaense) gets a free kick on the left wing.

56'

56' Marcos Victor (Bahia) foul.

56'

56' Attempt missed.Dantas (Atletico Paranaense)’s header from the left side of the box misses to the left following a corner.

55'

55' Corner, Athletico Paranaense.Conceded by David Duarte.

53'

53' Marcos Victor (Bahia) foul.

53'

53' Kerwin Vargas (Atletico Paranaense) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

52'

52' Attempt missed.Erick (Bahia)’s right foot shot.Alejo Veliz assists.

50'

50' David Duarte (Bahia) foul.

50'

50' Kerwin Vargas (Atletico Paranaense) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

48'

48' Dantas (Atletico Paranaense) foul.

48'

48' Alejo Veliz (Bahia) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

47'

47' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Kerwin Vargas (Atletico Paranaense)’s right foot shot from from the left side of the box in the bottom left corner by Ronaldo (Atletico Paranaense).Steven Mendoza assists.

45'+7'

45'+7' First Half ends, Athletico Paranaense 1, Bahia 1.

45'+6'

45'+6' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Leozinho (Atletico Paranaense)’s left foot shot from from the right side of the box in the bottom right corner by Ronaldo (Atletico Paranaense).Juan Aguirre assists.

45'+4'

45'+4' Attempt missed.Alejo Veliz (Bahia)’s header from the centre of the box is close, but misses to the left.Marcos Victor assists.

45'+1'

45'+1' Attempt missed.Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)’s left foot shot.

45'+1'

45'+1' Fourth official has announced 6 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Second Half begins Athletico Paranaense 1, Bahia 1.

45'

45' Substitution, Athletico Paranaense.Substituton in Dudu Kogitzki,Substitution out Juan Aguirre.

45'

45' Substitution, Athletico Paranaense.Substituton in Jorge Rivaldo,Substitution out Leozinho.

45'

45' Yellow card by Arthur Dias (Atletico Paranaense) for a bad foul.

45'

45' Arthur Dias (Atletico Paranaense) foul.

45'

45' Ademir (Bahia) gets a free kick on the right wing.

44'

44' Mycael (Atletico Paranaense) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

44'

44' Alejo Veliz (Bahia) foul.

38'

38' Yellow card by Juan Aguirre (Atletico Paranaense) for a bad foul.

38'

38' Juan Aguirre (Atletico Paranaense) foul.

38'

38' Alejo Veliz (Bahia) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

36'

36' Offside, Bahia.Erick Pulga is caught offside.

30'

30' Attempt saved.Juan Aguirre (Atletico Paranaense)’s header from the centre of the box is saved in the centre of the goal by Ronaldo (Atletico Paranaense).Lucas Esquivel with a cross assists.

30'

30' Yellow card by Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia) for a bad foul.

30'

30' Leozinho (Atletico Paranaense) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

30'

30' Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia) foul.

28'

28' Attempt missed.Alejo Veliz (Bahia)’s header from the centre of the box is close, but misses to the right.Rodrigo Nestor with a cross assists.

26'

26' Goal! Athletico Paranaense 1, Bahia 1.Erick Pulga (Bahia)’s right foot shot.

22'

22' Corner, Athletico Paranaense.Conceded by Luciano Juba.

20'

20' Steven Mendoza (Atletico Paranaense) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

20'

20' Ademir (Bahia) foul.

19'

19' Offside, Bahia.Ademir is caught offside.

16'

16' Goal! Athletico Paranaense 1, Bahia 0.Lucas Esquivel (Atletico Paranaense)’s left foot shot to the top right corner.Kerwin Vargas assists.

14'

14' Leozinho (Atletico Paranaense) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

14'

14' Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia) foul.

11'

11' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Steven Mendoza (Atletico Paranaense)’s left foot shot from from the left side of the box in the centre of the goal by Ronaldo (Atletico Paranaense).

10'

10' Leozinho (Atletico Paranaense) foul.

10'

10' Luciano Juba (Bahia) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

9' Leozinho (Atletico Paranaense) gets a free kick on the right wing.

9' Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia) foul.

6' Corner, Athletico Paranaense.Conceded by Marcos Victor.

3' Delay over.The match resumes.

2' The match delays because Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia) injured.

HEAD TO HEAD

12 wins

44%