NED Eredivisie - Round 5

AFC Ajax

05 Sep

1 - 3

Full time

PSV Eindhoven

HT: 1-2FT: 1-3

Tolu Arokodare23’

5’Ricardo Pepi

45’+1Lutsharel Geertruida

90’+2Esmir Bajraktarević

HOME

35%

DRAW

25%

AWAY

40%

AI Insights

True AI

80%

Better pick

Over 2.5

Total Goals

Confidence HighMarkets 4Risk Low

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

4.3Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

10.7Corners/match

10.78.05.32.7

015’45’90’

Total Goals (Line 2.5)

O/U

80%High

Over 80%Under 20%

Both teams score

BTTS

78%Yes · High

AFC Ajax88%

PSV Eindhoven88%

Chance each side scores at least once; BTTS = both do.

1x2

True AI

Home

AFC Ajax Win

35%

Draw

25%

Away

PSV Eindhoven Win

40%

The Away team has the slight advantage but it's less than 50% — a balanced match.

Handicap

True AI

PSV Eindhoven0.0

52%

AFC Ajax0.0

49%

The bet favored by TrueAI: PSV Eindhoven 0.0

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for AFC Ajax and PSV Eindhoven.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

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Prediction last updated: 29 Oct 2026, 10:16 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time1-3

Start0-0

0-1

5’

16’

23’

1-1

37’

Noah Fernandez

+1 minute of added time

45’

Paul WannerNoah Fernandez

1-2

45’+1

Lutsharel Geertruida

HT 1-2

Sofyan AmrabatOscar Gloukh

54’

Marcos Leonardo Santos AlmeidaDavy Klaassen

54’

Kasper DolbergTolu Arokodare

61’

Viktor TsygankovSteven Berghuis

61’

63’

Sven MijnansRicardo Pepi

63’

Esmir BajraktarevićIvan Perišić

73’

Filip KostićMauro Júnior

Abdellah OuazaneJorthy Mokio

73’

Ryan FlamingoLutsharel Geertruida

74’

80’

81’

81’

84’

Thilo KehrerAaron Bouwman

84’

88’

Yarek GasiorowskiArmando Obispo

+7 minute of added time

1-3

90’+2

Esmir Bajraktarević

Sven Mijnans

Anton Gaaei

90’+6

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+8'

90'+8' Second Half ends, Ajax 1, PSV Eindhoven 3.

90'+8'

90'+8' Attempt missed.Caio Henrique (AFC Ajax)’s left foot shot.

90'+8'

90'+8' Handball by Sven Mijnans (PSV Eindhoven).

90'+8'

90'+8' Attempt blocked.Julian Brandt (AFC Ajax)’s right foot shot.

90'+8'

90'+8' Attempt blocked.Anton Gaaei (AFC Ajax)’s right foot shot.

90'+7'

90'+7' Julian Brandt (AFC Ajax) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

90'+7'

90'+7' Ruben van Bommel (PSV Eindhoven) foul.

90'+7'

90'+7' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Viktor Tsygankov (AFC Ajax)’s left foot shot from from the right side of the box in the centre of the goal by Matej Kovár (AFC Ajax).Julian Brandt assists.

90'+6'

90'+6' Yellow card by Anton Gaaei (AFC Ajax) for a bad foul.

90'+6'

90'+6' Anton Gaaei (AFC Ajax) foul.

90'+6'

90'+6' Ruben van Bommel (PSV Eindhoven) gets a free kick on the left wing.

90'+4'

90'+4' Attempt blocked.Abdellah Ouazane (AFC Ajax)’s right foot shot.Julian Brandt assists.

90'+4'

90'+4' Attempt blocked.Abdellah Ouazane (AFC Ajax)’s right foot shot.

90'+2'

90'+2' Goal! Ajax 1, PSV Eindhoven 3.Esmir Bajraktarevic (PSV Eindhoven)’s left foot shot.Sven Mijnans following a fast break assists.

90'+2'

90'+2' Goal! Ajax 1, PSV Eindhoven 3.Esmir Bajraktarevic (PSV Eindhoven)’s left foot shot.

90'+1'

90'+1' Fourth official has announced 7 minutes of added time.

90'

90' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Abdellah Ouazane (AFC Ajax)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom left corner by Matej Kovár (AFC Ajax).Julian Brandt assists.

90'

90' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Abdellah Ouazane (AFC Ajax)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Matej Kovár (AFC Ajax).

90'

90' Julian Brandt (AFC Ajax) gets a free kick on the left wing.

90'

90' Sergiño Dest (PSV Eindhoven) foul.

88'

88' Substitution, PSV Eindhoven.Substituton in Yarek Gasiorowski,Substitution out Armando Obispo because of an injury.

88'

88' Attempt missed.Youri Baas (AFC Ajax)’s header from the centre of the box is close, but misses to the right.Viktor Tsygankov with a cross following a corner assists.

87'

87' Corner, Ajax.Conceded by Armando Obispo.

87'

87' Ryan Flamingo (PSV Eindhoven) foul.

87'

87' Marcos Leonardo (AFC Ajax) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

84'

84' Substitution, Ajax.Substituton in Thilo Kehrer,Substitution out Aaron Bouwman because of an injury.

84'

84' Yellow card by Lutsharel Geertruida (PSV Eindhoven).

83'

83' Delay over.The match resumes.

81'

81' Yellow card by Ivan Perisic (PSV Eindhoven).

81'

81' Yellow card by Ruben van Bommel (PSV Eindhoven) for a bad foul.

81'

81' Yellow card by Youri Baas (AFC Ajax).

80'

80' Yellow card by Davy Klaassen (AFC Ajax).

79'

79' The match delays because Aaron Bouwman (AFC Ajax) injured.

79'

79' Aaron Bouwman (AFC Ajax) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

79'

79' Ruben van Bommel (PSV Eindhoven) foul.

79'

79' Ruben van Bommel (PSV Eindhoven) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

79'

79' Sofyan Amrabat (AFC Ajax) foul.

79'

79' Esmir Bajraktarevic (PSV Eindhoven) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

76'

76' Attempt missed.Abdellah Ouazane (AFC Ajax)’s right foot shot is just a bit too high.Kasper Dolberg assists.

75'

75' Attempt blocked.Julian Brandt (AFC Ajax)’s right foot shot.

74'

74' Yellow card by Filip Kostic (PSV Eindhoven) for a bad foul.

74'

74' Marcos Leonardo (AFC Ajax) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

74'

74' Abdellah Ouazane (AFC Ajax) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

74'

74' Filip Kostic (PSV Eindhoven) foul.

73'

73' Substitution, PSV Eindhoven.Substituton in Ryan Flamingo,Substitution out Lutsharel Geertruida.

73'

73' Substitution, PSV Eindhoven.Substituton in Ryan Flamingo,Substitution out Lutsharel Geertruida because of an injury.

73'

73' Substitution, Ajax.Substituton in Abdellah Ouazane,Substitution out Jorthy Mokio.

73'

73' Substitution, PSV Eindhoven.Substituton in Filip Kostic,Substitution out Mauro Júnior.

71'

71' Attempt saved.Sven Mijnans (PSV Eindhoven)’s left foot shot is saved in the centre of the goal by Marc ter Stegen (PSV Eindhoven).Mauro Júnior with a cross assists.

65'

65' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Kodai Sano (PSV Eindhoven)’s right foot shot from from very close range in the centre of the goal by Marc ter Stegen (PSV Eindhoven).Guus Til assists.

65'

65' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Kodai Sano (PSV Eindhoven)’s right foot shot from from very close range in the centre of the goal.Guus Til assists.

64'

64' Attempt missed.Sven Mijnans (PSV Eindhoven)’s left foot shot.Sergiño Dest assists.

63'

63' Substitution, PSV Eindhoven.Substituton in Esmir Bajraktarevic,Substitution out Ivan Perisic.

63'

63' Substitution, PSV Eindhoven.Substituton in Sven Mijnans,Substitution out Ricardo Pepi.

62'

62' Delay over.The match resumes.

62'

62' The match delays because Jorthy Mokio (AFC Ajax) injured.

61'

61' Substitution, Ajax.Substituton in Viktor Tsygankov,Substitution out Steven Berghuis.

61'

61' Substitution, Ajax.Substituton in Kasper Dolberg,Substitution out Tolu Arokodare.

58'

58' Attempt missed.Ricardo Pepi (PSV Eindhoven)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the left.

58'

58' Attempt missed.Ricardo Pepi (PSV Eindhoven)’s header from the centre of the box.

57'

57' Guus Til (PSV Eindhoven) foul.

57'

57' Youri Baas (AFC Ajax) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

56'

56' Offside, PSV Eindhoven.Ricardo Pepi is caught offside.

54'

54' Substitution, Ajax.Substituton in Marcos Leonardo,Substitution out Davy Klaassen.

54'

54' Substitution, Ajax.Substituton in Sofyan Amrabat,Substitution out Oscar Gloukh.

53'

53' Offside, Ajax.Tolu Arokodare is caught offside.

51'

51' Attempt missed.Julian Brandt (AFC Ajax)’s right foot shot.Tolu Arokodare assists.

50'

50' Paul Wanner (PSV Eindhoven) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

50'

50' Tolu Arokodare (AFC Ajax) foul.

45'+2'

45'+2' First Half ends, Ajax 1, PSV Eindhoven 2.

45'+1'

45'+1' Goal! Ajax 1, PSV Eindhoven 2.Lutsharel Geertruida (PSV Eindhoven)’s right foot shot.

45'+1'

45'+1' Corner, PSV Eindhoven.Conceded by Oscar Gloukh.

45'

45' Substitution, PSV Eindhoven.Substituton in Paul Wanner,Substitution out Noah Fernandez.

45'

45' Second Half begins Ajax 1, PSV Eindhoven 2.

45'

45' Fourth official has announced 1 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Lutsharel Geertruida (PSV Eindhoven) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

45'

45' Julian Brandt (AFC Ajax) foul.

42'

42' Attempt blocked.Sergiño Dest (PSV Eindhoven)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.

42'

42' Attempt blocked.Sergiño Dest (PSV Eindhoven)’s right foot shot.

40'

40' Attempt missed.Noah Fernandez (PSV Eindhoven)’s left foot shot.Sergiño Dest assists.

39'

39' Attempt missed.Ivan Perisic (PSV Eindhoven)’s right foot shot is just a bit too high.Guus Til with a cross assists.

37'

37' Yellow card by Noah Fernandez (PSV Eindhoven) for a bad foul.

37'

37' Noah Fernandez (PSV Eindhoven) foul.

37'

37' Jorthy Mokio (AFC Ajax) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

35'

35' Attempt missed.Davy Klaassen (AFC Ajax)’s right foot shot.Jorthy Mokio with a through ball assists.

35'

35' Attempt missed.Davy Klaassen (AFC Ajax)’s right foot shot.

33'

33' Ruben van Bommel (PSV Eindhoven) gets a free kick on the left wing.

33'

33' Anton Gaaei (AFC Ajax) foul.

30'

30' Attempt missed.Steven Berghuis (AFC Ajax)’s left foot shot is close, but misses to the left.

30'

30' Attempt saved.Julian Brandt (AFC Ajax)’s right foot shot is saved in the centre of the goal by Matej Kovár (AFC Ajax).Steven Berghuis assists.

30'

30' Attempt missed.Steven Berghuis (AFC Ajax)’s left foot shot misses to the left.

28'

28' Armando Obispo (PSV Eindhoven) foul.

28'

28' Tolu Arokodare (AFC Ajax) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

27'

27' Attempt missed.Guus Til (PSV Eindhoven)’s right foot shot.Sergiño Dest assists.

26'

26' Attempt blocked.Oscar Gloukh (AFC Ajax)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.

26'

26' Guus Til (PSV Eindhoven) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

26'

26' Jorthy Mokio (AFC Ajax) foul.

25'

25' Armando Obispo (PSV Eindhoven) foul.

25'

25' Tolu Arokodare (AFC Ajax) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

23'

23' Goal! Ajax 1, PSV Eindhoven 1.Tolu Arokodare (AFC Ajax)’s right foot shot to the bottom left corner.

22'

22' Sergiño Dest (PSV Eindhoven) foul.

22'

22' Oscar Gloukh (AFC Ajax) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

22'

22' Lutsharel Geertruida (PSV Eindhoven) foul.

22'

22' Tolu Arokodare (AFC Ajax) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

20'

20' Attempt missed.Ruben van Bommel (PSV Eindhoven)’s left foot shot.Kodai Sano assists.

16'

16' Yellow card by Kodai Sano (PSV Eindhoven) for a bad foul.

16'

16' Kodai Sano (PSV Eindhoven) foul.

16'

16' Davy Klaassen (AFC Ajax) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

15'

15' Attempt missed.Oscar Gloukh (AFC Ajax)’s right foot shot is high and wide to the right.Davy Klaassen with a headed pass assists.

15'

15' Attempt saved.Steven Berghuis (AFC Ajax)’s left foot shot is saved in the centre of the goal by Matej Kovár (AFC Ajax).Aaron Bouwman assists.

14'

14' Delay over.The match resumes.

14'

14' The match delays because Steven Berghuis (AFC Ajax) injured.

12'

12' Attempt blocked.Oscar Gloukh (AFC Ajax)’s right foot shot.Jorthy Mokio assists.

12'

12' Kodai Sano (PSV Eindhoven) foul.

12'

12' Steven Berghuis (AFC Ajax) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

10'

10' Mauro Júnior (PSV Eindhoven) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

10'

10' Steven Berghuis (AFC Ajax) foul.

8' Attempt blocked.Noah Fernandez (PSV Eindhoven)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.Guus Til assists.

5' Goal! Ajax 0, PSV Eindhoven 1.Ricardo Pepi (PSV Eindhoven)’s header from very close range to the top right corner.Ruben van Bommel with a headed pass assists.

4' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Jorthy Mokio (AFC Ajax)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Matej Kovár (AFC Ajax).Steven Berghuis assists.

HEAD TO HEAD

11 wins

37%

8 draws

27%

11 wins

36%