Champions League - Round 3

Stuttgart

20 Oct

1 - 1

Full time

Atletico Madrid

HT: 1-0FT: 1-1

Jamie Leweling36’

47’Julián Álvarez

HOME

28%

DRAW

25%

AWAY

47%

AI Insights

True AI

52%

Better pick

Stuttgart +0.5

Handicap

Confidence LowMarkets 2Risk High

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

3.6Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

10.3Corners/match

10.37.75.12.6

015’45’90’

1x2

True AI

Home

Stuttgart Win

28%

Draw

25%

Away

Atletico Madrid Win

47%

The Away team has the slight advantage but it's less than 50% — a balanced match.

Handicap

True AI

Stuttgart+0.5

52%

Atletico Madrid−0.5

48%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Stuttgart +0.5

Total Goals

True AI

Under 3

80%

Under 3.5

80%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Most likely: Under 3 (80%)

Total Corners

True AI

Over 8.5

70%

Over 9.5

57%

Under 10.5

55%

Over 10.5

45%

Most likely: Over 8.5 (70%)

Correct Score

True AI

STU / ATL	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	0 - 04.5%	0 - 18.2%	0 - 27.2%	0 - 33.8%	0 - 41.7%	0 - 50.0%
1	1 - 06.0%	1 - 111.5%	1 - 210.9%	1 - 36.6%	1 - 42.9%	1 - 50.0%
2	2 - 03.8%	2 - 17.8%	2 - 28.2%	2 - 35.4%	2 - 42.7%	2 - 50.0%
3	3 - 01.5%	3 - 13.3%	3 - 23.8%	3 - 32.7%	3 - 41.3%	3 - 50.0%
4	4 - 00.3%	4 - 11.0%	4 - 21.3%	4 - 30.9%	4 - 40.4%	4 - 50.0%
5	5 - 00.0%	5 - 10.0%	5 - 20.0%	5 - 30.0%	5 - 40.0%	5 - 50.0%

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11.5%), 1-2 (10.9%), 0-1 (8.2%)

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for VfB Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.

See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 28 Oct 2026, 20:09 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time1-1

Start0-0

Maximilian Mittelstädt

17’

Jamie Leweling

36’

1-0

45’

Ademola LookmanJonathan David

HT 1-0

1-1

47’

Julián Álvarez

Ademola Lookman

Lorenz AssignonJosha Vagnoman

52’

64’

Morten Hjulmand

69’

Johnny CardosoAlejandro Baena Rodríguez

Ermedin DemirovićJamie Leweling

72’

78’

Obed VargasJulián Álvarez

78’

Robin Le NormandPablo Barrios Rivas

85’

Diego Pablo Simeone

87’

Alexander SørlothGiuliano Simeone Baldini

Dženan PejčinovićDeniz Undav

87’

Leo SauerChris Führich

87’

+4 minute of added time

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+5'

90'+5' Second Half ends, Stuttgart 1, Atletico Madrid 1.

90'+4'

90'+4' Attempt missed.Dzenan Pejcinovic (VfB Stuttgart)’s header from the centre of the box is too high.Maximilian Mittelstädt assists.

90'+4'

90'+4' Jeff Chabot (VfB Stuttgart) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

90'+4'

90'+4' Alexander Sørloth (Atletico Madrid) foul.

90'+2'

90'+2' Maximilian Mittelstädt (VfB Stuttgart) foul.

90'+2'

90'+2' Alexander Sørloth (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

90'

90' Fourth official has announced 4 minutes of added time.

89'

89' Attempt saved.Grischa Prömel (VfB Stuttgart)’s left foot shot is saved in the top left corner by Jan Oblak (VfB Stuttgart).Ermedin Demirovic assists.

87'

87' Substitution, Stuttgart.Substituton in Leo Sauer,Substitution out Chris Führich.

87'

87' Substitution, Stuttgart.Substituton in Dzenan Pejcinovic,Substitution out Deniz Undav.

87'

87' Substitution, Atletico Madrid.Substituton in Alexander Sørloth,Substitution out Giuliano Simeone.

86'

86' Ermedin Demirovic (VfB Stuttgart) foul.

86'

86' Marc Pubill (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

83'

83' Corner, Atletico Madrid.Conceded by Ramon Hendriks.

82'

82' Offside, Stuttgart.Ermedin Demirovic is caught offside.

82'

82' Angelo Stiller (VfB Stuttgart) foul.

82'

82' Giuliano Simeone (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

81'

81' Attempt missed.Jeff Chabot (VfB Stuttgart)’s header from the centre of the box is close, but misses to the left.Maximilian Mittelstädt with a cross following a corner assists.

80'

80' Corner, Stuttgart.Conceded by Alejandro Grimaldo.

80'

80' Attempt blocked.Bilal El Khannouss (VfB Stuttgart)’s right foot shot.

80'

80' Attempt blocked.Angelo Stiller (VfB Stuttgart)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.

78'

78' Substitution, Atletico Madrid.Substituton in Robin Le Normand,Substitution out Pablo Barrios.

78'

78' Substitution, Atletico Madrid.Substituton in Obed Vargas,Substitution out Julián Alvarez.

78'

78' Attempt missed.Chris Führich (VfB Stuttgart)’s right foot shot.Grischa Prömel assists.

76'

76' Maximilian Mittelstädt (VfB Stuttgart) foul.

76'

76' Giuliano Simeone (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick on the right wing.

75'

75' Attempt missed.Grischa Prömel (VfB Stuttgart)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the right.Deniz Undav with a headed pass following a corner assists.

74'

74' Corner, Stuttgart.Conceded by Johnny Cardoso.

73'

73' Corner, Stuttgart.Conceded by Marcos Llorente.

72'

72' Handball by Ademola Lookman (Atletico Madrid).

72'

72' Substitution, Stuttgart.Substituton in Ermedin Demirovic,Substitution out Jamie Leweling.

71'

71' Jeff Chabot (VfB Stuttgart) foul.

71'

71' Ademola Lookman (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

70'

70' Jeff Chabot (VfB Stuttgart) foul.

70'

70' Julián Alvarez (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

69'

69' Corner, Stuttgart.Conceded by Marcos Llorente.

69'

69' Substitution, Atletico Madrid.Substituton in Johnny Cardoso,Substitution out Álex Baena.

67'

67' Lorenz Assignon (VfB Stuttgart) foul.

67'

67' Ademola Lookman (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

66'

66' Attempt missed.Grischa Prömel (VfB Stuttgart)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the left.Lorenz Assignon with a cross assists.

66'

66' Delay over.The match resumes.

65'

65' The match delays because Angelo Stiller (VfB Stuttgart) injured.

64'

64' Red card by Morten Hjulmand (Atletico Madrid).

64'

64' Angelo Stiller (VfB Stuttgart) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

64'

64' Morten Hjulmand (Atletico Madrid) foul.

61'

61' Attempt missed.Alejandro Grimaldo (Atletico Madrid)’s left foot shot.Ademola Lookman assists.

61'

61' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Pablo Barrios (Atletico Madrid)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the box in the bottom right corner by Dennis Seimen (Atletico Madrid).Giuliano Simeone assists.

56'

56' Deniz Undav (VfB Stuttgart) foul.

56'

56' Marcos Llorente (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

54'

54' Corner, Stuttgart.Conceded by Marcos Llorente.

54'

54' Attempt blocked.Chris Führich (VfB Stuttgart)’s right foot shot.Deniz Undav assists.

52'

52' Substitution, Stuttgart.Substituton in Lorenz Assignon,Substitution out Josha Vagnoman because of an injury.

50'

50' Jamie Leweling (VfB Stuttgart) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

50'

50' Alejandro Grimaldo (Atletico Madrid) foul.

50'

50' Attempt blocked.Ademola Lookman (Atletico Madrid)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.Julián Alvarez assists.

49'

49' Morten Hjulmand (Atletico Madrid) foul.

49'

49' Bilal El Khannouss (VfB Stuttgart) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

48'

48' Morten Hjulmand (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

48'

48' Grischa Prömel (VfB Stuttgart) foul.

47'

47' Goal! Stuttgart 1, Atletico Madrid 1.Julián Alvarez (Atletico Madrid)’s left foot shot to the top right corner.Ademola Lookman assists.

46'

46' Angelo Stiller (VfB Stuttgart) foul.

46'

46' Pablo Barrios (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick on the right wing.

45'

45' Second Half begins Stuttgart 1, Atletico Madrid 0.

45'

45' Substitution, Atletico Madrid.Substituton in Ademola Lookman,Substitution out Jonathan David.

45'

45' First Half ends, Stuttgart 1, Atletico Madrid 0.

45'

45' Fourth official has announced 0 minutes of added time.

44'

44' Attempt missed.Julián Alvarez (Atletico Madrid)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the left.Marc Pubill with a headed pass assists.

43'

43' Chris Führich (VfB Stuttgart) foul.

43'

43' Giuliano Simeone (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick on the right wing.

43'

43' Attempt saved.Dávid Hancko (Atletico Madrid)’s header from the centre of the box is saved in the top centre of the goal by Dennis Seimen (Atletico Madrid).Alejandro Grimaldo with a cross assists.

42'

42' Corner, Atletico Madrid.Conceded by Jeff Chabot.

42'

42' Attempt blocked.Dávid Hancko (Atletico Madrid)’s left foot shot.Morten Hjulmand assists.

40'

40' Attempt missed.Dávid Hancko (Atletico Madrid)’s header from the right side of the six yard box is too high.Alejandro Grimaldo with a cross following a corner assists.

39'

39' Corner, Atletico Madrid.Conceded by Maximilian Mittelstädt.

39'

39' Deniz Undav (VfB Stuttgart) foul.

39'

39' Morten Hjulmand (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

36'

36' Goal! Stuttgart 1, Atletico Madrid 0.Jamie Leweling (VfB Stuttgart)’s left foot shot.

34'

34' Ramon Hendriks (VfB Stuttgart) foul.

34'

34' Álex Baena (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

33'

33' Grischa Prömel (VfB Stuttgart) foul.

33'

33' Morten Hjulmand (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

31'

31' Attempt blocked.Julián Alvarez (Atletico Madrid)’s left foot shot.Pablo Barrios assists.

30'

30' Attempt missed.Marc Pubill (Atletico Madrid)’s header from the right side of the six yard box is too high.Alejandro Grimaldo with a cross following a corner assists.

29'

29' Corner, Atletico Madrid.Conceded by Ramon Hendriks.

26'

26' Jamie Leweling (VfB Stuttgart) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

26'

26' Morten Hjulmand (Atletico Madrid) foul.

25'

25' Offside, Stuttgart.Grischa Prömel is caught offside.

23'

23' Corner, Stuttgart.Conceded by Marc Pubill.

21'

21' Corner, Stuttgart.Conceded by Morten Hjulmand.

19'

19' Maximilian Mittelstädt (VfB Stuttgart) gets a free kick on the left wing.

19'

19' Giuliano Simeone (Atletico Madrid) foul.

17'

17' Yellow card by Maximilian Mittelstädt (VfB Stuttgart) for a bad foul.

17'

17' Maximilian Mittelstädt (VfB Stuttgart) foul.

17'

17' Giuliano Simeone (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick on the right wing.

16'

16' Attempt missed.Angelo Stiller (VfB Stuttgart)’s right foot shot.Bilal El Khannouss assists.

13'

13' Attempt missed.Chris Führich (VfB Stuttgart)’s left foot shot.Deniz Undav assists.

11'

11' Attempt missed.Jamie Leweling (VfB Stuttgart)’s right foot shot.

11'

11' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Angelo Stiller (VfB Stuttgart)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the top right corner by Jan Oblak (VfB Stuttgart).

7' Corner, Stuttgart.Conceded by Morten Hjulmand.

7' Attempt blocked.Bilal El Khannouss (VfB Stuttgart)’s right foot shot.Josha Vagnoman with a headed pass assists.

3' Attempt missed.Chris Führich (VfB Stuttgart)’s right foot shot.Jeff Chabot assists.

1' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Josha Vagnoman (VfB Stuttgart)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom left corner by Jan Oblak (VfB Stuttgart).

1' Corner, Stuttgart.Conceded by Jan Oblak.

1' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Bilal El Khannouss (VfB Stuttgart)’s left foot shot from from the left side of the box in the bottom left corner by Jan Oblak (VfB Stuttgart).Deniz Undav assists.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

0 wins

1 draws

100%

0 wins

1-1