ARG Division 1 - Round 8

Velez Sarsfield

05 Sep

1 - 0

Full time

Estudiantes La Plata

HT: 1-0FT: 1-0

Ronaldo Martinez40’

HOME

42%

DRAW

32%

AWAY

26%

AI Insights

True AI

52%

Better pick

Estudiantes La Plata +0.25

Handicap

Confidence LowMarkets 2Risk High

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Total Corners

9.3Corners/match

9.37.04.72.3

015’45’90’

1x2

True AI

Home

Velez Sarsfield Win

42%

Draw

32%

Away

Estudiantes La Plata Win

26%

The Home team has the slight advantage but it's less than 50% — a balanced match.

Handicap

True AI

Estudiantes La Plata+0.25

52%

Velez Sarsfield−0.25

49%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Estudiantes La Plata +0.25

Total Goals

True AI

Under 3

89%

Under 3.5

89%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 2.5

40%

Most likely: Under 3 (89%)

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Velez Sarsfield and Estudiantes La Plata.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.

See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 02 Nov 2026, 20:46 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time1-0

Thiago Silvero

25’

33’

Alexis Castro

Simón Escobar

34’

Ronaldo MartinezThiago Silvero

40’

1-0

+2 minute of added time

45’+1

Tiago Tomas Palacios

HT 1-0

45’

Joaquín CorreaBrian Aguirre

45’

Lucas PioviGabriel Neves

47’

Edwuin Cetre

56’

Lucas Piovi

65’

Joaquín Tobio BurgosEdwuin Cetre

Manuel LanziniJuan Cruz Policella

65’

Guido CarrilloAdolfo Gaich

Luca FelerLucas Robertone

72’

Thiago AguirreRonaldo Martinez

73’

Matías Pellegrini

73’

77’

Santiago NúñezLeandro Gonzalez Pirez

Matias AriasMatías Pellegrini

90’

+6 minute of added time

90’+5

Joaquín Correa

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+7'

90'+7' Second Half ends, Vélez Sarsfield 1, Estudiantes de La Plata 0.

90'+6'

90'+6' Offside, Estudiantes de La Plata.Joaquín Correa is caught offside.

90'+5'

90'+5' Baltasar Rodríguez (Estudiantes La Plata) foul.

90'+5'

90'+5' Tomás Marchiori (Velez Sarsfield) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

90'+5'

90'+5' Yellow card by Joaquín Correa (Estudiantes La Plata).

90'+4'

90'+4' Attempt missed.Joaquín Correa (Estudiantes La Plata)’s header from the centre of the box is high and wide to the left.Joaquín Tobio Burgos with a cross assists.

90'+3'

90'+3' Fourth official has announced 6 minutes of added time.

90'+1'

90'+1' Delay over.The match resumes.

90'

90' Substitution, Vélez Sarsfield.Substituton in Matías Arias,Substitution out Matías Pellegrini.

89'

89' The match delays because Baltasar Rodríguez (Estudiantes La Plata) injured.

89'

89' The match delays because Ezequiel Piovi (Estudiantes La Plata) injured.

88'

88' Attempt blocked.Baltasar Rodríguez (Estudiantes La Plata)’s right foot shot.

88'

88' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Eric Meza (Estudiantes La Plata)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the box in the bottom right corner by Tomás Marchiori (Estudiantes La Plata).Baltasar Rodríguez assists.

87'

87' Luca Feler (Velez Sarsfield) hits the right post with a’s right foot shot.Thiago Aguirre assists.

87'

87' Luca Feler (Velez Sarsfield) hits the woodwork with a’s right foot shot.

84'

84' Offside, Estudiantes de La Plata.Guido Carrillo is caught offside.

83'

83' Joaquín Correa (Estudiantes La Plata) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

83'

83' Rodrigo Aliendro (Velez Sarsfield) foul.

80'

80' Santiago Núñez (Estudiantes La Plata) foul.

80'

80' Thiago Aguirre (Velez Sarsfield) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

78'

78' Joaquín Correa (Estudiantes La Plata) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

78'

78' Matías Pellegrini (Velez Sarsfield) foul.

77'

77' Substitution, Estudiantes de La Plata.Substituton in Santiago Núñez,Substitution out Leandro González Pírez.

76'

76' Delay over.The match resumes.

75'

75' Guido Carrillo (Estudiantes La Plata) foul.

75'

75' The match delays because Thiago Silvero (Velez Sarsfield) injured.

75'

75' Thiago Silvero (Velez Sarsfield) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

74'

74' Corner, Estudiantes de La Plata.Conceded by Thiago Silvero.

73'

73' Yellow card by Matías Pellegrini (Velez Sarsfield) for a bad foul.

73'

73' Alexis Castro (Estudiantes La Plata) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

73'

73' Matías Pellegrini (Velez Sarsfield) foul.

73'

73' Substitution, Vélez Sarsfield.Substituton in Thiago Aguirre,Substitution out Ronaldo Martínez.

72'

72' Substitution, Vélez Sarsfield.Substituton in Luca Feler,Substitution out Lucas Robertone.

72'

72' Offside, Vélez Sarsfield.Ronaldo Martínez is caught offside.

69'

69' Joaquín Tobio Burgos (Estudiantes La Plata) foul.

69'

69' Matías Pellegrini (Velez Sarsfield) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

68'

68' Corner, Estudiantes de La Plata.Conceded by Elías Gómez.

68'

68' Attempt blocked.Joaquín Correa (Estudiantes La Plata)’s left foot shot.Guido Carrillo assists.

67'

67' Matías Pellegrini (Velez Sarsfield) foul.

67'

67' Alexis Castro (Estudiantes La Plata) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

66'

66' Tomás Palacios (Estudiantes La Plata) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

66'

66' Matías Pellegrini (Velez Sarsfield) foul.

65'

65' Substitution, Vélez Sarsfield.Substituton in Manuel Lanzini,Substitution out Juan Cruz Policella.

65'

65' Substitution, Estudiantes de La Plata.Substituton in Joaquín Tobio Burgos,Substitution out Edwuin Cetré.

65'

65' Substitution, Estudiantes de La Plata.Substituton in Guido Carrillo,Substitution out Adolfo Gaich.

63'

63' Leandro González Pírez (Estudiantes La Plata) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

63'

63' Simón Escobar (Velez Sarsfield) foul.

60'

60' Joaquín Correa (Estudiantes La Plata) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

60'

60' Lucas Robertone (Velez Sarsfield) foul.

57'

57' Corner, Vélez Sarsfield.Conceded by Adolfo Gaich.

56'

56' Yellow card by Ezequiel Piovi (Estudiantes La Plata) for a bad foul.

56'

56' Lucas Robertone (Velez Sarsfield) gets a free kick on the left wing.

56'

56' Ezequiel Piovi (Estudiantes La Plata) foul.

52'

52' Thiago Silvero (Velez Sarsfield) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

52'

52' Dangerous play by Adolfo Gaich (Estudiantes La Plata).

51'

51' Juan Cruz Policella (Velez Sarsfield) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

51'

51' Ezequiel Piovi (Estudiantes La Plata) foul.

47'

47' Yellow card by Edwuin Cetré (Estudiantes La Plata) for a bad foul.

47'

47' Rodrigo Aliendro (Velez Sarsfield) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

47'

47' Edwuin Cetré (Estudiantes La Plata) foul.

46'

46' Lucas Robertone (Velez Sarsfield) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

46'

46' Edwuin Cetré (Estudiantes La Plata) foul.

45'+2'

45'+2' First Half ends, Vélez Sarsfield 1, Estudiantes de La Plata 0.

45'+1'

45'+1' Fourth official has announced 2 minutes of added time.

45'+1'

45'+1' Yellow card by Tomás Palacios (Estudiantes La Plata) for a bad foul.

45'+1'

45'+1' Ronaldo Martínez (Velez Sarsfield) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

45'+1'

45'+1' Tomás Palacios (Estudiantes La Plata) foul.

45'

45' Second Half begins Vélez Sarsfield 1, Estudiantes de La Plata 0.

45'

45' Substitution, Estudiantes de La Plata.Substituton in Joaquín Correa,Substitution out Brian Aguirre.

45'

45' Substitution, Estudiantes de La Plata.Substituton in Ezequiel Piovi,Substitution out Gabriel Neves.

45'

45' Joaquín García (Velez Sarsfield) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

45'

45' Offside, Estudiantes de La Plata.Adolfo Gaich is caught offside.

44'

44' Elías Gómez (Velez Sarsfield) gets a free kick on the left wing.

44'

44' Baltasar Rodríguez (Estudiantes La Plata) foul.

43'

43' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Brian Aguirre (Estudiantes La Plata)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Tomás Marchiori (Estudiantes La Plata).Baltasar Rodríguez assists.

40'

40' Goal! Vélez Sarsfield 1, Estudiantes de La Plata 0.Ronaldo Martínez (Velez Sarsfield)’s right foot shot.Thiago Silvero with a headed pass following a set piece situationGoal confirmed following VAR Review assists.

39'

39' Matías Pellegrini (Velez Sarsfield) gets a free kick on the right wing.

39'

39' Gastón Benedetti (Estudiantes La Plata) foul.

38'

38' Attempt blocked.Simón Escobar (Velez Sarsfield)’s left foot shot.

37'

37' Brian Aguirre (Estudiantes La Plata) foul.

37'

37' Matías Pellegrini (Velez Sarsfield) gets a free kick on the right wing.

34'

34' VAR Checking: Vélez Sarsfield Penalty.

34'

34' VAR Decision: No Penalty Vélez Sarsfield.

33'

33' Yellow card by Alexis Castro (Estudiantes La Plata).

32'

32' Penalty Vélez Sarsfield.Simón Escobar draws a foul in the penalty area.

32'

32' Baltasar Rodríguez (Estudiantes La Plata) after a foul in the penalty area conceded the penalty.

31'

31' Rodrigo Aliendro (Velez Sarsfield) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

31'

31' Alexis Castro (Estudiantes La Plata) foul.

30'

30' Attempt missed.Juan Cruz Policella (Velez Sarsfield)’s right foot shot.Lucas Robertone assists.

30'

30' Attempt missed.Juan Cruz Policella (Velez Sarsfield)’s header from very close range is close, but misses to the right.Lucas Robertone with a cross following a corner assists.

29'

29' Corner, Vélez Sarsfield.Conceded by Eric Meza.

28'

28' Juan Cruz Policella (Velez Sarsfield) foul.

28'

28' Tomás Palacios (Estudiantes La Plata) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

28'

28' Lucas Robertone (Velez Sarsfield) foul.

28'

28' Gabriel Neves (Estudiantes La Plata) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

27'

27' Offside, Estudiantes de La Plata.Tomás Palacios is caught offside.

25'

25' Yellow card by Thiago Silvero (Velez Sarsfield) for a bad foul.

25'

25' Thiago Silvero (Velez Sarsfield) foul.

25'

25' Adolfo Gaich (Estudiantes La Plata) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

25'

25' Adolfo Gaich (Estudiantes La Plata) gets a free kick on the left wing.

25'

25' Rodrigo Aliendro (Velez Sarsfield) foul.

24'

24' Lucas Robertone (Velez Sarsfield) foul.

24'

24' Rodrigo Aliendro (Velez Sarsfield) foul.

24'

24' Tomás Palacios (Estudiantes La Plata) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

23'

23' Attempt missed.Tomás Palacios (Estudiantes La Plata)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the right.Edwuin Cetré with a cross following a set piece situation assists.

23'

23' Handball by Simón Escobar (Velez Sarsfield).

19'

19' Offside, Estudiantes de La Plata.Edwuin Cetré is caught offside.

18'

18' Elías Gómez (Velez Sarsfield) foul.

18'

18' Baltasar Rodríguez (Estudiantes La Plata) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

17'

17' Baltasar Rodríguez (Estudiantes La Plata) gets a free kick on the right wing.

17'

17' Juan Cruz Policella (Velez Sarsfield) foul.

12'

12' Attempt missed.Matías Pellegrini (Velez Sarsfield)’s left foot shot is just a bit too high.

12'

12' Offside, Vélez Sarsfield.Ronaldo Martínez is caught offside.

12'

12' Attempt missed.Matías Pellegrini (Velez Sarsfield)’s left foot shot is close, but misses the top left corner.

12'

12' Attempt saved.Ronaldo Martínez (Velez Sarsfield)’s left foot shot is saved in the centre of the goal by Fernando Muslera (Velez Sarsfield).

12'

12' Attempt saved.Ronaldo Martínez (Velez Sarsfield)’s right foot shot is saved.

11'

11' Ronaldo Martínez (Velez Sarsfield) gets a free kick on the left wing.

11'

11' Leandro González Pírez (Estudiantes La Plata) foul.

9' Elías Gómez (Velez Sarsfield) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

9' Alexis Castro (Estudiantes La Plata) foul.

8' Rodrigo Aliendro (Velez Sarsfield) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

8' Adolfo Gaich (Estudiantes La Plata) foul.

7' Delay over.The match resumes.

6' Delay over.The match resumes.

6' The match delays (Velez Sarsfield).

6' Matías Pellegrini (Velez Sarsfield) hits the left post with a’s right foot shot.Ronaldo Martínez assists.

5' Attempt blocked.Simón Escobar (Velez Sarsfield)’s left foot shot.

5' Corner, Vélez Sarsfield.Conceded by Leandro González Pírez.

5' Attempt blocked.Simón Escobar (Velez Sarsfield)’s right foot shot.Juan Cruz Policella assists.

4' Simón Escobar (Velez Sarsfield) foul.

4' Fernando Muslera (Estudiantes La Plata) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

3' Ronaldo Martínez (Velez Sarsfield) foul.

3' Edwuin Cetré (Estudiantes La Plata) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

3' Corner, Vélez Sarsfield.Conceded by Fernando Muslera.

3' Attempt saved.Thiago Silvero (Velez Sarsfield)’s header from the centre of the box is saved in the top centre of the goal by Fernando Muslera (Velez Sarsfield).Matías Pellegrini with a cross assists.

3' Gastón Benedetti (Estudiantes La Plata) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

3' Attempt missed.Thiago Silvero (Velez Sarsfield)’s header from the centre of the box is just a bit too high.Matías Pellegrini with a cross following a set piece situation assists.

3' Corner, Vélez Sarsfield.Conceded by Gastón Benedetti.

2' Simón Escobar (Velez Sarsfield) gets a free kick on the left wing.

2' Baltasar Rodríguez (Estudiantes La Plata) foul.

1' Corner, Vélez Sarsfield.Conceded by Baltasar Rodríguez.

HEAD TO HEAD

11 wins

37%

8 draws

27%

11 wins

36%

0-1