Ligue 1 - Round 7

Troyes

17 Oct

1 - 3

Full time

Lens

HT: 1-2FT: 1-3

Timothee Nkada26’

13’ (OG)Adrien Monfray

45’+2Odsonne Édouard

55’Ruben Aguilar

HOME

25%

DRAW

25%

AWAY

51%

AI Insights

True AI

52%

Better pick

Lens −0.5

Handicap

Confidence LowMarkets 2Risk High

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

2.9Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

9.6Corners/match

9.67.24.82.4

015’45’90’

1x2

True AI

Home

Troyes Win

25%

Draw

25%

Away

Lens Win

51%

The Away team is favoured at 51%.

Handicap

True AI

Lens−0.5

52%

Troyes+0.5

48%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Lens −0.5

Total Goals

True AI

Under 3

68%

Under 3.5

68%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Most likely: Under 3 (68%)

Total Corners

True AI

Under 10.5

64%

Over 8.5

62%

Under 9.5

51%

Over 9.5

49%

Most likely: Under 10.5 (64%)

Correct Score

True AI

TRO / LEN	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	0 - 06.6%	0 - 111.7%	0 - 29.8%	0 - 35.4%	0 - 42.3%	0 - 50.0%
1	1 - 06.9%	1 - 113.0%	1 - 212.0%	1 - 37.2%	1 - 42.9%	1 - 50.0%
2	2 - 03.3%	2 - 17.2%	2 - 26.9%	2 - 34.3%	2 - 41.9%	2 - 50.0%
3	3 - 01.0%	3 - 12.3%	3 - 22.7%	3 - 31.7%	3 - 40.7%	3 - 50.0%
4	4 - 00.1%	4 - 10.5%	4 - 20.6%	4 - 30.3%	4 - 40.1%	4 - 50.0%
5	5 - 00.0%	5 - 10.0%	5 - 20.0%	5 - 30.0%	5 - 40.0%	5 - 50.0%

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13.0%), 1-2 (12.0%), 0-1 (11.7%)

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Troyes and RC Lens.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

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See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 28 Oct 2026, 16:43 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time1-3

+5 minute of added time

82’

Amadou Haidara

Iron GomisLucas Maronnier

79’

Jérémy Le DouaronMouhamed Diop

79’

77’

Samson Baidoo

Renaud Ripart

76’

Junior Diaz

76’

72’

Saud AbdulhamidRuben Aguilar

67’

Amadou HaidaraYassine Titraoui

67’

Franjo IvanovicOdsonne Édouard

67’

Mezian Soares MesloubFlorian Thauvin

Noah DonkorPaolo Gozzi Iweru

64’

Kandet DiawaraTimothee Nkada

60’

Samson BaidooJean-Clair Todibo

1-3

55’

Ruben Aguilar

Florian Thauvin

HT 1-2

1-2

45’+2

Odsonne Édouard

Florian Thauvin

+5 minute of added time

Timothee Nkada

26’

1-1

0-1

13’

Adrien Monfray

Start0-0

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+6'

90'+6' Second Half ends, Troyes 1, Lens 3.

90'+4'

90'+4' Saud Abdulhamid (Lens) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

90'+4'

90'+4' Dermane Karim (Troyes) foul.

90'+3'

90'+3' Samson Baidoo (Lens) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

90'+3'

90'+3' Jérémy Le Douaron (Troyes) foul.

90'+3'

90'+3' Attempt blocked.Mezian Mesloub (Lens)’s left foot shot.Franjo Ivanovic assists.

90'+1'

90'+1' Fourth official has announced 5 minutes of added time.

89'

89' Michal Skóras (Lens) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

89'

89' Dermane Karim (Troyes) foul.

84'

84' Ismaëlo Ganiou went off injured after Lens had used all subs.

84'

84' Michal Skóras (Lens) foul.

84'

84' Merwan Ifnaoui (Troyes) gets a free kick on the right wing.

83'

83' Handball by Kandet Diawara (Troyes).

82'

82' Yellow card by Amadou Haidara (Lens) for a bad foul.

82'

82' Amadou Haidara (Lens) foul.

82'

82' Merwan Ifnaoui (Troyes) gets a free kick on the right wing.

81'

81' Delay over.The match resumes.

80'

80' The match delays because Ismaëlo Ganiou (Lens) injured.

79'

79' Substitution, Troyes.Substituton in Iron Gomis,Substitution out Lucas Maronnier.

79'

79' Substitution, Troyes.Substituton in Jérémy Le Douaron,Substitution out Mouhamed Diop.

77'

77' Yellow card by Samson Baidoo (Lens) for a bad foul.

77'

77' Samson Baidoo (Lens) foul.

77'

77' Renaud Ripart (Troyes) gets a free kick on the left wing.

76'

76' Yellow card by Renaud Ripart (Troyes).

76'

76' Yellow card by Junior Diaz (Troyes) for a bad foul.

75'

75' Amadou Haidara (Lens) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

75'

75' Junior Diaz (Troyes) foul.

75'

75' Attempt blocked.Lucas Maronnier (Troyes)’s right foot shot.Antoine Mille assists.

72'

72' Substitution, Lens.Substituton in Saud Abdulhamid,Substitution out Ruben Aguilar because of an injury.

71'

71' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Andrija Bulatovic (Lens)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom right corner by Patrick Beach (Lens).

70'

70' Delay over.The match resumes.

69'

69' The match delays because Ruben Aguilar (Lens) injured.

69'

69' Mezian Mesloub (Lens) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

69'

69' Noah Donkor (Troyes) foul.

68'

68' Ruben Aguilar (Lens) gets a free kick on the right wing.

68'

68' Noah Donkor (Troyes) foul.

67'

67' Franjo Ivanovic (Lens) foul.

67'

67' Adrien Monfray (Troyes) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

67'

67' Substitution, Lens.Substituton in Amadou Haidara,Substitution out Yacine Titraoui.

67'

67' Substitution, Lens.Substituton in Franjo Ivanovic,Substitution out Odsonne Édouard.

67'

67' Substitution, Lens.Substituton in Mezian Mesloub,Substitution out Florian Thauvin.

64'

64' Attempt blocked.Ruben Aguilar (Lens)’s right foot shot.Florian Thauvin assists.

64'

64' Substitution, Troyes.Substituton in Noah Donkor,Substitution out Paolo Gozzi because of an injury.

63'

63' Delay over.The match resumes.

63'

63' The match delays because Paolo Gozzi (Troyes) injured.

62'

62' Offside, Lens.Michal Skóras is caught offside.

61'

61' Florian Thauvin (Lens) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

61'

61' Dermane Karim (Troyes) foul.

61'

61' Florian Thauvin (Lens) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

61'

61' Dermane Karim (Troyes) foul.

60'

60' Substitution, Troyes.Substituton in Kandet Diawara,Substitution out Timothé Nkada.

60'

60' Substitution, Lens.Substituton in Samson Baidoo,Substitution out Jean-Clair Todibo because of an injury.

60'

60' Delay over.The match resumes.

58'

58' The match delays because Jean-Clair Todibo (Lens) injured.

55'

55' Goal! Troyes 1, Lens 3.Ruben Aguilar (Lens)’s header from the right side of the six yard box to the centre of the goal.Florian Thauvin with a cross following a fast break assists.

54'

54' Corner, Troyes.Conceded by Robin Risser.

53'

53' Attempt saved.Renaud Ripart (Troyes)’s header from the centre of the box is saved in the centre of the goal by Robin Risser (Troyes).Merwan Ifnaoui with a cross assists.

53'

53' Corner, Troyes.Conceded by Yacine Titraoui.

51'

51' Attempt missed.Renaud Ripart (Troyes)’s right foot shot.Dermane Karim assists.

49'

49' Delay over.The match resumes.

49'

49' The match delays because Florian Sotoca (Lens) injured.

48'

48' Corner, Troyes.Conceded by Andrija Bulatovic.

47'

47' Attempt missed.Dermane Karim (Troyes)’s right foot shot.

46'

46' Corner, Troyes.Conceded by Michal Skóras.

46'

46' Attempt blocked.Renaud Ripart (Troyes)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.Timothé Nkada with a cross assists.

45'+6'

45'+6' First Half ends, Troyes 1, Lens 2.

45'+5'

45'+5' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Timothé Nkada (Troyes)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the box in the bottom left corner by Robin Risser (Troyes).Renaud Ripart assists.

45'+4'

45'+4' Attempt saved.Paolo Gozzi (Troyes)’s header from the centre of the box is saved in the centre of the goal by Robin Risser (Troyes).Antoine Mille with a cross assists.

45'+3'

45'+3' Kyllian Antonio (Lens) foul.

45'+3'

45'+3' Renaud Ripart (Troyes) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

45'+2'

45'+2' Goal! Troyes 1, Lens 2.Odsonne Édouard (Lens)’s right foot shot to the centre of the goal.Florian Thauvin with a cross following a fast break assists.

45'+1'

45'+1' Attempt missed.Timothé Nkada (Troyes)’s right foot shot is high and wide to the right.Junior Diaz assists.

45'

45' Second Half begins Troyes 1, Lens 2.

45'

45' Fourth official has announced 5 minutes of added time.

44'

44' Corner, Lens.Conceded by Paolo Gozzi.

43'

43' Corner, Troyes.Conceded by Ruben Aguilar.

42'

42' Ismaëlo Ganiou (Lens) foul.

42'

42' Junior Diaz (Troyes) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

41'

41' Yacine Titraoui (Lens) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

41'

41' Mouhamed Diop (Troyes) foul.

41'

41' Yacine Titraoui (Lens) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

41'

41' Renaud Ripart (Troyes) foul.

40'

40' Attempt missed.Ruben Aguilar (Lens)’s right foot shot.

39'

39' Corner, Lens.Conceded by Dermane Karim.

39'

39' Andrija Bulatovic (Lens) hits the left post with a’s left foot shot.Odsonne Édouard assists.

38'

38' Ruben Aguilar (Lens) foul.

38'

38' Timothé Nkada (Troyes) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

36'

36' Attempt missed.Odsonne Édouard (Lens)’s header from the centre of the box is too high.Florian Thauvin with a cross assists.

35'

35' Andrija Bulatovic (Lens) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

35'

35' Antoine Mille (Troyes) foul.

34'

34' Delay over.The match resumes.

32'

32' The match delays (Lens).

31'

31' Attempt missed.Odsonne Édouard (Lens)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the right.Florian Thauvin with a cross following a corner assists.

31'

31' Corner, Lens.Conceded by Adrien Monfray.

31'

31' Attempt blocked.Michal Skóras (Lens)’s right foot shot.

26'

26' Goal! Troyes 1, Lens 1.Timothé Nkada (Troyes)’s left foot shot.

26'

26' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Antoine Mille (Troyes)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom left corner by Robin Risser (Troyes).

25'

25' Florian Thauvin (Lens) foul.

25'

25' Paolo Gozzi (Troyes) gets a free kick on the left wing.

18'

18' Andrija Bulatovic (Lens) foul.

18'

18' Dermane Karim (Troyes) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

18'

18' Attempt missed.Andrija Bulatovic (Lens)’s right foot shot.Florian Sotoca assists.

13'

13' Own Goal by Adrien Monfray, Troyes.Troyes 0, Lens 1.

13'

13' Attempt blocked.Ruben Aguilar (Lens)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Jean-Clair Todibo assists.

13'

13' Attempt missed.Jean-Clair Todibo (Lens)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the right.Florian Thauvin with a cross following a corner assists.

13'

13' Corner, Lens.Conceded by Lucas Maronnier.

9' Florian Sotoca (Lens) foul.

9' Merwan Ifnaoui (Troyes) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

8' Attempt missed.Timothé Nkada (Troyes)’s right foot shot.Antoine Mille assists.

8' Andrija Bulatovic (Lens) foul.

8' Dermane Karim (Troyes) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

3' Renaud Ripart (Troyes) foul.

3' Ismaëlo Ganiou (Lens) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

1' Attempt blocked.Dermane Karim (Troyes)’s left foot shot.

1' Corner, Troyes.Conceded by Ismaëlo Ganiou.

HEAD-TO-HEAD