MEX Liga MX - Round 9

Toluca

611

20 Sep

2 - 3

Full time

Santos Laguna

HT: 2-1FT: 2-3

Federico Viñas25’

45’+1Ezequiel Bullaude

João Paulo Dias Fernandes43’

86’Kevin Palacios

90’+5Francisco Villalba

HOME

77%

DRAW

13%

AWAY

AI Insights

True AI

56%

Better pick

BTTS Yes

BTTS

Confidence MediumMarkets 3Risk Medium

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

2.8Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

12.4Corners/match

12.49.36.23.1

015’45’90’

Total Goals (Line 2.5)

O/U

52%Low

Over 52%Under 48%

Both teams score

BTTS

56%Yes · Medium

Toluca75%

Santos Laguna75%

Chance each side scores at least once; BTTS = both do.

1x2

True AI

Home

Toluca Win

77%

Draw

13%

Away

Santos Laguna Win

The Home team is the clear favourite at 77%.

Handicap

True AI

Santos Laguna+2.0

53%

Toluca−2.0

48%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Santos Laguna +2.0

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Toluca and Santos Laguna.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.

See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 31 Oct 2026, 06:42 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time2-3

Federico ViñasAlexis Vega

25’

1-0

Nicolás Castro

38’

João Paulo Dias FernandesAlexis Vega

43’

2-0

+4 minute of added time

2-1

45’+1

Ezequiel Bullaude

Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich

45’+4

Everardo Lopez

45’+7

Everardo Lopez

45’+7

45’+8

Facundo Cáseres

HT 2-1

45’

Diego GonzálezEmmanuel Echeverria

45’

Francisco VillalbaSalvador Mariscal

Jorge DiazAlexis Vega

66’

Jesús AnguloFederico Viñas

66’

69’

Kevin PalaciosL. Gómez

69’

Eduardo AguirreEzequiel Bullaude

75’

Javier GuemezFacundo Cáseres

Luan GarciaJoão Paulo Dias Fernandes

81’

2-2

86’

Kevin Palacios

Francisco Villalba

+7 minute of added time

Brian Garcia Nicolás Castro

90’+1

90’+3

Eduardo Aguirre

2-3

90’+5

Francisco Villalba

Mauricio Cuevas

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+7'

90'+7' Second Half ends, Toluca 2, Santos Laguna 3.

90'+5'

90'+5' Goal! Toluca 2, Santos Laguna 3.Fran Villalba (Santos Laguna)’s left foot shot.Mauricio Cuevas assists.

90'+3'

90'+3' VAR Decision: No Goal Toluca 2-2 Santos Laguna.

90'+3'

90'+3' GOAL OVERTURNED BY VAR: Eduardo Aguirre (Santos Laguna) scores but the goal is ruled out after a VAR review.

90'+3'

90'+3' Handball by Eduardo Aguirre (Santos Laguna).

90'+2'

90'+2' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Jesús Angulo (Toluca)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Carlos Acevedo (Toluca).

90'+1'

90'+1' Substitution, Toluca.Substituton in Brian García,Substitution out Nicolás Castro.

90'+1'

90'+1' Attempt missed.Javier Güémez (Santos Laguna)’s right foot shot.Franco Pardo assists.

90'

90' Fourth official has announced 7 minutes of added time.

90'

90' Attempt missed.Diego González (Santos Laguna)’s left foot shot misses to the right.Fran Villalba with a cross assists.

89'

89' Attempt missed.Federico Pereira (Toluca)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the left.Jesús Angulo with a cross following a corner assists.

89'

89' Corner, Toluca.Conceded by Carlos Acevedo.

89'

89' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Diego Barbosa (Toluca)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the box in the top centre of the goal by Carlos Acevedo (Toluca).Bruno Méndez assists.

88'

88' Felipe Sánchez (Santos Laguna) foul.

88'

88' Jorge Díaz (Toluca) gets a free kick on the right wing.

87'

87' Diego González (Santos Laguna) foul.

87'

87' Diego Barbosa (Toluca) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

86'

86' Goal! Toluca 2, Santos Laguna 2.Kevin Palacios (Santos Laguna)’s right foot shot.Fran Villalba assists.

84'

84' Attempt missed.Eduardo Aguirre (Santos Laguna)’s header from the left side of the six yard box is too high.Fran Villalba with a cross assists.

84'

84' Attempt blocked.Jonathan Pérez (Santos Laguna)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.

83'

83' Attempt missed.Jesús Angulo (Toluca)’s left foot shot.Edher Segura assists.

82'

82' Eduardo Aguirre (Santos Laguna) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

82'

82' Jesús Gallardo (Toluca) foul.

81'

81' Substitution, Toluca.Substituton in Luan,Substitution out Paulinho.

80'

80' Offside, Santos Laguna.Eduardo Aguirre is caught offside.

80'

80' Corner, Santos Laguna.Conceded by Jesús Gallardo.

80'

80' Attempt blocked.Eduardo Aguirre (Santos Laguna)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.Mauricio Cuevas with a headed pass assists.

78'

78' Corner, Santos Laguna.Conceded by Bruno Méndez.

75'

75' Substitution, Santos Laguna.Substituton in Javier Güémez,Substitution out Facundo Cáseres.

75'

75' Attempt missed.Felipe Sánchez (Santos Laguna)’s header from the centre of the box is too high.Fran Villalba with a cross following a corner assists.

74'

74' Corner, Santos Laguna.Conceded by Edher Segura.

73'

73' Offside, Toluca.Jesús Gallardo is caught offside.

72'

72' Jesús Gallardo (Toluca) gets a free kick on the left wing.

72'

72' Eduardo Aguirre (Santos Laguna) foul.

71'

71' Corner, Santos Laguna.Conceded by Luis García.

71'

71' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Kevin Palacios (Santos Laguna)’s left foot shot from from the left side of the box in the bottom left corner by Luis García (Santos Laguna).

69'

69' Substitution, Santos Laguna.Substituton in Eduardo Aguirre,Substitution out Ezequiel Bullaude.

69'

69' Substitution, Santos Laguna.Substituton in Kevin Palacios,Substitution out Luis Gómez.

69'

69' Attempt missed.Diego González (Santos Laguna)’s left foot shot.

68'

68' Attempt missed.Luis Gómez (Santos Laguna)’s right foot shot.

67'

67' Jesús Gallardo (Toluca) foul.

67'

67' Fran Villalba (Santos Laguna) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

67'

67' Attempt missed.Paulinho (Toluca)’s left foot shot is close, but misses to the left.Nicolás Castro assists.

66'

66' Substitution, Toluca.Substituton in Jesús Angulo,Substitution out Federico Viñas.

66'

66' Substitution, Toluca.Substituton in Jorge Díaz,Substitution out Alexis Vega.

65'

65' Attempt missed.Ezequiel Bullaude (Santos Laguna)’s right foot shot.Esteban Lozano assists.

64'

64' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Paulinho (Toluca)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the box in the centre of the goal by Carlos Acevedo (Toluca).Federico Viñas with a headed pass assists.

62'

62' Corner, Santos Laguna.Conceded by Jesús Gallardo.

57'

57' Alexis Vega (Toluca) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

57'

57' Jonathan Pérez (Santos Laguna) foul.

56'

56' Attempt missed.Ezequiel Bullaude (Santos Laguna)’s left foot shot is too high.Luis Gómez with a cross assists.

55'

55' Diego Barbosa (Toluca) foul.

55'

55' Facundo Cáseres (Santos Laguna) gets a free kick on the left wing.

54'

54' Attempt missed.Federico Viñas (Toluca)’s right foot shot.Paulinho following a fast break assists.

52'

52' Attempt missed.Franco Pardo (Santos Laguna)’s right foot shot is high and wide to the right.Ezequiel Bullaude following a set piece situation assists.

51'

51' Jesús Gallardo (Toluca) foul.

51'

51' Mauricio Cuevas (Santos Laguna) gets a free kick on the right wing.

50'

50' Alexis Vega (Toluca) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

50'

50' Esteban Lozano (Santos Laguna) foul.

49'

49' Nicolás Castro (Toluca) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

49'

49' Esteban Lozano (Santos Laguna) foul.

48'

48' Attempt missed.Facundo Cáseres (Santos Laguna)’s right foot shot.Mauricio Cuevas assists.

45'+9'

45'+9' First Half ends, Toluca 2, Santos Laguna 1.

45'+8'

45'+8' Yellow card by Facundo Cáseres (Santos Laguna) for a bad foul.

45'+8'

45'+8' Paulinho (Toluca) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

45'+8'

45'+8' Facundo Cáseres (Santos Laguna) foul.

45'+7'

45'+7' Red card by Everardo López (Toluca).

45'+7'

45'+7' VAR Decision: Card upgraded Everardo López (Toluca).

45'+5'

45'+5' Everardo López (Toluca) foul.

45'+5'

45'+5' Ezequiel Bullaude (Santos Laguna) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

45'+5'

45'+5' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Ezequiel Bullaude (Santos Laguna)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Luis García (Santos Laguna).

45'+1'

45'+1' Goal! Toluca 2, Santos Laguna 1.Ezequiel Bullaude (Santos Laguna)’s right foot shot.

45'

45' Second Half begins Toluca 2, Santos Laguna 1.

45'

45' Substitution, Santos Laguna.Substituton in Fran Villalba,Substitution out Salvador Mariscal.

45'

45' Substitution, Santos Laguna.Substituton in Diego González,Substitution out Emmanuel Echeverría.

45'

45' Fourth official has announced 4 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Attempt missed.Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)’s left foot shot.Alexis Vega assists.

43'

43' Goal! Toluca 2, Santos Laguna 0.Paulinho (Toluca)’s left foot shot.Alexis Vega assists.

42'

42' Attempt blocked.Salvador Mariscal (Santos Laguna)’s right foot shot.

42'

42' Attempt missed.Esteban Lozano (Santos Laguna)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the left.Ezequiel Bullaude with a cross assists.

41'

41' Corner, Santos Laguna.Conceded by Edher Segura.

40'

40' Corner, Santos Laguna.Conceded by Luis García.

39'

39' Attempt blocked.Mauricio Cuevas (Santos Laguna)’s right foot shot.

38'

38' Yellow card by Nicolás Castro (Toluca) for a bad foul.

38'

38' Nicolás Castro (Toluca) foul.

38'

38' Mauricio Cuevas (Santos Laguna) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

37'

37' Attempt blocked.Federico Pereira (Toluca)’s header from the centre of the box Defensive player blocked.

37'

37' Diego Barbosa (Toluca) gets a free kick on the right wing.

37'

37' Emmanuel Echeverría (Santos Laguna) foul.

35'

35' Federico Pereira (Toluca) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

35'

35' Esteban Lozano (Santos Laguna) foul.

34'

34' Attempt missed.Bruno Méndez (Toluca)’s right foot shot.

32'

32' Federico Viñas (Toluca) foul.

32'

32' Facundo Cáseres (Santos Laguna) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

32'

32' Alexis Vega (Toluca) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

32'

32' Salvador Mariscal (Santos Laguna) foul.

30'

30' Offside, Santos Laguna.Esteban Lozano is caught offside.

27'

27' Attempt missed.Paulinho (Toluca)’s left foot shot.Nicolás Castro following a fast break assists.

25'

25' Goal! Toluca 1, Santos Laguna 0.Federico Viñas (Toluca)’s header from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner.Alexis Vega with a cross following a corner assists.

25'

25' Corner, Toluca.Conceded by Emmanuel Echeverría.

22'

22' Offside, Toluca.Bruno Méndez is caught offside.

22'

22' Attempt missed.Federico Pereira (Toluca)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the right.Alexis Vega with a cross following a corner assists.

22'

22' Corner, Toluca.Conceded by Carlos Acevedo.

22'

22' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Paulinho (Toluca)’s left foot shot from from a difficult angle on the left in the bottom left corner by Carlos Acevedo (Toluca).Alexis Vega with a through ball assists.

20'

20' Corner, Toluca.Conceded by Franco Pardo.

18'

18' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Ezequiel Bullaude (Santos Laguna)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Luis García (Santos Laguna).

17'

17' Attempt missed.Federico Viñas (Toluca)’s left foot shot is high and wide to the left.Nicolás Castro assists.

16'

16' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Diego Barbosa (Toluca)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Carlos Acevedo (Toluca).Federico Viñas assists.

14'

14' Attempt blocked.Mauricio Cuevas (Santos Laguna)’s right foot shot.Luis Gómez assists.

13'

13' Attempt missed.Edher Segura (Toluca)’s right foot shot.Alexis Vega following a set piece situation assists.

12'

12' Federico Viñas (Toluca) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

12'

12' Felipe Sánchez (Santos Laguna) foul.

10'

10' Federico Pereira (Toluca) foul.

10'

10' Esteban Lozano (Santos Laguna) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

9' Offside, Toluca.Jesús Gallardo is caught offside.

8' Corner, Toluca.Conceded by Carlos Acevedo.

8' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Nicolás Castro (Toluca)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the top right corner by Carlos Acevedo (Toluca).Diego Barbosa assists.

7' Attempt missed.Alexis Vega (Toluca)’s right foot shot.Nicolás Castro assists.

6' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Paulinho (Toluca)’s left foot shot from from very close range in the bottom right corner by Carlos Acevedo (Toluca).Nicolás Castro assists.

4' Attempt missed.Paulinho (Toluca)’s left foot shot.

3' Federico Viñas (Toluca) foul.

3' Franco Pardo (Santos Laguna) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

3' Attempt blocked.Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)’s header from the centre of the box Defensive player blocked.Alexis Vega with a cross assists.

3' Corner, Toluca.Conceded by Jonathan Pérez.

3' Attempt blocked.Edher Segura (Toluca)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.

1' Nicolás Castro (Toluca) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

1' Esteban Lozano (Santos Laguna) foul.

HEAD TO HEAD

13 wins

43%

8 draws