MEX Liga MX - Round 6

Toluca

30 Aug

4 - 0

Full time

FC Juarez

HT: 2-0FT: 4-0

Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro10’

Jesus Murillo34’ (OG)

Oswaldo Virgen73’

Federico Viñas79’

HOME

73%

DRAW

16%

AWAY

12%

AI Insights

True AI

57%

Better pick

BTTS Yes

BTTS

Confidence MediumMarkets 3Risk Medium

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

3.7Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

10.6Corners/match

10.68.05.32.7

015’45’90’

Total Goals (Line 3.25)

O/U

56%Medium

Over 56%Under 44%

Both teams score

BTTS

57%Yes · Medium

Toluca93%

FC Juarez61%

Chance each side scores at least once; BTTS = both do.

1x2

True AI

Home

Toluca Win

73%

Draw

16%

Away

FC Juarez Win

12%

The Home team is the clear favourite at 73%.

Handicap

True AI

Toluca−1.5

53%

FC Juarez+1.5

48%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Toluca −1.5

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Toluca and FC Juarez.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.

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Prediction last updated: 02 Nov 2026, 12:54 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time4-0

Hélio Júnio Nunes de CastroEverardo Lopez

10’

1-0

Oswaldo Virgen

18’

Jesus Murillo

34’

2-0

Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro

35’

+4 minute of added time

HT 2-0

Nicolás CastroAlexis Vega

45’

Jesús GallardoAndres Pereira

45’

58’

Francisco Nevarez

65’

Manuel MayorgaFrancisco Nevarez

65’

Guilherme CastilhoMonchu

Federico ViñasHélio Júnio Nunes de Castro

70’

Fernando ArceFranco Romero

70’

Oswaldo Virgen

73’

3-0

74’

Madson de Souza SilvaGilberto Sepulveda

Federico ViñasOswaldo Virgen

79’

4-0

81’

Juan SigalaJosé Luis Rodríguez

Antonio BriseñoOswaldo Virgen

81’

Ricardo OliveiraOscar Estupiñan

+5 minute of added time

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+6'

90'+6' Second Half ends, Toluca 4, Juárez 0.

90'+4'

90'+4' Fernando Arce (Toluca) foul.

90'+4'

90'+4' Juan Sigala (FC Juarez) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

90'+2'

90'+2' Jorge Díaz (Toluca) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

90'+2'

90'+2' Jesús Murillo (FC Juarez) foul.

90'

90' Fourth official has announced 5 minutes of added time.

89'

89' Fernando Arce (Toluca) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

89'

89' Ricardinho (FC Juarez) foul.

87'

87' Attempt blocked.Jairo Torres (FC Juarez)’s right foot shot.Madson assists.

87'

87' Attempt missed.Guilherme Castilho (FC Juarez)’s right foot shot.Madson assists.

86'

86' Attempt saved.Jorge Díaz (Toluca)’s right foot shot is saved in the centre of the goal by Sebastián Jurado (Toluca).Federico Viñas assists.

86'

86' Offside, Toluca.Federico Viñas is caught offside.

86'

86' Attempt blocked.Jorge Díaz (Toluca)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.

81'

81' Substitution, Juárez.Substituton in Ricardinho,Substitution out Óscar Estupiñán.

81'

81' Substitution, Juárez.Substituton in Juan Sigala,Substitution out José Luis Rodríguez.

81'

81' Substitution, Toluca.Substituton in Antonio Briseño,Substitution out Oswaldo Virgen.

79'

79' Goal! Toluca 4, Juárez 0.Federico Viñas (Toluca)’s left foot shot to the centre of the goal.Oswaldo Virgen assists.

79'

79' Attempt missed.Óscar Estupiñán (FC Juarez)’s left foot shot.Jairo Torres assists.

77'

77' Offside, Toluca.Víctor Guzmán is caught offside.

75'

75' Luan (Toluca) foul.

75'

75' Óscar Estupiñán (FC Juarez) gets a free kick on the left wing.

74'

74' Substitution, Juárez.Substituton in Madson,Substitution out Gilberto Sepúlveda.

73'

73' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Federico Viñas (Toluca)’s left foot shot from from the right side of the box in the centre of the goal by Sebastián Jurado (Toluca).Nicolás Castro assists.

73'

73' Goal! Toluca 3, Juárez 0.Oswaldo Virgen (Toluca)’s right foot shot to the bottom left corner.

71'

71' Attempt blocked.Federico Viñas (Toluca)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.Jesús Gallardo with a cross assists.

70'

70' Substitution, Toluca.Substituton in Federico Viñas,Substitution out Helinho.

70'

70' Substitution, Toluca.Substituton in Fernando Arce,Substitution out Franco Romero.

66'

66' Víctor Guzmán (Toluca) foul.

66'

66' Guilherme Castilho (FC Juarez) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

66'

66' Delay over.The match resumes.

65'

65' Substitution, Juárez.Substituton in Alejandro Mayorga,Substitution out Francisco Nevárez.

65'

65' Substitution, Juárez.Substituton in Guilherme Castilho,Substitution out Monchu.

64'

64' The match delays because Luan (Toluca) injured.

64'

64' Corner, Juárez.Conceded by Jesús Gallardo.

63'

63' Attempt blocked.Helinho (Toluca)’s left foot shot.Víctor Guzmán assists.

61'

61' Gilberto Sepúlveda (FC Juarez) foul.

61'

61' Helinho (Toluca) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

59'

59' Attempt blocked.Helinho (Toluca)’s left foot shot.Jorge Díaz assists.

59'

59' Corner, Toluca.Conceded by Rodrigo Dourado.

58'

58' Yellow card by Francisco Nevárez (FC Juarez).

57'

57' Everardo López (Toluca) foul.

57'

57' Jairo Torres (FC Juarez) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

55'

55' Attempt blocked.Víctor Guzmán (Toluca)’s left foot shot.Nicolás Castro assists.

55'

55' Francisco Nevárez (FC Juarez) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

55'

55' Jesús Gallardo (Toluca) foul.

54'

54' Franco Romero (Toluca) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

54'

54' Monchu (FC Juarez) foul.

50'

50' Attempt missed.Helinho (Toluca)’s left foot shot.Nicolás Castro assists.

47'

47' Attempt blocked.Víctor Guzmán (Toluca)’s right foot shot.Oswaldo Virgen assists.

46'

46' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves José Luis Rodríguez (FC Juarez)’s right foot shot from from a difficult angle on the left in the bottom left corner by Hugo González (FC Juarez).Javier Aquino assists.

45'+5'

45'+5' First Half ends, Toluca 2, Juárez 0.

45'+3'

45'+3' Attempt blocked.Oswaldo Virgen (Toluca)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Helinho assists.

45'+3'

45'+3' Corner, Toluca.Conceded by Gilberto Sepúlveda.

45'+2'

45'+2' Attempt missed.Jorge Díaz (Toluca)’s right foot shot.Everardo López following a fast break assists.

45'

45' Substitution, Toluca.Substituton in Nicolás Castro,Substitution out Alexis Vega.

45'

45' Second Half begins Toluca 2, Juárez 0.

45'

45' Fourth official has announced 4 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Substitution, Toluca.Substituton in Jesús Gallardo,Substitution out Federico Pereira.

44'

44' Oswaldo Virgen (Toluca) hits the bar with a’s right foot shot.Jorge Díaz assists.

44'

44' Corner, Toluca.Conceded by Jesús Murillo.

44'

44' Attempt blocked.Oswaldo Virgen (Toluca)’s right foot shot.Helinho assists.

43'

43' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Helinho (Toluca)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom left corner by Sebastián Jurado (Toluca).Víctor Guzmán assists.

41'

41' Corner, Toluca.Conceded by Rodrigo Dourado.

39'

39' Attempt blocked.Alexis Vega (Toluca)’s right foot shot.Víctor Guzmán assists.

35'

35' Helinho (Toluca) foul.

35'

35' Yellow card by Helinho (Toluca) for a bad foul.

35'

35' Javier Aquino (FC Juarez) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

34'

34' Own Goal by Jesús Murillo, Juárez.Toluca 2, Juárez 0.

32'

32' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Jorge Díaz (Toluca)’s right foot shot from from the left side of the box in the bottom right corner.Everardo López assists.

27'

27' Víctor Guzmán (Toluca) foul.

27'

27' Jairo Torres (FC Juarez) gets a free kick on the left wing.

26'

26' Corner, Juárez.Conceded by Federico Pereira.

25'

25' Attempt missed.Víctor Guzmán (Toluca)’s left foot shot.Helinho assists.

24'

24' Attempt blocked.José Luis Rodríguez (FC Juarez)’s left foot shot.

24'

24' Attempt missed.Jorge Díaz (Toluca)’s right foot shot.Sebastián Aceves assists.

23'

23' Federico Pereira (Toluca) foul.

23'

23' Óscar Estupiñán (FC Juarez) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

21'

21' Alexis Vega (Toluca) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

21'

21' Attempt missed.Everardo López (Toluca)’s header from the centre of the box is close, but misses to the left.Helinho with a cross following a set piece situation assists.

21'

21' Óscar Estupiñán (FC Juarez) foul.

20'

20' Federico Pereira (Toluca) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

20'

20' Óscar Estupiñán (FC Juarez) foul.

19'

19' VAR Checking: Toluca Goal (FC Juarez).

18'

18' VAR Decision: No Goal Toluca 1-0 Juárez.

17'

17' Alexis Vega (Toluca) foul.

17'

17' Denzell García (FC Juarez) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

17'

17' GOAL OVERTURNED BY VAR: Oswaldo Virgen (Toluca) scores but the goal is ruled out after a VAR review.

16'

16' Attempt blocked.Oswaldo Virgen (Toluca)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Alexis Vega assists.

12'

12' Corner, Juárez.Conceded by Hugo González.

12'

12' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Monchu (FC Juarez)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the top centre of the goal by Hugo González (FC Juarez).

11'

11' Luan (Toluca) foul.

11'

11' Monchu (FC Juarez) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

10'

10' Goal! Toluca 1, Juárez 0.Helinho (Toluca)’s left foot shot to the bottom right corner.Everardo López with a cross assists.

9' Handball by Sebastián Aceves (Toluca).

7' Alexis Vega (Toluca) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

7' Jairo Torres (FC Juarez) foul.

6' Attempt missed.Alexis Vega (Toluca)’s right foot shot.Helinho with a cross assists.

5' Attempt saved.Luan (Toluca)’s header from the centre of the box is saved in the top centre of the goal by Sebastián Jurado (Toluca).Alexis Vega with a cross assists.

5' Rodrigo Dourado (FC Juarez) foul.

5' Jorge Díaz (Toluca) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

4' Corner, Toluca.Conceded by José Luis Rodríguez.

2' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Oswaldo Virgen (Toluca)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Sebastián Jurado (Toluca).Helinho assists.

HEAD TO HEAD

10 wins

40%

7 draws

28%

8 wins

32%