Champions League - Round 3

Real Madrid

21 Oct

4 - 1

Full time

RB Leipzig

HT: 1-0FT: 4-1

Bernardo Silva43’

85’Tidiam Gomis

Arda Güler52’

Kylian Mbappé83’

Yan Diomande87’

HOME

78%

DRAW

14%

AWAY

AI Insights

True AI

99%

Better pick

Real Madrid −2.0

Handicap

Confidence HighMarkets 1Risk Low

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

3.3Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

12.8Corners/match

12.89.66.43.2

015’45’90’

1x2

True AI

Home

Real Madrid Win

78%

Draw

14%

Away

RB Leipzig Win

The Home team is the clear favourite at 78%.

Handicap

True AI

Real Madrid−2.0

99%

RB Leipzig+2.0

The bet favored by TrueAI: Real Madrid −2.0

Total Goals

True AI

Over 2.5

70%

Under 3

55%

Under 3.5

55%

Over 3

45%

Most likely: Over 2.5 (70%)

Total Corners

True AI

Over 8.5

89%

Over 9.5

82%

Over 10.5

73%

Under 10.5

27%

Most likely: Over 8.5 (89%)

Correct Score

True AI

REA / RBL	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	0 - 01.1%	0 - 11.3%	0 - 20.7%	0 - 30.1%	0 - 40.0%	0 - 50.0%
1	1 - 04.3%	1 - 15.1%	1 - 22.7%	1 - 30.9%	1 - 40.1%	1 - 50.0%
2	2 - 07.2%	2 - 18.6%	2 - 24.9%	2 - 31.7%	2 - 40.3%	2 - 50.0%
3	3 - 08.2%	3 - 19.5%	3 - 25.4%	3 - 31.9%	3 - 40.4%	3 - 50.0%
4	4 - 06.6%	4 - 17.8%	4 - 24.5%	4 - 31.7%	4 - 40.3%	4 - 50.0%
5	5 - 00.0%	5 - 10.0%	5 - 20.0%	5 - 30.0%	5 - 40.0%	5 - 50.0%

Most likely scores: 3-1 (9.5%), 2-1 (8.6%), 3-0 (8.2%)

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Real Madrid and RB Leipzig.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.

See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 28 Oct 2026, 09:43 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time4-1

Start0-0

Bernardo Silva

43’

1-0

+1 minute of added time

HT 1-0

Arda GülerKylian Mbappé

52’

2-0

63’

Rocco ReitzNeil El Aynaoui

63’

Andrija MaksimovićBrajan Gruda

Álvaro Fernández Carreras

68’

70’

Rocco Reitz

Yan DiomandeVinícius

70’

Marc CucurellaÁlvaro Fernández Carreras

70’

73’

Max FinkgräfeDavid Raum

73’

Tidiam GomisAntonio Nusa

78’

Christoph BaumgartnerChristopher Nkunku

Brahim DíazArda Güler

78’

Kylian MbappéYan Diomande

83’

3-0

3-1

85’

Tidiam Gomis

Christoph Baumgartner

Yan DiomandeBrahim Díaz

87’

4-1

Carlos EspíKylian Mbappé

88’

Endrick Felipe Moreira de SousaJude Bellingham

88’

+3 minute of added time

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+4'

90'+4' Second Half ends, Real Madrid 4, RB Leipzig 1.

90'+3'

90'+3' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Max Finkgräfe.

90'+2'

90'+2' Bernardo Silva (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

90'+2'

90'+2' Rômulo (RB Leipzig) foul.

90'+1'

90'+1' Fourth official has announced 3 minutes of added time.

90'+1'

90'+1' Yan Diomande (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

90'+1'

90'+1' Willi Orbán (RB Leipzig) foul.

89'

89' Carlos Espí (Real Madrid) hits the right post with a’s right foot shot.Endrick assists.

88'

88' Substitution, Real Madrid.Substituton in Endrick,Substitution out Jude Bellingham.

88'

88' Substitution, Real Madrid.Substituton in Carlos Espí,Substitution out Kylian Mbappé.

87'

87' Goal! Real Madrid 4, RB Leipzig 1.Yan Diomande (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.Brahim Díaz assists.

86'

86' Attempt missed.Ridle Baku (RB Leipzig)’s right foot shot.Andrija Maksimovic assists.

85'

85' Goal! Real Madrid 3, RB Leipzig 1.Tidiam Gomis (RB Leipzig)’s right foot shot to the centre of the goal.Christoph Baumgartner assists.

83'

83' Goal! Real Madrid 3, RB Leipzig 0.Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.Yan Diomande assists.

82'

82' Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

82'

82' Christoph Baumgartner (RB Leipzig) foul.

79'

79' Attempt missed.Rômulo (RB Leipzig)’s right foot shot is close, but misses to the right.Ridle Baku with a cross assists.

78'

78' Antonio Rüdiger (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

78'

78' Christoph Baumgartner (RB Leipzig) foul.

78'

78' Substitution, Real Madrid.Substituton in Brahim Díaz,Substitution out Arda Güler.

78'

78' Substitution, RB Leipzig.Substituton in Christoph Baumgartner,Substitution out Christopher Nkunku.

77'

77' Offside, Real Madrid.Marc Cucurella is caught offside.

75'

75' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Max Finkgräfe (RB Leipzig)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the top left corner by Thibaut Courtois (RB Leipzig).

74'

74' Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid) foul.

74'

74' Christopher Nkunku (RB Leipzig) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

74'

74' Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

74'

74' Christopher Nkunku (RB Leipzig) foul.

73'

73' Attempt missed.Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.Arda Güler following a corner assists.

73'

73' Substitution, RB Leipzig.Substituton in Tidiam Gomis,Substitution out Antonio Nusa.

73'

73' Substitution, RB Leipzig.Substituton in Max Finkgräfe,Substitution out David Raum.

72'

72' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Castello Lukeba.

70'

70' Substitution, Real Madrid.Substituton in Marc Cucurella,Substitution out Álvaro Carreras.

70'

70' Substitution, Real Madrid.Substituton in Yan Diomande,Substitution out Vinícius Júnior.

70'

70' Yellow card by Rocco Reitz (RB Leipzig) for a bad foul.

69'

69' Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

69'

69' Rocco Reitz (RB Leipzig) foul.

68'

68' Yellow card by Álvaro Carreras (Real Madrid) for a bad foul.

68'

68' Attempt missed.Antonio Nusa (RB Leipzig)’s right foot shot.Christopher Nkunku assists.

67'

67' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the top right corner by Maarten Vandevoordt (Real Madrid).

67'

67' Attempt missed.Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)’s left foot shot.

66'

66' Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

66'

66' Ridle Baku (RB Leipzig) foul.

63'

63' Substitution, RB Leipzig.Substituton in Andrija Maksimovic,Substitution out Brajan Gruda.

63'

63' Substitution, RB Leipzig.Substituton in Rocco Reitz,Substitution out Neil El Aynaoui.

63'

63' Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid) foul.

63'

63' Brajan Gruda (RB Leipzig) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

63'

63' Attempt blocked.Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.Kylian Mbappé assists.

61'

61' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Ridle Baku.

60'

60' Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid) gets a free kick on the left wing.

60'

60' Christopher Nkunku (RB Leipzig) foul.

59'

59' Álvaro Carreras (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

59'

59' Brajan Gruda (RB Leipzig) foul.

58'

58' Attempt saved.Arda Güler (Real Madrid)’s left foot shot is saved in the centre of the goal by Maarten Vandevoordt (Real Madrid).Federico Valverde assists.

57'

57' Attempt missed.Rômulo (RB Leipzig)’s header from the left side of the six yard box is just a bit too high.David Raum with a cross following a set piece situation assists.

56'

56' Álvaro Carreras (Real Madrid) foul.

56'

56' Brajan Gruda (RB Leipzig) gets a free kick on the right wing.

55'

55' Attempt missed.Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)’s left foot shot is close, but misses to the left.Jude Bellingham assists.

53'

53' Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid) foul.

53'

53' Brajan Gruda (RB Leipzig) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

52'

52' Goal! Real Madrid 2, RB Leipzig 0.Arda Güler (Real Madrid)’s left foot shot.Kylian Mbappé assists.

52'

52' Attempt blocked.Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)’s header from the right side of the six yard box Defensive player blocked.Jude Bellingham with a cross assists.

50'

50' Offside, RB Leipzig.Rômulo is caught offside.

50'

50' Bernardo Silva (Real Madrid) foul.

50'

50' Rômulo (RB Leipzig) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

47'

47' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Maarten Vandevoordt.

47'

47' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the box in the bottom left corner by Maarten Vandevoordt (Real Madrid).Arda Güler assists.

45'+2'

45'+2' First Half ends, Real Madrid 1, RB Leipzig 0.

45'+1'

45'+1' Fourth official has announced 1 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Second Half begins Real Madrid 1, RB Leipzig 0.

45'

45' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Maarten Vandevoordt.

45'

45' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the top left corner by Maarten Vandevoordt (Real Madrid).Bernardo Silva assists.

43'

43' Goal! Real Madrid 1, RB Leipzig 0.Bernardo Silva (Real Madrid)’s left foot shot.

43'

43' Attempt saved.Arda Güler (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot is saved in the centre of the goal by Maarten Vandevoordt (Real Madrid).Federico Valverde assists.

41'

41' Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid) foul.

41'

41' Rômulo (RB Leipzig) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

41'

41' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Christopher Nkunku (RB Leipzig)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the box in the bottom right corner by Thibaut Courtois (RB Leipzig).David Raum with a through ball assists.

39'

39' Attempt missed.Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.Federico Valverde assists.

39'

39' Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

39'

39' Nicolas Seiwald (RB Leipzig) foul.

38'

38' Álvaro Carreras (Real Madrid) foul.

38'

38' Brajan Gruda (RB Leipzig) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

36'

36' Federico Valverde (Real Madrid) foul.

36'

36' Antonio Nusa (RB Leipzig) gets a free kick on the left wing.

33'

33' Attempt saved.Rômulo (RB Leipzig)’s header from the centre of the box is saved in the centre of the goal by Thibaut Courtois (RB Leipzig).Antonio Nusa with a cross assists.

32'

32' Attempt blocked.Antonio Nusa (RB Leipzig)’s right foot shot.David Raum assists.

30'

30' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Castello Lukeba.

29'

29' Attempt saved.Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot is saved in the bottom right corner by Maarten Vandevoordt (Real Madrid).Dean Huijsen assists.

28'

28' Corner, RB Leipzig.Conceded by Thibaut Courtois.

28'

28' Attempt saved.Rômulo (RB Leipzig)’s left foot shot is saved in the centre of the goal by Thibaut Courtois (RB Leipzig).

27'

27' Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid) foul.

27'

27' Nicolas Seiwald (RB Leipzig) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

26'

26' Offside, Real Madrid.Bernardo Silva is caught offside.

22'

22' Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

22'

22' Rômulo (RB Leipzig) foul.

20'

20' Attempt missed.Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.Jude Bellingham following a fast break assists.

20'

20' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Ridle Baku (RB Leipzig)’s left foot shot from from the right side of the box in the centre of the goal by Thibaut Courtois (RB Leipzig).Brajan Gruda assists.

18'

18' Offside, Real Madrid.Kylian Mbappé is caught offside.

14'

14' Antonio Rüdiger (Real Madrid) foul.

14'

14' Christopher Nkunku (RB Leipzig) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

11'

11' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by David Raum.

9' Federico Valverde (Real Madrid) foul.

9' Antonio Nusa (RB Leipzig) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

7' Offside, RB Leipzig.Ridle Baku is caught offside.

6' Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid) foul.