La Liga - Round 5

Real Madrid

12 Sep

4 - 1

Full time

Vallecano

HT: 3-0FT: 4-1

Kylian Mbappé14’ (P), 90’+1

51’Sergio Camello

Álvaro Fernández Carreras17’

Jude Bellingham35’

HOME

84%

DRAW

11%

AWAY

AI Insights

True AI

52%

Better pick

Real Madrid −2.25

Handicap

Confidence LowMarkets 1Risk High

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

1x2

True AI

Home

Real Madrid Win

84%

Draw

11%

Away

Vallecano Win

The Home team is the clear favourite at 84%.

Handicap

True AI

Real Madrid−2.25

52%

Vallecano+2.25

47%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Real Madrid −2.25

Total Goals

True AI

Over 2.5

74%

Over 3

54%

Over 3.5

54%

Under 3

46%

Most likely: Over 2.5 (74%)

Total Corners

True AI

Over 8.5

68%

Over 9.5

64%

Under 10.5

55%

Over 10.5

45%

Most likely: Over 8.5 (68%)

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.

See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 28 Oct 2026, 20:43 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time4-1

Start0-0

Kylian Mbappé

14’

1-0

Álvaro Fernández CarrerasKylian Mbappé

17’

2-0

Jude BellinghamVinícius

35’

3-0

+3 minute of added time

Eduardo CamavingaFederico Valverde

45’

HT 3-0

3-1

51’

Sergio Camello

67’

Rayane BelaidPedro Díaz

67’

Óscar ValentínGnangoro Bouare

Aurelien TchouameniBernardo Silva

69’

Arda GülerYan Diomande

72’

75’

Alexandre ZurawskiSergio Camello

75’

Mujaid SadickUnai López

76’

Pathé Ciss

85’

Ivan BalliuAdrià Pedrosa

Marc CucurellaVinícius

89’

+5 minute of added time

Kylian MbappéArda Güler

90’+1

4-1

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+5'

90'+5' Second Half ends, Real Madrid 4, Rayo Vallecano 1.

90'+4'

90'+4' Attempt blocked.Alemão (Rayo Vallecano)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Andrei Ratiu assists.

90'+4'

90'+4' Attempt blocked.Alemão (Rayo Vallecano)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Florian Lejeune assists.

90'+1'

90'+1' Goal! Real Madrid 4, Rayo Vallecano 1.Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.Arda Güler following a fast break assists.

90'+1'

90'+1' Attempt blocked.Alemão (Rayo Vallecano)’s right foot shot.Óscar Valentín assists.

90'+1'

90'+1' Fourth official has announced 5 minutes of added time.

90'+1'

90'+1' Attempt blocked.Alemão (Rayo Vallecano)’s right foot shot.

89'

89' Ibrahima Konaté (Real Madrid) foul.

89'

89' Óscar Valentín (Rayo Vallecano) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

89'

89' Substitution, Real Madrid.Substituton in Marc Cucurella,Substitution out Vinícius Júnior.

88'

88' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Emil Audero.

88'

88' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)’s left foot shot from from a difficult angle on the left in the top left corner by Emil Audero (Real Madrid).Aurélien Tchouaméni assists.

88'

88' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot from from the left side of the box in the bottom right corner by Emil Audero (Real Madrid).Kylian Mbappé assists.

88'

88' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot from from the left side of the box.

87'

87' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Pathé Ciss.

86'

86' Attempt blocked.Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.Kylian Mbappé assists.

86'

86' Attempt blocked.Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.

86'

86' Substitution, Rayo Vallecano.Substituton in Iván Balliu,Substitution out Adrià Pedrosa.

85'

85' Attempt missed.Alemão (Rayo Vallecano)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the right.Adrià Pedrosa with a cross assists.

83'

83' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot from from a difficult angle on the left in the centre of the goal by Emil Audero (Real Madrid).Arda Güler assists.

83'

83' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot from from a difficult angle on the left.

82'

82' Attempt blocked.Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.Ibrahima Konaté assists.

82'

82' Attempt missed.Ibrahima Konaté (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot misses to the left.Arda Güler assists.

82'

82' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Pathé Ciss.

82'

82' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Mujaid Sadick.

81'

81' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Arda Güler (Real Madrid)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Emil Audero (Real Madrid).Jude Bellingham assists.

81'

81' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Adrià Pedrosa.

78'

78' Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) foul.

78'

78' Andrei Ratiu (Rayo Vallecano) gets a free kick on the left wing.

78'

78' Attempt saved.Antonio Rüdiger (Real Madrid)’s header from the centre of the box is saved in the bottom right corner by Emil Audero (Real Madrid).Arda Güler with a cross assists.

77'

77' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Emil Audero.

77'

77' Attempt saved.Denzel Dumfries (Real Madrid)’s header from the centre of the box is saved in the centre of the goal by Emil Audero (Real Madrid).Arda Güler with a cross assists.

76'

76' Yellow card by Pathé Ciss (Rayo Vallecano) for a bad foul.

76'

76' Pathé Ciss (Rayo Vallecano) foul.

76'

76' Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid) gets a free kick on the left wing.

76'

76' Delay over.The match resumes.

75'

75' Substitution, Rayo Vallecano.Substituton in Mujaid Sadick,Substitution out Unai López.

75'

75' Substitution, Rayo Vallecano.Substituton in Alemão,Substitution out Sergio Camello.

74'

74' The match delays because Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid) injured.

73'

73' Adrià Pedrosa (Rayo Vallecano) foul.

73'

73' Denzel Dumfries (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

72'

72' Substitution, Real Madrid.Substituton in Arda Güler,Substitution out Yan Diomande.

72'

72' Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) foul.

72'

72' Óscar Valentín (Rayo Vallecano) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

70'

70' Corner, Rayo Vallecano.Conceded by Ibrahima Konaté.

69'

69' Substitution, Real Madrid.Substituton in Aurélien Tchouaméni,Substitution out Bernardo Silva.

68'

68' Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid) gets a free kick on the left wing.

68'

68' Andrei Ratiu (Rayo Vallecano) foul.

67'

67' Substitution, Rayo Vallecano.Substituton in Óscar Valentín,Substitution out Gnangoro because of an injury.

67'

67' Substitution, Rayo Vallecano.Substituton in Rayane Belaid,Substitution out Pedro Díaz.

65'

65' Attempt missed.Florian Lejeune (Rayo Vallecano)’s right foot shot misses to the right.Giorgi Tsitaishvili with a cross assists.

64'

64' Handball by Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid).

64'

64' Handball by Sergio Camello (Rayo Vallecano).

63'

63' Attempt missed.Giorgi Tsitaishvili (Rayo Vallecano)’s header from the right side of the six yard box is too high.Adrià Pedrosa with a cross assists.

63'

63' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Giorgi Tsitaishvili (Rayo Vallecano)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom left corner by Thibaut Courtois (Rayo Vallecano).Pedro Díaz assists.

60'

60' Sergio Camello (Rayo Vallecano) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

60'

60' Yan Diomande (Real Madrid) foul.

60'

60' Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) foul.

60'

60' Pedro Díaz (Rayo Vallecano) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

59'

59' Attempt missed.Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.Jude Bellingham assists.

59'

59' Handball by Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid).

59'

59' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Emil Audero.

59'

59' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot from from the left side of the box in the bottom left corner by Emil Audero (Real Madrid).Jude Bellingham assists.

58'

58' Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid) gets a free kick on the left wing.

58'

58' Gnangoro (Rayo Vallecano) foul.

56'

56' Corner, Rayo Vallecano.Conceded by Denzel Dumfries.

55'

55' Corner, Rayo Vallecano.Conceded by Thibaut Courtois.

55'

55' Attempt missed.Florian Lejeune (Rayo Vallecano)’s right foot shot.Sergio Camello assists.

54'

54' Attempt blocked.Pedro Díaz (Rayo Vallecano)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Adrià Pedrosa assists.

51'

51' Goal! Real Madrid 3, Rayo Vallecano 1.Sergio Camello (Rayo Vallecano)’s right foot shot.

49'

49' Yan Diomande (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

49'

49' Adrià Pedrosa (Rayo Vallecano) foul.

48'

48' Attempt missed.Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.Yan Diomande assists.

48'

48' Attempt missed.Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.

47'

47' Attempt missed.Unai López (Rayo Vallecano)’s right foot shot.

47'

47' Pedro Díaz (Rayo Vallecano) hits the left post with a’s right foot shot.Sergio Camello assists.

47'

47' Attempt missed.Adrià Pedrosa (Rayo Vallecano)’s right foot shot.

45'+4'

45'+4' First Half ends, Real Madrid 3, Rayo Vallecano 0.

45'+2'

45'+2' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Pedro Díaz (Rayo Vallecano)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the top right corner by Thibaut Courtois (Rayo Vallecano).Unai López assists.

45'+1'

45'+1' Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

45'+1'

45'+1' Adrià Pedrosa (Rayo Vallecano) foul.

45'+1'

45'+1' Fourth official has announced 3 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Substitution, Real Madrid.Substituton in Eduardo Camavinga,Substitution out Federico Valverde.

45'

45' Second Half begins Real Madrid 3, Rayo Vallecano 0.

45'

45' Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) hits the right post with a’s right foot shot.Álvaro Carreras assists.

45'

45' Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) hits the woodwork with a’s right foot shot.

43'

43' Attempt blocked.Pedro Díaz (Rayo Vallecano)’s right foot shot.Sergio Camello assists.

43'

43' Attempt blocked.Pedro Díaz (Rayo Vallecano)’s right foot shot.Unai López assists.

43'

43' Attempt missed.Pedro Díaz (Rayo Vallecano)’s right foot shot.

43'

43' Corner, Rayo Vallecano.Conceded by Antonio Rüdiger.

42'

42' Bernardo Silva (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

42'

42' Unai López (Rayo Vallecano) foul.

41'

41' Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) foul.

41'

41' Andrei Ratiu (Rayo Vallecano) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

40'

40' Attempt missed.Ibrahima Konaté (Real Madrid)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the left.Yan Diomande with a cross following a corner assists.

40'

40' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Pathé Ciss.

40'

40' Attempt blocked.Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.Álvaro Carreras assists.

39'

39' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Pathé Ciss.

39'

39' Attempt blocked.Bernardo Silva (Real Madrid)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.Vinícius Júnior assists.

37'

37' Attempt missed.Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.Álvaro Carreras assists.

35'

35' Goal! Real Madrid 3, Rayo Vallecano 0.Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot to the bottom right corner.Vinícius Júnior assists.

35'

35' Goal! Real Madrid 3, Rayo Vallecano 0.Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.

33'

33' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Adrià Pedrosa.

31'

31' Attempt missed.Yan Diomande (Real Madrid)’s left foot shot.Denzel Dumfries assists.

31'

31' Attempt missed.Yan Diomande (Real Madrid)’s left foot shot.

30'

30' Attempt saved.Sergio Camello (Rayo Vallecano)’s header from the left side of the box is saved in the centre of the goal by Thibaut Courtois (Rayo Vallecano).Adrià Pedrosa assists.

29'

29' Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) foul.

29'

29' Gnangoro (Rayo Vallecano) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

27'

27' Attempt blocked.Álvaro García (Rayo Vallecano)’s left foot shot.

27'

27' Attempt blocked.Álvaro García (Rayo Vallecano)’s left foot shot.Pedro Díaz assists.

26'

26' Corner, Rayo Vallecano.Conceded by Thibaut Courtois.

26'

26' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Sergio Camello (Rayo Vallecano)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom right corner by Thibaut Courtois (Rayo Vallecano).Gnangoro assists.

25'

25' Offside, Real Madrid.Denzel Dumfries is caught offside.

25'

25' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot from from the left side of the box in the bottom left corner by Emil Audero (Real Madrid).Kylian Mbappé assists.

25'

25' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot from from the left side of the box.

24'

24' Adrià Pedrosa (Rayo Vallecano) foul.

24'

24' Yan Diomande (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

23'

23' Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

23'

23' Gnangoro (Rayo Vallecano) foul.

19'

19' Bernardo Silva (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

19'

19' Sergio Camello (Rayo Vallecano) foul.

17'

17' Goal! Real Madrid 2, Rayo Vallecano 0.Álvaro Carreras (Real Madrid)’s left foot shot to the bottom left corner.Kylian Mbappé assists.

17'

17' Ibrahima Konaté (Real Madrid) foul.

17'

17' Sergio Camello (Rayo Vallecano) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

14'

14' Goal! Real Madrid 1, Rayo Vallecano 0.Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) takes a penalty kick with a’s right foot shot.

13'

13' Penalty Real Madrid.Álvaro Carreras draws a foul in the penalty area.

13'

13' Florian Lejeune (Rayo Vallecano) after a foul in the penalty area conceded the penalty.

11'

11' Attempt missed.Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)’s left foot shot.Bernardo Silva following a corner assists.

11'

11' Attempt missed.Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)’s left foot shot.

10'

10' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Unai López.

10'

10' Attempt blocked.Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.

9' Attempt saved.Giorgi Tsitaishvili (Rayo Vallecano)’s left foot shot is saved in the centre of the goal by Thibaut Courtois (Rayo Vallecano).Pedro Díaz assists.

7' Ibrahima Konaté (Real Madrid) foul.

7' Sergio Camello (Rayo Vallecano) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

5' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Pedro Díaz (Rayo Vallecano)’s right foot shot from from more than 35 yards in the top centre of the goal by Thibaut Courtois (Rayo Vallecano).Gnangoro assists.

5' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Pedro Díaz (Rayo Vallecano)’s right foot shot from from more than 35 yards in the top centre of the goal by Thibaut Courtois (Rayo Vallecano).

3' Yan Diomande (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

3' Unai López (Rayo Vallecano) foul.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

16 wins

73%

4 draws

18%

2 wins