HT:
3-0FT:
4-1
Alfie Lloyd18’
90’+10Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
Nicolas Madsen22’ (P)
Harvey Vale45’
Paul Smyth68’
HOME53%
DRAW25%
AWAY22%
AI Insights
True AI
52%
Better pick
Queens Park Rangers −0.75
Handicap
Confidence LowMarkets 1Risk High
TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer
Expected Goals
xG2.1Goals/match
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
Expected Total Corners
xC10.2Corners/match
10.27.75.12.6
015’45’90’
1x2
True AI1
Home
Queens Park Rangers Win
53%
2
Draw
25%
3
Away
Derby County Win
22%
The Home team is favoured at 53%.
Handicap
True AI1
Queens Park Rangers−0.75
52%
2
Derby County+0.75
48%
The bet favored by TrueAI: Queens Park Rangers −0.75
Total Goals
True AI1
Under 3.5
84%
2
Under 3
80%
3
Under 2.5
65%
4
Over 2.5
35%
Most likely: Under 3.5 (84%)
Total Corners
True AI1
Over 8.5
69%
2
Over 9.5
57%
3
Under 10.5
56%
4
Over 10.5
44%
Most likely: Over 8.5 (69%)
Correct Score
True AI| QUE / DER | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 - 08.2% | 0 - 18.2% | 0 - 23.8% | 0 - 31.1% | 0 - 40.1% | 0 - 50.0% |
| 1 | 1 - 014.2% | 1 - 114.2% | 1 - 26.9% | 1 - 31.9% | 1 - 40.3% | 1 - 50.0% |
| 2 | 2 - 011.8% | 2 - 111.7% | 2 - 25.8% | 2 - 31.7% | 2 - 40.2% | 2 - 50.0% |
| 3 | 3 - 06.4% | 3 - 16.4% | 3 - 22.9% | 3 - 30.8% | 3 - 40.1% | 3 - 50.0% |
| 4 | 4 - 02.7% | 4 - 12.7% | 4 - 21.1% | 4 - 30.2% | 4 - 40.1% | 4 - 50.0% |
| 5 | 5 - 00.0% | 5 - 10.0% | 5 - 20.0% | 5 - 30.0% | 5 - 40.0% | 5 - 50.0% |
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14.2%), 1-1 (14.2%), 2-0 (11.8%)
How this AI prediction is made
TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Queens Park Rangers and Derby County.
Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.
18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.
See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.
Prediction last updated: 30 Oct 2026, 16:26 (UTC)
Stats
Full Time4-1
Start0-0
12’
18’
1-0
22’
2-0
24’
28’
44’
45’
3-0
45’
+9 minute of added time
HT 3-0
45’
45’
56’
57’
60’
62’
62’
62’
63’
68’
4-0
70’
72’
77’
+10 minute of added time
4-1
90’+10
Goal
Own Goal
Penalty
Penalty missed
Red card
Yellow card
Second yellow
Injury time
Substitution
Var
OffsideStanding
See All#
TeamPGDPTS
Match End.
90'+11' Second Half ends, Queens Park Rangers 4, Derby County 1.
90'+11' Ryan Hedges (Derby County) gets a free kick in the defensive half.
90'+11' Richard Kone (Queens Park Rangers (QPR)) foul.
90'+10' Goal! Queens Park Rangers 4, Derby County 1.Lars-Jørgen Salvesen (Derby County)’s right foot shot to the bottom right corner.
90'+6' Corner, Derby County.Conceded by Nicolas Madsen.
90'+6' Attempt blocked.Bobby Clark (Derby County)’s right foot shot.Ryan Hedges assists.
90'+5' Richard Kone (Queens Park Rangers (QPR)) gets a free kick in the defensive half.
90'+5' Ryan Nyambe (Derby County) foul.
90'+2' Attempt missed.Lars-Jørgen Salvesen (Derby County)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the left.Ryan Hedges with a cross assists.
90'+1' Fourth official has announced 10 minutes of added time.
90' Offside, Derby County.Dion Sanderson is caught offside.
90' Attempt missed.Lars-Jørgen Salvesen (Derby County)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the left.Henrik Meister following a set piece situation assists.
90' Attempt missed.Henrik Meister (Derby County)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the left.Joe Ward with a cross following a set piece situation assists.
89' Kealey Adamson (Queens Park Rangers (QPR)) foul.