Championship - Round 4

Portsmouth

111

01 Sep

0 - 2

Full time

Derby County

HT: 0-1FT: 0-2

16’Sammie Szmodics

62’Lars-Jørgen Salvesen

HOME

48%

DRAW

28%

AWAY

24%

AI Insights

True AI

67%

Better pick

Under 2.5

Total Goals

Confidence HighMarkets 4Risk Low

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

3.0Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

9.8Corners/match

9.87.34.92.4

015’45’90’

Total Goals (Line 2.5)

O/U

67%High

Over 33%Under 67%

Both teams score

BTTS

60%Yes · Medium

Portsmouth78%

Derby County78%

Chance each side scores at least once; BTTS = both do.

1x2

True AI

Home

Portsmouth Win

48%

Draw

28%

Away

Derby County Win

24%

The Home team has the slight advantage but it's less than 50% — a balanced match.

Handicap

True AI

Derby County+0.5

52%

Portsmouth−0.5

47%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Derby County +0.5

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Portsmouth and Derby County.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.

See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 31 Oct 2026, 20:33 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time0-2

0-1

16’

Sammie Szmodics

Bobby Clark

+1 minute of added time

HT 0-1

51’

Sondre Langas

59’

Lars-Jørgen SalvesenRhian Brewster

0-2

62’

Lars-Jørgen Salvesen

Oscar Fraulo

Luke Brooke-SmithRyan Kavuma-McQueen

65’

Colby·BishopMarko Milovanović

66’

Terry Devlin

69’

Iyad MohamedMarlon Pack

72’

Rocco Robert SheinEbou Adams

72’

80’

Ryan NyambeCraig Forsyth

81’

Joe WardBobby Clark

83’

Charlie Taylor

Odin BaileyZak Swanson

85’

86’

max johnstonRyan Hedges

86’

Filip BilbijaSammie Szmodics

+6 minute of added time

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+7'

90'+7' Second Half ends, Portsmouth 0, Derby County 2.

90'+7'

90'+7' Attempt blocked.Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth)’s left foot shot.Benjamin Arthur assists.

90'+5'

90'+5' Attempt missed.Madiodio Dia (Portsmouth)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the left.Iyad Mohamed with a cross following a corner assists.

90'+5'

90'+5' Corner, Portsmouth.Conceded by Max Johnston.

90'+3'

90'+3' Corner, Portsmouth.Conceded by Dion Sanderson.

90'+2'

90'+2' Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth) gets a free kick on the left wing.

90'+2'

90'+2' Ryan Nyambe (Derby County) foul.

90'

90' Fourth official has announced 6 minutes of added time.

89'

89' Terry Devlin (Portsmouth) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

89'

89' Lars-Jørgen Salvesen (Derby County) foul.

88'

88' Attempt blocked.Benjamin Arthur (Portsmouth)’s left foot shot.Rocco Shein assists.

86'

86' Substitution, Derby County.Substituton in Filip Bilbija,Substitution out Sam Szmodics.

85'

85' Substitution, Portsmouth.Substituton in Odin Bailey,Substitution out Zak Swanson.

84'

84' Iyad Mohamed (Portsmouth) foul.

84'

84' Ryan Hedges (Derby County) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

83'

83' Luke Brooke-Smith (Portsmouth) gets a free kick on the right wing.

83'

83' Yellow card by Charlie Taylor (Derby County) for a bad foul.

82'

82' Colby Bishop (Portsmouth) foul.

82'

82' Attempt saved.Lars-Jørgen Salvesen (Derby County)’s header from the centre of the box is saved in the centre of the goal by Daniel Bielica (Derby County).Joe Ward with a cross assists.

81'

81' Substitution, Derby County.Substituton in Joe Ward,Substitution out Bobby Clark.

80'

80' Substitution, Derby County.Substituton in Ryan Nyambe,Substitution out Craig Forsyth because of an injury.

79'

79' Delay over.The match resumes.

79'

79' The match delays because Craig Forsyth (Derby County) injured.

78'

78' Delay over.The match resumes.

78'

78' The match delays because Dion Sanderson (Derby County) injured.

78'

78' Terry Devlin (Portsmouth) foul.

77'

77' Luke Brooke-Smith (Portsmouth) gets a free kick on the right wing.

77'

77' Charlie Taylor (Derby County) foul.

76'

76' Corner, Portsmouth.Conceded by Lars-Jørgen Salvesen.

76'

76' Attempt blocked.Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth)’s left foot shot.

74'

74' Abu Kamara (Portsmouth) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

74'

74' Craig Forsyth (Derby County) foul.

73'

73' Zak Swanson (Portsmouth) foul.

73'

73' Alex Mowatt (Derby County) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

72'

72' Substitution, Portsmouth.Substituton in Rocco Shein,Substitution out Ebou Adams.

72'

72' Attempt missed.Madiodio Dia (Portsmouth)’s right foot shot.Benjamin Arthur assists.

70'

70' Delay over.The match resumes.

69'

69' Yellow card by Terry Devlin (Portsmouth) for a bad foul.

69'

69' The match delays because Ryan Hedges (Derby County) injured.

68'

68' Lars-Jørgen Salvesen (Derby County) foul.

68'

68' Benjamin Arthur (Portsmouth) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

67'

67' Charlie Taylor (Derby County) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

67'

67' Abu Kamara (Portsmouth) foul.

66'

66' Terry Devlin (Portsmouth) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

66'

66' Lars-Jørgen Salvesen (Derby County) foul.

66'

66' Substitution, Portsmouth.Substituton in Colby Bishop,Substitution out Marezi.

65'

65' Substitution, Portsmouth.Substituton in Luke Brooke-Smith,Substitution out Ryan Kavuma-McQueen.

64'

64' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Marezi (Portsmouth)’s left foot shot from from the left side of the six yard box in the centre of the goal by Jacob Widell Zetterström (Portsmouth).

62'

62' Goal! Portsmouth 0, Derby County 2.Lars-Jørgen Salvesen (Derby County)’s left foot shot to the top left corner.Oscar Fraulo assists.

60'

60' Attempt blocked.Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth)’s left foot shot.

59'

59' Substitution, Derby County.Substituton in Lars-Jørgen Salvesen,Substitution out Rhian Brewster.

57'

57' Marlon Pack (Portsmouth) foul.

57'

57' Oscar Fraulo (Derby County) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

56'

56' Abu Kamara (Portsmouth) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

56'

56' Alex Mowatt (Derby County) foul.

54'

54' Corner, Portsmouth.Conceded by Craig Forsyth.

54'

54' Attempt blocked.Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth)’s right foot shot.Madiodio Dia assists.

53'

53' Corner, Portsmouth.Conceded by Dion Sanderson.

53'

53' Attempt blocked.Abu Kamara (Portsmouth)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.Benjamin Arthur assists.

52'

52' Corner, Portsmouth.Conceded by Jacob Widell Zetterström.

51'

51' Yellow card by Sondre Langås (Derby County).

50'

50' Corner, Derby County.Conceded by Zak Swanson.

49'

49' Corner, Derby County.Conceded by Benjamin Arthur.

49'

49' Attempt missed.Bobby Clark (Derby County)’s right foot shot.Alex Mowatt following a set piece situation assists.

48'

48' Terry Devlin (Portsmouth) foul.

48'

48' Bobby Clark (Derby County) gets a free kick on the left wing.

45'+2'

45'+2' First Half ends, Portsmouth 0, Derby County 1.

45'+1'

45'+1' Corner, Portsmouth.Conceded by Dion Sanderson.

45'

45' Second Half begins Portsmouth 0, Derby County 1.

45'

45' Attempt missed.Madiodio Dia (Portsmouth)’s right foot shot misses to the right following a set piece situation.

45'

45' Attempt missed.Rhian Brewster (Derby County)’s right foot shot.

44'

44' Abu Kamara (Portsmouth) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

44'

44' Dion Sanderson (Derby County) foul.

39'

39' Attempt missed.Zak Swanson (Portsmouth)’s right foot shot.Ryan Kavuma-McQueen assists.

37'

37' Ebou Adams (Portsmouth) foul.

37'

37' Alex Mowatt (Derby County) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

34'

34' Attempt missed.Abu Kamara (Portsmouth)’s left foot shot.

34'

34' Corner, Portsmouth.Conceded by Charlie Taylor.

32'

32' Attempt missed.Ebou Adams (Portsmouth)’s header from the right side of the six yard box is too high.Adrian Segecic with a cross following a corner assists.

31'

31' Corner, Portsmouth.Conceded by Oscar Fraulo.

31'

31' Attempt blocked.Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth)’s left foot shot.Abu Kamara assists.

28'

28' Craig Forsyth (Derby County) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

28'

28' Marezi (Portsmouth) foul.

25'

25' Attempt missed.Madiodio Dia (Portsmouth)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the right.Marlon Pack assists.

23'

23' Abu Kamara (Portsmouth) gets a free kick on the right wing.

23'

23' Alex Mowatt (Derby County) foul.

21'

21' Offside, Derby County.Bobby Clark is caught offside.

20'

20' Attempt missed.Ryan Kavuma-McQueen (Portsmouth)’s right foot shot.Zak Swanson assists.

19'

19' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Marezi (Portsmouth)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the box in the centre of the goal by Jacob Widell Zetterström (Portsmouth).Adrian Segecic assists.

16'

16' Goal! Portsmouth 0, Derby County 1.Sam Szmodics (Derby County)’s left foot shot to the bottom right corner.Bobby Clark assists.

15'

15' Attempt missed.Abu Kamara (Portsmouth)’s left foot shot.Terry Devlin assists.

14'

14' Ebou Adams (Portsmouth) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

14'

14' Oscar Fraulo (Derby County) foul.

13'

13' Terry Devlin (Portsmouth) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

13'

13' Charlie Taylor (Derby County) foul.