Serie A - Round 8

Napoli

24 Oct

3 - 3

Full time

AS Roma

411

HT: 1-0FT: 3-3

Frank Anguissa28’

69’Matias Soule

Scott McTominay48’, 83’

74’, 89’Leonardo Balerdi

HOME

35%

DRAW

29%

AWAY

35%

AI Insights

True AI

58%

Better pick

BTTS No

BTTS

Confidence MediumMarkets 4Risk Medium

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

2.1Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

9.2Corners/match

9.26.94.62.3

015’45’90’

Total Goals (Line 2.5)

O/U

47%Low

Over 47%Under 53%

Both teams score

BTTS

42%No · Medium

Napoli65%

AS Roma65%

Chance each side scores at least once; BTTS = both do.

1x2

True AI

Home

Napoli Win

35%

Draw

29%

Away

AS Roma Win

35%

The Home team has the slight advantage but it's less than 50% — a balanced match.

Handicap

True AI

Napoli0.0

50%

AS Roma0.0

50%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Napoli 0.0

Total Goals

True AI

Under 3

73%

Under 3.5

73%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 2.5

47%

Most likely: Under 3 (73%)

Total Corners

True AI

Under 10.5

68%

Over 8.5

59%

Under 9.5

53%

Over 9.5

47%

Most likely: Under 10.5 (68%)

Correct Score

True AI

NAP / ASR	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	0 - 08.6%	0 - 110.5%	0 - 26.2%	0 - 32.3%	0 - 40.5%	0 - 50.0%
1	1 - 010.5%	1 - 114.7%	1 - 29.8%	1 - 34.3%	1 - 41.1%	1 - 50.0%
2	2 - 06.2%	2 - 19.8%	2 - 27.5%	2 - 33.3%	2 - 41.1%	2 - 50.0%
3	3 - 02.3%	3 - 14.3%	3 - 23.3%	3 - 31.9%	3 - 40.6%	3 - 50.0%
4	4 - 00.5%	4 - 11.1%	4 - 21.1%	4 - 30.6%	4 - 40.1%	4 - 50.0%
5	5 - 00.0%	5 - 10.0%	5 - 20.0%	5 - 30.0%	5 - 40.0%	5 - 50.0%

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14.7%), 0-1 (10.5%), 1-0 (10.5%)

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Napoli and AS Roma.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

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See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 26 Oct 2026, 22:21 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time3-3

90’

+5 minute of added time

89’

Leonardo Balerdi

Wesley Vinícius França Lima

86’

Marten de Roon

84’

Rodrigo MoraDonyell Malen

84’

Daniele GhilardiGianluca Mancini

83’

3-2

80’

79’

74’

Leonardo Balerdi

Santiago Thomas Castro

69’

Matias Soule

Donyell Malen

66’

61’

Leonardo Balerdi

58’

Nahuel MolinaDevyne Rensch

58’

Leonardo BalerdiMario Hermoso

58’

Santiago Thomas CastroNiccolò Pisilli

52’

48’

2-0

HT 1-0

45’

Devyne Rensch

+1 minute of added time

30’

Bryan Cristante

28’

1-0

4’

Start0-0

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+6'

90'+6' Second Half ends, Napoli 3, Roma 3.

90'+5'

90'+5' Wesley (AS Roma) foul.

90'+5'

90'+5' Leonardo Spinazzola (Napoli) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

90'+3'

90'+3' Offside, Roma.Rodrigo Mora is caught offside.

90'+3'

90'+3' Attempt blocked.Sam Beukema (Napoli)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Rafa Marín assists.

90'+3'

90'+3' Attempt missed.Mathías Olivera (Napoli)’s left foot shot misses to the left.Giovane with a cross following a corner assists.

90'+2'

90'+2' Corner, Napoli.Conceded by Wesley.

90'

90' Fourth official has announced 5 minutes of added time.

89'

89' Goal! Napoli 3, Roma 3.Leonardo Balerdi (AS Roma)’s header from the centre of the box to the centre of the goal.Wesley with a crossGoal confirmed following VAR Review assists.

86'

86' Yellow card by Marten de Roon (AS Roma).

86'

86' Marten de Roon (AS Roma) foul.

86'

86' Scott McTominay (Napoli) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

84'

84' Substitution, Roma.Substituton in Daniele Ghilardi,Substitution out Gianluca Mancini.

84'

84' Substitution, Roma.Substituton in Rodrigo Mora,Substitution out Donyell Malen.

83'

83' Goal! Napoli 3, Roma 2.Scott McTominay (Napoli)’s right foot shot.Mathías Olivera assists.

82'

82' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Leonardo Spinazzola (Napoli)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Pierluigi Gollini (Napoli).Frank Anguissa assists.

82'

82' Attempt missed.Evan Ndicka (AS Roma)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the right.Nahuel Molina with a cross following a corner assists.

82'

82' Corner, Roma.Conceded by Mathías Olivera.

80'

80' Substitution, Napoli.Substituton in Leonardo Spinazzola,Substitution out Giovanni Di Lorenzo.

79'

79' Substitution, Napoli.Substituton in Antonio Vergara,Substitution out Noa Lang.

79'

79' Substitution, Napoli.Substituton in Stanislav Lobotka,Substitution out Kevin De Bruyne.

78'

78' Attempt missed.Santiago Castro (AS Roma)’s left foot shot.

78'

78' Attempt missed.Matías Soulé (AS Roma)’s left foot shot.Wesley assists.

76'

76' Attempt blocked.Santiago Castro (AS Roma)’s right foot shot.Donyell Malen assists.

74'

74' Goal! Napoli 2, Roma 2.Leonardo Balerdi (AS Roma)’s left foot shot.Santiago Castro following a corner assists.

74'

74' Attempt blocked.Evan Ndicka (AS Roma)’s header from the centre of the box Defensive player blocked.Marten de Roon with a cross assists.

74'

74' Corner, Roma.Conceded by Giovanni Di Lorenzo.

72'

72' Corner, Roma.Conceded by Sam Beukema.

72'

72' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Noa Lang (Napoli)’s right foot shot from from the left side of the box in the centre of the goal by Pierluigi Gollini (Napoli).Rasmus Højlund assists.

71'

71' Corner, Roma.Conceded by Noa Lang.

69'

69' Goal! Napoli 2, Roma 1.Matías Soulé (AS Roma)’s left foot shot.Donyell Malen assists.

66'

66' Substitution, Napoli.Substituton in Giovane,Substitution out Matteo Politano because of an injury.

65'

65' Corner, Roma.Conceded by Noa Lang.

65'

65' Attempt blocked.Wesley (AS Roma)’s right foot shot.Donyell Malen assists.

63'

63' Marten de Roon (AS Roma) foul.

63'

63' Scott McTominay (Napoli) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

61'

61' Yellow card by Leonardo Balerdi (AS Roma) for a bad foul.

61'

61' Leonardo Balerdi (AS Roma) foul.

61'

61' Rasmus Højlund (Napoli) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

60'

60' Corner, Roma.Conceded by Mathías Olivera.

60'

60' Attempt blocked.Matías Soulé (AS Roma)’s left foot shot.Marten de Roon assists.

60'

60' Attempt blocked.Leonardo Balerdi (AS Roma)’s left foot shot.Matías Soulé assists.

58'

58' Substitution, Roma.Substituton in Santiago Castro,Substitution out Niccolò Pisilli.

58'

58' Substitution, Roma.Substituton in Leonardo Balerdi,Substitution out Mario Hermoso.

58'

58' Substitution, Roma.Substituton in Nahuel Molina,Substitution out Devyne Rensch.

58'

58' Attempt missed.Donyell Malen (AS Roma)’s right foot shot.Devyne Rensch with a cross assists.

57'

57' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Matteo Politano (Napoli)’s left foot shot from from the right side of the box in the centre of the goal by Pierluigi Gollini (Napoli).

53'

53' Corner, Roma.Conceded by Rafa Marín.

52'

52' Delay over.The match resumes.

52'

52' Substitution, Napoli.Substituton in Sam Beukema,Substitution out Benoît Badiashile because of an injury.

51'

51' The match delays because Benoît Badiashile (Napoli) injured.

50'

50' Marten de Roon (AS Roma) foul.

50'

50' Kevin De Bruyne (Napoli) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

50'

50' Attempt missed.Donyell Malen (AS Roma)’s right foot shot.Niccolò Pisilli with a headed pass assists.

46'

46' Niccolò Pisilli (AS Roma) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

46'

46' Kevin De Bruyne (Napoli) foul.

45'+2'

45'+2' First Half ends, Napoli 1, Roma 0.

45'+1'

45'+1' Matías Soulé (AS Roma) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

45'+1'

45'+1' Mathías Olivera (Napoli) foul.

45'

45' Second Half begins Napoli 1, Roma 0.

45'

45' Fourth official has announced 1 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Yellow card by Devyne Rensch (AS Roma) for a bad foul.

45'

45' Devyne Rensch (AS Roma) foul.

45'

45' Noa Lang (Napoli) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

45'

45' Attempt blocked.Bryan Cristante (AS Roma)’s header from the centre of the box Defensive player blocked.Wesley with a cross assists.

45'

45' Corner, Roma.Conceded by Kevin De Bruyne.

45'

45' Attempt blocked.Mario Hermoso (AS Roma)’s left foot shot.Matías Soulé assists.

44'

44' Attempt blocked.Bryan Cristante (AS Roma)’s right foot shot.Wesley assists.

44'

44' Attempt blocked.Mathías Olivera (Napoli)’s right foot shot.Rasmus Højlund assists.

43'

43' Corner, Roma.Conceded by Giovanni Di Lorenzo.

41'

41' Attempt missed.Rasmus Højlund (Napoli)’s header from the centre of the box is high and wide to the right.Matteo Politano with a cross assists.

40'

40' Attempt blocked.Mario Hermoso (AS Roma)’s header from the centre of the box Defensive player blocked.Matías Soulé with a cross assists.

38'

38' Corner, Roma.Conceded by Scott McTominay.

37'

37' Attempt blocked.Mario Hermoso (AS Roma)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.Niccolò Pisilli assists.

35'

35' Attempt blocked.Wesley (AS Roma)’s right foot shot.Niccolò Pisilli assists.

32'

32' Matías Soulé (AS Roma) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

32'

32' Mathías Olivera (Napoli) foul.

30'

30' Yellow card by Bryan Cristante (AS Roma) for a bad foul.

30'

30' Bryan Cristante (AS Roma) foul.

30'

30' Frank Anguissa (Napoli) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

28'

28' Goal! Napoli 1, Roma 0.Frank Anguissa (Napoli)’s right foot shot to the bottom right corner following a set piece situation.

27'

27' Kevin De Bruyne (Napoli) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

27'

27' Bryan Cristante (AS Roma) foul.

24'

24' Attempt saved.Donyell Malen (AS Roma)’s right foot shot is saved in the centre of the goal by Alex Meret (AS Roma).Matías Soulé assists.

24'

24' Attempt blocked.Donyell Malen (AS Roma)’s right foot shot.Evan Ndicka assists.

23'

23' Bryan Cristante (AS Roma) foul.

23'

23' Kevin De Bruyne (Napoli) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

22'

22' Rasmus Højlund (Napoli) foul.

22'

22' Evan Ndicka (AS Roma) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

21'

21' Attempt missed.Bryan Cristante (AS Roma)’s right foot shot.

19'

19' Attempt missed.Noa Lang (Napoli)’s right foot shot.Rasmus Højlund assists.

16'

16' Attempt blocked.Wesley (AS Roma)’s right foot shot.

15'

15' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Scott McTominay (Napoli)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Pierluigi Gollini (Napoli).

14'

14' Attempt missed.Matteo Politano (Napoli)’s left foot shot.Mathías Olivera assists.

13'

13' Attempt missed.Rasmus Højlund (Napoli) with an attempt from the right side of the six yard box is close, but misses to the right.

12'

12' Rasmus Højlund (Napoli) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

12'

12' Evan Ndicka (AS Roma) foul.

10'

10' Bryan Cristante (AS Roma) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

10'

10' Mathías Olivera (Napoli) foul.

9' Corner, Napoli.Conceded by Matías Soulé.

8' Attempt missed.Matías Soulé (AS Roma)’s left foot shot.Donyell Malen assists.

5' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Rasmus Højlund (Napoli)’s right foot shot from from the left side of the box in the centre of the goal by Pierluigi Gollini (Napoli).

4' Yellow card by Rafa Marín (Napoli) for a bad foul.

4' Wesley (AS Roma) gets a free kick on the left wing.

4' Rafa Marín (Napoli) foul.

1' Rafa Marín (Napoli) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

1' Donyell Malen (AS Roma) foul.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

14 wins

47%

7 draws

23%

9 wins

30%