USA MLS - Round 27

Montreal Impact

26 Sep

3 - 1

Full time

FC Cincinnati

HT: 1-0FT: 3-1

Daniel Rios25’

64’Tom Barlow

Prince-Osei Owusu72’ (P), 75’

HOME

37%

DRAW

25%

AWAY

39%

AI Insights

True AI

73%

Better pick

Over 2.5

Total Goals

Confidence HighMarkets 4Risk Low

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

3.9Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

10.0Corners/match

10.07.55.02.5

015’45’90’

Total Goals (Line 2.5)

O/U

73%High

Over 73%Under 27%

Both teams score

BTTS

72%Yes · High

Montreal Impact85%

FC Cincinnati85%

Chance each side scores at least once; BTTS = both do.

1x2

True AI

Home

Montreal Impact Win

37%

Draw

25%

Away

FC Cincinnati Win

39%

The Away team has the slight advantage but it's less than 50% — a balanced match.

Handicap

True AI

FC Cincinnati−0.25

60%

Montreal Impact+0.25

40%

The bet favored by TrueAI: FC Cincinnati −0.25

Total Goals

True AI

Over 2.5

75%

Over 3

69%

Over 3.5

56%

Under 3.5

45%

Most likely: Over 2.5 (75%)

Total Corners

True AI

Over 8.5

67%

Under 10.5

58%

Over 9.5

54%

Under 9.5

46%

Most likely: Over 8.5 (67%)

Correct Score

True AI

MON / FCC	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	0 - 04.6%	0 - 17.8%	0 - 26.2%	0 - 33.3%	0 - 41.1%	0 - 50.0%
1	1 - 06.9%	1 - 112.2%	1 - 210.4%	1 - 35.8%	1 - 42.3%	1 - 50.0%
2	2 - 04.9%	2 - 19.5%	2 - 28.2%	2 - 34.9%	2 - 41.9%	2 - 50.0%
3	3 - 02.3%	3 - 14.6%	3 - 24.3%	3 - 32.7%	3 - 41.1%	3 - 50.0%
4	4 - 00.7%	4 - 11.7%	4 - 21.7%	4 - 31.0%	4 - 40.4%	4 - 50.0%
5	5 - 00.0%	5 - 10.0%	5 - 20.0%	5 - 30.0%	5 - 40.0%	5 - 50.0%

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12.2%), 1-2 (10.4%), 2-1 (9.5%)

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Montreal Impact and FC Cincinnati.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.

See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 05 Nov 2026, 17:04 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time3-1

+6 minute of added time

Frankie AmayaPrince-Osei Owusu

87’

86’

Tah AnungaSamuel Mawuena Gidi

86’

Alvas PowellNick Hagglund

86’

Teenage Hadebe

77’

Kyle SmithObinna Nwobodo

77’

Kristian FletcherBryan Ramirez

Prince-Osei OwusuDaniel Rios

75’

3-1

Prince-Osei Owusu

72’

2-1

70’

Roman Celentano

1-1

64’

Tom Barlow

Gerardo Valenzuela

58’

David DouděraAyoub Jabbari

Fabian Herbers

47’

HT 1-0

+6 minute of added time

Matthew Longstaff

33’

Daniel Rios

25’

1-0

Fabian HerbersBrayan Ceballos

11’

Start0-0

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+7'

90'+7' Second Half ends, CF Montréal 3, FC Cincinnati 1.

90'+6'

90'+6' Tom Barlow (FC Cincinnati) foul.

90'+6'

90'+6' Jalen Neal (CF Montreal) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

90'+6'

90'+6' Attempt missed.Alvas Powell (FC Cincinnati)’s right foot shot.Evander assists.

90'+5'

90'+5' Attempt missed.Tah Brian Anunga (FC Cincinnati)’s right foot shot.Evander assists.

90'+4'

90'+4' Gerardo Valenzuela (FC Cincinnati) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

90'+4'

90'+4' Frankie Amaya (CF Montreal) foul.

90'+3'

90'+3' Kristian Fletcher (FC Cincinnati) gets a free kick on the left wing.

90'+3'

90'+3' Dawid Bugaj (CF Montreal) foul.

90'+1'

90'+1' Fourth official has announced 6 minutes of added time.

89'

89' Corner, FC Cincinnati.Conceded by Frankie Amaya.

87'

87' Attempt missed.Dawid Bugaj (CF Montreal)’s right foot shot.

87'

87' Substitution, CF Montréal.Substituton in Frankie Amaya,Substitution out Prince Owusu.

86'

86' Corner, CF Montréal.Conceded by Roman Celentano.

86'

86' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Luca Petrasso (CF Montreal)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the top centre of the goal by Roman Celentano (CF Montreal).Prince Owusu assists.

86'

86' Substitution, FC Cincinnati.Substituton in Tah Brian Anunga,Substitution out Samuel Gidi.

86'

86' Substitution, FC Cincinnati.Substituton in Alvas Powell,Substitution out Nick Hagglund.

86'

86' Yellow card by Teenage Hadebe (FC Cincinnati) for a bad foul.

85'

85' Teenage Hadebe (FC Cincinnati) foul.

85'

85' Prince Owusu (CF Montreal) gets a free kick on the right wing.

82'

82' Corner, CF Montréal.Conceded by Roman Celentano.

82'

82' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Prince Owusu (CF Montreal)’s left foot shot from from the left side of the box in the centre of the goal by Roman Celentano (CF Montreal).Alexis Sánchez assists.

80'

80' Attempt saved.Tom Barlow (FC Cincinnati)’s header from the centre of the box is saved in the top centre of the goal by Sébastian Breza (FC Cincinnati).David Doudera with a cross assists.

77'

77' Substitution, FC Cincinnati.Substituton in Kyle Smith,Substitution out Obinna Nwobodo.

77'

77' Substitution, FC Cincinnati.Substituton in Kristian Fletcher,Substitution out Bryan Ramírez.

75'

75' Goal! CF Montréal 3, FC Cincinnati 1.Prince Owusu (CF Montreal)’s left foot shot to the bottom right corner.Daniel Ríos assists.

73'

73' Attempt missed.Tom Barlow (FC Cincinnati)’s right foot shot.Bryan Ramírez with a cross assists.

72'

72' Goal! CF Montréal 2, FC Cincinnati 1.Prince Owusu (CF Montreal) takes a penalty kick with a’s left foot shot.

71'

71' Yellow card by Roman Celentano (FC Cincinnati) for a bad foul.

70'

70' Roman Celentano (FC Cincinnati) after a foul in the penalty area conceded the penalty.

70'

70' Penalty CF Montréal.Prince Owusu draws a foul in the penalty area.

70'

70' Kenji Mboma Dem (FC Cincinnati) hits the right post with a’s header from the centre of the box.Bryan Ramírez with a cross assists.

68'

68' Offside, CF Montréal.Prince Owusu is caught offside.

67'

67' Offside, CF Montréal.Luca Petrasso is caught offside.

67'

67' Attempt blocked.Fabian Herbers (CF Montreal)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Luca Petrasso assists.

67'

67' Corner, CF Montréal.Conceded by Samuel Gidi.

64'

64' Goal! CF Montréal 1, FC Cincinnati 1.Tom Barlow (FC Cincinnati)’s left foot shot.Gerardo Valenzuela assists.

64'

64' Tom Barlow (FC Cincinnati) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

64'

64' Jalen Neal (CF Montreal) foul.

63'

63' Teenage Hadebe (FC Cincinnati) foul.

63'

63' Daniel Ríos (CF Montreal) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

62'

62' Attempt missed.Gerardo Valenzuela (FC Cincinnati)’s right foot shot is close, but misses to the left.Bryan Ramírez with a cross following a corner assists.

61'

61' Corner, FC Cincinnati.Conceded by Jalen Neal.

61'

61' Attempt blocked.Kenji Mboma Dem (FC Cincinnati)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.Gerardo Valenzuela with a headed pass assists.

58'

58' Substitution, FC Cincinnati.Substituton in David Doudera,Substitution out Ayoub Jabbari.

57'

57' Corner, FC Cincinnati.Conceded by Brandan Craig.

56'

56' Attempt blocked.Kenji Mboma Dem (FC Cincinnati)’s left foot shot.Evander assists.

55'

55' Attempt blocked.Dawid Bugaj (CF Montreal)’s right foot shot.Fabian Herbers assists.

54'

54' Gerardo Valenzuela (FC Cincinnati) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

54'

54' Prince Owusu (CF Montreal) foul.

50'

50' Corner, FC Cincinnati.Conceded by Matty Longstaff.

50'

50' Attempt blocked.Bryan Ramírez (FC Cincinnati)’s left foot shot.Nick Hagglund assists.

47'

47' Yellow card by Fabian Herbers (CF Montreal) for a bad foul.

47'

47' Evander (FC Cincinnati) gets a free kick on the left wing.

47'

47' Fabian Herbers (CF Montreal) foul.

45'+7'

45'+7' First Half ends, CF Montréal 1, FC Cincinnati 0.

45'+6'

45'+6' Attempt missed.Daniel Ríos (CF Montreal)’s right foot shot.Prince Owusu assists.

45'+6'

45'+6' Gerardo Valenzuela (FC Cincinnati) foul.

45'+6'

45'+6' Fabian Herbers (CF Montreal) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

45'+5'

45'+5' Kenji Mboma Dem (FC Cincinnati) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

45'+5'

45'+5' Alexis Sánchez (CF Montreal) foul.

45'+4'

45'+4' Teenage Hadebe (FC Cincinnati) foul.

45'+4'

45'+4' Daniel Ríos (CF Montreal) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

45'+1'

45'+1' Attempt missed.Daniel Ríos (CF Montreal)’s right foot shot.Prince Owusu with a cross following a fast break assists.

45'+1'

45'+1' Fourth official has announced 6 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Second Half begins CF Montréal 1, FC Cincinnati 0.

42'

42' Attempt missed.Ayoub Jabbari (FC Cincinnati)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the right.Gerardo Valenzuela with a cross following a corner assists.

41'

41' Corner, FC Cincinnati.Conceded by Jalen Neal.

39'

39' Attempt blocked.Victor Loturi (CF Montreal)’s right foot shot.Prince Owusu with a through ball assists.

38'

38' Attempt missed.Bryan Ramírez (FC Cincinnati)’s left foot shot.Evander assists.

36'

36' Attempt missed.Evander (FC Cincinnati)’s left foot shot is too high.Ayoub Jabbari assists.

36'

36' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Ayoub Jabbari (FC Cincinnati)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the six yard box in the centre of the goal by Sébastian Breza (FC Cincinnati).Tom Barlow assists.

35'

35' Attempt missed.Prince Owusu (CF Montreal)’s left foot shot.

33'

33' Yellow card by Matty Longstaff (CF Montreal) for a bad foul.

33'

33' Obinna Nwobodo (FC Cincinnati) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

33'

33' Matty Longstaff (CF Montreal) foul.

31'

31' Attempt missed.Tom Barlow (FC Cincinnati) with an attempt from the centre of the box misses to the left.Bryan Ramírez with a cross assists.

25'

25' Goal! CF Montréal 1, FC Cincinnati 0.Daniel Ríos (CF Montreal)’s left foot shot to the bottom right corner.

22'

22' Attempt missed.Gerardo Valenzuela (FC Cincinnati)’s right foot shot.Evander assists.

18'

18' Attempt missed.Victor Loturi (CF Montreal)’s right foot shot is high and wide to the right.Fabian Herbers with a headed pass assists.

17'

17' Samuel Gidi (FC Cincinnati) foul.

17'

17' Daniel Ríos (CF Montreal) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

16'

16' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Tom Barlow (FC Cincinnati)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom left corner by Sébastian Breza (FC Cincinnati).Obinna Nwobodo assists.

16'

16' Attempt blocked.Fabian Herbers (CF Montreal)’s right foot shot.Matty Longstaff assists.

14'

14' Attempt blocked.Luca Petrasso (CF Montreal)’s left foot shot.

13'

13' Corner, CF Montréal.Conceded by Nick Hagglund.

13'

13' Attempt missed.Teenage Hadebe (FC Cincinnati)’s header from the right side of the box is close, but misses to the right.Nick Hagglund assists.

11'

11' Substitution, CF Montréal.Substituton in Fabian Herbers,Substitution out Brayan Ceballos because of an injury.

6' Delay over.The match resumes.

5' The match delays because Brayan Ceballos (CF Montreal) injured.