Champions League - Round 3

Man City

20 Oct

5 - 1

Full time

AEK Athens

HT: 2-0FT: 5-1

Elliot Anderson12’

52’Stavros Pilios

Phil Foden34’, 65’, 76’

Rayan Cherki57’

HOME

85%

DRAW

10%

AWAY

AI Insights

True AI

100%

Better pick

Man City −2.5

Handicap

Confidence HighMarkets 1Risk Low

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

2.7Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

7.7Corners/match

7.75.83.81.9

015’45’90’

1x2

True AI

Home

Man City Win

85%

Draw

10%

Away

AEK Athens Win

The Home team is the clear favourite at 85%.

Handicap

True AI

Man City−2.5

100%

AEK Athens FC+2.5

The bet favored by TrueAI: Man City −2.5

Total Goals

True AI

Over 2.5

66%

Under 3

56%

Under 3.5

56%

Over 3

44%

Most likely: Over 2.5 (66%)

Total Corners

True AI

Under 10.5

85%

Under 9.5

76%

Under 8.5

64%

Over 8.5

36%

Most likely: Under 10.5 (85%)

Correct Score

True AI

MAN / AEK	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	0 - 01.9%	0 - 11.5%	0 - 20.4%	0 - 30.1%	0 - 40.0%	0 - 50.0%
1	1 - 06.9%	1 - 15.2%	1 - 21.7%	1 - 30.3%	1 - 40.0%	1 - 50.0%
2	2 - 011.5%	2 - 18.6%	2 - 22.9%	2 - 30.6%	2 - 40.1%	2 - 50.0%
3	3 - 012.5%	3 - 19.5%	3 - 23.3%	3 - 30.7%	3 - 40.1%	3 - 50.0%
4	4 - 010.1%	4 - 17.5%	4 - 22.7%	4 - 30.5%	4 - 40.1%	4 - 50.0%
5	5 - 00.0%	5 - 10.0%	5 - 20.0%	5 - 30.0%	5 - 40.0%	5 - 50.0%

Most likely scores: 3-0 (12.5%), 2-0 (11.5%), 4-0 (10.1%)

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Manchester City and AEK Athens.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.

See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 28 Oct 2026, 13:40 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time5-1

Start0-0

Elliot Anderson

12’

1-0

Phil FodenRico Lewis

34’

2-0

+1 minute of added time

HT 2-0

45’

Aboubakary KoitaRăzvan Marin

45’

Ambrósini António Cabaça SalvadorBarnabás Varga

2-1

52’

Stavros Pilios

Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador

Rayan CherkiPhil Foden

57’

3-1

Josko Gvardiol

59’

Ryan McAidooFloyd Samba

62’

63’

Oleksandr ZubkovJoão Mário

Phil FodenRico Lewis

65’

4-1

Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos ReisJosko Gvardiol

72’

Rayan Aït-NouriEnzo Fernández

72’

Phil FodenRyan McAidoo

76’

5-1

Kaden BraithwaiteRúben Dias

83’

Mijat GaćinovićKervin Arriaga

83’

Milan VitálisLuka Jovic

+2 minute of added time

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+2'

90'+2' Second Half ends, Manchester City 5, AEK Athens 1.

90'+2'

90'+2' Attempt missed.Milán Vitális (AEK Athens)’s right foot shot.Stavros Pilios assists.

90'

90' Fourth official has announced 2 minutes of added time.

90'

90' Attempt missed.Milán Vitális (AEK Athens)’s left foot shot.

89'

89' Corner, AEK Athens.Conceded by Phil Foden.

88'

88' Attempt missed.Mijat Gacinovic (AEK Athens)’s right foot shot.

87'

87' Rayan Cherki (Manchester City) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

87'

87' Harold Moukoudi (AEK Athens) foul.

85'

85' Allan (Manchester City) gets a free kick on the left wing.

85'

85' Harold Moukoudi (AEK Athens) foul.

84'

84' Attempt blocked.Rayan Cherki (Manchester City)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Phil Foden assists.

83'

83' Substitution, AEK Athens.Substituton in Milán Vitális,Substitution out Luka Jovic.

83'

83' Substitution, AEK Athens.Substituton in Mijat Gacinovic,Substitution out Kervin Arriaga.

83'

83' Substitution, Manchester City.Substituton in Kaden Braithwaite,Substitution out Rúben Dias.

82'

82' Rayan Aït-Nouri (Manchester City) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

82'

82' Aboubakary Koïta (AEK Athens) foul.

81'

81' Corner, AEK Athens.Conceded by Rúben Dias.

81'

81' Attempt blocked.Lovro Majer (AEK Athens)’s left foot shot.Kervin Arriaga assists.

79'

79' Handball by Lazaros Rota (AEK Athens).

76'

76' Goal! Manchester City 5, AEK Athens 1.Phil Foden (Manchester City)’s left foot shot.Ryan McAidoo assists.

74'

74' Corner, AEK Athens.Conceded by Gianluigi Donnarumma.

74'

74' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Zine (AEK Athens)’s left foot shot from from the left side of the box in the bottom left corner by Gianluigi Donnarumma (AEK Athens).Aboubakary Koïta with a through ball assists.

73'

73' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Oleksandr Zubkov (AEK Athens)’s left foot shot from from the right side of the box in the bottom left corner by Gianluigi Donnarumma (AEK Athens).

73'

73' Attempt blocked.Aboubakary Koïta (AEK Athens)’s right foot shot.

72'

72' Substitution, Manchester City.Substituton in Rayan Aït-Nouri,Substitution out Enzo Fernández.

72'

72' Substitution, Manchester City.Substituton in Vitor Reis,Substitution out Josko Gvardiol.

69'

69' Elliot Anderson (Manchester City) foul.

69'

69' Lovro Majer (AEK Athens) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

68'

68' Attempt missed.Oleksandr Zubkov (AEK Athens)’s left foot shot.Zine assists.

67'

67' Corner, Manchester City.Conceded by Lazaros Rota.

65'

65' Goal! Manchester City 4, AEK Athens 1.Phil Foden (Manchester City)’s left foot shot to the top left corner.Rico Lewis assists.

63'

63' Substitution, AEK Athens.Substituton in Oleksandr Zubkov,Substitution out João Mário.

63'

63' Corner, Manchester City.Conceded by Stavros Pilios.

62'

62' Substitution, Manchester City.Substituton in Ryan McAidoo,Substitution out Floyd Samba.

62'

62' Rayan Cherki (Manchester City) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

62'

62' João Mário (AEK Athens) foul.

61'

61' Delay over.The match resumes.

60'

60' The match delays because Josko Gvardiol (Manchester City) injured.

60'

60' The match delays because Lovro Majer (AEK Athens) injured.

59'

59' Yellow card by Josko Gvardiol (Manchester City) for a bad foul.

59'

59' Josko Gvardiol (Manchester City) foul.

59'

59' Lovro Majer (AEK Athens) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

58'

58' Rúben Dias (Manchester City) foul.

58'

58' Luka Jovic (AEK Athens) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

57'

57' Goal! Manchester City 3, AEK Athens 1.Rayan Cherki (Manchester City)’s left foot shot to the bottom left corner.Phil Foden assists.

54'

54' Attempt missed.Phil Foden (Manchester City)’s left foot shot.

54'

54' Attempt blocked.Rayan Cherki (Manchester City)’s right foot shot.Rico Lewis assists.

52'

52' Goal! Manchester City 2, AEK Athens 1.Stavros Pilios (AEK Athens)’s left foot shot.Zine following a fast break assists.

51'

51' Josko Gvardiol (Manchester City) foul.

51'

51' Aboubakary Koïta (AEK Athens) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

48'

48' Corner, Manchester City.Conceded by Harold Moukoudi.

48'

48' Attempt blocked.Enzo Fernández (Manchester City)’s right foot shot.Rayan Cherki assists.

47'

47' Rico Lewis (Manchester City) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

47'

47' João Mário (AEK Athens) foul.

45'+2'

45'+2' First Half ends, Manchester City 2, AEK Athens 0.

45'+1'

45'+1' Offside, AEK Athens.Lazaros Rota is caught offside.

45'+1'

45'+1' Fourth official has announced 1 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Second Half begins Manchester City 2, AEK Athens 0.

45'

45' Substitution, AEK Athens.Substituton in Zine,Substitution out Barnabás Varga.

45'

45' Substitution, AEK Athens.Substituton in Aboubakary Koïta,Substitution out Razvan Marin.

45'

45' Josko Gvardiol (Manchester City) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

45'

45' Lovro Majer (AEK Athens) foul.

45'

45' Allan (Manchester City) foul.

45'

45' Lazaros Rota (AEK Athens) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

43'

43' Rayan Cherki (Manchester City) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

43'

43' João Mário (AEK Athens) foul.

41'

41' Corner, Manchester City.Conceded by Harold Moukoudi.

40'

40' Elliot Anderson (Manchester City) gets a free kick on the right wing.

40'

40' João Mário (AEK Athens) foul.

38'

38' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Allan (Manchester City)’s right foot shot from from a difficult angle on the right in the bottom right corner by Alberto Brignoli (Manchester City).Rayan Cherki assists.

38'

38' Corner, Manchester City.Conceded by Alberto Brignoli.

38'

38' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Rayan Cherki (Manchester City)’s left foot shot from from the left side of the box in the bottom left corner by Alberto Brignoli (Manchester City).Enzo Fernández assists.

34'

34' Goal! Manchester City 2, AEK Athens 0.Phil Foden (Manchester City)’s right foot shot.Rico Lewis assists.

30'

30' Attempt blocked.Elliot Anderson (Manchester City)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Abdukodir Khusanov assists.

30'

30' Attempt missed.Rúben Dias (Manchester City)’s header from the left side of the box misses to the right.Phil Foden with a cross following a corner assists.

30'

30' Corner, Manchester City.Conceded by Stavros Pilios.

30'

30' Attempt blocked.Rayan Cherki (Manchester City)’s right foot shot.Rico Lewis assists.

23'

23' Allan (Manchester City) hits the bar with a’s left foot shot.Rayan Cherki assists.

20'

20' Attempt blocked.Elliot Anderson (Manchester City)’s right foot shot.

19'

19' Corner, Manchester City.Conceded by Filipe Relvas.

18'

18' Luka Jovic (AEK Athens) gets a free kick in the defensive half.