HT:
1-1FT:
3-2
Albian Ajeti25’
32’Timi Elsnik
Dereck Moncada84’
67’Rade Krunić
Anto Grgic89’ (P)
HOME41%
DRAW26%
AWAY33%
AI Insights
True AI
60%
Better pick
BTTS No
BTTS
Confidence MediumMarkets 3Risk Medium
TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer
Expected Goals
xG2.0Goals/match
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
Expected Total Corners
xC10.6Corners/match
10.68.05.32.7
015’45’90’
Both teams score
BTTS40%No · Medium
Lugano63%
Crvena Zvezda63%Chance each side scores at least once; BTTS = both do.
1x2
True AI1
Home
Lugano Win
41%
2
Draw
26%
3
Away
Crvena Zvezda Win
33%
The Home team has the slight advantage but it's less than 50% — a balanced match.
Handicap
True AI1
FK Crvena Zvezda+0.25
52%
2
FC Lugano−0.25
48%
The bet favored by TrueAI: FK Crvena Zvezda +0.25
Total Goals
True AI1
Under 3.5
86%
2
Under 3
82%
3
Under 2.5
67%
4
Over 2.5
33%
Most likely: Under 3.5 (86%)
Total Corners
True AI1
Over 8.5
63%
2
Over 10.5
54%
3
Over 9.5
52%
4
Under 9.5
48%
Most likely: Over 8.5 (63%)
Correct Score
True AI| LUG / CRV | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 - 05.8% | 0 - 18.2% | 0 - 26.0% | 0 - 32.7% | 0 - 40.8% | 0 - 50.0% |
| 1 | 1 - 09.5% | 1 - 113.8% | 1 - 29.9% | 1 - 34.6% | 1 - 41.5% | 1 - 50.0% |
| 2 | 2 - 07.5% | 2 - 111.1% | 2 - 27.8% | 2 - 33.8% | 2 - 41.1% | 2 - 50.0% |
| 3 | 3 - 03.8% | 3 - 16.0% | 3 - 24.3% | 3 - 31.9% | 3 - 40.5% | 3 - 50.0% |
| 4 | 4 - 01.5% | 4 - 12.3% | 4 - 21.7% | 4 - 30.7% | 4 - 40.1% | 4 - 50.0% |
| 5 | 5 - 00.0% | 5 - 10.0% | 5 - 20.0% | 5 - 30.0% | 5 - 40.0% | 5 - 50.0% |
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13.8%), 2-1 (11.1%), 1-2 (9.9%)
How this AI prediction is made
TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Lugano and Crvena Zvezda.
Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.
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Prediction last updated: 31 Oct 2026, 02:02 (UTC)
Stats
Full Time3-2
Start0-0
25’
1-0
1-1
32’
33’
+1 minute of added time
HT 1-1
53’
55’
63’
63’
64’
1-2
67’
73’
75’
75’
79’
79’
81’
81’
82’
84’
2-2
88’
89’
89’
3-2
+4 minute of added time
90’+4
Goal
Own Goal
Penalty
Penalty missed
Red card
Yellow card
Second yellow
Injury time
Substitution
Var
OffsideStanding
See All#
TeamPGDPTS
Match End.
90'+5' Second Half ends, Lugano 3, Red Star Belgrade 2.
90'+4' Yellow card by Matej Gashtarov (Crvena Zvezda) for a bad foul.
90'+4' Matej Gashtarov (Crvena Zvezda) foul.
90'+4' Dereck Moncada (Lugano) gets a free kick on the left wing.
90'+3' Attempt missed.Ezgjan Alioski (Lugano)’s left foot shot.Beckham Castro following a corner assists.
90'+3' Corner, Lugano.Conceded by Yuta Nakayama.
90'+3' Attempt blocked.Dereck Moncada (Lugano)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.
90' Fourth official has announced 4 minutes of added time.
89' Goal! Lugano 3, Red Star Belgrade 2.Anto Grgic (Lugano) takes a penalty kick with a’s right foot shot.
88' Yellow card by Mahmudu Bajo (Crvena Zvezda) for a bad foul.
88' Mahmudu Bajo (Crvena Zvezda) after a foul in the penalty area conceded the penalty.
88' Penalty Lugano.Beckham Castro draws a foul in the penalty area.
87' Attempt missed.Mahmudu Bajo (Crvena Zvezda)’s header from the right side of the six yard box misses to the right.Stefan Gudelj with a headed pass following a corner assists.
87' Corner, Red Star Belgrade.Conceded by Dereck Moncada.