Champions League - Round 3

Liverpool

20 Oct

4 - 3

Full time

Villarreal

HT: 2-2FT: 4-3

Alexis Mac Allister36’, 65’

4’Georges Mikautadze

Ronald Araujo45’+2

29’Sergi Cardona Bermúdez

Florian Wirtz68’

87’Tani Oluwaseyi

HOME

64%

DRAW

21%

AWAY

15%

AI Insights

True AI

53%

Better pick

Villarreal +1.25

Handicap

Confidence LowMarkets 1Risk High

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

3.1Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

10.3Corners/match

10.37.75.12.6

015’45’90’

1x2

True AI

Home

Liverpool Win

64%

Draw

21%

Away

Villarreal Win

15%

The Home team is favoured at 64%.

Handicap

True AI

Villarreal+1.25

53%

Liverpool−1.25

47%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Villarreal +1.25

Total Goals

True AI

Over 2.5

80%

Over 3

54%

Over 3.5

54%

Under 3

46%

Most likely: Over 2.5 (80%)

Total Corners

True AI

Over 8.5

70%

Over 9.5

57%

Under 10.5

55%

Over 10.5

45%

Most likely: Over 8.5 (70%)

Correct Score

True AI

LIV / VIL	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	0 - 04.3%	0 - 14.5%	0 - 22.3%	0 - 30.6%	0 - 40.1%	0 - 50.0%
1	1 - 09.7%	1 - 110.5%	1 - 25.6%	1 - 31.9%	1 - 40.3%	1 - 50.0%
2	2 - 010.4%	2 - 111.7%	2 - 26.4%	2 - 32.3%	2 - 40.5%	2 - 50.0%
3	3 - 07.2%	3 - 110.6%	3 - 24.9%	3 - 31.7%	3 - 40.3%	3 - 50.0%
4	4 - 03.8%	4 - 14.6%	4 - 22.7%	4 - 30.9%	4 - 40.1%	4 - 50.0%
5	5 - 00.0%	5 - 10.0%	5 - 20.0%	5 - 30.0%	5 - 40.0%	5 - 50.0%

Most likely scores: 2-1 (11.7%), 3-1 (10.6%), 1-1 (10.5%)

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Liverpool and Villarreal CF.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

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See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 30 Oct 2026, 19:14 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time4-3

0-1

4’

Georges Mikautadze

27’

Alberto Moleiro

0-2

29’

Sergi Cardona Bermúdez

Nathan-Dylan Saliba

Alexis Mac AllisterKonstantinos Tsimikas

36’

1-2

41’

Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González

+1 minute of added time

Ronald AraujoRio Ngumoha

45’+2

2-2

HT 2-2

Florian WirtzRonald Araujo

45’

Tani OluwaseyiNathan-Dylan Saliba

54’

Juan FoythAlberto Moleiro

60’

Alex FreemanTajon Buchanan

60’

Ayoze PérezGeorges Mikautadze

Alexis Mac AllisterRio Ngumoha

65’

3-2

Alexander IsakLewis Koumas

66’

Florian WirtzCody Gakpo

68’

4-2

Bradley BarcolaRio Ngumoha

74’

Joe GomezJérémy Jacquet

74’

78’

Gerard MorenoSanti Comesaña

James McConnellTreymaurice Nyoni

81’

4-3

87’

Tani Oluwaseyi

Ayoze Pérez

+3 minute of added time

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+4'

90'+4' Second Half ends, Liverpool 4, Villarreal 3.

90'+3'

90'+3' Corner, Liverpool.Conceded by Santiago Mouriño.

90'+2'

90'+2' Attempt blocked.Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal)’s right foot shot.Tani Oluwaseyi assists.

90'+2'

90'+2' Offside, Liverpool.Alexander Isak is caught offside.

90'

90' Fourth official has announced 3 minutes of added time.

90'

90' Attempt blocked.Alexander Isak (Liverpool)’s left foot shot.Alexis Mac Allister assists.

87'

87' Goal! Liverpool 4, Villarreal 3.Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal)’s left foot shot to the bottom left corner.Ayoze Pérez with a cross assists.

86'

86' Offside, Liverpool.Cody Gakpo is caught offside.

85'

85' Attempt missed.Gerard Moreno (Villarreal)’s left foot shot.Ayoze Pérez assists.

83'

83' Offside, Villarreal.Santiago Mouriño is caught offside.

83'

83' James McConnell (Liverpool) foul.

83'

83' Pape Gueye (Villarreal) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

81'

81' Substitution, Liverpool.Substituton in James McConnell,Substitution out Trey Nyoni.

80'

80' Kostas Tsimikas (Liverpool) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

80'

80' Santiago Mouriño (Villarreal) foul.

78'

78' Substitution, Villarreal.Substituton in Gerard Moreno,Substitution out Santi Comesaña.

75'

75' Attempt missed.Alexander Isak (Liverpool)’s right foot shot.Florian Wirtz assists.

74'

74' Substitution, Liverpool.Substituton in Joe Gomez,Substitution out Jérémy Jacquet.

74'

74' Substitution, Liverpool.Substituton in Bradley Barcola,Substitution out Rio Ngumoha.

73'

73' Offside, Villarreal.Ayoze Pérez is caught offside.

73'

73' Attempt blocked.Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.

72'

72' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Pape Gueye (Villarreal)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom right corner by Alisson Becker (Villarreal).Ayoze Pérez assists.

72'

72' Attempt blocked.Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)’s right foot shot.Florian Wirtz assists.

71'

71' Attempt missed.Rio Ngumoha (Liverpool)’s left foot shot.Alexis Mac Allister assists.

68'

68' Goal! Liverpool 4, Villarreal 2.Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)’s left foot shot to the bottom right corner.Cody Gakpo following a fast break assists.

66'

66' Substitution, Liverpool.Substituton in Alexander Isak,Substitution out Lewis Koumas.

65'

65' Goal! Liverpool 3, Villarreal 2.Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)’s right foot shot.Rio Ngumoha assists.

64'

64' Attempt blocked.Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)’s right foot shot.Virgil van Dijk assists.

62'

62' Florian Wirtz (Liverpool) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

62'

62' Juan Foyth (Villarreal) foul.

61'

61' Attempt blocked.Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal)’s left foot shot.Santiago Mouriño assists.

61'

61' Attempt missed.Trey Nyoni (Liverpool)’s right foot shot.Cody Gakpo assists.

60'

60' Substitution, Villarreal.Substituton in Ayoze Pérez,Substitution out Georges Mikautadze.

60'

60' Substitution, Villarreal.Substituton in Alex Freeman,Substitution out Tajon Buchanan.

58'

58' Corner, Liverpool.Conceded by Pape Gueye.

58'

58' Attempt blocked.Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)’s right foot shot.

57'

57' Attempt blocked.Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)’s right foot shot.Cody Gakpo assists.

57'

57' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)’s right foot shot from from the left side of the box in the bottom left corner by Péter Gulácsi (Liverpool).Kostas Tsimikas assists.

55'

55' Florian Wirtz (Liverpool) gets a free kick on the left wing.

55'

55' Juan Foyth (Villarreal) foul.

54'

54' Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

54'

54' Sergi Cardona (Villarreal) foul.

54'

54' Substitution, Villarreal.Substituton in Juan Foyth,Substitution out Alberto Moleiro.

53'

53' Corner, Liverpool.Conceded by Tani Oluwaseyi.

53'

53' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom left corner by Péter Gulácsi (Liverpool).Alexis Mac Allister assists.

52'

52' Handball by Florian Wirtz (Liverpool).

50'

50' Corner, Liverpool.Conceded by Sergi Cardona.

48'

48' Attempt missed.Kostas Tsimikas (Liverpool)’s left foot shot.

48'

48' Corner, Liverpool.Conceded by Péter Gulácsi.

48'

48' Attempt missed.Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool)’s right foot shot.Rio Ngumoha assists.

45'+2'

45'+2' First Half ends, Liverpool 2, Villarreal 2.

45'+2'

45'+2' Goal! Liverpool 2, Villarreal 2.Ronald Araujo (Liverpool)’s header from the right side of the six yard box to the bottom right corner.Rio Ngumoha following a corner assists.

45'+1'

45'+1' Fourth official has announced 1 minutes of added time.

45'+1'

45'+1' Corner, Liverpool.Conceded by Pau Navarro.

45'

45' Substitution, Liverpool.Substituton in Florian Wirtz,Substitution out Ronald Araujo.

45'

45' Second Half begins Liverpool 2, Villarreal 2.

45'

45' Substitution, Villarreal.Substituton in Tani Oluwaseyi,Substitution out Nathan Saliba.

44'

44' Attempt blocked.Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)’s right foot shot.Kostas Tsimikas assists.

43'

43' Kostas Tsimikas (Liverpool) gets a free kick on the left wing.

43'

43' Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal) foul.

42'

42' Attempt missed.Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)’s right foot shot.

41'

41' Yellow card by Santiago Mouriño (Villarreal) for a bad foul.

41'

41' Cody Gakpo (Liverpool) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

41'

41' Santiago Mouriño (Villarreal) foul.

40'

40' Corner, Villarreal.Conceded by Alisson Becker.

40'

40' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Santiago Mouriño (Villarreal)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the top centre of the goal by Alisson Becker (Villarreal).Tajon Buchanan assists.

39'

39' Kostas Tsimikas (Liverpool) foul.

39'

39' Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

39'

39' Attempt missed.Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)’s right foot shot.Trey Nyoni assists.

37'

37' Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

37'

37' Nathan Saliba (Villarreal) foul.

36'

36' Goal! Liverpool 1, Villarreal 2.Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)’s header from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner.Kostas Tsimikas with a cross following a corner assists.

35'

35' Corner, Liverpool.Conceded by Renato Veiga.

35'

35' Offside, Villarreal.Tajon Buchanan is caught offside.

34'

34' Offside, Villarreal.Santi Comesaña is caught offside.

32'

32' Attempt missed.Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal)’s right foot shot.Santi Comesaña assists.

31'

31' Trey Nyoni (Liverpool) foul.

31'

31' Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

29'

29' Goal! Liverpool 0, Villarreal 2.Sergi Cardona (Villarreal)’s left foot shot to the bottom left corner.Nathan Saliba with a through ball following a fast break assists.

27'

27' Yellow card by Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal) for a bad foul.

27'

27' Rio Ngumoha (Liverpool) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

27'

27' Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal) foul.

27'

27' Attempt blocked.Nathan Saliba (Villarreal)’s right foot shot.

27'

27' Attempt blocked.Sergi Cardona (Villarreal)’s left foot shot.

25'

25' Kostas Tsimikas (Liverpool) foul.

25'

25' Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

24'

24' Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool) foul.

24'

24' Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

23'

23' Attempt saved.Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool)’s right foot shot is saved in the centre of the goal by Péter Gulácsi (Liverpool).Trey Nyoni assists.

22'

22' Attempt blocked.Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Pape Gueye assists.

22'

22' Attempt missed.Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the left.Kostas Tsimikas with a cross following a corner assists.

21'

21' Corner, Liverpool.Conceded by Péter Gulácsi.

20'

20' Santiago Mouriño (Villarreal) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

20'

20' Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool) foul.

15'

15' Corner, Villarreal.Conceded by Trey Nyoni.

15'

15' Attempt blocked.Nathan Saliba (Villarreal)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.Santiago Mouriño assists.

13'

13' Santiago Mouriño (Villarreal) foul.