Premier League - Round 4

Leeds United

14 Sep

4 - 1

Full time

Newcastle

HT: 3-0FT: 4-1

Lewis Miley32’ (OG)

90’Bazoumana Touré

Dominic Calvert-Lewin34’, 45’+1

Noah Okafor59’

HOME

41%

DRAW

27%

AWAY

33%

AI Insights

True AI

63%

Better pick

Over 2.5

Total Goals

Confidence MediumMarkets 4Risk Medium

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

2.7Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

10.5Corners/match

10.57.95.32.6

015’45’90’

Total Goals (Line 2.5)

O/U

63%Medium

Over 63%Under 37%

Both teams score

BTTS

55%Yes · Low

Leeds United74%

Newcastle74%

Chance each side scores at least once; BTTS = both do.

1x2

True AI

Home

Leeds United Win

41%

Draw

27%

Away

Newcastle Win

33%

The Home team has the slight advantage but it's less than 50% — a balanced match.

Handicap

True AI

Leeds United0.0

53%

Newcastle0.0

48%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Leeds United 0.0

Total Goals

True AI

Under 3

81%

Under 3.5

81%

Over 2.5

64%

Under 2.5

37%

Most likely: Under 3 (81%)

Total Corners

True AI

Over 8.5

75%

Over 9.5

58%

Under 10.5

51%

Over 10.5

49%

Most likely: Over 8.5 (75%)

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Leeds United and Newcastle.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

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See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 06 Nov 2026, 00:52 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time4-1

90’+1

Valentino Livramento

+4 minute of added time

4-1

90’

Bazoumana Touré

Sean LongstaffAnton Stach

88’

Daniel JamesJayden Bogle

83’

80’

Aladji BambaLewis Miley

Lukas NmechaDominic Calvert-Lewin

78’

Melvin BardGabriel Gudmundsson

72’

Brenden AaronsonAo Tanaka

72’

Harry WilsonNoah Okafor

72’

Noah Okafor

59’

4-0

58’

Valentino LivramentoAmar Dedić

58’

Joe WillockMatias Fernandez-Pardo

57’

Bazoumana TouréJacob Murphy

54’

Jacob Murphy

HT 3-0

Dominic Calvert-LewinTarik Muharemovic

45’+1

3-0

+2 minute of added time

Dominic Calvert-Lewin

44’

Dominic Calvert-LewinJames Justin

34’

2-0

Lewis Miley

32’

1-0

19’

Sean SteurNico González

Start0-0

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+5'

90'+5' Second Half ends, Leeds United 4, Newcastle United 1.

90'+4'

90'+4' Corner, Leeds United.Conceded by Tino Livramento.

90'+3'

90'+3' Attempt missed.Daniel James (Leeds United)’s left foot shot.

90'+3'

90'+3' Sean Longstaff (Leeds United) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

90'+3'

90'+3' Aladji Bamba (Newcastle United) foul.

90'+1'

90'+1' Yellow card by Tino Livramento (Newcastle United) for a bad foul.

90'+1'

90'+1' Brenden Aaronson (Leeds United) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

90'+1'

90'+1' Tino Livramento (Newcastle United) foul.

90'

90' Fourth official has announced 4 minutes of added time.

90'

90' Goal! Leeds United 4, Newcastle United 1.Bazoumana Touré (Newcastle United)’s left foot shot to the bottom left corner.

88'

88' Substitution, Leeds United.Substituton in Sean Longstaff,Substitution out Anton Stach.

88'

88' Daniel James (Leeds United) foul.

88'

88' Lewis Hall (Newcastle United) gets a free kick on the left wing.

86'

86' Lukas Nmecha (Leeds United) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

86'

86' Sven Botman (Newcastle United) foul.

85'

85' Attempt blocked.Daniel James (Leeds United)’s right foot shot.Melvin Bard assists.

84'

84' Harry Wilson (Leeds United) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

84'

84' Sean Steur (Newcastle United) foul.

83'

83' Substitution, Leeds United.Substituton in Daniel James,Substitution out Jayden Bogle.

83'

83' Melvin Bard (Leeds United) foul.

83'

83' Harvey Barnes (Newcastle United) gets a free kick on the right wing.

82'

82' Delay over.The match resumes.

81'

81' The match delays because Ethan Ampadu (Leeds United) injured.

80'

80' Substitution, Newcastle United.Substituton in Aladji Bamba,Substitution out Lewis Miley.

80'

80' Offside, Leeds United.Harry Wilson is caught offside.

79'

79' Tarik Muharemovic (Leeds United) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

79'

79' Yoane Wissa (Newcastle United) foul.

78'

78' Substitution, Leeds United.Substituton in Lukas Nmecha,Substitution out Dominic Calvert-Lewin.

77'

77' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Joe Willock (Newcastle United)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the top centre of the goal by James Trafford (Newcastle United).Sean Steur assists.

76'

76' Offside, Newcastle United.Bazoumana Touré is caught offside.

74'

74' Corner, Newcastle United.Conceded by Jayden Bogle.

72'

72' Substitution, Leeds United.Substituton in Melvin Bard,Substitution out Gabriel Gudmundsson.

72'

72' Substitution, Leeds United.Substituton in Brenden Aaronson,Substitution out Ao Tanaka.

72'

72' Substitution, Leeds United.Substituton in Harry Wilson,Substitution out Noah Okafor.

72'

72' Joe Willock (Newcastle United) hits the bar with a’s left foot shot.Yoane Wissa assists.

72'

72' Attempt missed.Yoane Wissa (Newcastle United)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the left.Harvey Barnes assists.

70'

70' Anton Stach (Leeds United) foul.

70'

70' Joe Willock (Newcastle United) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

65'

65' Offside, Newcastle United.Bazoumana Touré is caught offside.

65'

65' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Harvey Barnes (Newcastle United)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by James Trafford (Newcastle United).Joe Willock assists.

64'

64' Anton Stach (Leeds United) foul.

64'

64' Bazoumana Touré (Newcastle United) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

63'

63' Noah Okafor (Leeds United) gets a free kick on the left wing.

63'

63' Bazoumana Touré (Newcastle United) foul.

63'

63' Corner, Leeds United.Conceded by Malick Thiaw.

59'

59' Goal! Leeds United 4, Newcastle United 0.Noah Okafor (Leeds United)’s left foot shot.

58'

58' Substitution, Newcastle United.Substituton in Tino Livramento,Substitution out Amar Dedic.

57'

57' Substitution, Newcastle United.Substituton in Joe Willock,Substitution out Matias Fernandez-Pardo.

57'

57' Substitution, Newcastle United.Substituton in Bazoumana Touré,Substitution out Jacob Murphy.

55'

55' Attempt missed.Anton Stach (Leeds United)’s left foot shot is close, but misses to the right.

54'

54' Yellow card by Jacob Murphy (Newcastle United) for a bad foul.

54'

54' Gabriel Gudmundsson (Leeds United) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

54'

54' Jacob Murphy (Newcastle United) foul.

54'

54' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Lewis Hall (Newcastle United)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by James Trafford (Newcastle United).Matias Fernandez-Pardo assists.

52'

52' Ethan Ampadu (Leeds United) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

52'

52' Yoane Wissa (Newcastle United) foul.

50'

50' James Justin (Leeds United) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

50'

50' Matias Fernandez-Pardo (Newcastle United) foul.

48'

48' Corner, Newcastle United.Conceded by James Trafford.

47'

47' Corner, Newcastle United.Conceded by Ethan Ampadu.

45'+3'

45'+3' First Half ends, Leeds United 3, Newcastle United 0.

45'+1'

45'+1' Goal! Leeds United 3, Newcastle United 0.Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds United)’s right foot shot to the bottom right corner.Tarik Muharemovic assists.

45'

45' Second Half begins Leeds United 3, Newcastle United 0.

45'

45' Fourth official has announced 2 minutes of added time.

44'

44' Yellow card by Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds United) for a bad foul.

43'

43' Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds United) foul.

43'

43' Sven Botman (Newcastle United) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

42'

42' Jayden Bogle (Leeds United) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

42'

42' Yoane Wissa (Newcastle United) foul.

41'

41' Corner, Newcastle United.Conceded by James Trafford.

41'

41' Attempt saved.Harvey Barnes (Newcastle United)’s left foot shot is saved in the bottom left corner by James Trafford (Newcastle United).Yoane Wissa assists.

38'

38' Attempt missed.Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds United)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the left.Jayden Bogle with a cross assists.

38'

38' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds United)’s right foot shot from from very close range in the top centre of the goal by Lukás Hornícek (Leeds United).

37'

37' Jayden Bogle (Leeds United) foul.

37'

37' Sven Botman (Newcastle United) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

34'

34' Goal! Leeds United 2, Newcastle United 0.Jayden Bogle (Leeds United)’s header from the centre of the box to the bottom right corner.Dominic Calvert-Lewin assists.

34'

34' Attempt blocked.Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds United)’s header from the centre of the box Defensive player blocked.James Justin with a cross assists.

32'

32' Own Goal by Lewis Miley, Newcastle United.Leeds United 1, Newcastle United 0.

32'

32' Attempt blocked.Ao Tanaka (Leeds United)’s right foot shot.Noah Okafor assists.

30'

30' Noah Okafor (Leeds United) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

30'

30' Malick Thiaw (Newcastle United) foul.

29'

29' Jayden Bogle (Leeds United) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

29'

29' Harvey Barnes (Newcastle United) foul.

28'

28' Attempt blocked.Noah Okafor (Leeds United)’s right foot shot.Anton Stach assists.

27'

27' Attempt missed.Nico Elvedi (Leeds United)’s right foot shot.Anton Stach with a headed pass assists.

25'

25' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Jayden Bogle (Leeds United)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the box in the top centre of the goal by Lukás Hornícek (Leeds United).

25'

25' Corner, Leeds United.Conceded by Lewis Hall.

22'

22' Offside, Newcastle United.Matias Fernandez-Pardo is caught offside.

19'

19' Substitution, Newcastle United.Substituton in Sean Steur,Substitution out Nico González because of an injury.

16'

16' Corner, Newcastle United.Conceded by James Justin.

14'

14' Corner, Leeds United.Conceded by Amar Dedic.

14'

14' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Jayden Bogle (Leeds United)’s left foot shot from from very close range in the centre of the goal by Lukás Hornícek (Leeds United).James Justin with a headed pass assists.

11'

11' Offside, Leeds United.Dominic Calvert-Lewin is caught offside.

11'

11' Attempt blocked.Ethan Ampadu (Leeds United)’s right foot shot.Anton Stach assists.

10'

10' Gabriel Gudmundsson (Leeds United) foul.

10'

10' Jacob Murphy (Newcastle United) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

9' Tarik Muharemovic (Leeds United) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

9' Yoane Wissa (Newcastle United) foul.

6' Delay over.The match resumes.

5' The match delays because Nico González (Newcastle United) injured.