Ligue 1 - Round 5

Le Mans

19 Sep

2 - 1

Full time

Lorient

HT: 1-0FT: 2-1

Adil Bourabaa3’

78’Isak Jensen

Habib Diallo57’

HOME

33%

DRAW

29%

AWAY

39%

AI Insights

True AI

54%

Better pick

Lorient 0.0

Handicap

Confidence LowMarkets 2Risk High

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Total Corners

8.2Corners/match

8.26.24.12.1

015’45’90’

1x2

True AI

Home

Le Mans Win

33%

Draw

29%

Away

Lorient Win

39%

The Away team has the slight advantage but it's less than 50% — a balanced match.

Handicap

True AI

Lorient0.0

54%

Le Mans0.0

45%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Lorient 0.0

Total Goals

True AI

Under 3.5

73%

Under 3

62%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Most likely: Under 3.5 (73%)

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Le Mans and Lorient.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.

See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 28 Oct 2026, 13:58 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time2-1

Adil BourabaaRayan Bamba

3’

1-0

11’

Jean-Victor Makengo

17’

Théo Le BrisPanos Katseris

19’

Arsène Kouassi

+3 minute of added time

HT 1-0

Habib Diallo

51’

Habib DialloLucas Bretelle

57’

2-0

Lucas CalodatYasser Larouci

58’

Dame GueyeHabib Diallo

59’

61’

Arthur Avom

65’

Souleymane FayeGabin Bernardeau

65’

Mamadou KoneIbrahima Balde

Antoine RabillardLucas Bretelle

72’

Alexandre LaurayJean Vercruysse

72’

Djibril Sidibé

74’

75’

Isak JensenJean-Victor Makengo

75’

Nosa Edward ObaretinNathaniel Adjei

Adil Bourabaa

78’

2-1

78’

Isak Jensen

Arsène Kouassi

Bilal BrahimiAdil Bourabaa

85’

+7 minute of added time

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+8'

90'+8' Second Half ends, Le Mans 2, Lorient 1.

90'+7'

90'+7' Attempt missed.Antoine Rabillard (Le Mans)’s right foot shot misses to the left following a fast break.

90'+6'

90'+6' Attempt saved.Louis Mafouta (Le Mans)’s right foot shot is saved in the bottom right corner by Yvon Mvogo (Le Mans).Billal Brahimi assists.

90'+4'

90'+4' Attempt missed.Noah Cadiou (Lorient)’s right foot shot.

90'+2'

90'+2' Attempt missed.Louis Mafouta (Le Mans)’s right foot shot is high and wide to the right following a fast break.

90'+1'

90'+1' Fourth official has announced 7 minutes of added time.

90'+1'

90'+1' Attempt missed.Noah Cadiou (Lorient)’s header from the centre of the box is just a bit too high.Souleymane Faye with a cross assists.

89'

89' Louis Mafouta (Le Mans) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

89'

89' Nosa Obaretin (Lorient) foul.

87'

87' Attempt missed.Souleymane Faye (Lorient)’s left foot shot.Noah Cadiou assists.

85'

85' Substitution, Le Mans.Substituton in Billal Brahimi,Substitution out Adil Bourabaa.

83'

83' Handball by Mamadou Koné (Lorient).

82'

82' Alexandre Lauray (Le Mans) foul.

82'

82' Mamadou Koné (Lorient) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

81'

81' Attempt blocked.Alexandre Lauray (Le Mans)’s right foot shot.

80'

80' Delay over.The match resumes.

80'

80' The match delays because Nicolas Kocik (Le Mans) injured.

78'

78' Goal! Le Mans 2, Lorient 1.Isak Jensen (Lorient)’s left foot shot to the high centre of the goal.Arsène Kouassi assists.

78'

78' Yellow card by Adil Bourabaa (Le Mans) for a bad foul.

77'

77' Corner, Lorient.Conceded by Harold Voyer.

76'

76' Djibril Sidibé (Le Mans) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

76'

76' Souleymane Faye (Lorient) foul.

76'

76' Attempt saved.Mamadou Koné (Lorient)’s header from a difficult angle on the right is saved in the bottom left corner by Nicolas Kocik (Lorient).Isak Jensen with a cross assists.

75'

75' Corner, Lorient.Conceded by Louis Mafouta.

75'

75' Substitution, Lorient.Substituton in Nosa Obaretin,Substitution out Nathaniel Adjei.

75'

75' Substitution, Lorient.Substituton in Isak Jensen,Substitution out Jean-Victor Makengo.

74'

74' Yellow card by Djibril Sidibé (Le Mans) for a bad foul.

74'

74' Djibril Sidibé (Le Mans) foul.

74'

74' Souleymane Faye (Lorient) gets a free kick on the left wing.

72'

72' Attempt missed.Théo Le Bris (Lorient)’s right foot shot.Arthur Avom following a set piece situation assists.

72'

72' Substitution, Le Mans.Substituton in Alexandre Lauray,Substitution out Jean Vercruysse.

72'

72' Substitution, Le Mans.Substituton in Antoine Rabillard,Substitution out Lucas Bretelle.

71'

71' Jean Vercruysse (Le Mans) foul.

71'

71' Mamadou Koné (Lorient) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

69'

69' Delay over.The match resumes.

68'

68' The match delays because Arthur Avom (Lorient) injured.

66'

66' Lucas Bretelle (Le Mans) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

66'

66' Mamadou Koné (Lorient) foul.

65'

65' Substitution, Lorient.Substituton in Mamadou Koné,Substitution out Ibrahima Baldé.

65'

65' Substitution, Lorient.Substituton in Souleymane Faye,Substitution out Gabin Bernardeau.

63'

63' Dame Gueye (Le Mans) foul.

63'

63' Dembo Sylla (Lorient) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

61'

61' Yellow card by Arthur Avom (Lorient) for a bad foul.

61'

61' Jean Vercruysse (Le Mans) gets a free kick on the left wing.

61'

61' Arthur Avom (Lorient) foul.

60'

60' Rayan Bamba (Le Mans) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

60'

60' Ibrahima Baldé (Lorient) foul.

59'

59' Substitution, Le Mans.Substituton in Dame Gueye,Substitution out Habib Diallo.

58'

58' Substitution, Le Mans.Substituton in Lucas Calodat,Substitution out Yasser Larouci.

57'

57' Goal! Le Mans 2, Lorient 0.Habib Diallo (Le Mans)’s header from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner.Lucas Bretelle with a cross following a corner assists.

56'

56' Corner, Le Mans.Conceded by Montassar Talbi.

55'

55' Attempt missed.Gabin Bernardeau (Lorient)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the left.Nathaniel Adjei with a cross assists.

52'

52' Corner, Lorient.Conceded by Louis Mafouta.

51'

51' Yellow card by Habib Diallo (Le Mans) for a bad foul.

51'

51' Habib Diallo (Le Mans) foul.

51'

51' Jean-Victor Makengo (Lorient) gets a free kick on the left wing.

50'

50' Adil Bourabaa (Le Mans) foul.

50'

50' Arthur Avom (Lorient) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

49'

49' Rayan Bamba (Le Mans) foul.

49'

49' Nathaniel Adjei (Lorient) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

46'

46' Yasser Larouci (Le Mans) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

46'

46' Théo Le Bris (Lorient) foul.

45'+3'

45'+3' First Half ends, Le Mans 1, Lorient 0.

45'+2'

45'+2' Habib Diallo (Le Mans) gets a free kick on the right wing.

45'+2'

45'+2' Nathaniel Adjei (Lorient) foul.

45'+1'

45'+1' Fourth official has announced 3 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Second Half begins Le Mans 1, Lorient 0.

41'

41' Yasser Larouci (Le Mans) gets a free kick on the left wing.

41'

41' Noah Cadiou (Lorient) foul.

41'

41' Handball by Habib Diallo (Le Mans).

39'

39' Lucas Bretelle (Le Mans) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

39'

39' Arthur Avom (Lorient) foul.

38'

38' Habib Diallo (Le Mans) foul.

38'

38' Dembo Sylla (Lorient) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

36'

36' Adil Bourabaa (Le Mans) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

36'

36' Arthur Avom (Lorient) foul.

34'

34' Samuel Yohou (Le Mans) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

34'

34' Ibrahima Baldé (Lorient) foul.

28'

28' Offside, Lorient.Ibrahima Baldé is caught offside.

27'

27' Attempt blocked.Gabin Bernardeau (Lorient)’s left foot shot.Montassar Talbi assists.

24'

24' Jean-Victor Makengo (Lorient) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

24'

24' Djibril Sidibé (Le Mans) foul.

24'

24' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Yasser Larouci (Le Mans)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom left corner by Yvon Mvogo (Le Mans).Adil Bourabaa assists.

22'

22' Jean-Victor Makengo (Lorient) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

22'

22' Rayan Bamba (Le Mans) foul.

20'

20' Gabin Bernardeau (Lorient) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

20'

20' Harold Voyer (Le Mans) foul.

19'

19' Attempt missed.Yasser Larouci (Le Mans)’s right foot shot.

19'

19' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Jean Vercruysse (Le Mans)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the top centre of the goal by Yvon Mvogo (Le Mans).Lucas Bretelle assists.

19'

19' Yellow card by Arsène Kouassi (Lorient).

18'

18' Nathaniel Adjei (Lorient) foul.

18'

18' Djibril Sidibé (Le Mans) gets a free kick on the right wing.

17'

17' Delay over.The match resumes.

17'

17' Substitution, Lorient.Substituton in Théo Le Bris,Substitution out Panos Katseris because of an injury.

16'

16' The match delays because Panos Katseris (Lorient) injured.

14'

14' Delay over.The match resumes.

13'

13' The match delays because Louis Mafouta (Le Mans) injured.

12'

12' Gabin Bernardeau (Lorient) foul.

12'

12' Louis Mafouta (Le Mans) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

11'

11' Yellow card by Jean-Victor Makengo (Lorient) for a bad foul.

11'

11' Jean-Victor Makengo (Lorient) foul.

11'

11' Lucas Bretelle (Le Mans) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

10'

10' Gabin Bernardeau (Lorient) gets a free kick on the right wing.

10'

10' Jean Vercruysse (Le Mans) foul.

6' Arsène Kouassi (Lorient) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

6' Rayan Bamba (Le Mans) foul.

6' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Louis Mafouta (Le Mans)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the box in the centre of the goal by Yvon Mvogo (Le Mans).Adil Bourabaa assists.

5' Attempt missed.Ibrahima Baldé (Lorient)’s header from the centre of the box is close, but misses to the left.Panos Katseris with a cross assists.

5' Noah Cadiou (Lorient) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

5' Lucas Bretelle (Le Mans) foul.

3' Goal! Le Mans 1, Lorient 0.Adil Bourabaa (Le Mans)’s left foot shot.Rayan Bamba assists.

1' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Habib Diallo (Le Mans)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Yvon Mvogo (Le Mans).

HEAD-TO-HEAD

3 wins

21%

4 draws

29%

7 wins

50%