Primera A - Round 10

Independiente Santa Fe

11 Sep

1 - 0

Full time

Deportes Tolima

HT: 0-0FT: 1-0

Nahuel Bustos61’

HOME

38%

DRAW

29%

AWAY

33%

AI Insights

True AI

54%

Better pick

Independiente Santa Fe 0.0

Handicap

Confidence LowMarkets 4Risk High

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

2.6Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

9.1Corners/match

9.16.84.52.3

015’45’90’

Total Goals (Line 2.5)

O/U

49%Low

Over 49%Under 51%

Both teams score

BTTS

53%Yes · Low

Independiente Santa Fe73%

Deportes Tolima73%

Chance each side scores at least once; BTTS = both do.

1x2

True AI

Home

Independiente Santa Fe Win

38%

Draw

29%

Away

Deportes Tolima Win

33%

The Home team has the slight advantage but it's less than 50% — a balanced match.

Handicap

True AI

Independiente Santa Fe0.0

54%

Deportes Tolima0.0

47%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Independiente Santa Fe 0.0

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Independiente Santa Fe and Deportes Tolima.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

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Prediction last updated: 01 Nov 2026, 07:36 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time1-0

Start0-0

Emerson RodriguezMateo Puerta

23’

36’

Edwar López

Nahuel Bustos

42’

+3 minute of added time

Emanuel OliveraVictor Moreno

45’

Jhojan TorresDaniel Torres

45’

Victor Moreno

45’+3

HT 0-0

Nahuel BustosAlexis Zapata

61’

1-0

62’

Jorge HurtadoAdrián Parra

62’

S. AguayoEdwar López

Emanuel Olivera

65’

Emerson Rodriguez

71’

Hugo RodallegaNahuel Bustos

73’

Franco FagúndezAlexis Zapata

73’

76’

Jherson MosqueraJuan Jose Mera Gonzalez

76’

Cristian TrujilloSebastian Guzman

Jader ObrianMaximiliano Lovera

82’

84’

Shean BarbosaJunior Hernandez

86’

Santiago Joven JiménezLuis Sanchez

+5 minute of added time

90’+2

Jherson Mosquera

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+6'

90'+6' Attempt missed.Shean Barbosa (Deportes Tolima)’s header from a difficult angle on the left is too high.Jorge Hurtado with a cross assists.

90'+6'

90'+6' Second Half ends, Independiente Santa Fe 1, Deportes Tolima 0.

90'+4'

90'+4' Shean Barbosa (Deportes Tolima) foul.

90'+4'

90'+4' Jáder Obrian (Independiente Santa Fe) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

90'+2'

90'+2' Yellow card by Jherson Mosquera (Deportes Tolima) for a bad foul.

90'+2'

90'+2' Franco Fagúndez (Independiente Santa Fe) gets a free kick on the left wing.

90'+2'

90'+2' Jherson Mosquera (Deportes Tolima) foul.

90'+2'

90'+2' Fourth official has announced 5 minutes of added time.

90'+1'

90'+1' Jherson Mosquera (Deportes Tolima) foul.

90'

90' Franco Fagúndez (Independiente Santa Fe) gets a free kick on the left wing.

90'

90' Attempt missed.Kelvin Flórez (Deportes Tolima)’s right foot shot.

89'

89' Jorge Hurtado (Deportes Tolima) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

89'

89' Jhojan Torres (Independiente Santa Fe) foul.

89'

89' Jhojan Torres (Independiente Santa Fe) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

87'

87' Anderson Angulo (Deportes Tolima) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

87'

87' Shean Barbosa (Deportes Tolima) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

87'

87' Hugo Rodallega (Independiente Santa Fe) foul.

86'

86' Offside, Independiente Santa Fe.Hugo Rodallega is caught offside.

86'

86' Substitution, Deportes Tolima.Substituton in Santiago Joven,Substitution out Luis Sánchez.

86'

86' Corner, Deportes Tolima.Conceded by Jeison Angulo.

85'

85' Attempt missed.Hugo Rodallega (Independiente Santa Fe)’s right foot shot.Emerson Rodríguez assists.

84'

84' Attempt missed.Luis Sánchez (Deportes Tolima)’s right foot shot.Homer Martínez assists.

84'

84' Substitution, Deportes Tolima.Substituton in Shean Barbosa,Substitution out Junior Hernández.

83'

83' Substitution, Independiente Santa Fe.Substituton in Jáder Obrian,Substitution out Maximiliano Lovera.

82'

82' Substitution, Independiente Santa Fe.Substituton in Jáder Obrian,Substitution out Maximiliano Lovera.

82'

82' Attempt blocked.Luis Palacios (Independiente Santa Fe)’s right foot shot.Franco Fagúndez assists.

80'

80' Attempt missed.Emerson Rodríguez (Independiente Santa Fe)’s right foot shot.Franco Fagúndez following a fast break assists.

80'

80' Attempt missed.Emerson Rodríguez (Independiente Santa Fe)’s right foot shot.

76'

76' Substitution, Deportes Tolima.Substituton in Cristian Trujillo,Substitution out Sebastián Guzmán.

76'

76' Substitution, Deportes Tolima.Substituton in Jherson Mosquera,Substitution out Juan Mera.

76'

76' Offside, Deportes Tolima.Homer Martínez is caught offside.

75'

75' Corner, Deportes Tolima.Conceded by Iván Scarpeta.

73'

73' Substitution, Independiente Santa Fe.Substituton in Franco Fagúndez,Substitution out Alexis Zapata.

73'

73' Substitution, Independiente Santa Fe.Substituton in Hugo Rodallega,Substitution out Nahuel Bustos.

73'

73' Jan Angulo (Deportes Tolima) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

71'

71' VAR Decision: No Goal Independiente Santa Fe 1-0 Deportes Tolima.

70'

70' GOAL OVERTURNED BY VAR: Emerson Rodríguez (Independiente Santa Fe) scores but the goal is ruled out after a VAR review.

70'

70' Goal! Independiente Santa Fe 2, Deportes Tolima 0.Emerson Rodríguez (Independiente Santa Fe)’s right foot shot to the bottom right corner.Nahuel Bustos assists.

69'

69' GOAL OVERTURNED BY VAR: Emerson Rodríguez (Independiente Santa Fe) scores but the goal is ruled out after a VAR review.

69'

69' Jan Angulo (Deportes Tolima) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

69'

69' Nahuel Bustos (Independiente Santa Fe) foul.

67'

67' Jan Angulo (Deportes Tolima) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

67'

67' Nahuel Bustos (Independiente Santa Fe) foul.

66'

66' Corner, Independiente Santa Fe.Conceded by Jan Angulo.

66'

66' Attempt blocked.Jorge Hurtado (Deportes Tolima)’s left foot shot.

65'

65' Yellow card by Emmanuel Olivera (Independiente Santa Fe) for a bad foul.

65'

65' Sergio Aguayo (Deportes Tolima) gets a free kick on the left wing.

65'

65' Emmanuel Olivera (Independiente Santa Fe) foul.

62'

62' Substitution, Deportes Tolima.Substituton in Sergio Aguayo,Substitution out Edwar López.

62'

62' Substitution, Deportes Tolima.Substituton in Jorge Hurtado,Substitution out Adrián Parra.

61'

61' Goal! Independiente Santa Fe 1, Deportes Tolima 0.Nahuel Bustos (Independiente Santa Fe)’s right foot shot to the bottom left corner.Alexis Zapata following a fast break assists.

61'

61' Goal! Independiente Santa Fe 1, Deportes Tolima 0.Nahuel Bustos (Independiente Santa Fe)’s right foot shot to the bottom left corner.

52'

52' Attempt missed.Kelvin Flórez (Deportes Tolima)’s left foot shot is close, but misses to the left.Sebastián Guzmán assists.

50'

50' Corner, Independiente Santa Fe.Conceded by Juan Mera.

49'

49' Jhojan Torres (Independiente Santa Fe) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

49'

49' Adrián Parra (Deportes Tolima) foul.

48'

48' Attempt missed.Kilian Toscano (Independiente Santa Fe)’s right foot shot.Alexis Zapata assists.

48'

48' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Kilian Toscano (Independiente Santa Fe)’s right foot shot from from outside the box.

47'

47' Corner, Deportes Tolima.Conceded by Kilian Toscano.

46'

46' Corner, Deportes Tolima.Conceded by Jeison Angulo.

46'

46' Maximiliano Lovera (Independiente Santa Fe) foul.

46'

46' Jan Angulo (Deportes Tolima) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

45'+5'

45'+5' First Half ends, Independiente Santa Fe 0, Deportes Tolima 0.

45'+5'

45'+5' Attempt missed.Edwar López (Deportes Tolima)’s left foot shot.

45'+3'

45'+3' Yellow card by Víctor Moreno (Independiente Santa Fe) for a bad foul.

45'+3'

45'+3' Víctor Moreno (Independiente Santa Fe) foul.

45'+3'

45'+3' Kelvin Flórez (Deportes Tolima) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

45'+2'

45'+2' Offside, Independiente Santa Fe.Nahuel Bustos is caught offside.

45'

45' Substitution, Independiente Santa Fe.Substituton in Emmanuel Olivera,Substitution out Víctor Moreno.

45'

45' Substitution, Independiente Santa Fe.Substituton in Jhojan Torres,Substitution out Daniel Torres.

45'

45' Second Half begins Independiente Santa Fe 0, Deportes Tolima 0.

45'

45' Fourth official has announced 3 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Attempt missed.Homer Martínez (Deportes Tolima)’s right foot shot.Adrián Parra assists.

43'

43' Offside, Independiente Santa Fe.Alexis Zapata is caught offside.

42'

42' Yellow card by Nahuel Bustos (Independiente Santa Fe) for a bad foul.

42'

42' Nahuel Bustos (Independiente Santa Fe) foul.

42'

42' Edwar López (Deportes Tolima) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

40'

40' Corner, Independiente Santa Fe.Conceded by Neto Volpi.

40'

40' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Maximiliano Lovera (Independiente Santa Fe)’s right foot shot from from the left side of the box in the centre of the goal by Neto Volpi (Independiente Santa Fe).Emerson Rodríguez assists.

36'

36' Yellow card by Edwar López (Deportes Tolima).

36'

36' Homer Martínez (Deportes Tolima) foul.

36'

36' Daniel Torres (Independiente Santa Fe) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

36'

36' Jan Angulo (Deportes Tolima) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

36'

36' Maximiliano Lovera (Independiente Santa Fe) foul.

30'

30' Attempt blocked.Nahuel Bustos (Independiente Santa Fe)’s right foot shot.Maximiliano Lovera assists.

30'

30' Corner, Independiente Santa Fe.Conceded by Neto Volpi.

29'

29' Attempt missed.Adrián Parra (Deportes Tolima)’s left foot shot.Homer Martínez assists.

28'

28' Luis Sánchez (Deportes Tolima) foul.

28'

28' Kilian Toscano (Independiente Santa Fe) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

27'

27' Corner, Deportes Tolima.Conceded by Andrés Mosquera.

27'

27' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Junior Hernández (Deportes Tolima)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the top right corner by Andrés Mosquera (Deportes Tolima).

26'

26' Attempt missed.Iván Scarpeta (Independiente Santa Fe)’s header from the centre of the box is just a bit too high.Maximiliano Lovera with a cross following a corner assists.

26'

26' Attempt missed.Iván Scarpeta (Independiente Santa Fe)’s left foot shot is just a bit too high.Maximiliano Lovera with a cross following a corner assists.

26'

26' Attempt missed.Iván Scarpeta (Independiente Santa Fe)’s left foot shot.

25'

25' Corner, Independiente Santa Fe.Conceded by Neto Volpi.

25'

25' Alexis Zapata (Independiente Santa Fe) hits the right post with a’s right foot shot.Daniel Torres with a through ball assists.

25'

25' Corner, Independiente Santa Fe.Conceded by Anderson Angulo.

25'

25' Attempt saved.Alexis Zapata (Independiente Santa Fe)’s right foot shot is saved in the centre of the goal by Neto Volpi (Independiente Santa Fe).

24'

24' Anderson Angulo (Deportes Tolima) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

24'

24' Nahuel Bustos (Independiente Santa Fe) foul.

24'

24' Substitution, Independiente Santa Fe.Substituton in Emerson Rodríguez,Substitution out Mateo Puerta because of an injury.

23'

23' Substitution, Independiente Santa Fe.Substituton in Emerson Rodríguez,Substitution out Mateo Puerta because of an injury.

23'

23' Delay over.The match resumes.

23'

23' The match delays because Mateo Puerta (Independiente Santa Fe) injured.

21'

21' Attempt missed.Nahuel Bustos (Independiente Santa Fe)’s left foot shot is high and wide to the left.Alexis Zapata assists.

19'

19' Corner, Deportes Tolima.Conceded by Mateo Puerta.

16'

16' Attempt blocked.Maximiliano Lovera (Independiente Santa Fe)’s right foot shot.Daniel Torres assists.

15'

15' Homer Martínez (Deportes Tolima) foul.

15'

15' Maximiliano Lovera (Independiente Santa Fe) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

14'

14' Anderson Angulo (Deportes Tolima) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

13'

13' Anderson Angulo (Deportes Tolima) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

13'

13' Nahuel Bustos (Independiente Santa Fe) foul.

13'

13' Nahuel Bustos (Independiente Santa Fe) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

13'

13' Penalty Independiente Santa Fe.Nahuel Bustos draws a foul in the penalty area.

11'

11' Attempt blocked.Luis Palacios (Independiente Santa Fe)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.

11'

11' Adrián Parra (Deportes Tolima) foul.

11'

11' Kilian Toscano (Independiente Santa Fe) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

9' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Homer Martínez (Deportes Tolima)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Andrés Mosquera (Deportes Tolima).

9' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Homer Martínez (Deportes Tolima)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Andrés Mosquera (Deportes Tolima).Adrián Parra assists.

4' Handball by Homer Martínez (Deportes Tolima).

3' Delay over.The match resumes.

3' The match delays because Luis Sánchez (Deportes Tolima) injured.

2' Luis Sánchez (Deportes Tolima) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

2' Delay over.The match resumes.

2' The match delays because Mateo Puerta (Independiente Santa Fe) injured.

2' Mateo Puerta (Independiente Santa Fe) foul.

2' Luis Sánchez (Deportes Tolima) gets a free kick on the left wing.

2' Iván Scarpeta (Independiente Santa Fe) foul.

HEAD TO HEAD

11 wins

37%