Champions League - Round 3

Bayern Munich

21 Oct

2 - 2

Full time

Arsenal

HT: 1-1FT: 2-2

Alphonso Davies35’

25’Eberechi Eze

Harry Kane61’ (P)

82’Declan Rice

HOME

43%

DRAW

26%

AWAY

32%

AI Insights

True AI

50%

Better pick

Arsenal +0.25

Handicap

Confidence LowMarkets 2Risk High

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

3.2Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

8.2Corners/match

8.26.14.12.0

015’45’90’

1x2

True AI

Home

Bayern Munich Win

43%

Draw

26%

Away

Arsenal Win

32%

The Home team has the slight advantage but it's less than 50% — a balanced match.

Handicap

True AI

Arsenal+0.25

50%

Bayern Munich−0.25

50%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Arsenal +0.25

Total Goals

True AI

Over 2.5

55%

Under 3

55%

Under 3.5

55%

Under 2.5

46%

Most likely: Over 2.5 (55%)

Total Corners

True AI

Under 10.5

80%

Under 9.5

69%

Under 8.5

57%

Over 8.5

43%

Most likely: Under 10.5 (80%)

Correct Score

True AI

BAY / ARS	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	0 - 05.8%	0 - 17.5%	0 - 24.9%	0 - 31.9%	0 - 40.5%	0 - 50.0%
1	1 - 09.0%	1 - 112.8%	1 - 29.0%	1 - 34.3%	1 - 41.3%	1 - 50.0%
2	2 - 06.6%	2 - 110.5%	2 - 27.8%	2 - 33.8%	2 - 41.3%	2 - 50.0%
3	3 - 03.3%	3 - 15.6%	3 - 24.6%	3 - 32.3%	3 - 40.8%	3 - 50.0%
4	4 - 01.0%	4 - 12.3%	4 - 21.9%	4 - 31.0%	4 - 40.3%	4 - 50.0%
5	5 - 00.0%	5 - 10.0%	5 - 20.0%	5 - 30.0%	5 - 40.0%	5 - 50.0%

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12.8%), 2-1 (10.5%), 1-0 (9.0%)

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for FC Bayern Munich and Arsenal.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.

See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 28 Oct 2026, 19:15 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time2-2

+3 minute of added time

Bara Sapoko NdiayeLuis Díaz

90’

Nathaniel BrownAlphonso Davies

85’

Mikel MerinoMartin Odegaard

2-2

82’

Declan Rice

Viktor Gyökeres

69’

Myles Lewis-SkellyBruno Guimarães

68’

Viktor GyökeresKai Havertz

Lennart KarlSerge Gnabry

68’

Luis DíazIsmael Saibari

68’

Harry Kane

61’

2-1

Jonathan TahKim Min-Jae

45’

HT 1-1

+2 minute of added time

39’

Ezri Konsa

Alphonso DaviesHarry Kane

35’

1-1

26’

Eberechi Eze

0-1

25’

Eberechi Eze

Martin Odegaard

13’

Kai Havertz

10’

Eberechi EzeBukayo Saka

Start0-0

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+3'

90'+3' Second Half ends, Bayern Munich 2, Arsenal 2.

90'+3'

90'+3' Second Half ends, Bayern Munich 2, Arsenal 2.

90'+2'

90'+2' Attempt blocked.Mikel Merino (Arsenal)’s header from the right side of the six yard box Defensive player blocked.Declan Rice with a cross assists.

90'+1'

90'+1' Corner, Arsenal.Conceded by Manuel Neuer.

90'+1'

90'+1' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Jurriën Timber (Arsenal)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the top centre of the goal by Manuel Neuer (Arsenal).

90'+1'

90'+1' Fourth official has announced 3 minutes of added time.

90'

90' Substitution, Bayern Munich.Substituton in Bara Sapoko Ndiaye,Substitution out Luis Díaz because of an injury.

87'

87' Ezri Konsa (Arsenal) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

87'

87' Luis Díaz (Bayern Munchen) foul.

86'

86' Mikel Merino (Arsenal) foul.

86'

86' Tom Bischof (Bayern Munchen) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

85'

85' Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal) foul.

85'

85' Harry Kane (Bayern Munchen) gets a free kick on the right wing.

85'

85' Substitution, Bayern Munich.Substituton in Nathaniel Brown,Substitution out Alphonso Davies.

85'

85' Substitution, Arsenal.Substituton in Mikel Merino,Substitution out Martin Ødegaard.

82'

82' Goal! Bayern Munich 2, Arsenal 2.Declan Rice (Arsenal)’s right foot shot.Viktor Gyökeres assists.

81'

81' Attempt blocked.Noni Madueke (Arsenal)’s left foot shot.Martin Ødegaard assists.

79'

79' Myles Lewis-Skelly (Arsenal) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

79'

79' Tom Bischof (Bayern Munchen) foul.

78'

78' Jurriën Timber (Arsenal) foul.

78'

78' Josip Stanisic (Bayern Munchen) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

77'

77' Offside, Bayern Munich.Alphonso Davies is caught offside.

76'

76' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Luis Díaz (Bayern Munchen)’s right foot shot from from the left side of the box in the bottom right corner by David Raya (Bayern Munchen).Alphonso Davies assists.

73'

73' Attempt blocked.Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)’s left foot shot.

73'

73' Eberechi Eze (Arsenal) gets a free kick on the left wing.

73'

73' Lennart Karl (Bayern Munchen) foul.

69'

69' Substitution, Arsenal.Substituton in Myles Lewis-Skelly,Substitution out Bruno Guimarães.

68'

68' Substitution, Arsenal.Substituton in Viktor Gyökeres,Substitution out Kai Havertz.

68'

68' Substitution, Bayern Munich.Substituton in Lennart Karl,Substitution out Serge Gnabry.

68'

68' Substitution, Bayern Munich.Substituton in Luis Díaz,Substitution out Ismael Saibari.

67'

67' Attempt missed.Konrad Laimer (Bayern Munchen)’s right foot shot misses to the left.Tom Bischof following a fast break assists.

67'

67' Attempt blocked.Kai Havertz (Arsenal)’s left foot shot.

65'

65' Eberechi Eze (Arsenal) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

65'

65' Konrad Laimer (Bayern Munchen) foul.

63'

63' David Raya (Arsenal) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

63'

63' Jonathan Tah (Bayern Munchen) foul.

62'

62' Corner, Bayern Munich.Conceded by Gabriel Magalhães.

62'

62' Attempt blocked.Harry Kane (Bayern Munchen)’s right foot shot.Josip Stanisic assists.

61'

61' Goal! Bayern Munich 2, Arsenal 1.Harry Kane (Bayern Munchen) takes a penalty kick with a’s right foot shot.

59'

59' Jurriën Timber (Arsenal) with a handball in the penalty area conceded the penalty.

59'

59' Attempt blocked.Harry Kane (Bayern Munchen)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.

57'

57' Offside, Arsenal.Noni Madueke is caught offside.

57'

57' Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

57'

57' Tom Bischof (Bayern Munchen) foul.

57'

57' Attempt blocked.Alphonso Davies (Bayern Munchen)’s left foot shot.Aleksandar Pavlovic assists.

54'

54' Bruno Guimarães (Arsenal) foul.

54'

54' Josip Stanisic (Bayern Munchen) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

54'

54' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)’s right foot shot from from the left side of the six yard box in the bottom left corner by Manuel Neuer (Arsenal).Kai Havertz assists.

52'

52' Attempt missed.Ismael Saibari (Bayern Munchen)’s left foot shot.Jonathan Tah assists.

49'

49' Attempt saved.Dayot Upamecano (Bayern Munchen)’s header from very close range is saved in the centre of the goal by David Raya (Bayern Munchen).Serge Gnabry with a cross assists.

48'

48' Offside, Bayern Munich.Ismael Saibari is caught offside.

48'

48' Attempt saved.Bruno Guimarães (Arsenal)’s header from very close range is saved in the bottom right corner by Manuel Neuer (Arsenal).Declan Rice with a cross assists.

47'

47' Corner, Arsenal.Conceded by Dayot Upamecano.

45'+2'

45'+2' First Half ends, Bayern Munich 1, Arsenal 1.

45'

45' Second Half begins Bayern Munich 1, Arsenal 1.

45'

45' Substitution, Bayern Munich.Substituton in Jonathan Tah,Substitution out Kim Min-Jae.

45'

45' Fourth official has announced 2 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Corner, Bayern Munich.Conceded by Gabriel Magalhães.

45'

45' Attempt blocked.Serge Gnabry (Bayern Munchen)’s right foot shot.Harry Kane assists.

44'

44' Jurriën Timber (Arsenal) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

44'

44' Josip Stanisic (Bayern Munchen) foul.

43'

43' Corner, Bayern Munich.Conceded by Bruno Guimarães.

42'

42' Attempt missed.Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)’s left foot shot.Bruno Guimarães assists.

42'

42' Attempt missed.Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)’s left foot shot.

41'

41' Corner, Arsenal.Conceded by Dayot Upamecano.

40'

40' Attempt blocked.Harry Kane (Bayern Munchen)’s left foot shot.Ismael Saibari assists.

39'

39' Yellow card by Ezri Konsa (Arsenal) for a bad foul.

39'

39' Declan Rice (Arsenal) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

39'

39' Tom Bischof (Bayern Munchen) foul.

38'

38' Eberechi Eze (Arsenal) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

38'

38' Konrad Laimer (Bayern Munchen) foul.

35'

35' Goal! Bayern Munich 1, Arsenal 1.Alphonso Davies (Bayern Munchen)’s right foot shot to the bottom right corner.Harry Kane with a through ball assists.

34'

34' Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

34'

34' Aleksandar Pavlovic (Bayern Munchen) foul.

33'

33' Attempt missed.Ismael Saibari (Bayern Munchen)’s right foot shot.Tom Bischof assists.

31'

31' Eberechi Eze (Arsenal) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

31'

31' Konrad Laimer (Bayern Munchen) foul.

30'

30' Attempt missed.Bruno Guimarães (Arsenal)’s left foot shot.Martin Ødegaard with a cross following a corner assists.

29'

29' Corner, Arsenal.Conceded by Alphonso Davies.

26'

26' VAR Decision: Goal Bayern Munich 0-1 Arsenal (Bayern Munchen).

25'

25' Goal! Bayern Munich 0, Arsenal 1.Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)’s left foot shot.Martin Ødegaard with a through ballGoal awarded following VAR Review assists.

21'

21' Attempt blocked.Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)’s left foot shot.Noni Madueke assists.

21'

21' Kai Havertz (Arsenal) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

21'

21' Dayot Upamecano (Bayern Munchen) foul.

21'

21' Attempt saved.Serge Gnabry (Bayern Munchen)’s left foot shot is saved in the centre of the goal by David Raya (Bayern Munchen).Ismael Saibari assists.

20'

20' Attempt missed.Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)’s right foot shot.

20'

20' Corner, Arsenal.Conceded by Josip Stanisic.

16'

16' Bruno Guimarães (Arsenal) gets a free kick on the left wing.

16'

16' Konrad Laimer (Bayern Munchen) foul.

13'

13' Yellow card by Kai Havertz (Arsenal) for a bad foul.

13'

13' Kai Havertz (Arsenal) foul.