Championship - Round 9

Derby County

10 Oct

1 - 1

Full time

Wrexham

HT: 1-0FT: 1-1

Sammie Szmodics9’

88’Oliver Rathbone

HOME

34%

DRAW

30%

AWAY

36%

AI Insights

True AI

53%

Better pick

Derby County +0.25

Handicap

Confidence LowMarkets 2Risk High

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

2.8Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

9.4Corners/match

9.47.04.72.3

015’45’90’

1x2

True AI

Home

Derby County Win

34%

Draw

30%

Away

Wrexham Win

36%

The Away team has the slight advantage but it's less than 50% — a balanced match.

Handicap

True AI

Derby County+0.25

53%

Wrexham−0.25

47%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Derby County +0.25

Total Goals

True AI

Under 3

94%

Under 3.5

94%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Most likely: Under 3 (94%)

Total Corners

True AI

Under 10.5

66%

Over 8.5

60%

Under 9.5

54%

Over 9.5

46%

Most likely: Under 10.5 (66%)

Correct Score

True AI

DER / WRE	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	0 - 010.3%	0 - 113.2%	0 - 28.2%	0 - 33.3%	0 - 40.9%	0 - 50.0%
1	1 - 011.5%	1 - 115.6%	1 - 210.4%	1 - 34.3%	1 - 41.3%	1 - 50.0%
2	2 - 06.4%	2 - 19.0%	2 - 26.2%	2 - 32.7%	2 - 40.7%	2 - 50.0%
3	3 - 02.3%	3 - 13.3%	3 - 22.3%	3 - 31.0%	3 - 40.2%	3 - 50.0%
4	4 - 00.5%	4 - 10.8%	4 - 20.5%	4 - 30.1%	4 - 40.1%	4 - 50.0%
5	5 - 00.0%	5 - 10.0%	5 - 20.0%	5 - 30.0%	5 - 40.0%	5 - 50.0%

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15.6%), 0-1 (13.2%), 1-0 (11.5%)

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Derby County and Wrexham.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.

See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 29 Oct 2026, 12:26 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time1-1

Start0-0

Sondre Langas

5’

Sammie SzmodicsMohammed Fuseini

9’

1-0

15’

Oliver RathboneJosh Windass

+3 minute of added time

HT 1-0

Ryan Hedges

52’

64’

Sam SmithLewis O'Brien

64’

Danny ImrayIssa Kabore

71’

Oliver Rathbone

Henrik Wendel MeisterMohammed Fuseini

72’

Rhian BrewsterSammie Szmodics

72’

Alex Mowatt

74’

Oscar FrauloBobby Clark

84’

Lars-Jørgen SalvesenCarlton Morris

84’

85’

George DobsonZak Vyner

85’

Ryan·LongmanJacques Ekomié

1-1

88’

Oliver Rathbone

Kieffer Moore

+4 minute of added time

90’+1

Kieffer Moore

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+5'

90'+5' Second Half ends, Derby County 1, Wrexham 1.

90'+5'

90'+5' Corner, Wrexham.Conceded by Dion Sanderson.

90'+4'

90'+4' Offside, Derby County.Oscar Fraulo is caught offside.

90'+1'

90'+1' Fourth official has announced 4 minutes of added time.

90'+1'

90'+1' Yellow card by Kieffer Moore (Wrexham) for a bad foul.

90'+1'

90'+1' Kieffer Moore (Wrexham) foul.

90'+1'

90'+1' Joe Ward (Derby County) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

90'

90' Attempt missed.Kieffer Moore (Wrexham)’s right foot shot.Danny Imray assists.

88'

88' Goal! Derby County 1, Wrexham 1.Oliver Rathbone (Wrexham)’s right foot shot.Kieffer Moore with a headed pass assists.

85'

85' Substitution, Wrexham.Substituton in Ryan Longman,Substitution out Jacques Ekomié.

85'

85' Substitution, Wrexham.Substituton in George Dobson,Substitution out Zak Vyner.

84'

84' Substitution, Derby County.Substituton in Lars-Jørgen Salvesen,Substitution out Carlton Morris.

84'

84' Substitution, Derby County.Substituton in Oscar Fraulo,Substitution out Bobby Clark.

83'

83' Attempt missed.Jacques Ekomié (Wrexham)’s left foot shot.Callum O'Hare assists.

82'

82' Corner, Wrexham.Conceded by Rhian Brewster.

79'

79' Corner, Wrexham.Conceded by Sondre Langås.

79'

79' Dominic Hyam (Wrexham) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

79'

79' Henrik Meister (Derby County) foul.

78'

78' Kieffer Moore (Wrexham) foul.

78'

78' Sondre Langås (Derby County) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

76'

76' Corner, Derby County.Conceded by Dominic Hyam.

76'

76' Attempt blocked.Bobby Clark (Derby County)’s right foot shot.Rhian Brewster assists.

75'

75' Attempt missed.Callum O'Hare (Wrexham)’s right foot shot.

74'

74' Yellow card by Alex Mowatt (Derby County) for a bad foul.

74'

74' Callum O'Hare (Wrexham) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

74'

74' Alex Mowatt (Derby County) foul.

73'

73' Attempt missed.Carlton Morris (Derby County)’s left foot shot.

72'

72' Substitution, Derby County.Substituton in Rhian Brewster,Substitution out Sam Szmodics.

72'

72' Substitution, Derby County.Substituton in Henrik Meister,Substitution out Mohammed Fuseini.

71'

71' Yellow card by Oliver Rathbone (Wrexham) for a bad foul.

71'

71' Oliver Rathbone (Wrexham) foul.

71'

71' Mohammed Fuseini (Derby County) gets a free kick on the left wing.

70'

70' Corner, Wrexham.Conceded by Ryan Hedges.

68'

68' Attempt missed.Carlton Morris (Derby County)’s right foot shot is too high.Bobby Clark assists.

68'

68' Attempt blocked.Danny Imray (Wrexham)’s right foot shot.

64'

64' Substitution, Wrexham.Substituton in Danny Imray,Substitution out Issa Kaboré.

64'

64' Substitution, Wrexham.Substituton in Sam Smith,Substitution out Lewis O'Brien.

63'

63' Attempt blocked.Joe Worrall (Wrexham)’s header from the centre of the box Defensive player blocked.Benjamin Whiteman with a cross assists.

62'

62' Corner, Wrexham.Conceded by Dion Sanderson.

62'

62' Attempt missed.Sam Szmodics (Derby County)’s right foot shot.Ryan Hedges assists.

60'

60' Lewis O'Brien (Wrexham) foul.

60'

60' David Ozoh (Derby County) gets a free kick on the right wing.

58'

58' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Mohammed Fuseini (Derby County)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Anthony Patterson (Derby County).Joe Ward assists.

57'

57' Attempt missed.Mohammed Fuseini (Derby County)’s left foot shot.Bobby Clark assists.

54'

54' Callum O'Hare (Wrexham) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

54'

54' David Ozoh (Derby County) foul.

52'

52' Yellow card by Ryan Hedges (Derby County) for a bad foul.

52'

52' Issa Kaboré (Wrexham) gets a free kick on the right wing.

52'

52' Ryan Hedges (Derby County) foul.

50'

50' Attempt missed.Kieffer Moore (Wrexham)’s left foot shot.Jacques Ekomié assists.

50'

50' Joe Ward (Derby County) foul.

50'

50' Jacques Ekomié (Wrexham) gets a free kick on the left wing.

46'

46' Offside, Wrexham.Issa Kaboré is caught offside.

45'+4'

45'+4' First Half ends, Derby County 1, Wrexham 0.

45'+3'

45'+3' Kieffer Moore (Wrexham) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

45'+3'

45'+3' Dion Sanderson (Derby County) foul.

45'+2'

45'+2' Offside, Wrexham.Benjamin Whiteman is caught offside.

45'+1'

45'+1' Corner, Wrexham.Conceded by Alex Mowatt.

45'+1'

45'+1' Attempt blocked.Callum O'Hare (Wrexham)’s right foot shot.Oliver Rathbone assists.

45'

45' Second Half begins Derby County 1, Wrexham 0.

45'

45' Fourth official has announced 3 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Corner, Wrexham.Conceded by Ryan Hedges.

43'

43' Corner, Wrexham.Conceded by Joe Ward.

39'

39' Carlton Morris (Derby County) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

39'

39' Issa Kaboré (Wrexham) foul.

37'

37' Offside, Wrexham.Dominic Hyam is caught offside.

37'

37' Corner, Wrexham.Conceded by Sam Szmodics.

37'

37' Attempt blocked.Joe Worrall (Wrexham)’s right foot shot.Callum O'Hare assists.

35'

35' Attempt missed.Sam Szmodics (Derby County)’s right foot shot.Bobby Clark assists.

34'

34' David Ozoh (Derby County) foul.

34'

34' Kieffer Moore (Wrexham) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

32'

32' Mohammed Fuseini (Derby County) foul.

32'

32' Lewis O'Brien (Wrexham) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

24'

24' Attempt missed.Issa Kaboré (Wrexham)’s right foot shot.

24'

24' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Callum O'Hare (Wrexham)’s left foot shot from from the left side of the box in the bottom right corner by Josh Vickers (Wrexham).

22'

22' Joe Ward (Derby County) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

22'

22' Callum O'Hare (Wrexham) foul.

18'

18' Attempt saved.Sam Szmodics (Derby County)’s header from the centre of the box is saved in the centre of the goal by Anthony Patterson (Derby County).Mohammed Fuseini with a cross assists.

15'

15' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Jacques Ekomié (Wrexham)’s left foot shot from from the left side of the box in the centre of the goal by Josh Vickers (Wrexham).

15'

15' Substitution, Wrexham.Substituton in Oliver Rathbone,Substitution out Josh Windass because of an injury.

14'

14' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Bobby Clark (Derby County)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Anthony Patterson (Derby County).Joe Ward assists.

13'

13' Delay over.The match resumes.

12'

12' The match delays because Josh Windass (Wrexham) injured.

9' Goal! Derby County 1, Wrexham 0.Sam Szmodics (Derby County)’s right foot shot.Mohammed Fuseini following a fast break assists.

9' Attempt blocked.Benjamin Whiteman (Wrexham)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Callum O'Hare assists.

5' Yellow card by Sondre Langås (Derby County) for a bad foul.

5' Sondre Langås (Derby County) foul.

5' Kieffer Moore (Wrexham) gets a free kick on the left wing.

4' Carlton Morris (Derby County) foul.

4' Zak Vyner (Wrexham) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

HEAD TO HEAD