HT:
0-0FT:
0-1
49’Luke Graham
HOME32%
DRAW28%
AWAY40%
AI Insights
True AI
53%
Better pick
Derby County +0.25
Handicap
Confidence LowMarkets 2Risk High
TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer
Expected Goals
xG2.9Goals/match
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
Expected Total Corners
xC9.1Corners/match
9.16.84.52.3
015’45’90’
1x2
True AI1
Home
Derby County Win
32%
2
Draw
28%
3
Away
Stoke City Win
40%
The Away team has the slight advantage but it's less than 50% — a balanced match.
Handicap
True AI1
Derby County+0.25
53%
2
Stoke City−0.25
47%
The bet favored by TrueAI: Derby County +0.25
Total Goals
True AI1
Under 3
93%
2
Under 3.5
93%
3
Under 2.5
55%
4
Over 2.5
45%
Most likely: Under 3 (93%)
Total Corners
True AI1
Under 10.5
70%
2
Under 9.5
58%
3
Over 8.5
56%
4
Under 8.5
44%
Most likely: Under 10.5 (70%)
Correct Score
True AI| DER / STO | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 - 09.5% | 0 - 113.0% | 0 - 28.6% | 0 - 33.8% | 0 - 41.1% | 0 - 50.0% |
| 1 | 1 - 011.4% | 1 - 115.6% | 1 - 210.4% | 1 - 34.5% | 1 - 41.5% | 1 - 50.0% |
| 2 | 2 - 06.6% | 2 - 19.0% | 2 - 26.0% | 2 - 32.7% | 2 - 40.7% | 2 - 50.0% |
| 3 | 3 - 02.3% | 3 - 13.3% | 3 - 22.3% | 3 - 30.9% | 3 - 40.1% | 3 - 50.0% |
| 4 | 4 - 00.5% | 4 - 10.8% | 4 - 20.5% | 4 - 30.1% | 4 - 40.1% | 4 - 50.0% |
| 5 | 5 - 00.0% | 5 - 10.0% | 5 - 20.0% | 5 - 30.0% | 5 - 40.0% | 5 - 50.0% |
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15.6%), 0-1 (13.0%), 1-0 (11.4%)
How this AI prediction is made
TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Derby County and Stoke City.
Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.
18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.
See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.
Prediction last updated: 29 Oct 2026, 15:56 (UTC)
Stats
Full Time0-1
Start0-0
38’
+3 minute of added time
HT 0-0
45’
0-1
49’
52’
68’
68’
73’
76’
87’
87’
87’
88’
+4 minute of added time
Goal
Own Goal
Penalty
Penalty missed
Red card
Yellow card
Second yellow
Injury time
Substitution
Var
OffsideStanding
See All#
TeamPGDPTS
1
Middlesbrough121025
2
Swansea City12323
3
West Ham121722
4
Wolves12421
5
West Brom12321
6
Southampton121220
7
Birmingham City12820
8
Queens Park Rangers12820
9
Stoke City12220
10
Blackburn Rovers12318
11
Portsmouth12118
12
Sheffield United12116
13
Millwall12-115
14
Bristol City12-315
15
Lincoln City12-715
16
Cardiff City12214
17
Wrexham12-314
18
Bolton Wanderers12-714
19
Charlton Athletic12-714
20
Norwich City12-212
21
Watford12-1011
22
Burnley12-88
23
Derby County12-117
24
Preston North End12-155
Match End.
90'+5' Second Half ends, Derby County 0, Stoke City 1.
90'+4' Corner, Derby County.Conceded by Luca Bombino.
90'+3' Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby County) gets a free kick in the attacking half.
90'+3' George Hirst (Stoke City) foul.
90'+2' Henrik Meister (Derby County) foul.
90'+2' Luca Bombino (Stoke City) gets a free kick on the left wing.
90'+2' Offside, Stoke City.Róbert Bozeník is caught offside.
90'+2' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Ethan Galbraith (Stoke City)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the top centre of the goal by Josh Vickers (Stoke City).
90'+1' Fourth official has announced 4 minutes of added time.
90'+1' Rhian Brewster (Derby County) foul.
90'+1' Junior Tchamadeu (Stoke City) gets a free kick in the attacking half.
89' Attempt missed.David Ozoh (Derby County)’s right foot shot misses to the right.Carlton Morris with a headed pass assists.
89' Attempt blocked.Lars-Jørgen Salvesen (Derby County)’s left foot shot.
89' Attempt saved.David Ozoh (Derby County)’s left foot shot is saved in the bottom left corner by Viktor Johansson (Derby County).Carlton Morris with a headed pass assists.