Championship - Round 7

Derby County

101

12 Sep

1 - 2

Full time

Birmingham City

HT: 1-1FT: 1-2

Bobby Clark40’

42’Carlos Vicente

63’Paik Seung-Ho

HOME

28%

DRAW

28%

AWAY

43%

AI Insights

True AI

52%

Better pick

Birmingham City −0.25

Handicap

Confidence LowMarkets 2Risk High

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Total Corners

10.2Corners/match

10.27.75.12.6

015’45’90’

1x2

True AI

Home

Derby County Win

28%

Draw

28%

Away

Birmingham City Win

43%

The Away team has the slight advantage but it's less than 50% — a balanced match.

Handicap

True AI

Birmingham City−0.25

52%

Derby County+0.25

48%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Birmingham City −0.25

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Derby County and Birmingham City.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.

See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 29 Oct 2026, 17:54 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time1-2

Mohammed Fuseini

19’

21’

Alex Cochrane

Bobby ClarkSammie Szmodics

40’

1-0

1-1

42’

Carlos Vicente

Liam Millar

44’

August Priske

+2 minute of added time

HT 1-1

Oscar FrauloHenrik Wendel Meister

54’

60’

Paik Seung-HoJhon Elmer Solís Romero

1-2

63’

Paik Seung-Ho

Liam Millar

73’

Ethan LairdLiam Millar

73’

Luis VasquezAugust Priske

Ryan HedgesEiran Joe Cashin

85’

Corey Blackett-TaylorD. Ozoh

85’

+13 minute of added time

90’+4

Carlos Vicente

Lars-Jørgen SalvesenCharlie Taylor

90’+5

90’+6

Dael FryCarlos Vicente

90’+6

Kristoffer LundJay Stansfield

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+16'

90'+16' Second Half ends, Derby County 1, Birmingham City 2.

90'+15'

90'+15' Attempt missed.Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby County)’s right foot shot.Oscar Fraulo with a cross assists.

90'+13'

90'+13' Attempt blocked.Carlton Morris (Derby County)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.

90'+13'

90'+13' Attempt blocked.Sam Szmodics (Derby County)’s right foot shot.Sondre Langås with a headed pass assists.

90'+13'

90'+13' Offside, Derby County.Sondre Langås is caught offside.

90'+13'

90'+13' Corner, Derby County.Conceded by Alex Cochrane.

90'+13'

90'+13' Attempt blocked.Sam Szmodics (Derby County)’s right foot shot.

90'+12'

90'+12' Attempt blocked.Sam Szmodics (Derby County)’s right foot shot.Ryan Hedges assists.

90'+12'

90'+12' Corner, Derby County.Conceded by Ethan Laird.

90'+8'

90'+8' Tomoki Iwata (Birmingham City) foul.

90'+8'

90'+8' Oscar Fraulo (Derby County) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

90'+8'

90'+8' Paik Seung-Ho (Birmingham City) foul.

90'+7'

90'+7' Attempt blocked.Sam Szmodics (Derby County)’s right foot shot.

90'+7'

90'+7' Attempt blocked.Sam Szmodics (Derby County)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.

90'+7'

90'+7' Corner, Derby County.Conceded by Alex Cochrane.

90'+7'

90'+7' Attempt saved.Sam Szmodics (Derby County)’s right foot shot is saved.

90'+6'

90'+6' Substitution, Birmingham City.Substituton in Dael Fry,Substitution out Carlos Vicente.

90'+6'

90'+6' Substitution, Birmingham City.Substituton in Kristoffer Lund,Substitution out Jay Stansfield.

90'+5'

90'+5' Substitution, Derby County.Substituton in Lars-Jørgen Salvesen,Substitution out Charlie Taylor.

90'+4'

90'+4' Yellow card by Carlos Vicente (Birmingham City) for a bad foul.

90'+4'

90'+4' Corner, Derby County.Conceded by Christoph Klarer.

90'+3'

90'+3' Attempt blocked.Oscar Fraulo (Derby County)’s right foot shot.

90'+2'

90'+2' Delay over.The match resumes.

90'+1'

90'+1' Delay over.The match resumes.

90'

90' Fourth official has announced 13 minutes of added time.

90'

90' The match delays because Jacob Widell Zetterström (Derby County) injured.

89'

89' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Ethan Laird (Birmingham City)’s left foot shot from from the right side of the box in the centre of the goal by Jacob Widell Zetterström (Birmingham City).Tomoki Iwata assists.

89'

89' Luis Vázquez (Birmingham City) hits the bar with a’s right foot shot.

89'

89' Attempt missed.Luis Vázquez (Birmingham City)’s right foot shot.

89'

89' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Ethan Laird (Birmingham City)’s left foot shot from from the right side of the box in the centre of the goal.Tomoki Iwata assists.

85'

85' Substitution, Derby County.Substituton in Ryan Hedges,Substitution out Eiran Cashin.

85'

85' Substitution, Derby County.Substituton in Corey Blackett-Taylor,Substitution out David Ozoh.

84'

84' Attempt missed.Carlos Vicente (Birmingham City)’s right foot shot.

84'

84' Corner, Birmingham City.Conceded by Jacob Widell Zetterström.

84'

84' Attempt saved.Jay Stansfield (Birmingham City)’s left foot shot is saved in the top left corner by Jacob Widell Zetterström (Birmingham City).

83'

83' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Carlos Vicente (Birmingham City)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the six yard box in the centre of the goal by Jacob Widell Zetterström (Birmingham City).Ethan Laird with a cross assists.

83'

83' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Carlos Vicente (Birmingham City)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the six yard box.

80'

80' Attempt blocked.Jay Stansfield (Birmingham City)’s right foot shot.Luis Vázquez assists.

80'

80' Attempt missed.Jay Stansfield (Birmingham City)’s right foot shot.Paik Seung-Ho with a cross following a corner assists.

80'

80' Corner, Birmingham City.Conceded by Eiran Cashin.

80'

80' Attempt blocked.Jay Stansfield (Birmingham City)’s right foot shot.

80'

80' Attempt missed.Jay Stansfield (Birmingham City)’s right foot shot.

78'

78' Corner, Derby County.Conceded by Ethan Laird.

76'

76' Bobby Clark (Derby County) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

76'

76' Alex Cochrane (Birmingham City) foul.

73'

73' Attempt missed.Bobby Clark (Derby County)’s right foot shot.Mohammed Fuseini following a fast break assists.

73'

73' Attempt missed.Bobby Clark (Derby County)’s right foot shot.

73'

73' Substitution, Birmingham City.Substituton in Ethan Laird,Substitution out Liam Millar.

73'

73' Substitution, Birmingham City.Substituton in Luis Vázquez,Substitution out August Priske.

72'

72' Mohammed Fuseini (Derby County) foul.

72'

72' Bright Osayi-Samuel (Birmingham City) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

72'

72' Jay Stansfield (Birmingham City) foul.

72'

72' Eiran Cashin (Derby County) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

71'

71' Attempt blocked.Oscar Fraulo (Derby County)’s right foot shot.Carlton Morris assists.

71'

71' Attempt blocked.Charlie Taylor (Derby County)’s right foot shot.Carlton Morris assists.

70'

70' Attempt missed.Sam Szmodics (Derby County)’s left foot shot.Mohammed Fuseini assists.

70'

70' Attempt missed.Sam Szmodics (Derby County)’s left foot shot.

67'

67' Oscar Fraulo (Derby County) gets a free kick on the left wing.

67'

67' Bright Osayi-Samuel (Birmingham City) foul.

63'

63' Goal! Derby County 1, Birmingham City 2.Paik Seung-Ho (Birmingham City)’s header from very close range to the centre of the goal.Liam Millar with a cross following a corner assists.

63'

63' Corner, Birmingham City.Conceded by Joe Ward.

63'

63' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Alex Cochrane (Birmingham City)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the top centre of the goal by Jacob Widell Zetterström (Birmingham City).Bright Osayi-Samuel assists.

62'

62' Attempt blocked.August Priske (Birmingham City)’s right foot shot.James Beadle assists.

62'

62' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves August Priske (Birmingham City)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Jacob Widell Zetterström (Birmingham City).James Beadle assists.

62'

62' Attempt blocked.Carlos Vicente (Birmingham City)’s right foot shot.Alex Cochrane assists.

60'

60' Attempt missed.Eiran Cashin (Derby County)’s left foot shot is close, but misses to the right following a corner.

60'

60' Attempt blocked.Sam Szmodics (Derby County)’s right foot shot.Joe Ward with a cross assists.

60'

60' Substitution, Birmingham City.Substituton in Paik Seung-Ho,Substitution out Jhon Solís.

60'

60' Attempt blocked.Sam Szmodics (Derby County)’s right foot shot.

59'

59' Attempt missed.Carlton Morris (Derby County)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the left.Joe Ward with a cross following a corner assists.

59'

59' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Mohammed Fuseini (Derby County)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the top left corner by James Beadle (Derby County).

59'

59' Attempt blocked.Carlton Morris (Derby County)’s header from the centre of the box Defensive player blocked.Joe Ward with a cross assists.

59'

59' Corner, Derby County.Conceded by Liam Millar.

59'

59' Corner, Derby County.Conceded by Jhon Solís.

57'

57' Delay over.The match resumes.

56'

56' The match delays because Christoph Klarer (Birmingham City) injured.

55'

55' James Beadle (Birmingham City) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

55'

55' Christoph Klarer (Birmingham City) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

55'

55' Eiran Cashin (Derby County) foul.

54'

54' Delay over.The match resumes.

54'

54' Substitution, Derby County.Substituton in Oscar Fraulo,Substitution out Henrik Meister because of an injury.

47'

47' The match delays because Henrik Meister (Derby County) injured.

47'

47' Carlton Morris (Derby County) gets a free kick on the right wing.

47'

47' Christoph Klarer (Birmingham City) foul.

45'+3'

45'+3' First Half ends, Derby County 1, Birmingham City 1.

45'+2'

45'+2' Carlton Morris (Derby County) foul.

45'+2'

45'+2' Phil Neumann (Birmingham City) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

45'+1'

45'+1' Delay over.The match resumes.

45'+1'

45'+1' Fourth official has announced 2 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Second Half begins Derby County 1, Birmingham City 1.

45'

45' The match delays because Carlos Vicente (Birmingham City) injured.

44'

44' Yellow card by August Priske (Birmingham City) for a bad foul.

44'

44' Eiran Cashin (Derby County) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

44'

44' August Priske (Birmingham City) foul.

42'

42' Goal! Derby County 1, Birmingham City 1.Carlos Vicente (Birmingham City)’s header from the right side of the six yard box to the top right corner.Liam Millar with a cross assists.

40'

40' Goal! Derby County 1, Birmingham City 0.Bobby Clark (Derby County)’s left foot shot.Sam Szmodics assists.

39'

39' Offside, Derby County.Mohammed Fuseini is caught offside.

37'

37' Charlie Taylor (Derby County) foul.

37'

37' Carlos Vicente (Birmingham City) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

34'

34' Charlie Taylor (Derby County) foul.

34'

34' Attempt missed.Tomoki Iwata (Birmingham City)’s right foot shot.Liam Millar following a fast break assists.

34'

34' Attempt missed.Tomoki Iwata (Birmingham City)’s right foot shot.

34'

34' Henrik Meister (Derby County) foul.

34'

34' August Priske (Birmingham City) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

33'

33' Attempt missed.August Priske (Birmingham City)’s right foot shot misses to the left.

33'

33' Attempt blocked.Jay Stansfield (Birmingham City)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.

32'

32' Offside, Birmingham City.August Priske is caught offside.

25'

25' Offside, Derby County.Henrik Meister is caught offside.

24'

24' Corner, Derby County.Conceded by Phil Neumann.

23'

23' Attempt missed.Bobby Clark (Derby County)’s right foot shot.Sam Szmodics following a corner assists.

23'

23' Attempt blocked.Bobby Clark (Derby County)’s right foot shot.Sam Szmodics assists.

23'

23' Attempt missed.Eiran Cashin (Derby County)’s right foot shot misses to the left.Joe Ward with a cross following a corner assists.

23'

23' Attempt missed.Carlos Vicente (Birmingham City)’s right foot shot.Jay Stansfield following a fast break assists.

23'

23' Attempt blocked.Joe Ward (Derby County)’s right foot shot.

22'

22' Corner, Derby County.Conceded by Alex Cochrane.

21'

21' Mohammed Fuseini (Derby County) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

21'

21' Yellow card by Alex Cochrane (Birmingham City).

21'

21' Alex Cochrane (Birmingham City) foul.

20'

20' Attempt saved.Christoph Klarer (Birmingham City)’s header from the centre of the box is saved in the centre of the goal by Jacob Widell Zetterström (Birmingham City).Phil Neumann with a cross assists.

19'

19' Yellow card by Mohammed Fuseini (Derby County).

19'

19' Mohammed Fuseini (Derby County) foul.

19'

19' Alex Cochrane (Birmingham City) gets a free kick on the left wing.

17'

17' Mohammed Fuseini (Derby County) gets a free kick on the right wing.

17'

17' Alex Cochrane (Birmingham City) foul.

14'

14' Offside, Derby County.Carlton Morris is caught offside.

14'

14' Offside, Derby County.Bobby Clark is caught offside.

13'

13' Eiran Cashin (Derby County) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

13'

13' August Priske (Birmingham City) foul.

12'

12' Henrik Meister (Derby County) foul.

12'

12' Bright Osayi-Samuel (Birmingham City) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

12'

12' Carlton Morris (Derby County) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

12'

12' Jhon Solís (Birmingham City) foul.

11'

11' Attempt missed.August Priske (Birmingham City)’s header from very close range is high and wide to the left.Alex Cochrane with a cross following a corner assists.

11'

11' Attempt missed.August Priske (Birmingham City)’s right foot shot.

10'

10' Corner, Birmingham City.Conceded by Eiran Cashin.

8' Eiran Cashin (Derby County) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

8' August Priske (Birmingham City) foul.

7' Bright Osayi-Samuel (Birmingham City) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

7' Henrik Meister (Derby County) foul.

7' Jhon Solís (Birmingham City) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

4' Henrik Meister (Derby County) gets a free kick on the left wing.

4' Bright Osayi-Samuel (Birmingham City) foul.

HEAD TO HEAD