Carabao Cup - Round 3

Crystal Palace

08 Sep

3 - 0

Full time

Middlesbrough

HT: 1-0FT: 3-0

Jörgen Strand Larsen37’, 53’

Daichi Kamada72’

HOME

53%

DRAW

26%

AWAY

22%

AI Insights

True AI

62%

Better pick

BTTS Yes

BTTS

Confidence MediumMarkets 3Risk Medium

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

3.3Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

9.5Corners/match

9.57.24.82.4

015’45’90’

Total Goals (Line 3.0)

O/U

53%Low

Over 53%Under 47%

Both teams score

BTTS

62%Yes · Medium

Crystal Palace87%

Middlesbrough71%

Chance each side scores at least once; BTTS = both do.

1x2

True AI

Home

Crystal Palace Win

53%

Draw

26%

Away

Middlesbrough Win

22%

The Home team is favoured at 53%.

Handicap

True AI

Crystal Palace−0.5

51%

Middlesbrough+0.5

48%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Crystal Palace −0.5

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Crystal Palace and Middlesbrough.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

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Prediction last updated: 28 Oct 2026, 18:23 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time3-0

Jörgen Strand LarsenOscar Mingueza

37’

1-0

+1 minute of added time

HT 1-0

45’

Neto BorgesSam Byram

Jörgen Strand LarsenBen Chilwell

53’

2-0

Daichi KamadaDario Osorio

59’

Adam WhartonQuinten Timber

59’

64’

A.Malanda

67’

Leo CastledineTommy Conway

67’

will lankshearDavid Strelec

Daichi KamadaJörgen Strand Larsen

72’

3-0

Dwight McNeilYeremy Pino

73’

Zavier GozoJörgen Strand Larsen

73’

Jefferson LermaAxel Disasi

73’

77’

Ashley PhillipsA.Malanda

83’

Myles Peart-Harris

84’

Rokas PukstasAidan Morris

+2 minute of added time

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+3'

90'+3' Second Half ends, Crystal Palace 3, Middlesbrough 0.

90'+2'

90'+2' Handball by Luke Ayling (Middlesbrough).

90'+1'

90'+1' Attempt missed.Luke Ayling (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot.Will Lankshear assists.

90'+1'

90'+1' Fourth official has announced 2 minutes of added time.

89'

89' Attempt blocked.Rokas Pukstas (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.

89'

89' Attempt missed.Rokas Pukstas (Middlesbrough)’s header from the centre of the box is just a bit too high.Luke Ayling following a corner assists.

89'

89' Attempt blocked.Luke Ayling (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.

88'

88' Corner, Middlesbrough.Conceded by Walter Benítez.

87'

87' Attempt missed.Myles Peart-Harris (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot.Rokas Pukstas assists.

87'

87' Attempt missed.Myles Peart-Harris (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot.

84'

84' Substitution, Middlesbrough.Substituton in Rokas Pukstas,Substitution out Aidan Morris.

83'

83' Yellow card by Myles Peart-Harris (Middlesbrough) for a bad foul.

83'

83' Myles Peart-Harris (Middlesbrough) foul.

83'

83' Will Hughes (Crystal Palace) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

83'

83' Daichi Kamada (Crystal Palace) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

83'

83' Luke Ayling (Middlesbrough) foul.

80'

80' Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

80'

80' Zavier Gozo (Crystal Palace) foul.

77'

77' Substitution, Middlesbrough.Substituton in Ashley Phillips,Substitution out Adilson Malanda.

77'

77' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Amario Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the box in the top right corner by Walter Benítez (Middlesbrough).Aidan Morris assists.

77'

77' Attempt blocked.Will Lankshear (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot.Myles Peart-Harris assists.

75'

75' Will Lankshear (Middlesbrough) foul.

75'

75' Leo Castledine (Middlesbrough) foul.

75'

75' Adam Wharton (Crystal Palace) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

74'

74' Corner, Middlesbrough.Conceded by Óscar Mingueza.

74'

74' Corner, Crystal Palace.Conceded by Neto Borges.

73'

73' Substitution, Crystal Palace.Substituton in Jefferson Lerma,Substitution out Axel Disasi.

73'

73' Substitution, Crystal Palace.Substituton in Dwight McNeil,Substitution out Yéremy Pino.

73'

73' Substitution, Crystal Palace.Substituton in Zavier Gozo,Substitution out Jørgen Strand Larsen.

72'

72' Goal! Crystal Palace 3, Middlesbrough 0.Daichi Kamada (Crystal Palace)’s right foot shot.Jørgen Strand Larsen with a through ball assists.

67'

67' Substitution, Middlesbrough.Substituton in Will Lankshear,Substitution out David Strelec.

67'

67' Substitution, Middlesbrough.Substituton in Leo Castledine,Substitution out Tommy Conway.

67'

67' Offside, Middlesbrough.Tommy Conway is caught offside.

65'

65' Yellow card by Adilson Malanda (Middlesbrough) for a bad foul.

64'

64' Honest Ahanor (Crystal Palace) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

64'

64' Adilson Malanda (Middlesbrough) foul.

63'

63' Alfie Jones (Middlesbrough) foul.

63'

63' Jørgen Strand Larsen (Crystal Palace) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

63'

63' Attempt blocked.Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot.David Strelec assists.

61'

61' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom left corner by Walter Benítez (Middlesbrough).Tommy Conway assists.

59'

59' Substitution, Crystal Palace.Substituton in Adam Wharton,Substitution out Quinten Timber.

59'

59' Substitution, Crystal Palace.Substituton in Daichi Kamada,Substitution out Darío Osorio.

59'

59' Offside, Crystal Palace.Jørgen Strand Larsen is caught offside.

57'

57' Corner, Middlesbrough.Conceded by Axel Disasi.

56'

56' Corner, Middlesbrough.Conceded by Takehiro Tomiyasu.

55'

55' Attempt blocked.David Strelec (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot.Amario Cozier-Duberry assists.

55'

55' Attempt blocked.David Strelec (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot.

54'

54' Attempt missed.Jørgen Strand Larsen (Crystal Palace)’s right foot shot.

53'

53' Goal! Crystal Palace 2, Middlesbrough 0.Jørgen Strand Larsen (Crystal Palace)’s header from the centre of the box to the top left corner.Ben Chilwell with a cross assists.

51'

51' Attempt blocked.Luke Ayling (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Callum Brittain with a cross assists.

51'

51' Offside, Middlesbrough.Neto Borges is caught offside.

50'

50' Corner, Middlesbrough.Conceded by Axel Disasi.

46'

46' Myles Peart-Harris (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

46'

46' Will Hughes (Crystal Palace) foul.

45'+2'

45'+2' First Half ends, Crystal Palace 1, Middlesbrough 0.

45'+1'

45'+1' Fourth official has announced 1 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Second Half begins Crystal Palace 1, Middlesbrough 0.

45'

45' Substitution, Middlesbrough.Substituton in Neto Borges,Substitution out Sam Byram.

45'

45' Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

45'

45' Quinten Timber (Crystal Palace) foul.

43'

43' Amario Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough) foul.

43'

43' Ben Chilwell (Crystal Palace) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

40'

40' Offside, Middlesbrough.Myles Peart-Harris is caught offside.

40'

40' Adilson Malanda (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

40'

40' Quinten Timber (Crystal Palace) foul.

37'

37' Goal! Crystal Palace 1, Middlesbrough 0.Jørgen Strand Larsen (Crystal Palace)’s header from very close range to the bottom left corner.Óscar Mingueza with a cross assists.

37'

37' Goal! Crystal Palace 1, Middlesbrough 0.Jørgen Strand Larsen (Crystal Palace)’s header from very close range.

35'

35' Attempt missed.Amario Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot.David Strelec assists.

35'

35' Attempt missed.Amario Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot.

33'

33' Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick on the left wing.

33'

33' Darío Osorio (Crystal Palace) foul.

28'

28' Myles Peart-Harris (Middlesbrough) foul.

28'

28' Takehiro Tomiyasu (Crystal Palace) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

28'

28' Offside, Crystal Palace.Darío Osorio is caught offside.

23'

23' Attempt blocked.Óscar Mingueza (Crystal Palace)’s left foot shot.Quinten Timber assists.

23'

23' Attempt blocked.Darío Osorio (Crystal Palace)’s right foot shot.

23'

23' Corner, Crystal Palace.Conceded by Sol Brynn.

23'

23' Attempt saved.Yéremy Pino (Crystal Palace)’s right foot shot is saved in the bottom left corner by Sol Brynn (Crystal Palace).Óscar Mingueza with a cross assists.

22'

22' Attempt missed.Callum Brittain (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot.

21'

21' David Strelec (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick on the left wing.

21'

21' Takehiro Tomiyasu (Crystal Palace) foul.

21'

21' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Callum Brittain (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot from from the left side of the box in the bottom left corner by Walter Benítez (Middlesbrough).Tommy Conway assists.

20'

20' Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick on the left wing.

20'

20' Óscar Mingueza (Crystal Palace) foul.

18'

18' Attempt missed.David Strelec (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot misses to the right.Myles Peart-Harris assists.

16'

16' Adilson Malanda (Middlesbrough) foul.

16'

16' Quinten Timber (Crystal Palace) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

16'

16' Attempt blocked.Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot.Amario Cozier-Duberry assists.

15'

15' Attempt saved.Yéremy Pino (Crystal Palace)’s right foot shot is saved in the centre of the goal by Sol Brynn (Crystal Palace).

14'

14' Sam Byram (Middlesbrough) foul.

14'

14' Jørgen Strand Larsen (Crystal Palace) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

13'

13' Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

13'

13' Darío Osorio (Crystal Palace) foul.

8' Will Hughes (Crystal Palace) foul.

8' Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

6' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Amario Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the top centre of the goal by Walter Benítez (Middlesbrough).Callum Brittain assists.

6' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Amario Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot from from outside the box.

5' Luke Ayling (Middlesbrough) foul.

5' Axel Disasi (Crystal Palace) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

4' Corner, Middlesbrough.Conceded by Honest Ahanor.

3' Adilson Malanda (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

3' Darío Osorio (Crystal Palace) foul.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

6 wins

40%

2 draws

13%

7 wins