Carabao Cup - Round 3

Coventry City

16 Sep

1 - 3

Full time

Aston Villa

HT: 1-2FT: 1-3

Victor Torp27’

7’, 59’Tammy Abraham

40’Ross Barkley

HOME

32%

DRAW

26%

AWAY

41%

AI Insights

True AI

65%

Better pick

BTTS Yes

BTTS

Confidence HighMarkets 4Risk Low

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

3.3Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

8.6Corners/match

8.66.44.32.1

015’45’90’

Total Goals (Line 2.5)

O/U

64%Medium

Over 64%Under 36%

Both teams score

BTTS

65%Yes · High

Coventry City81%

Aston Villa81%

Chance each side scores at least once; BTTS = both do.

1x2

True AI

Home

Coventry City Win

32%

Draw

26%

Away

Aston Villa Win

41%

The Away team has the slight advantage but it's less than 50% — a balanced match.

Handicap

True AI

Coventry City+0.25

50%

Aston Villa−0.25

49%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Coventry City +0.25

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Coventry City and Aston Villa.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.

See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 28 Oct 2026, 12:33 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time1-3

+3 minute of added time

90’

Emiliano Buendía

Frank Onyeka

87’

79’

Alysson Edward Franco da RochaGeorge Hemmings

Jake BidwellStephen Mfuni

73’

Frank OnyekaCaleb Yirenkyi

73’

69’

Nicolas JacksonTammy Abraham

64’

Emiliano BuendíaIbrahim Mbaye

64’

Johan ManzambiJohn McGinn

1-3

59’

Tammy Abraham

Ross Barkley

Ellis SimmsSidiki Cherif

58’

Loum TchaounaTatsuhiro Sakamoto

57’

Caleb Yirenkyi

46’

45’

Zion SuzukiMarco Bizot

HT 1-2

+4 minute of added time

43’

Aaron Wan-Bissaka

1-2

40’

Ross Barkley

Ibrahim Mbaye

Victor Torp

27’

1-1

26’

Ross Barkley

Stephen Mfuni

23’

Ethan PinnockAurele Amenda

12’

0-1

7’

Tammy Abraham

George Hemmings

Start0-0

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+4'

90'+4' Second Half ends, Coventry City 1, Aston Villa 3.

90'+3'

90'+3' Attempt blocked.Yann Gboho (Coventry City)’s left foot shot.Loum Tchaouna assists.

90'+1'

90'+1' Offside, Aston Villa.Nicolas Jackson is caught offside.

90'+1'

90'+1' Emiliano Buendía (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

90'+1'

90'+1' Joel Latibeaudiere (Coventry City) foul.

90'

90' Fourth official has announced 3 minutes of added time.

90'

90' Yellow card by Emiliano Buendía (Aston Villa).

90'

90' Emiliano Buendía (Aston Villa) foul.

90'

90' Joel Latibeaudiere (Coventry City) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

87'

87' Yellow card by Frank Onyeka (Coventry City) for a bad foul.

86'

86' Emiliano Buendía (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

86'

86' Frank Onyeka (Coventry City) foul.

86'

86' Lamare Bogarde (Aston Villa) foul.

86'

86' Frank Onyeka (Coventry City) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

84'

84' Johan Manzambi (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

84'

84' Victor Torp (Coventry City) foul.

81'

81' Attempt missed.Ross Barkley (Aston Villa)’s header from the right side of the box is high and wide to the right following a corner.

80'

80' Corner, Aston Villa.Conceded by Ethan Pinnock.

79'

79' Substitution, Aston Villa.Substituton in Alysson,Substitution out George Hemmings.

79'

79' Corner, Aston Villa.Conceded by Bobby Thomas.

79'

79' Attempt blocked.Emiliano Buendía (Aston Villa)’s right foot shot.Johan Manzambi assists.

77'

77' Offside, Coventry City.Ellis Simms is caught offside.

77'

77' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Johan Manzambi (Aston Villa)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Dan Bentley (Aston Villa).Emiliano Buendía assists.

76'

76' Delay over.The match resumes.

75'

75' The match delays because Tyrone Mings (Aston Villa) injured.

75'

75' Lamare Bogarde (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

75'

75' Gustavo Hamer (Coventry City) foul.

75'

75' Attempt saved.Victor Torp (Coventry City)’s header from the centre of the box is saved in the centre of the goal by Zion Suzuki (Coventry City).Joel Latibeaudiere with a cross assists.

73'

73' Substitution, Coventry City.Substituton in Jake Bidwell,Substitution out Stephen Mfuni.

73'

73' Substitution, Coventry City.Substituton in Frank Onyeka,Substitution out Caleb Yirenkyi.

72'

72' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa)’s right foot shot from from the left side of the box in the centre of the goal by Dan Bentley (Aston Villa).Ross Barkley assists.

71'

71' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Loum Tchaouna (Coventry City)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Zion Suzuki (Coventry City).

71'

71' Corner, Coventry City.Conceded by Taylor Harwood-Bellis.

69'

69' Substitution, Aston Villa.Substituton in Nicolas Jackson,Substitution out Tammy Abraham.

69'

69' Attempt missed.Victor Torp (Coventry City)’s left foot shot.

67'

67' Aaron Wan-Bissaka (Aston Villa) foul.

67'

67' Stephen Mfuni (Coventry City) gets a free kick on the left wing.

65'

65' Johan Manzambi (Aston Villa) foul.

65'

65' Gustavo Hamer (Coventry City) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

64'

64' Substitution, Aston Villa.Substituton in Emiliano Buendía,Substitution out Ibrahim Mbaye.

64'

64' Substitution, Aston Villa.Substituton in Johan Manzambi,Substitution out John McGinn.

64'

64' Attempt missed.George Hemmings (Aston Villa)’s left foot shot.Ibrahim Mbaye with a cross following a corner assists.

63'

63' Corner, Aston Villa.Conceded by Stephen Mfuni.

61'

61' Ross Barkley (Aston Villa) foul.

61'

61' Yann Gboho (Coventry City) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

61'

61' Aaron Wan-Bissaka (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

61'

61' Yann Gboho (Coventry City) foul.

59'

59' Goal! Coventry City 1, Aston Villa 3.Tammy Abraham (Aston Villa)’s right foot shot.Ross Barkley following a corner assists.

59'

59' Corner, Aston Villa.Conceded by Yann Gboho.

58'

58' Ibrahim Mbaye (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

58'

58' Caleb Yirenkyi (Coventry City) foul.

58'

58' Substitution, Coventry City.Substituton in Ellis Simms,Substitution out Sidiki Cherif.

57'

57' Substitution, Coventry City.Substituton in Loum Tchaouna,Substitution out Tatsuhiro Sakamoto.

56'

56' Corner, Aston Villa.Conceded by Gustavo Hamer.

54'

54' Tammy Abraham (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

54'

54' Tatsuhiro Sakamoto (Coventry City) foul.

52'

52' Offside, Coventry City.Stephen Mfuni is caught offside.

51'

51' Attempt missed.Gustavo Hamer (Coventry City)’s right foot shot.Victor Torp following a corner assists.

51'

51' Attempt blocked.Victor Torp (Coventry City)’s right foot shot.

50'

50' Corner, Coventry City.Conceded by Tyrone Mings.

49'

49' Tyrone Mings (Aston Villa) foul.

49'

49' Tatsuhiro Sakamoto (Coventry City) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

48'

48' John McGinn (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

48'

48' Stephen Mfuni (Coventry City) foul.

48'

48' Attempt missed.Caleb Yirenkyi (Coventry City)’s right foot shot.

47'

47' Offside, Aston Villa.Ibrahim Mbaye is caught offside.

46'

46' Yellow card by Caleb Yirenkyi (Coventry City) for handball.

46'

46' Handball by Caleb Yirenkyi (Coventry City).

45'+5'

45'+5' First Half ends, Coventry City 1, Aston Villa 2.

45'+5'

45'+5' Corner, Aston Villa.Conceded by Dan Bentley.

45'+4'

45'+4' George Hemmings (Aston Villa) gets a free kick on the left wing.

45'+4'

45'+4' Bobby Thomas (Coventry City) foul.

45'+4'

45'+4' Fourth official has announced 4 minutes of added time.

45'+1'

45'+1' Attempt blocked.Tammy Abraham (Aston Villa)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.John McGinn assists.

45'+1'

45'+1' Attempt blocked.John McGinn (Aston Villa)’s left foot shot.Ibrahim Mbaye assists.

45'

45' Second Half begins Coventry City 1, Aston Villa 2.

45'

45' Substitution, Aston Villa.Substituton in Zion Suzuki,Substitution out Marco Bizot because of an injury.

45'

45' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Sidiki Cherif (Coventry City)’s right foot shot from from a difficult angle on the right in the bottom right corner by Marco Bizot (Coventry City).Tatsuhiro Sakamoto assists.

44'

44' George Hemmings (Aston Villa) foul.

44'

44' Tatsuhiro Sakamoto (Coventry City) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

43'

43' Yellow card by Aaron Wan-Bissaka (Aston Villa).

42'

42' Lamare Bogarde (Aston Villa) foul.

42'

42' Gustavo Hamer (Coventry City) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

41'

41' Lamare Bogarde (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

41'

41' Caleb Yirenkyi (Coventry City) foul.

40'

40' Goal! Coventry City 1, Aston Villa 2.Ross Barkley (Aston Villa)’s header from very close range to the bottom left corner.Ibrahim Mbaye with a cross following a corner assists.

39'

39' Corner, Aston Villa.Conceded by Dan Bentley.

39'

39' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Ross Barkley (Aston Villa)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom left corner by Dan Bentley (Aston Villa).Matteo Ruggeri assists.

37'

37' Taylor Harwood-Bellis (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

37'

37' Gustavo Hamer (Coventry City) foul.

37'

37' Attempt saved.Ibrahim Mbaye (Aston Villa)’s right foot shot is saved in the bottom left corner by Dan Bentley (Aston Villa).Aaron Wan-Bissaka with a cross assists.

35'

35' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Yann Gboho (Coventry City)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the box in the top centre of the goal by Marco Bizot (Coventry City).Caleb Yirenkyi assists.

33'

33' Attempt missed.John McGinn (Aston Villa)’s left foot shot misses to the right.

33'

33' Attempt blocked.Ibrahim Mbaye (Aston Villa)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.John McGinn assists.

32'

32' Attempt missed.Gustavo Hamer (Coventry City)’s right foot shot.Yann Gboho assists.

32'

32' Attempt blocked.Sidiki Cherif (Coventry City)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.

32'

32' Attempt blocked.Sidiki Cherif (Coventry City)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Gustavo Hamer assists.

30'

30' John McGinn (Aston Villa) foul.

30'

30' Stephen Mfuni (Coventry City) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

29'

29' John McGinn (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

29'

29' Caleb Yirenkyi (Coventry City) foul.

28'

28' Attempt missed.Sidiki Cherif (Coventry City)’s right foot shot.Caleb Yirenkyi assists.

27'

27' Goal! Coventry City 1, Aston Villa 1.Victor Torp (Coventry City) from a free kick with a’s right foot shot.

26'

26' Yellow card by Ross Barkley (Aston Villa) for a bad foul.

26'

26' Ross Barkley (Aston Villa) foul.

26'

26' Caleb Yirenkyi (Coventry City) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

24'

24' Attempt saved.Taylor Harwood-Bellis (Aston Villa)’s header from the centre of the box is saved in the top left corner by Dan Bentley (Aston Villa).John McGinn assists.

23'

23' Yellow card by Stephen Mfuni (Coventry City) for a bad foul.

23'

23' Ibrahim Mbaye (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

23'

23' Stephen Mfuni (Coventry City) foul.

22'

22' Lamare Bogarde (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

22'

22' Caleb Yirenkyi (Coventry City) foul.

17'

17' Ibrahim Mbaye (Aston Villa) foul.

17'

17' Stephen Mfuni (Coventry City) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

17'

17' Attempt blocked.Matteo Ruggeri (Aston Villa)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.John McGinn with a cross assists.

16'

16' Corner, Aston Villa.Conceded by Joel Latibeaudiere.

16'

16' Attempt blocked.George Hemmings (Aston Villa)’s right foot shot.Ibrahim Mbaye assists.

15'

15' Attempt missed.Victor Torp (Coventry City)’s left foot shot.

14'

14' George Hemmings (Aston Villa) foul.

14'

14' Tatsuhiro Sakamoto (Coventry City) gets a free kick on the right wing.

12'

12' Substitution, Coventry City.Substituton in Ethan Pinnock,Substitution out Aurèle Amenda because of an injury.

12'

12' Delay over.The match resumes.

9' The match delays because Aurèle Amenda (Coventry City) injured.

7' Goal! Coventry City 0, Aston Villa 1.Tammy Abraham (Aston Villa)’s right foot shot to the bottom right corner.George Hemmings with a through ball assists.

4' John McGinn (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

4' Caleb Yirenkyi (Coventry City) foul.

3' Corner, Aston Villa.Conceded by Stephen Mfuni.

1' Victor Torp (Coventry City) foul.

1' John McGinn (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

2 wins

17%

1 draws

9 wins

75%

3-2