Carabao Cup - Round 3

Chelsea

09 Sep

6 - 3

Full time

Leeds United

HT: 0-1FT: 6-3

Cole Palmer53’ (P), 55’

23’Tarik Muharemovic

Pedro Neto60’

48’Brenden Aaronson

Danny Welbeck65’, 90’+4

75’Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Valentin Barco80’

HOME

60%

DRAW

23%

AWAY

17%

AI Insights

True AI

73%

Better pick

Over 2.5

Total Goals

Confidence HighMarkets 3Risk Low

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

3.8Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

9.2Corners/match

9.26.94.62.3

015’45’90’

Total Goals (Line 2.5)

O/U

73%High

Over 73%Under 27%

Both teams score

BTTS

72%Yes · High

Chelsea85%

Leeds United85%

Chance each side scores at least once; BTTS = both do.

1x2

True AI

Home

Chelsea Win

60%

Draw

23%

Away

Leeds United Win

17%

The Home team is favoured at 60%.

Handicap

True AI

Leeds United+1.25

52%

Chelsea−1.25

47%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Leeds United +1.25

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Chelsea and Leeds United.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

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Prediction last updated: 02 Nov 2026, 23:31 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time6-3

0-1

23’

Tarik Muharemovic

Harry Wilson

+1 minute of added time

Reggie Watson

45’+1

HT 0-1

Pedro NetoEstêvão Willian Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves

45’

Reece JamesReggie Watson

45’

Morgan RogersMalo Gusto

45’

Cole PalmerJamie Gittens

45’

0-2

48’

Brenden Aaronson

Lukas Nmecha

Cole Palmer

53’

1-2

Cole PalmerMorgan Rogers

55’

2-2

Pedro NetoMorgan Rogers

60’

3-2

Danny WelbeckMorgan Rogers

65’

4-2

66’

Anton StachDaniel James

66’

Dominic Calvert-LewinLukas Nmecha

67’

Ao TanakaSean Longstaff

67’

Noah OkaforBrenden Aaronson

4-3

75’

Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Noah Okafor

Wesley FofanaLevi Colwill

76’

78’

Gabriel GudmundssonMelvin Bard

Valentin Barco

80’

5-3

Xabier Alonso Olano

82’

+6 minute of added time

Danny WelbeckValentin Barco

90’+4

6-3

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+7'

90'+7' Second Half ends, Chelsea 6, Leeds United 3.

90'+6'

90'+6' Offside, Chelsea.Cole Palmer is caught offside.

90'+4'

90'+4' Goal! Chelsea 6, Leeds United 3.Danny Welbeck (Chelsea)’s header from the centre of the box to the centre of the goal.Valentín Barco assists.

90'+4'

90'+4' Attempt missed.Valentín Barco (Chelsea)’s left foot shot.Cole Palmer assists.

90'+3'

90'+3' Attempt missed.Cole Palmer (Chelsea)’s left foot shot.Morgan Rogers assists.

90'+3'

90'+3' Attempt missed.Cole Palmer (Chelsea)’s left foot shot.

90'+1'

90'+1' Offside, Leeds United.Harry Wilson is caught offside.

90'+1'

90'+1' Fourth official has announced 6 minutes of added time.

90'

90' Corner, Chelsea.Conceded by James Justin.

89'

89' Attempt missed.Ao Tanaka (Leeds United)’s right foot shot is close, but misses to the right.Noah Okafor with a cross assists.

89'

89' Attempt missed.Ao Tanaka (Leeds United)’s right foot shot.

87'

87' Cole Palmer (Chelsea) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

87'

87' Gabriel Gudmundsson (Leeds United) foul.

86'

86' Attempt blocked.Gabriel Gudmundsson (Leeds United)’s left foot shot.

83'

83' Attempt blocked.Ao Tanaka (Leeds United)’s right foot shot.Anton Stach assists.

83'

83' Attempt blocked.Ao Tanaka (Leeds United)’s right foot shot.

83'

83' Attempt blocked.Anton Stach (Leeds United)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Gabriel Gudmundsson assists.

80'

80' Goal! Chelsea 5, Leeds United 3.Valentín Barco (Chelsea)’s left foot shot.

78'

78' Substitution, Leeds United.Substituton in Gabriel Gudmundsson,Substitution out Melvin Bard.

78'

78' Ethan Ampadu (Leeds United) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

78'

78' Morgan Rogers (Chelsea) foul.

76'

76' Substitution, Chelsea.Substituton in Wesley Fofana,Substitution out Levi Colwill.

75'

75' Goal! Chelsea 4, Leeds United 3.Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds United)’s right foot shot to the centre of the goal.Noah Okafor assists.

73'

73' Attempt blocked.Anton Stach (Leeds United)’s left foot shot.Jaka Bijol assists.

73'

73' Corner, Leeds United.Conceded by Pep Chavarría.

71'

71' Offside, Chelsea.Morgan Rogers is caught offside.

69'

69' Attempt missed.Cole Palmer (Chelsea)’s left foot shot.

68'

68' Attempt missed.Ao Tanaka (Leeds United)’s right foot shot.

68'

68' Attempt blocked.Ao Tanaka (Leeds United)’s right foot shot.

68'

68' Attempt blocked.Ao Tanaka (Leeds United)’s right foot shot.Dominic Calvert-Lewin with a headed pass assists.

67'

67' Substitution, Leeds United.Substituton in Ao Tanaka,Substitution out Sean Longstaff.

67'

67' Substitution, Leeds United.Substituton in Noah Okafor,Substitution out Brenden Aaronson.

66'

66' Substitution, Leeds United.Substituton in Dominic Calvert-Lewin,Substitution out Lukas Nmecha.

66'

66' Substitution, Leeds United.Substituton in Anton Stach,Substitution out Daniel James.

65'

65' Goal! Chelsea 4, Leeds United 2.Danny Welbeck (Chelsea)’s right foot shot to the centre of the goal.Morgan Rogers assists.

64'

64' Danny Welbeck (Chelsea) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

64'

64' Sean Longstaff (Leeds United) foul.

63'

63' Maxence Lacroix (Chelsea) foul.

63'

63' Lukas Nmecha (Leeds United) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

62'

62' Attempt blocked.Cole Palmer (Chelsea)’s left foot shot.

61'

61' Valentín Barco (Chelsea) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

61'

61' Ethan Ampadu (Leeds United) foul.

60'

60' Goal! Chelsea 3, Leeds United 2.Pedro Neto (Chelsea)’s left foot shot.Morgan Rogers assists.

57'

57' Josh Acheampong (Chelsea) foul.

57'

57' Brenden Aaronson (Leeds United) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

57'

57' Attempt missed.Reece James (Chelsea)’s right foot shot is close, but misses to the left.Cole Palmer assists.

57'

57' Attempt missed.Reece James (Chelsea)’s right foot shot.Cole Palmer assists.

55'

55' Goal! Chelsea 2, Leeds United 2.Cole Palmer (Chelsea)’s left foot shot.Morgan Rogers assists.

55'

55' Cole Palmer (Chelsea) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

55'

55' Melvin Bard (Leeds United) foul.

53'

53' Goal! Chelsea 1, Leeds United 2.Cole Palmer (Chelsea) takes a penalty kick with a’s left foot shot.

52'

52' Penalty Chelsea.Pep Chavarría draws a foul in the penalty area.

52'

52' Daniel James (Leeds United) after a foul in the penalty area conceded the penalty.

49'

49' Valentín Barco (Chelsea) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

49'

49' Daniel James (Leeds United) foul.

48'

48' Goal! Chelsea 0, Leeds United 2.Brenden Aaronson (Leeds United)’s right foot shot to the bottom left corner.Lukas Nmecha assists.

47'

47' Morgan Rogers (Chelsea) foul.

47'

47' James Justin (Leeds United) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

45'+2'

45'+2' First Half ends, Chelsea 0, Leeds United 1.

45'+1'

45'+1' Attempt blocked.Daniel James (Leeds United)’s right foot shot.Tarik Muharemovic assists.

45'+1'

45'+1' Yellow card by Reggie Watson (Chelsea) for a bad foul.

45'+1'

45'+1' Fourth official has announced 1 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Substitution, Chelsea.Substituton in Pedro Neto,Substitution out Estêvão.

45'

45' Substitution, Chelsea.Substituton in Cole Palmer,Substitution out Jamie Gittens.

45'

45' Substitution, Chelsea.Substituton in Morgan Rogers,Substitution out Malo Gusto.

45'

45' Second Half begins Chelsea 0, Leeds United 1.

45'

45' Substitution, Chelsea.Substituton in Reece James,Substitution out Reggie Watson.

42'

42' Corner, Chelsea.Conceded by Jaka Bijol.

42'

42' Attempt blocked.Danny Welbeck (Chelsea)’s right foot shot.Estêvão assists.

40'

40' Attempt missed.Valentín Barco (Chelsea)’s right foot shot.

40'

40' Corner, Chelsea.Conceded by Michael Zetterer.

40'

40' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Jamie Gittens (Chelsea)’s left foot shot from from a difficult angle on the left in the top left corner by Michael Zetterer (Chelsea).Pep Chavarría with a headed pass assists.

38'

38' Jamie Gittens (Chelsea) foul.

38'

38' Sean Longstaff (Leeds United) gets a free kick on the right wing.

38'

38' Valentín Barco (Chelsea) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

38'

38' Melvin Bard (Leeds United) foul.

36'

36' Attempt missed.Tarik Muharemovic (Leeds United)’s header from the left side of the six yard box is close, but misses to the right.Harry Wilson with a cross following a corner assists.

36'

36' Corner, Leeds United.Conceded by Levi Colwill.

35'

35' Attempt blocked.Valentín Barco (Chelsea)’s right foot shot.Jamie Gittens assists.

31'

31' Danny Welbeck (Chelsea) foul.

31'

31' Michael Zetterer (Leeds United) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

30'

30' Attempt missed.Sean Longstaff (Leeds United)’s right foot shot is too high.

30'

30' Attempt blocked.James Justin (Leeds United)’s header from the centre of the box Defensive player blocked.Daniel James with a cross assists.

25'

25' Valentín Barco (Chelsea) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

25'

25' Lukas Nmecha (Leeds United) foul.

23'

23' Goal! Chelsea 0, Leeds United 1.Tarik Muharemovic (Leeds United)’s header from the left side of the six yard box to the high centre of the goal.Harry Wilson with a cross following a corner assists.

22'

22' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Brenden Aaronson (Leeds United)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the six yard box in the centre of the goal by Mike Penders (Leeds United).Tarik Muharemovic assists.

22'

22' Attempt blocked.Tarik Muharemovic (Leeds United)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.

22'

22' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Brenden Aaronson (Leeds United)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the six yard box in the centre of the goal by Mike Penders (Leeds United).

22'

22' Attempt saved.Tarik Muharemovic (Leeds United)’s header from very close range is saved in the top centre of the goal by Mike Penders (Leeds United).

22'

22' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Brenden Aaronson (Leeds United)’s right foot shot from from very close range in the centre of the goal by Mike Penders (Leeds United).Tarik Muharemovic assists.

22'

22' Attempt blocked.Tarik Muharemovic (Leeds United)’s left foot shot.

22'

22' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Brenden Aaronson (Leeds United)’s right foot shot from from very close range in the centre of the goal by Mike Penders (Leeds United).

22'

22' Corner, Leeds United.Conceded by Mike Penders.

22'

22' Attempt missed.Brenden Aaronson (Leeds United)’s left foot shot.

22'

22' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Brenden Aaronson (Leeds United)’s right foot shot from from very close range.

20'

20' Attempt saved.Jaka Bijol (Leeds United)’s header from the left side of the box is saved in the bottom left corner by Mike Penders (Leeds United).Harry Wilson assists.

20'

20' Attempt saved.Jaka Bijol (Leeds United)’s header from the left side of the box is saved in the bottom left corner.Harry Wilson assists.

19'

19' Corner, Leeds United.Conceded by Valentín Barco.

8' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Jamie Gittens (Chelsea)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Michael Zetterer (Chelsea).Pep Chavarría assists.

8' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Jamie Gittens (Chelsea)’s right foot shot from from outside the box.

3' Jamie Gittens (Chelsea) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

3' James Justin (Leeds United) foul.

2' Maxence Lacroix (Chelsea) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

2' Ethan Ampadu (Leeds United) foul.

HEAD TO HEAD

13 wins

45%

8 draws

28%

8 wins

27%