Championship - Round 4

Burnley

02 Sep

1 - 1

Full time

Middlesbrough

HT: 0-1FT: 1-1

Ugo Raghouber54’

23’Aidan Morris

HOME

32%

DRAW

26%

AWAY

42%

AI Insights

True AI

52%

Better pick

Burnley +0.25

Handicap

Confidence LowMarkets 2Risk High

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Total Corners

9.8Corners/match

9.87.34.92.4

015’45’90’

1x2

True AI

Home

Burnley Win

32%

Draw

26%

Away

Middlesbrough Win

42%

The Away team has the slight advantage but it's less than 50% — a balanced match.

Handicap

True AI

Burnley+0.25

52%

Middlesbrough−0.25

47%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Burnley +0.25

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Burnley and Middlesbrough.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

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Prediction last updated: 29 Oct 2026, 10:28 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time1-1

0-1

23’

Aidan Morris

Sebastian Berhalter

Hannibal Mejbri

28’

39’

will lankshear

+3 minute of added time

HT 0-1

Largie RamazaniAndréas Hountondji

45’

Max AlleyneHannibal Mejbri

45’

Ugo RaghouberZeki Amdouni

54’

1-1

61’

Tommy ConwayRiley McGree

61’

Leo CastledineKyle Joseph

71’

Alfie Jones

Aaron RamseyZeki Amdouni

71’

74’

Ashley PhillipsAlfie Jones

Armando BrojaJacob Bruun Larsen

77’

Mike TrésorDastan Satpaev

81’

87’

David Strelecwill lankshear

+3 minute of added time

Ugo Raghouber

90’+1

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+4'

90'+4' Second Half ends, Burnley 1, Middlesbrough 1.

90'+3'

90'+3' Attempt missed.Largie Ramazani (Burnley)’s right foot shot.

90'+1'

90'+1' Fourth official has announced 3 minutes of added time.

90'+1'

90'+1' Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

90'+1'

90'+1' Yellow card by Ugo Raghouber (Burnley) for a bad foul.

89'

89' Leo Castledine (Middlesbrough) foul.

89'

89' Armando Broja (Burnley) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

87'

87' Substitution, Middlesbrough.Substituton in David Strelec,Substitution out Will Lankshear.

85'

85' Adilson Malanda (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

85'

85' Aaron Ramsey (Burnley) foul.

81'

81' Offside, Middlesbrough.Luke Ayling is caught offside.

80'

80' Sebastian Berhalter (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

80'

80' Largie Ramazani (Burnley) foul.

79'

79' Attempt missed.Aaron Ramsey (Burnley)’s right foot shot.Dastan Satpaev assists.

79'

79' Attempt blocked.Sebastian Berhalter (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot.Neto Borges assists.

77'

77' Attempt missed.Ashley Phillips (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot.Sebastian Berhalter with a cross following a corner assists.

77'

77' Substitution, Burnley.Substituton in Armando Broja,Substitution out Jacob Bruun Larsen.

76'

76' Corner, Middlesbrough.Conceded by Oliver Sonne.

76'

76' Attempt blocked.Neto Borges (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot.Adilson Malanda assists.

74'

74' Substitution, Middlesbrough.Substituton in Ashley Phillips,Substitution out Alfie Jones.

72'

72' Connor Roberts (Burnley) foul.

72'

72' Leo Castledine (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

71'

71' Substitution, Burnley.Substituton in Aaron Ramsey,Substitution out Zeki Amdouni.

71'

71' Yellow card by Alfie Jones (Middlesbrough) for a bad foul.

70'

70' Alfie Jones (Middlesbrough) foul.

70'

70' Dastan Satpaev (Burnley) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

68'

68' Zeki Amdouni (Burnley) foul.

68'

68' Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

67'

67' Offside, Middlesbrough.Will Lankshear is caught offside.

67'

67' Attempt blocked.Sebastian Berhalter (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot.Neto Borges assists.

63'

63' Offside, Burnley.Jacob Bruun Larsen is caught offside.

62'

62' Corner, Burnley.Conceded by Alfie Jones.

61'

61' Substitution, Middlesbrough.Substituton in Tommy Conway,Substitution out Riley McGree.

59'

59' Callum Brittain (Middlesbrough) foul.

59'

59' Zeki Amdouni (Burnley) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

59'

59' Offside, Middlesbrough.Riley McGree is caught offside.

58'

58' Attempt blocked.Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)’s left foot shot.

57'

57' Attempt saved.Dastan Satpaev (Burnley)’s left foot shot is saved in the bottom right corner by Radek Vítek (Burnley).Largie Ramazani assists.

54'

54' Goal! Burnley 1, Middlesbrough 1.Ugo Raghouber (Burnley)’s left foot shot.Zeki Amdouni assists.

52'

52' Attempt missed.Adilson Malanda (Middlesbrough)’s header from the centre of the box is high and wide to the left.Sebastian Berhalter following a set piece situation assists.

51'

51' Zeki Amdouni (Burnley) foul.

51'

51' Luke Ayling (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

49'

49' Corner, Burnley.Conceded by Neto Borges.

48'

48' Kyle Joseph (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

48'

48' Largie Ramazani (Burnley) foul.

45'+4'

45'+4' First Half ends, Burnley 0, Middlesbrough 1.

45'+3'

45'+3' Attempt missed.Riley McGree (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot.Will Lankshear assists.

45'+2'

45'+2' Offside, Middlesbrough.Will Lankshear is caught offside.

45'+1'

45'+1' Fourth official has announced 3 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Second Half begins Burnley 0, Middlesbrough 1.

44'

44' Hannibal Mejbri (Burnley) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

44'

44' Sebastian Berhalter (Middlesbrough) foul.

43'

43' Offside, Middlesbrough.Kyle Joseph is caught offside.

43'

43' Attempt missed.Kyle Joseph (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot.

42'

42' Offside, Burnley.Andréas Hountondji is caught offside.

41'

41' Corner, Burnley.Conceded by Luke Ayling.

40'

40' The match delays because Hannibal Mejbri (Burnley) injured.

39'

39' Yellow card by Will Lankshear (Middlesbrough) for a bad foul.

39'

39' The match delays because Hannibal Mejbri (Burnley) injured.

37'

37' Offside, Middlesbrough.Will Lankshear is caught offside.

37'

37' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Adilson Malanda (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Max Weiss (Middlesbrough).Aidan Morris assists.

36'

36' Radek Vítek (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

36'

36' Dastan Satpaev (Burnley) foul.

31'

31' Sebastian Berhalter (Middlesbrough) foul.

31'

31' Hannibal Mejbri (Burnley) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

28'

28' Kyle Joseph (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

28'

28' Yellow card by Hannibal Mejbri (Burnley) for a bad foul.

26'

26' Attempt missed.Anel Ahmedhodzic (Burnley)’s header from the centre of the box is just a bit too high.Hannibal Mejbri with a cross following a set piece situation assists.

25'

25' Neto Borges (Middlesbrough) foul.

25'

25' Oliver Sonne (Burnley) gets a free kick on the right wing.

23'

23' Goal! Burnley 0, Middlesbrough 1.Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot.Sebastian Berhalter assists.

17'

17' Attempt blocked.Ugo Raghouber (Burnley)’s left foot shot.

17'

17' Corner, Burnley.Conceded by Riley McGree.

16'

16' Corner, Burnley.Conceded by Callum Brittain.

15'

15' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Dastan Satpaev (Burnley)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom right corner by Radek Vítek (Burnley).Zeki Amdouni assists.

13'

13' Sebastian Berhalter (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

13'

13' Hannibal Mejbri (Burnley) foul.

12'

12' Attempt missed.Callum Brittain (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot.

7' Hannibal Mejbri (Burnley) foul.

7' Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

6' Attempt missed.Zeki Amdouni (Burnley)’s right foot shot.Connor Roberts assists.

4' Will Lankshear (Middlesbrough) foul.

4' Hjalmar Ekdal (Burnley) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

3' Attempt missed.Will Lankshear (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot is close, but misses to the left.Radek Vítek assists.