Championship - Round 8

Burnley

19 Sep

1 - 1

Full time

Derby County

HT: 1-0FT: 1-1

Zeki Amdouni34’

90’+3Mohammed Fuseini

HOME

51%

DRAW

25%

AWAY

24%

AI Insights

True AI

51%

Better pick

Burnley Win

1x2

Confidence LowMarkets 1Risk High

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Total Corners

10.2Corners/match

10.27.65.12.5

015’45’90’

1x2

True AI

Home

Burnley Win

51%

Draw

25%

Away

Derby County Win

24%

The Home team is favoured at 51%.

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Burnley and Derby County.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

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Prediction last updated: 28 Oct 2026, 15:43 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time1-1

Igor Júlio

31’

Zeki AmdouniLucas Pires Silva

34’

1-0

+2 minute of added time

HT 1-0

Anel Ahmedhodzic

56’

Largie RamazaniMarcus Edwards

61’

Ugo RaghouberReo Hatate

61’

66’

Oscar FrauloAlex Mowatt

66’

Mohammed FuseiniRyan Hedges

67’

D. Ozoh

Josh Laurent

68’

Jamie VardyZeki Amdouni

73’

Andréas HountondjiJacob Bruun Larsen

73’

78’

Rhian BrewsterD. Ozoh

82’

Corey Blackett-TaylorCharlie Taylor

Ugo Raghouber

86’

87’

Corey Blackett-Taylor

Oliver SonneLucas Pires Silva

89’

+5 minute of added time

1-1

90’+3

Mohammed Fuseini

Rhian Brewster

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+6'

90'+6' Second Half ends, Burnley 1, Derby County 1.

90'+5'

90'+5' Attempt blocked.Sam Szmodics (Derby County)’s left foot shot.Oscar Fraulo assists.

90'+3'

90'+3' Goal! Burnley 1, Derby County 1.Mohammed Fuseini (Derby County)’s right foot shot.Rhian Brewster following a fast break assists.

90'+1'

90'+1' Corner, Derby County.Conceded by Largie Ramazani.

90'+1'

90'+1' Fourth official has announced 5 minutes of added time.

90'

90' Attempt blocked.Sam Szmodics (Derby County)’s right foot shot.Corey Blackett-Taylor with a cross assists.

89'

89' Substitution, Burnley.Substituton in Oliver Sonne,Substitution out Lucas Pires.

87'

87' Yellow card by Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby County).

87'

87' Jamie Vardy (Burnley) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

87'

87' Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby County) foul.

86'

86' Yellow card by Ugo Raghouber (Burnley) for a bad foul.

86'

86' Ugo Raghouber (Burnley) foul.

86'

86' Oscar Fraulo (Derby County) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

82'

82' Delay over.The match resumes.

82'

82' Substitution, Derby County.Substituton in Corey Blackett-Taylor,Substitution out Charlie Taylor because of an injury.

80'

80' The match delays because Charlie Taylor (Derby County) injured.

79'

79' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Joe Ward (Derby County)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the box in the centre of the goal by Grégoire Coudert (Derby County).Mohammed Fuseini assists.

78'

78' Corner, Derby County.Conceded by Lucas Pires.

78'

78' Substitution, Derby County.Substituton in Rhian Brewster,Substitution out David Ozoh.

77'

77' Josh Laurent (Burnley) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

77'

77' Oscar Fraulo (Derby County) foul.

77'

77' Attempt blocked.Mohammed Fuseini (Derby County)’s left foot shot.Oscar Fraulo assists.

77'

77' Attempt blocked.Bobby Clark (Derby County)’s left foot shot.

76'

76' Corner, Derby County.Conceded by Grégoire Coudert.

76'

76' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Bobby Clark (Derby County)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom right corner by Grégoire Coudert (Derby County).Sam Szmodics assists.

73'

73' Substitution, Burnley.Substituton in Andréas Hountondji,Substitution out Jacob Bruun Larsen.

73'

73' Substitution, Burnley.Substituton in Jamie Vardy,Substitution out Zeki Amdouni.

72'

72' Zeki Amdouni (Burnley) foul.

72'

72' Carlton Morris (Derby County) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

71'

71' Corner, Burnley.Conceded by Charlie Taylor.

71'

71' Attempt blocked.Largie Ramazani (Burnley)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.Connor Roberts assists.

71'

71' Attempt blocked.Largie Ramazani (Burnley)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.Zeki Amdouni assists.

70'

70' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Zeki Amdouni (Burnley)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom right corner by Josh Vickers (Burnley).Lucas Pires assists.

70'

70' Attempt blocked.Largie Ramazani (Burnley)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.Jacob Bruun Larsen assists.

69'

69' Ugo Raghouber (Burnley) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

69'

69' Oscar Fraulo (Derby County) foul.

68'

68' Yellow card by Josh Laurent (Burnley).

68'

68' Josh Laurent (Burnley) foul.

68'

68' Charlie Taylor (Derby County) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

67'

67' Yellow card by David Ozoh (Derby County) for a bad foul.

66'

66' Anel Ahmedhodzic (Burnley) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

66'

66' David Ozoh (Derby County) foul.

66'

66' Substitution, Derby County.Substituton in Mohammed Fuseini,Substitution out Ryan Hedges.

66'

66' Substitution, Derby County.Substituton in Oscar Fraulo,Substitution out Alex Mowatt.

62'

62' Zeki Amdouni (Burnley) foul.

62'

62' Joe Ward (Derby County) gets a free kick on the right wing.

61'

61' Substitution, Burnley.Substituton in Ugo Raghouber,Substitution out Reo Hatate.

61'

61' Substitution, Burnley.Substituton in Largie Ramazani,Substitution out Marcus Edwards.

60'

60' Attempt missed.Ryan Hedges (Derby County)’s left foot shot is close, but misses to the right.

58'

58' Offside, Burnley.Josh Laurent is caught offside.

58'

58' Offside, Derby County.Bobby Clark is caught offside.

56'

56' Yellow card by Anel Ahmedhodzic (Burnley) for a bad foul.

56'

56' Anel Ahmedhodzic (Burnley) foul.

56'

56' Bobby Clark (Derby County) gets a free kick on the left wing.

54'

54' Anel Ahmedhodzic (Burnley) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

54'

54' Ryan Hedges (Derby County) foul.

50'

50' Marcus Edwards (Burnley) foul.

50'

50' Bobby Clark (Derby County) gets a free kick on the left wing.

47'

47' Attempt missed.Sam Szmodics (Derby County)’s right foot shot.

46'

46' Corner, Derby County.Conceded by Grégoire Coudert.

46'

46' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves David Ozoh (Derby County)’s left foot shot from from the left side of the box in the bottom left corner by Grégoire Coudert (Derby County).Bobby Clark assists.

45'+2'

45'+2' First Half ends, Burnley 1, Derby County 0.

45'+1'

45'+1' Fourth official has announced 2 minutes of added time.

45'+1'

45'+1' Josh Laurent (Burnley) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

45'+1'

45'+1' David Ozoh (Derby County) foul.

45'

45' Second Half begins Burnley 1, Derby County 0.

45'

45' Connor Roberts (Burnley) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

45'

45' Carlton Morris (Derby County) foul.

44'

44' Attempt blocked.Bobby Clark (Derby County)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Ryan Hedges with a cross assists.

44'

44' Offside, Burnley.Josh Laurent is caught offside.

43'

43' Handball by Carlton Morris (Derby County).

42'

42' Corner, Derby County.Conceded by Anel Ahmedhodzic.

42'

42' Attempt blocked.Sam Szmodics (Derby County)’s right foot shot.Carlton Morris assists.

42'

42' Attempt blocked.Ryan Hedges (Derby County)’s right foot shot.

39'

39' Connor Roberts (Burnley) foul.

39'

39' Bobby Clark (Derby County) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

37'

37' Connor Roberts (Burnley) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

37'

37' Charlie Taylor (Derby County) foul.

34'

34' Goal! Burnley 1, Derby County 0.Zeki Amdouni (Burnley)’s header from very close range to the high centre of the goal.Lucas Pires with a cross following a corner assists.

33'

33' Corner, Burnley.Conceded by Bobby Clark.

32'

32' Josh Laurent (Burnley) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

32'

32' Carlton Morris (Derby County) foul.

31'

31' Yellow card by Igor Julio (Burnley) for a bad foul.

31'

31' Igor Julio (Burnley) foul.

31'

31' Sam Szmodics (Derby County) gets a free kick in the defensive half.