Championship - Round 12

Bolton Wanderers

23 Oct

1 - 5

Full time

Middlesbrough

HT: 1-3FT: 1-5

Thelonius Bair45’+2

13’Aidan Morris

31’, 78’will lankshear

39’ (OG)Lewis Brunt

73’Amario Cozier-Duberry

HOME

19%

DRAW

22%

AWAY

59%

AI Insights

True AI

62%

Better pick

BTTS Yes

BTTS

Confidence HighMarkets 3Risk Medium

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

3.1Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

9.8Corners/match

9.87.44.92.5

015’45’90’

Total Goals (Line 2.5)

O/U

60%Medium

Over 60%Under 40%

Both teams score

BTTS

62%Yes · High

Bolton Wanderers79%

Middlesbrough79%

Chance each side scores at least once; BTTS = both do.

1x2

True AI

Home

Bolton Wanderers Win

19%

Draw

22%

Away

Middlesbrough Win

59%

The Away team is favoured at 59%.

Handicap

True AI

Bolton Wanderers+1.0

51%

Middlesbrough−1.0

49%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Bolton Wanderers +1.0

Total Goals

True AI

Under 3.5

62%

Over 2.5

60%

Under 3

51%

Over 3

49%

Most likely: Under 3.5 (62%)

Total Corners

True AI

Over 8.5

65%

Under 10.5

60%

Over 9.5

52%

Under 9.5

48%

Most likely: Over 8.5 (65%)

Correct Score

True AI

BOL / MID	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	0 - 03.8%	0 - 19.0%	0 - 29.5%	0 - 36.6%	0 - 43.3%	0 - 50.0%
1	1 - 04.6%	1 - 110.5%	1 - 211.7%	1 - 38.6%	1 - 44.6%	1 - 50.0%
2	2 - 02.7%	2 - 16.2%	2 - 26.9%	2 - 35.4%	2 - 42.9%	2 - 50.0%
3	3 - 00.8%	3 - 12.3%	3 - 22.7%	3 - 32.3%	3 - 41.1%	3 - 50.0%
4	4 - 00.1%	4 - 10.5%	4 - 20.7%	4 - 30.5%	4 - 40.2%	4 - 50.0%
5	5 - 00.0%	5 - 10.0%	5 - 20.0%	5 - 30.0%	5 - 40.0%	5 - 50.0%

Most likely scores: 1-2 (11.7%), 1-1 (10.5%), 0-2 (9.5%)

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Bolton Wanderers and Middlesbrough.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.

See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 01 Nov 2026, 05:47 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time1-5

Start0-0

0-1

13’

Aidan Morris

Amario Cozier-Duberry

0-2

31’

will lankshear

Tommy Conway

0-3

39’

Lewis Brunt

+2 minute of added time

Thelonius BairGaizka Larrazabal

45’+2

1-3

HT 1-3

Max ConwayAkin Famewo

45’

Atsuki ItoRuben Rodrigues

45’

Ryan HardieEthan Erhahon

55’

Sam DalbyThelonius Bair

55’

Josh Sheehan

63’

69’

Max ArfstenTommy Conway

1-4

73’

Amario Cozier-Duberry

Riley McGree

Xavier SimonsKyliane Dong

74’

1-5

78’

will lankshear

Riley McGree

79’

Leo CastledineRiley McGree

79’

Jeremy SarmientoAmario Cozier-Duberry

79’

Kyle Josephwill lankshear

86’

Myles Peart-HarrisSebastian Berhalter

+3 minute of added time

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+4'

90'+4' Second Half ends, Bolton Wanderers 1, Middlesbrough 5.

90'+3'

90'+3' Ashley Phillips (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

90'+3'

90'+3' Sam Dalby (Bolton Wanderers) foul.

90'+3'

90'+3' Jeremy Sarmiento (Middlesbrough) foul.

90'+3'

90'+3' Max Conway (Bolton Wanderers) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

90'

90' Fourth official has announced 3 minutes of added time.

90'

90' Jeremy Sarmiento (Middlesbrough) foul.

90'

90' Max Conway (Bolton Wanderers) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

89'

89' Attempt missed.Neto Borges (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot.

88'

88' Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

88'

88' Atsuki Ito (Bolton Wanderers) foul.

86'

86' Substitution, Middlesbrough.Substituton in Myles Peart-Harris,Substitution out Sebastian Berhalter.

86'

86' Ashley Phillips (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick on the right wing.

86'

86' Max Conway (Bolton Wanderers) foul.

84'

84' Attempt missed.Sebastian Berhalter (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot.Neto Borges assists.

83'

83' Attempt blocked.Max Arfsten (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot.Leo Castledine assists.

80'

80' Attempt missed.Ryan Hardie (Bolton Wanderers)’s left foot shot.

80'

80' Attempt blocked.Xavier Simons (Bolton Wanderers)’s right foot shot.

79'

79' Substitution, Middlesbrough.Substituton in Kyle Joseph,Substitution out Will Lankshear.

79'

79' Substitution, Middlesbrough.Substituton in Jeremy Sarmiento,Substitution out Amario Cozier-Duberry.

79'

79' Substitution, Middlesbrough.Substituton in Leo Castledine,Substitution out Riley McGree.

78'

78' Goal! Bolton Wanderers 1, Middlesbrough 5.Will Lankshear (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot to the bottom right corner.Riley McGree following a fast break assists.

74'

74' Substitution, Bolton Wanderers.Substituton in Xavier Simons,Substitution out Kyliane Dong.

73'

73' Goal! Bolton Wanderers 1, Middlesbrough 4.Amario Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot to the high centre of the goal.Riley McGree assists.

71'

71' Will Lankshear (Middlesbrough) foul.

71'

71' Eoin Toal (Bolton Wanderers) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

70'

70' Attempt missed.Max Conway (Bolton Wanderers)’s left foot shot.Thierry Gale assists.

69'

69' Substitution, Middlesbrough.Substituton in Max Arfsten,Substitution out Tommy Conway.

69'

69' Attempt missed.Amario Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot.Aidan Morris following a corner assists.

68'

68' Corner, Middlesbrough.Conceded by Gavin Bazunu.

68'

68' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Will Lankshear (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot from from the left side of the box in the bottom left corner by Gavin Bazunu (Middlesbrough).Aidan Morris with a through ball assists.

67'

67' Attempt missed.Adilson Malanda (Middlesbrough)’s header from the centre of the box is close, but misses to the right.Sebastian Berhalter with a cross assists.

65'

65' Corner, Middlesbrough.Conceded by Gavin Bazunu.

65'

65' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the top centre of the goal by Gavin Bazunu (Middlesbrough).

64'

64' Corner, Middlesbrough.Conceded by Ryan Hardie.

63'

63' Yellow card by Josh Sheehan (Bolton Wanderers).

63'

63' Ashley Phillips (Middlesbrough) foul.

63'

63' Sam Dalby (Bolton Wanderers) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

63'

63' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Will Lankshear (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the box in the bottom left corner by Gavin Bazunu (Middlesbrough).Tommy Conway assists.

61'

61' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Amario Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Gavin Bazunu (Middlesbrough).Sebastian Berhalter assists.

59'

59' Corner, Bolton Wanderers.Conceded by Adilson Malanda.

55'

55' Substitution, Bolton Wanderers.Substituton in Ryan Hardie,Substitution out Ethan Erhahon because of an injury.

55'

55' Substitution, Bolton Wanderers.Substituton in Sam Dalby,Substitution out Theo Bair.

55'

55' Delay over.The match resumes.

53'

53' The match delays because Ethan Erhahon (Bolton Wanderers) injured.

52'

52' Handball by Ethan Erhahon (Bolton Wanderers).

51'

51' Offside, Middlesbrough.Will Lankshear is caught offside.

48'

48' Riley McGree (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

48'

48' Ethan Erhahon (Bolton Wanderers) foul.

48'

48' Adilson Malanda (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

48'

48' Theo Bair (Bolton Wanderers) foul.

46'

46' Attempt saved.Kyliane Dong (Bolton Wanderers)’s left foot shot is saved in the centre of the goal by Radek Vítek (Bolton Wanderers).Thierry Gale assists.

46'

46' Offside, Middlesbrough.Amario Cozier-Duberry is caught offside.

45'+3'

45'+3' First Half ends, Bolton Wanderers 1, Middlesbrough 3.

45'+2'

45'+2' Goal! Bolton Wanderers 1, Middlesbrough 3.Theo Bair (Bolton Wanderers)’s right foot shot to the bottom left corner.Gaizka Larrazabal assists.

45'+2'

45'+2' Attempt blocked.Kyliane Dong (Bolton Wanderers)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Gaizka Larrazabal assists.

45'+2'

45'+2' Attempt missed.Rúben Rodrigues (Bolton Wanderers)’s right foot shot misses to the right.

45'+2'

45'+2' Attempt blocked.Thierry Gale (Bolton Wanderers)’s right foot shot.Rúben Rodrigues assists.

45'+1'

45'+1' Amario Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough) foul.

45'+1'

45'+1' Ethan Erhahon (Bolton Wanderers) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

45'+1'

45'+1' Attempt blocked.Will Lankshear (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot.Riley McGree assists.

45'+1'

45'+1' Fourth official has announced 2 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Second Half begins Bolton Wanderers 1, Middlesbrough 3.

45'

45' Substitution, Bolton Wanderers.Substituton in Atsuki Ito,Substitution out Rúben Rodrigues.

45'

45' Substitution, Bolton Wanderers.Substituton in Max Conway,Substitution out Akin Famewo.

45'

45' Will Lankshear (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

45'

45' Ethan Erhahon (Bolton Wanderers) foul.

42'

42' Attempt blocked.Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot.Aidan Morris assists.

41'

41' Corner, Middlesbrough.Conceded by Lewis Brunt.

41'

41' Attempt blocked.Ashley Phillips (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot.

39'

39' Own Goal by Lewis Brunt, Bolton Wanderers.Bolton Wanderers 0, Middlesbrough 3.

39'

39' Attempt missed.Adilson Malanda (Middlesbrough)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the left.Sebastian Berhalter with a cross following a corner assists.

39'

39' Corner, Middlesbrough.Conceded by Eoin Toal.

39'

39' Attempt blocked.Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Will Lankshear with a cross assists.

38'

38' Riley McGree (Middlesbrough) foul.

38'

38' Josh Sheehan (Bolton Wanderers) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

37'

37' Corner, Middlesbrough.Conceded by Lewis Brunt.

33'

33' Will Lankshear (Middlesbrough) foul.

33'

33' Josh Sheehan (Bolton Wanderers) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

31'

31' Goal! Bolton Wanderers 0, Middlesbrough 2.Will Lankshear (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot.Tommy Conway following a corner assists.

30'

30' Corner, Middlesbrough.Conceded by Gavin Bazunu.

30'

30' Attempt saved.Will Lankshear (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot is saved in the centre of the goal by Gavin Bazunu (Middlesbrough).Neto Borges assists.

30'

30' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Callum Brittain (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot from from a difficult angle on the right in the centre of the goal by Gavin Bazunu (Middlesbrough).Riley McGree assists.

28'

28' Offside, Middlesbrough.Tommy Conway is caught offside.

27'

27' Attempt missed.Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot.Tommy Conway assists.

26'

26' Corner, Middlesbrough.Conceded by Kyliane Dong.

25'

25' Corner, Middlesbrough.Conceded by Gavin Bazunu.

25'

25' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Amario Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the box in the bottom left corner by Gavin Bazunu (Middlesbrough).Riley McGree assists.

24'

24' Corner, Bolton Wanderers.Conceded by Neto Borges.

23'

23' Attempt missed.Riley McGree (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot.Aidan Morris following a corner assists.

22'

22' Corner, Middlesbrough.Conceded by Eoin Toal.

22'

22' Attempt blocked.Amario Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot.Riley McGree assists.

21'

21' Corner, Middlesbrough.Conceded by Eoin Toal.

21'

21' Attempt blocked.Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot.Sebastian Berhalter assists.

20'

20' Attempt missed.Theo Bair (Bolton Wanderers)’s right foot shot.Rúben Rodrigues assists.

17'

17' Attempt missed.Josh Sheehan (Bolton Wanderers)’s right foot shot.Akin Famewo assists.

17'

17' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Rúben Rodrigues (Bolton Wanderers)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the top centre of the goal by Radek Vítek (Bolton Wanderers).Kyliane Dong assists.

15'

15' Will Lankshear (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

15'

15' Josh Sheehan (Bolton Wanderers) foul.

13'

13' Goal! Bolton Wanderers 0, Middlesbrough 1.Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot.Amario Cozier-Duberry assists.

13'

13' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Rúben Rodrigues (Bolton Wanderers)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom left corner by Radek Vítek (Bolton Wanderers).Gaizka Larrazabal with a through ball assists.

12'

12' Attempt blocked.Callum Brittain (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot.

12'

12' Attempt blocked.Amario Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot.Callum Brittain assists.

10'

10' Attempt blocked.Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot.Callum Brittain assists.

9' Neto Borges (Middlesbrough) foul.

9' Kyliane Dong (Bolton Wanderers) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

9' Attempt blocked.Sebastian Berhalter (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.Tommy Conway assists.

9' Neto Borges (Middlesbrough) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

9' Kyliane Dong (Bolton Wanderers) foul.

7' Offside, Middlesbrough.Tommy Conway is caught offside.

6' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Riley McGree (Middlesbrough)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the top centre of the goal by Gavin Bazunu (Middlesbrough).Callum Brittain assists.

3' Sebastian Berhalter (Middlesbrough) foul.

3' Ethan Erhahon (Bolton Wanderers) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

2' Attempt missed.Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough)’s left foot shot.

1' Corner, Middlesbrough.Conceded by Akin Famewo.

HEAD TO HEAD

6 wins

20%

7 draws

23%

17 wins

57%

3-0