La Liga - Round 7

Atletico Madrid

20 Sep

2 - 1

Full time

Real Madrid

121

HT: 0-0FT: 2-1

Alejandro Grimaldo53’ (P)

89’Antonio Rüdiger

Jonathan David59’

HOME

27%

DRAW

25%

AWAY

48%

AI Insights

True AI

53%

Better pick

Atletico Madrid +0.5

Handicap

Confidence LowMarkets 2Risk High

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

1x2

True AI

Home

Atletico Madrid Win

27%

Draw

25%

Away

Real Madrid Win

48%

The Away team has the slight advantage but it's less than 50% — a balanced match.

Handicap

True AI

Atletico Madrid+0.5

53%

Real Madrid−0.5

46%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Atletico Madrid +0.5

Total Goals

True AI

Over 2.5

74%

Over 3

61%

Over 3.5

61%

Under 3

39%

Most likely: Over 2.5 (74%)

Total Corners

True AI

Over 8.5

67%

Over 9.5

66%

Over 10.5

53%

Under 10.5

47%

Most likely: Over 8.5 (67%)

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.

See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 30 Oct 2026, 06:29 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time2-1

+6 minute of added time

2-1

89’

Antonio Rüdiger

Bernardo Silva

Morten HjulmandLee Kang-In

89’

Robin Le NormandCristian Romero

89’

82’

Bernardo SilvaJude Bellingham

78’

Jude Bellingham

71’

Eduardo CamavingaAurelien Tchouameni

Ademola LookmanAlejandro Baena Rodríguez

67’

Julián ÁlvarezJonathan David

62’

Jonathan DavidGiuliano Simeone Baldini

59’

2-0

54’

Yan DiomandeVinícius

54’

Antonio RüdigerArda Güler

Alejandro Grimaldo

53’

1-0

52’

51’

49’

45’

HT 0-0

+3 minute of added time

38’

38’

35’

6’

Start0-0

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+7'

90'+7' Second Half ends, Atletico Madrid 2, Real Madrid 1.

90'+3'

90'+3' Alejandro Grimaldo (Atletico Madrid) foul.

90'+3'

90'+3' Bernardo Silva (Real Madrid) gets a free kick on the right wing.

90'+2'

90'+2' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Koke (Atletico Madrid)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom right corner by Thibaut Courtois (Atletico Madrid).Morten Hjulmand assists.

90'+1'

90'+1' Julián Alvarez (Atletico Madrid) foul.

90'+1'

90'+1' Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

90'

90' Fourth official has announced 6 minutes of added time.

90'

90' Attempt missed.Julián Alvarez (Atletico Madrid)’s left foot shot misses to the right.Marcos Llorente assists.

89'

89' Goal! Atletico Madrid 2, Real Madrid 1.Antonio Rüdiger (Real Madrid)’s header from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner.Bernardo Silva with a cross following a set piece situation assists.

89'

89' Substitution, Atletico Madrid.Substituton in Morten Hjulmand,Substitution out Lee Kang-In.

89'

89' Substitution, Atletico Madrid.Substituton in Robin Le Normand,Substitution out Cristian Romero.

89'

89' Lee Kang-In (Atletico Madrid) foul.

89'

89' Yan Diomande (Real Madrid) gets a free kick on the left wing.

85'

85' Marcos Llorente (Atletico Madrid) foul.

85'

85' Yan Diomande (Real Madrid) gets a free kick on the left wing.

84'

84' Corner, Atletico Madrid.Conceded by Eduardo Camavinga.

84'

84' Attempt blocked.Dávid Hancko (Atletico Madrid)’s left foot shot.Koke with a cross assists.

84'

84' Corner, Atletico Madrid.Conceded by Antonio Rüdiger.

84'

84' Attempt blocked.Dávid Hancko (Atletico Madrid)’s left foot shot.Ademola Lookman assists.

82'

82' Substitution, Real Madrid.Substituton in Bernardo Silva,Substitution out Jude Bellingham.

81'

81' Lee Kang-In (Atletico Madrid) foul.

81'

81' Yan Diomande (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

78'

78' Yellow card by Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) for a bad foul.

78'

78' Julián Alvarez (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

78'

78' Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) foul.

77'

77' Julián Alvarez (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

77'

77' Ibrahima Konaté (Real Madrid) foul.

77'

77' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Yan Diomande (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Jan Oblak (Real Madrid).

77'

77' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Julián Alvarez (Atletico Madrid)’s left foot shot from from the left side of the box in the centre of the goal by Thibaut Courtois (Atletico Madrid).Ademola Lookman assists.

74'

74' Giuliano Simeone (Atletico Madrid) foul.

74'

74' Yan Diomande (Real Madrid) gets a free kick on the left wing.

71'

71' Substitution, Real Madrid.Substituton in Eduardo Camavinga,Substitution out Aurélien Tchouaméni.

68'

68' Offside, Real Madrid.Yan Diomande is caught offside.

68'

68' Giuliano Simeone (Atletico Madrid) foul.

68'

68' Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

67'

67' Substitution, Atletico Madrid.Substituton in Ademola Lookman,Substitution out Álex Baena.

66'

66' Lee Kang-In (Atletico Madrid) foul.

66'

66' Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

66'

66' Attempt blocked.Dávid Hancko (Atletico Madrid)’s header from a difficult angle on the right Defensive player blocked.

66'

66' Attempt blocked.Julián Alvarez (Atletico Madrid)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Koke assists.

66'

66' Attempt saved.Cristian Romero (Atletico Madrid)’s header from the centre of the box is saved in the top left corner by Thibaut Courtois (Atletico Madrid).Dávid Hancko with a headed pass assists.

65'

65' Corner, Atletico Madrid.Conceded by Denzel Dumfries.

65'

65' Attempt blocked.Alejandro Grimaldo (Atletico Madrid)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.

65'

65' Attempt missed.Johnny Cardoso (Atletico Madrid)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the left.

62'

62' Substitution, Atletico Madrid.Substituton in Julián Alvarez,Substitution out Jonathan David.

59'

59' Goal! Atletico Madrid 2, Real Madrid 0.Jonathan David (Atletico Madrid)’s left foot shot to the high centre of the goal.Giuliano Simeone with a cross assists.

57'

57' Alejandro Grimaldo (Atletico Madrid) foul.

57'

57' Yan Diomande (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

56'

56' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Lee Kang-In (Atletico Madrid)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the top centre of the goal by Thibaut Courtois (Atletico Madrid).Koke assists.

56'

56' Delay over.The match resumes.

56'

56' The match delays (Atletico Madrid).

54'

54' Substitution, Real Madrid.Substituton in Yan Diomande,Substitution out Vinícius Júnior.

54'

54' Substitution, Real Madrid.Substituton in Antonio Rüdiger,Substitution out Arda Güler.

53'

53' Goal! Atletico Madrid 1, Real Madrid 0.Alejandro Grimaldo (Atletico Madrid) takes a penalty kick with a’s left foot shot.

52'

52' Red card by Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid).

51'

51' VAR Decision: Card upgraded Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid).

49'

49' Yellow card by Denzel Dumfries (Real Madrid).

49'

49' Penalty Atletico Madrid.Giuliano Simeone draws a foul in the penalty area.

49'

49' Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid) after a foul in the penalty area conceded the penalty.

47'

47' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Álex Baena (Atletico Madrid)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the top right corner by Thibaut Courtois (Atletico Madrid).Marcos Llorente assists.

45'+3'

45'+3' First Half ends, Atletico Madrid 0, Real Madrid 0.

45'+3'

45'+3' Handball by Giuliano Simeone (Atletico Madrid).

45'+1'

45'+1' Offside, Real Madrid.Kylian Mbappé is caught offside.

45'

45' Substitution, Atletico Madrid.Substituton in Koke,Substitution out Marc Pubill.

45'

45' Second Half begins Atletico Madrid 0, Real Madrid 0.

45'

45' Fourth official has announced 3 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Giuliano Simeone (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

45'

45' Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid) foul.

45'

45' Lee Kang-In (Atletico Madrid) foul.

45'

45' Federico Valverde (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

42'

42' Álex Baena (Atletico Madrid) foul.

42'

42' Arda Güler (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

42'

42' Lee Kang-In (Atletico Madrid) foul.

42'

42' Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

41'

41' Cristian Romero (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

41'

41' Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) foul.

40'

40' Attempt blocked.Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.Jude Bellingham assists.

40'

40' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Arda Güler (Real Madrid)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the top centre of the goal by Jan Oblak (Real Madrid).Denzel Dumfries assists.

38'

38' Yellow card by Cristian Romero (Atletico Madrid) for a bad foul.

38'

38' VAR Decision: Card upgraded Cristian Romero (Atletico Madrid).

36'

36' Cristian Romero (Atletico Madrid) foul.

36'

36' Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

35'

35' Yellow card by Marc Pubill (Atletico Madrid) for a bad foul.

35'

35' Marc Pubill (Atletico Madrid) foul.

35'

35' Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

33'

33' Attempt blocked.Lee Kang-In (Atletico Madrid)’s left foot shot.Marcos Llorente assists.

32'

32' Attempt blocked.Dávid Hancko (Atletico Madrid)’s left foot shot.Jonathan David assists.

26'

26' Attempt missed.Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.Jude Bellingham assists.

24'

24' Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

24'

24' Giuliano Simeone (Atletico Madrid) foul.

23'

23' Attempt missed.Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid)’s left foot shot.

22'

22' Attempt missed.Giuliano Simeone (Atletico Madrid)’s right foot shot.

21'

21' Attempt missed.Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.Jude Bellingham assists.

18'

18' Arda Güler (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

18'

18' Álex Baena (Atletico Madrid) foul.

15'

15' Attempt missed.Jonathan David (Atletico Madrid)’s header from the left side of the six yard box misses to the right.Lee Kang-In with a cross assists.

10'

10' Offside, Atletico Madrid.Giuliano Simeone is caught offside.

8' Arda Güler (Real Madrid) foul.

8' Álex Baena (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

7' Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

7' Alejandro Grimaldo (Atletico Madrid) foul.

7' Attempt missed.Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid)’s header from the centre of the box is close, but misses to the right.Arda Güler with a cross following a corner assists.

6' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Dávid Hancko.

5' Arda Güler (Real Madrid) gets a free kick on the right wing.

5' Álex Baena (Atletico Madrid) foul.

1' Offside, Atletico Madrid.Jonathan David is caught offside.

HEAD TO HEAD

6 wins

20%

15 draws

50%

9 wins

30%

3-2