MEX Liga MX - Round 14

Atlas

25 Oct

4 - 3

Full time

Puebla

113

HT: 1-1FT: 4-3

Florián Monzón1’

20’L. Hernández

Kevin Zenon63’

60’ (OG)Jorge Sánchez

José Martín68’, 79’

84’Omar Moreno

HOME

59%

DRAW

24%

AWAY

18%

AI Insights

True AI

63%

Better pick

BTTS Yes

BTTS

Confidence HighMarkets 3Risk Medium

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

3.2Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

11.3Corners/match

11.38.45.62.8

015’45’90’

Total Goals (Line 2.5)

O/U

61%Medium

Over 61%Under 39%

Both teams score

BTTS

63%Yes · High

Atlas79%

Puebla79%

Chance each side scores at least once; BTTS = both do.

1x2

True AI

Home

Atlas Win

59%

Draw

24%

Away

Puebla Win

18%

The Home team is favoured at 59%.

Handicap

True AI

Puebla+0.75

51%

Atlas−0.75

50%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Puebla +0.75

Total Goals

True AI

Over 2.5

61%

Under 3.5

61%

Over 3

50%

Under 3

50%

Most likely: Over 2.5 (61%)

Total Corners

True AI

Over 8.5

79%

Over 9.5

69%

Over 10.5

57%

Under 10.5

43%

Most likely: Over 8.5 (79%)

Correct Score

True AI

ATL / PUE	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	0 - 07.8%	0 - 16.6%	0 - 22.7%	0 - 30.5%	0 - 40.1%	0 - 50.0%
1	1 - 014.0%	1 - 112.8%	1 - 25.6%	1 - 31.5%	1 - 40.2%	1 - 50.0%
2	2 - 012.3%	2 - 112.2%	2 - 25.8%	2 - 31.7%	2 - 40.2%	2 - 50.0%
3	3 - 07.2%	3 - 17.5%	3 - 23.8%	3 - 31.1%	3 - 40.1%	3 - 50.0%
4	4 - 02.9%	4 - 13.3%	4 - 21.7%	4 - 30.5%	4 - 40.1%	4 - 50.0%
5	5 - 00.0%	5 - 10.0%	5 - 20.0%	5 - 30.0%	5 - 40.0%	5 - 50.0%

Most likely scores: 1-0 (14.0%), 1-1 (12.8%), 2-0 (12.3%)

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Atlas and Puebla.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

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See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 26 Oct 2026, 08:33 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time4-3

+8 minute of added time

88’

Mathías Adrián Tomás BorgesAlejandro Organista

84’

Omar Moreno

Alejandro Organista

83’

Oscar VillaFernando Monarrez

83’

José PachucaIker Moreno

83’

Kevin VelascoBrayan Garnica

79’

4-2

78’

Alonso Ramirez

75’

72’

Alonso Ramirez

68’

3-2

67’

Eduardo MustreL. Hernández

63’

2-2

60’

Jorge Sánchez

HT 1-1

+4 minute of added time

45’

42’

22’

Alejandro Organista

20’

L. Hernández

1’

1-0

Start0-0

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+9'

90'+9' Second Half ends, Atlas 4, Puebla 3.

90'+8'

90'+8' Corner, Atlas.Conceded by Mathías Tomás.

90'+6'

90'+6' Offside, Atlas.Kevin Zenón is caught offside.

90'+2'

90'+2' Attempt missed.Omar Moreno (Puebla)’s right foot shot.Eduardo Mustre assists.

90'+1'

90'+1' Attempt missed.Kevin Zenón (Atlas)’s left foot shot.José Martín assists.

90'

90' Fourth official has announced 8 minutes of added time.

89'

89' Milton Valenzuela (Atlas) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

89'

89' Kevin Velasco (Puebla) foul.

88'

88' Substitution, Puebla.Substituton in Mathías Tomás,Substitution out Alejandro Organista.

84'

84' Goal! Atlas 4, Puebla 3.Omar Moreno (Puebla)’s right foot shot.Alejandro Organista assists.

83'

83' Substitution, Puebla.Substituton in Kevin Velasco,Substitution out Brayan Garnica.

83'

83' Substitution, Puebla.Substituton in José Pachuca,Substitution out Iker Moreno.

83'

83' Substitution, Puebla.Substituton in Óscar Villa,Substitution out Fernando Monárrez.

83'

83' Attempt missed.Sergio Hernández (Atlas)’s right foot shot.Milton Valenzuela assists.

79'

79' Goal! Atlas 4, Puebla 2.José Martín (Atlas)’s header from the centre of the box to the bottom right corner.Luís Esteves with a cross following a set piece situation assists.

78'

78' Alonso Ramírez (Puebla) for a bad foul is shown the second yellow card.

78'

78' Kevin Zenón (Atlas) gets a free kick on the left wing.

78'

78' Alonso Ramírez (Puebla) foul.

77'

77' Handball by Sergio Hernández (Atlas).

77'

77' Attempt missed.Luís Esteves (Atlas)’s right foot shot.Kevin Zenón assists.

75'

75' Milton Valenzuela (Atlas) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

75'

75' Brayan Garnica (Puebla) foul.

75'

75' Substitution, Atlas.Substituton in Juan Purata,Substitution out Florián Monzón.

74'

74' Attempt missed.Alonso Ramírez (Puebla)’s right foot shot.Iker Moreno assists.

74'

74' Eduardo Mustre (Puebla) hits the right post with a’s right foot shot.

73'

73' Milton Valenzuela (Atlas) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

73'

73' Eduardo Mustre (Puebla) foul.

72'

72' Yellow card by Alonso Ramírez (Puebla) for a bad foul.

72'

72' Sergio Hernández (Atlas) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

72'

72' Alonso Ramírez (Puebla) foul.

71'

71' Luís Esteves (Atlas) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

71'

71' Eduardo Armenta (Puebla) foul.

70'

70' Milton Valenzuela (Atlas) foul.

70'

70' Alonso Ramírez (Puebla) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

68'

68' Goal! Atlas 3, Puebla 2.José Martín (Atlas)’s right foot shot to the top left corner.Kevin Zenón assists.

67'

67' Attempt missed.Juan Vargas (Puebla)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the left.Fernando Monárrez following a set piece situation assists.

67'

67' Substitution, Puebla.Substituton in Eduardo Mustre,Substitution out Luifer Hernández.

67'

67' Substitution, Atlas.Substituton in Milton Valenzuela,Substitution out Jorge Rodríguez.

67'

67' Substitution, Atlas.Substituton in José Martín,Substitution out Paulo Ramírez.

66'

66' Sergio Hernández (Atlas) foul.

66'

66' Alonso Ramírez (Puebla) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

65'

65' Attempt missed.Luís Esteves (Atlas)’s right foot shot.Paulo Ramírez with a headed pass following a corner assists.

64'

64' Corner, Atlas.Conceded by Juan Vargas.

63'

63' Goal! Atlas 2, Puebla 2.Kevin Zenón (Atlas)’s left foot shot.Luís Esteves with a cross assists.

62'

62' Jorge Rodríguez (Atlas) gets a free kick on the left wing.

62'

62' Alejandro Organista (Puebla) foul.

60'

60' Own Goal by Jorge Sánchez, Atlas.Atlas 1, Puebla 2.

59'

59' Corner, Puebla.Conceded by Luís Esteves.

59'

59' Delay over.The match resumes.

58'

58' The match delays because Ricardo Gutiérrez (Puebla) injured.

57'

57' Offside, Atlas.Kevin Zenón is caught offside.

56'

56' Édgar Zaldívar (Atlas) gets a free kick on the right wing.

56'

56' Alejandro Organista (Puebla) foul.

55'

55' Jorge Rodríguez (Atlas) gets a free kick on the left wing.

55'

55' Brayan Garnica (Puebla) foul.

55'

55' Attempt saved.Luifer Hernández (Puebla)’s right foot shot is saved in the bottom left corner by Camilo Vargas (Puebla).Brayan Garnica with a cross assists.

50'

50' Corner, Puebla.Conceded by Jorge Rodríguez.

49'

49' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Kevin Zenón (Atlas)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Ricardo Gutiérrez (Atlas).

48'

48' Jorge Sánchez (Atlas) gets a free kick on the right wing.

48'

48' Fernando Monárrez (Puebla) foul.

48'

48' Attempt missed.Fernando Monárrez (Puebla)’s left foot shot.

47'

47' Luís Esteves (Atlas) foul.

47'

47' Iker Moreno (Puebla) gets a free kick on the right wing.

47'

47' Paulo Ramírez (Atlas) foul.

47'

47' Alonso Ramírez (Puebla) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

45'+5'

45'+5' First Half ends, Atlas 1, Puebla 1.

45'+4'

45'+4' Delay over.The match resumes.

45'+4'

45'+4' The match delays because Ryan Mmaee (Atlas) injured.

45'+4'

45'+4' The match delays because Alonso Ramírez (Puebla) injured.

45'+2'

45'+2' Corner, Puebla.Conceded by Luís Esteves.

45'

45' Substitution, Atlas.Substituton in Sergio Hernández,Substitution out Ryan Mmaee.

45'

45' Second Half begins Atlas 1, Puebla 1.

45'

45' Fourth official has announced 4 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Fourth official has announced 0 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Jorge Sánchez (Atlas) foul.

45'

45' Alonso Ramírez (Puebla) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

42'

42' Substitution, Atlas.Substituton in Édgar Zaldívar,Substitution out Elías Montiel because of an injury.

42'

42' Delay over.The match resumes.

40'

40' The match delays because Elías Montiel (Atlas) injured.

37'

37' Adonis Frías (Atlas) foul.

37'

37' Luifer Hernández (Puebla) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

37'

37' Attempt blocked.Kevin Zenón (Atlas)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.Ryan Mmaee assists.

37'

37' Attempt missed.Ryan Mmaee (Atlas)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the left.Jorge Sánchez with a cross assists.

35'

35' Corner, Atlas.Conceded by Fernando Monárrez.

35'

35' Jorge Rodríguez (Atlas) gets a free kick on the left wing.

35'

35' Brayan Garnica (Puebla) foul.

34'

34' Jorge Sánchez (Atlas) foul.

34'

34' Omar Moreno (Puebla) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

30'

30' Corner, Atlas.Conceded by Juan Vargas.

30'

30' Attempt blocked.Florián Monzón (Atlas)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.

27'

27' Corner, Atlas.Conceded by Fernando Monárrez.

27'

27' Attempt saved.Jorge Sánchez (Atlas)’s header from the left side of the six yard box is saved in the bottom left corner by Ricardo Gutiérrez (Atlas).Kevin Zenón assists.

26'

26' Attempt missed.Kevin Zenón (Atlas)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the left.Luís Esteves with a cross following a corner assists.

26'

26' Corner, Atlas.Conceded by Alonso Ramírez.

24'

24' Attempt missed.Kevin Zenón (Atlas)’s left foot shot.Luís Esteves following a corner assists.

24'

24' Corner, Atlas.Conceded by Facundo Almada.

22'

22' Yellow card by Alejandro Organista (Puebla) for a bad foul.

22'

22' Alejandro Organista (Puebla) foul.

22'

22' Jorge Rodríguez (Atlas) gets a free kick on the left wing.

20'

20' Goal! Atlas 1, Puebla 1.Luifer Hernández (Puebla)’s header from very close range to the bottom left corner.

17'

17' Alonso Ramírez (Puebla) foul.

17'

17' Kevin Zenón (Atlas) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

14'

14' Attempt missed.Alejandro Organista (Puebla)’s right foot shot.Fernando Monárrez assists.

14'

14' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Eduardo Armenta (Puebla)’s left foot shot from from the left side of the box in the bottom left corner by Camilo Vargas (Puebla).Luifer Hernández assists.

11'

11' Attempt missed.Ryan Mmaee (Atlas)’s left foot shot.Jorge Sánchez assists.

10'

10' Attempt blocked.Luifer Hernández (Puebla)’s left foot shot.Fernando Monárrez assists.

4' Attempt missed.Eduardo Armenta (Puebla)’s header from the centre of the box is close, but misses to the right.Brayan Garnica with a cross assists.

3' Luís Esteves (Atlas) foul.

3' Omar Moreno (Puebla) gets a free kick on the left wing.

1' Goal! Atlas 1, Puebla 0.Florián Monzón (Atlas)’s right foot shot to the top right corner.Jorge Rodríguez with a cross assists.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

15 wins

50%

5 draws