Premier League - Round 4

Aston Villa

12 Sep

1 - 2

Full time

Nott'm Forest

HT: 0-0FT: 1-2

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha74’

46’Liam Delap

88’Igor Jesus

HOME

43%

DRAW

28%

AWAY

29%

AI Insights

True AI

50%

Better pick

Aston Villa −0.25

Handicap

Confidence LowMarkets 2Risk High

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

1x2

True AI

Home

Aston Villa Win

43%

Draw

28%

Away

Nott'm Forest Win

29%

The Home team has the slight advantage but it's less than 50% — a balanced match.

Handicap

True AI

Aston Villa−0.25

50%

Nott'm Forest+0.25

50%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Aston Villa −0.25

Total Goals

True AI

Over 2.5

73%

Under 3

64%

Under 3.5

64%

Over 3

36%

Most likely: Over 2.5 (73%)

Total Corners

True AI

Over 8.5

80%

Over 9.5

68%

Over 10.5

53%

Under 10.5

47%

Most likely: Over 8.5 (80%)

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.

See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 28 Oct 2026, 20:09 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time1-2

Tyrone MingsPau Torres

25’

43’

Dan Ndoye

+4 minute of added time

45’+3

Murillo Santiago

HT 0-0

Nicolas Jackson

45’

Alysson Edward Franco da RochaGeorge Hemmings

45’

Tammy AbrahamNicolas Jackson

45’

0-1

46’

Liam Delap

Murillo Santiago

56’

Xaver Schlager

Johan ManzambiRoss Barkley

63’

Ibrahim MbayeEmiliano Buendía

63’

Alysson Edward Franco da RochaJohn McGinn

74’

1-1

74’

Liam Delap

75’

Igor JesusDan Ndoye

80’

James Mcatee

82’

Ibrahim SangaréJames Mcatee

1-2

88’

Igor Jesus

Morgan Gibbs-White

+6 minute of added time

90’+1

Chris WoodLiam Delap

Tyrone Mings

90’+5

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+7'

90'+7' Second Half ends, Aston Villa 1, Nottingham Forest 2.

90'+7'

90'+7' Attempt missed.Tyrone Mings (Aston Villa)’s header from the centre of the box misses to the left.Ibrahim Mbaye with a cross assists.

90'+6'

90'+6' Attempt missed.Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest)’s right foot shot.

90'+5'

90'+5' Yellow card by Tyrone Mings (Aston Villa) for a bad foul.

90'+5'

90'+5' Tyrone Mings (Aston Villa) foul.

90'+5'

90'+5' Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

90'+4'

90'+4' Zion Suzuki (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

90'+4'

90'+4' Murillo (Nottingham Forest) foul.

90'+3'

90'+3' Corner, Nottingham Forest.Conceded by Boubacar Kamara.

90'+2'

90'+2' Ola Aina (Nottingham Forest) foul.

90'+2'

90'+2' John McGinn (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

90'+2'

90'+2' Chris Wood (Nottingham Forest) foul.

90'+2'

90'+2' John McGinn (Aston Villa) gets a free kick on the left wing.

90'+1'

90'+1' Substitution, Nottingham Forest.Substituton in Chris Wood,Substitution out Liam Delap.

90'+1'

90'+1' Fourth official has announced 6 minutes of added time.

90'

90' Attempt missed.Ibrahim Sangaré (Nottingham Forest)’s right foot shot.

88'

88' Goal! Aston Villa 1, Nottingham Forest 2.Igor Jesus (Nottingham Forest)’s right foot shot to the bottom left corner.Morgan Gibbs-White assists.

88'

88' Goal! Aston Villa 1, Nottingham Forest 2.Igor Jesus (Nottingham Forest)’s right foot shot.

87'

87' Liam Delap (Nottingham Forest) gets a free kick on the left wing.

87'

87' Victor Lindelöf (Aston Villa) foul.

86'

86' Attempt missed.Neco Williams (Nottingham Forest)’s left foot shot.

86'

86' Attempt saved.Xaver Schlager (Nottingham Forest)’s header from the centre of the box is saved in the bottom left corner by Zion Suzuki (Nottingham Forest).Daniel Muñoz with a cross assists.

85'

85' Attempt saved.Daniel Muñoz (Nottingham Forest)’s header from the right side of the six yard box is saved in the top right corner by Zion Suzuki (Nottingham Forest).Neco Williams with a cross assists.

85'

85' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Daniel Muñoz (Nottingham Forest)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the six yard box.

83'

83' Ian Maatsen went off injured after Aston Villa had used all subs.

83'

83' Delay over.The match resumes.

82'

82' Delay over.The match resumes.

82'

82' Substitution, Nottingham Forest.Substituton in Ibrahim Sangaré,Substitution out James McAtee.

80'

80' The match delays because Ian Maatsen (Aston Villa) injured.

80'

80' Yellow card by James McAtee (Nottingham Forest) for a bad foul.

80'

80' Attempt missed.Liam Delap (Nottingham Forest)’s right foot shot.Igor Jesus following a fast break assists.

80'

80' Attempt missed.Liam Delap (Nottingham Forest)’s right foot shot.

79'

79' Attempt blocked.Liam Delap (Nottingham Forest) with an attempt from the centre of the box Defensive player blocked.Morgan Gibbs-White with a cross assists.

77'

77' Attempt missed.James McAtee (Nottingham Forest)’s left foot shot.Morgan Gibbs-White following a set piece situation assists.

77'

77' Attempt missed.James McAtee (Nottingham Forest)’s left foot shot.

76'

76' Boubacar Kamara (Aston Villa) foul.

76'

76' Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest) gets a free kick on the right wing.

75'

75' Ibrahim Mbaye (Aston Villa) foul.

75'

75' Ola Aina (Nottingham Forest) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

75'

75' Substitution, Nottingham Forest.Substituton in Igor Jesus,Substitution out Dan Ndoye.

75'

75' Yellow card by Liam Delap (Nottingham Forest).

74'

74' Goal! Aston Villa 1, Nottingham Forest 1.Alysson (Aston Villa)’s header from the centre of the box to the bottom right corner.John McGinn with a cross following a corner assists.

73'

73' Corner, Aston Villa.Conceded by Matz Sels.

73'

73' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Ibrahim Mbaye (Aston Villa)’s right foot shot from from the left side of the box in the top left corner by Matz Sels (Aston Villa).John McGinn assists.

72'

72' Alysson (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

72'

72' Murillo (Nottingham Forest) foul.

69'

69' Aaron Wan-Bissaka (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

69'

69' Dan Ndoye (Nottingham Forest) foul.

69'

69' Attempt blocked.Dan Ndoye (Nottingham Forest)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.James McAtee assists.

66'

66' James McAtee (Nottingham Forest) foul.

66'

66' Liam Delap (Nottingham Forest) foul.

66'

66' John McGinn (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

65'

65' Offside, Nottingham Forest.Liam Delap is caught offside.

63'

63' Substitution, Aston Villa.Substituton in Johan Manzambi,Substitution out Ross Barkley.

63'

63' Substitution, Aston Villa.Substituton in Ibrahim Mbaye,Substitution out Emiliano Buendía.

63'

63' James McAtee (Nottingham Forest) foul.

63'

63' Boubacar Kamara (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

62'

62' Emiliano Buendía (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

62'

62' James McAtee (Nottingham Forest) foul.

61'

61' Attempt missed.Liam Delap (Nottingham Forest)’s header from the right side of the box is close, but misses the top right corner.Daniel Muñoz with a cross assists.

61'

61' Attempt missed.Liam Delap (Nottingham Forest)’s header from the centre of the box.

61'

61' Attempt blocked.Dan Ndoye (Nottingham Forest)’s right foot shot Defensive player blocked.Liam Delap assists.

59'

59' Attempt missed.Dan Ndoye (Nottingham Forest)’s header from the centre of the box is high and wide to the right.Morgan Gibbs-White with a cross assists.

58'

58' Attempt missed.Liam Delap (Nottingham Forest)’s right foot shot.Dan Ndoye assists.

58'

58' Attempt missed.Liam Delap (Nottingham Forest)’s right foot shot misses to the right.Dan Ndoye assists.

58'

58' Attempt missed.Liam Delap (Nottingham Forest)’s right foot shot.

56'

56' Yellow card by Xaver Schlager (Nottingham Forest) for a bad foul.

56'

56' Xaver Schlager (Nottingham Forest) foul.

56'

56' Ross Barkley (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

55'

55' Attempt missed.Liam Delap (Nottingham Forest)’s right foot shot.Morgan Gibbs-White assists.

55'

55' Attempt missed.Liam Delap (Nottingham Forest)’s right foot shot misses to the right.Morgan Gibbs-White assists.

54'

54' Alysson (Aston Villa) foul.

54'

54' Xaver Schlager (Nottingham Forest) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

52'

52' Offside, Nottingham Forest.Daniel Muñoz is caught offside.

50'

50' Attempt missed.Dan Ndoye (Nottingham Forest)’s right foot shot.Xaver Schlager assists.

50'

50' Attempt missed.Dan Ndoye (Nottingham Forest)’s right foot shot.

46'

46' Goal! Aston Villa 0, Nottingham Forest 1.Liam Delap (Nottingham Forest)’s right foot shot.Murillo assists.

45'+5'

45'+5' First Half ends, Aston Villa 0, Nottingham Forest 0.

45'+3'

45'+3' Yellow card by Murillo (Nottingham Forest) for a bad foul.

45'+3'

45'+3' Murillo (Nottingham Forest) foul.

45'+3'

45'+3' John McGinn (Aston Villa) gets a free kick on the right wing.

45'+2'

45'+2' Attempt missed.Neco Williams (Nottingham Forest)’s right foot shot is high and wide to the right.James McAtee assists.

45'

45' Substitution, Aston Villa.Substituton in Alysson,Substitution out George Hemmings.

45'

45' Second Half begins Aston Villa 0, Nottingham Forest 0.

45'

45' Substitution, Aston Villa.Substituton in Tammy Abraham,Substitution out Nicolas Jackson.

45'

45' Fourth official has announced 4 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Yellow card by Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa).

45'

45' Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa) foul.

45'

45' Ousmane Diomande (Nottingham Forest) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

43'

43' Yellow card by Dan Ndoye (Nottingham Forest) for a bad foul.

43'

43' Tyrone Mings (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

43'

43' Dan Ndoye (Nottingham Forest) foul.

40'

40' John McGinn (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

40'

40' Murillo (Nottingham Forest) foul.

39'

39' George Hemmings (Aston Villa) foul.

39'

39' Dan Ndoye (Nottingham Forest) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

36'

36' Emiliano Buendía (Aston Villa) foul.

36'

36' James McAtee (Nottingham Forest) gets a free kick on the right wing.

35'

35' Attempt saved.Dan Ndoye (Nottingham Forest)’s right foot shot is saved in the bottom right corner by Zion Suzuki (Nottingham Forest).Daniel Muñoz assists.

35'

35' Attempt saved.Dan Ndoye (Nottingham Forest)’s right foot shot is saved in the top right corner by Zion Suzuki (Nottingham Forest).Daniel Muñoz assists.

35'

35' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Dan Ndoye (Nottingham Forest)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the top right corner by Zion Suzuki (Nottingham Forest).Daniel Muñoz assists.

32'

32' Corner, Aston Villa.Conceded by Neco Williams.

32'

32' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Ross Barkley (Aston Villa)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom right corner by Matz Sels (Aston Villa).George Hemmings assists.

31'

31' Delay over.The match resumes.

29'

29' The match delays because Dan Ndoye (Nottingham Forest) injured.

28'

28' Boubacar Kamara (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

28'

28' Xaver Schlager (Nottingham Forest) foul.

28'

28' Emiliano Buendía (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

28'

28' Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest) foul.

25'

25' Delay over.The match resumes.

25'

25' Substitution, Aston Villa.Substituton in Tyrone Mings,Substitution out Pau Torres because of an injury.

23'

23' The match delays because Pau Torres (Aston Villa) injured.

23'

23' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the box in the bottom right corner by Zion Suzuki (Nottingham Forest).Daniel Muñoz assists.

21'

21' Offside, Nottingham Forest.Dan Ndoye is caught offside.

20'

20' Offside, Nottingham Forest.Daniel Muñoz is caught offside.

19'

19' Neco Williams (Nottingham Forest) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

19'

19' Ross Barkley (Aston Villa) foul.

19'

19' Daniel Muñoz (Nottingham Forest) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

19'

19' Corner, Aston Villa.Conceded by Murillo.

17'

17' John McGinn (Aston Villa) gets a free kick on the right wing.

17'

17' John McGinn (Aston Villa) foul.

17'

17' Murillo (Nottingham Forest) foul.

16'

16' Dan Ndoye (Nottingham Forest) foul.

16'

16' Boubacar Kamara (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

16'

16' James McAtee (Nottingham Forest) foul.

16'

16' Attempt missed.Ousmane Diomande (Nottingham Forest)’s left foot shot.Morgan Gibbs-White with a cross following a set piece situation assists.

16'

16' Attempt missed.Ousmane Diomande (Nottingham Forest)’s left foot shot.

15'

15' Ross Barkley (Aston Villa) foul.

15'

15' James McAtee (Nottingham Forest) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

12'

12' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves James McAtee (Nottingham Forest)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Zion Suzuki (Nottingham Forest).Morgan Gibbs-White assists.

12'

12' Ross Barkley (Aston Villa) foul.

12'

12' James McAtee (Nottingham Forest) gets a free kick on the right wing.

10'

10' Corner, Aston Villa.Conceded by Liam Delap.

10'

10' Corner, Aston Villa.Conceded by Ousmane Diomande.

9' Corner, Aston Villa.Conceded by Murillo.

8' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Ian Maatsen (Aston Villa)’s left foot shot from from the left side of the box in the centre of the goal by Matz Sels (Aston Villa).Boubacar Kamara assists.

7' Attempt blocked.Ian Maatsen (Aston Villa)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.Aaron Wan-Bissaka assists.

7' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Victor Lindelöf (Aston Villa)’s right foot shot from from very close range in the centre of the goal by Matz Sels (Aston Villa).

7' Attempt blocked.Ian Maatsen (Aston Villa)’s right foot shot.

7' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Victor Lindelöf (Aston Villa)’s right foot shot from from very close range in the bottom left corner by Matz Sels (Aston Villa).

7' Attempt missed.Victor Lindelöf (Aston Villa)’s left foot shot is close, but misses to the left.

7' Attempt saved.Victor Lindelöf (Aston Villa)’s left foot shot is saved.

6' Corner, Aston Villa.Conceded by James McAtee.

4' Pau Torres (Aston Villa) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

4' Liam Delap (Nottingham Forest) foul.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

10 wins

42%

9 draws

38%

5 wins

20%