HT:
1-0FT:
2-1
Nicolas Jackson6’, 60’
52’Erling Haaland
HOME20%
DRAW21%
AWAY59%
AI Insights
True AI
89%
Better pick
Man City −1.0
Handicap
Confidence HighMarkets 1Risk Low
TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer
Expected Goals
xG3.4Goals/match
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
Expected Total Corners
xC10.9Corners/match
10.98.25.52.7
015’45’90’
1x2
True AI1
Home
Aston Villa Win
20%
2
Draw
21%
3
Away
Man City Win
59%
The Away team is favoured at 59%.
Handicap
True AI1
Man City−1.0
89%
2
Aston Villa+1.0
11%
The bet favored by TrueAI: Man City −1.0
Total Goals
True AI1
Under 3
75%
2
Under 3.5
75%
3
Over 2.5
73%
4
Under 2.5
27%
Most likely: Under 3 (75%)
Total Corners
True AI1
Over 8.5
80%
2
Over 9.5
70%
3
Over 10.5
54%
4
Under 10.5
46%
Most likely: Over 8.5 (80%)
Correct Score
True AI| AST / MAN | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 - 04.3% | 0 - 18.6% | 0 - 29.0% | 0 - 36.2% | 0 - 42.9% | 0 - 50.0% |
| 1 | 1 - 04.6% | 1 - 110.5% | 1 - 211.5% | 1 - 38.2% | 1 - 44.3% | 1 - 50.0% |
| 2 | 2 - 02.3% | 2 - 16.2% | 2 - 27.2% | 2 - 35.4% | 2 - 42.9% | 2 - 50.0% |
| 3 | 3 - 00.7% | 3 - 12.3% | 3 - 22.7% | 3 - 32.3% | 3 - 41.3% | 3 - 50.0% |
| 4 | 4 - 00.1% | 4 - 10.5% | 4 - 20.7% | 4 - 30.5% | 4 - 40.3% | 4 - 50.0% |
| 5 | 5 - 00.0% | 5 - 10.0% | 5 - 20.0% | 5 - 30.0% | 5 - 40.0% | 5 - 50.0% |
Most likely scores: 1-2 (11.5%), 1-1 (10.5%), 0-2 (9.0%)
How this AI prediction is made
TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Aston Villa and Manchester City.
Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.
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Prediction last updated: 02 Nov 2026, 10:22 (UTC)
Stats
Full Time2-1
Start0-0
6’
1-0
32’
38’
+1 minute of added time
HT 1-0
45’
45’
1-1
52’
54’
55’
59’
60’
2-1
66’
66’
69’
74’
76’
82’
82’
83’
+4 minute of added time
90’+5
Goal
Own Goal
Penalty
Penalty missed
Red card
Yellow card
Second yellow
Injury time
Substitution
Var
OffsideStanding
See All#
TeamPGDPTS
Match End.
90'+5' Second Half ends, Aston Villa 2, Manchester City 1.
90'+5' Yellow card by Emiliano Buendía (Aston Villa) for a bad foul.
90'+5' Rico Lewis (Manchester City) gets a free kick in the defensive half.
90'+5' Emiliano Buendía (Aston Villa) foul.
90'+4' Abdukodir Khusanov (Manchester City) foul.
90'+4' Brian Madjo (Aston Villa) gets a free kick on the left wing.
90'+3' Elliot Anderson (Manchester City) foul.
90'+3' Brian Madjo (Aston Villa) gets a free kick on the left wing.
90'+3' Attempt saved.Erling Haaland (Manchester City)’s header from the centre of the box is saved in the bottom right corner by Zion Suzuki (Manchester City).Elliot Anderson assists.
90'+1' Fourth official has announced 4 minutes of added time.
90' Rico Lewis (Manchester City) gets a free kick in the defensive half.
90' Leon Goretzka (Aston Villa) foul.
89' Attempt missed.Jérémy Doku (Manchester City)’s right foot shot.Ryan McAidoo with a cross assists.
89' Attempt blocked.Erling Haaland (Manchester City)’s header from the centre of the box Defensive player blocked.Phil Foden with a cross assists.