Champions League - Round 2

AS Roma

14 Oct

3 - 4

Full time

Real Madrid

HT: 1-1FT: 3-4

Marten de Roon20’

25’Kylian Mbappé

Donyell Malen51’, 57’

83’Carlos Espí

85’Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa

90’Antonio Rüdiger

HOME

27%

DRAW

24%

AWAY

49%

AI Insights

True AI

72%

Better pick

Real Madrid −0.5

Handicap

Confidence HighMarkets 2Risk Low

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

3.4Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

9.5Corners/match

9.57.14.72.4

015’45’90’

1x2

True AI

Home

AS Roma Win

27%

Draw

24%

Away

Real Madrid Win

49%

The Away team has the slight advantage but it's less than 50% — a balanced match.

Handicap

True AI

Real Madrid−0.5

72%

AS Roma+0.5

28%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Real Madrid −0.5

Total Goals

True AI

Over 2.5

78%

Under 3

52%

Under 3.5

52%

Over 3

48%

Most likely: Over 2.5 (78%)

Total Corners

True AI

Under 10.5

65%

Over 8.5

61%

Under 9.5

52%

Over 9.5

48%

Most likely: Under 10.5 (65%)

Correct Score

True AI

ASR / REA	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	0 - 04.3%	0 - 17.8%	0 - 27.2%	0 - 34.3%	0 - 41.9%	0 - 50.0%
1	1 - 05.4%	1 - 111.1%	1 - 211.0%	1 - 36.9%	1 - 43.3%	1 - 50.0%
2	2 - 03.3%	2 - 17.5%	2 - 27.8%	2 - 35.6%	2 - 42.7%	2 - 50.0%
3	3 - 01.3%	3 - 13.3%	3 - 23.8%	3 - 32.7%	3 - 41.5%	3 - 50.0%
4	4 - 00.3%	4 - 10.9%	4 - 21.1%	4 - 30.9%	4 - 40.4%	4 - 50.0%
5	5 - 00.0%	5 - 10.0%	5 - 20.0%	5 - 30.0%	5 - 40.0%	5 - 50.0%

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11.1%), 1-2 (11.0%), 0-1 (7.8%)

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for AS Roma and Real Madrid.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.

See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 29 Oct 2026, 16:58 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time3-4

Start0-0

Niccolò PisilliManu Koné

17’

Marten de RoonMatias Soule

20’

1-0

1-1

25’

Kylian Mbappé

Yan Diomande

+1 minute of added time

HT 1-1

Rodrigo MoraPaulo Dybala

45’

Donyell MalenRodrigo Mora

51’

2-1

Donyell MalenMatias Soule

57’

3-1

Donyell Malen

58’

59’

Arda GülerDenzel Dumfries

59’

Endrick Felipe Moreira de SousaVinícius

Gianluca Mancini

60’

Lorenzo PellegriniMatias Soule

63’

Leonardo BalerdiGianluca Mancini

63’

Wesley Vinícius França Lima

69’

70’

Bernardo SilvaAurelien Tchouameni

78’

Álvaro Fernández CarrerasMarc Cucurella

78’

Carlos EspíYan Diomande

Konstantinos KoulierakisMario Hermoso

81’

3-2

83’

Carlos Espí

83’

Carlos Espí

3-3

85’

Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa

Arda Güler

Lorenzo Pellegrini

89’

3-4

90’

Antonio Rüdiger

Arda Güler

+5 minute of added time

90’+5

Álvaro Fernández Carreras

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+6'

90'+6' Second Half ends, Roma 3, Real Madrid 4.

90'+5'

90'+5' Yellow card by Álvaro Carreras (Real Madrid) for a bad foul.

90'+5'

90'+5' Lorenzo Pellegrini (AS Roma) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

90'+5'

90'+5' Álvaro Carreras (Real Madrid) foul.

90'+4'

90'+4' Attempt missed.Carlos Espí (Real Madrid)’s left foot shot.

90'+4'

90'+4' Konstantinos Koulierakis (AS Roma) foul.

90'+4'

90'+4' Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) gets a free kick on the right wing.

90'+3'

90'+3' Attempt blocked.Rodrigo Mora (AS Roma)’s right foot shot.

90'+2'

90'+2' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Pierluigi Gollini (Real Madrid).

90'

90' Fourth official has announced 5 minutes of added time.

90'

90' Goal! Roma 3, Real Madrid 4.Antonio Rüdiger (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.Arda Güler with a cross following a corner assists.

90'

90' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Marten de Roon.

89'

89' Yellow card by Lorenzo Pellegrini (AS Roma) for a bad foul.

89'

89' Lorenzo Pellegrini (AS Roma) foul.

89'

89' Bernardo Silva (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

88'

88' Donyell Malen (AS Roma) foul.

88'

88' Arda Güler (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

87'

87' Attempt missed.Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)’s header from the centre of the box is close, but misses to the left.Arda Güler with a cross following a corner assists.

87'

87' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Niccolò Pisilli.

85'

85' Goal! Roma 3, Real Madrid 3.Endrick (Real Madrid)’s header from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner.Arda Güler with a cross following a corner assists.

85'

85' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Wesley.

83'

83' VAR Decision: Goal Roma 3-2 Real Madrid (Real Madrid).

83'

83' Goal! Roma 3, Real Madrid 2.Carlos Espí (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.

83'

83' Attempt saved.Endrick (Real Madrid)’s header from the centre of the box is saved in the bottom right corner by Pierluigi Gollini (Real Madrid).

82'

82' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Lorenzo Pellegrini.

81'

81' Evan Ndicka (AS Roma) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

81'

81' Carlos Espí (Real Madrid) foul.

81'

81' Substitution, Roma.Substituton in Konstantinos Koulierakis,Substitution out Mario Hermoso.

80'

80' Leonardo Balerdi (AS Roma) foul.

80'

80' Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

79'

79' Attempt missed.Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)’s header from the centre of the box is just a bit too high following a corner.

78'

78' Substitution, Real Madrid.Substituton in Carlos Espí,Substitution out Yan Diomande.

78'

78' Substitution, Real Madrid.Substituton in Álvaro Carreras,Substitution out Marc Cucurella.

78'

78' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Wesley.

77'

77' Attempt blocked.Niccolò Pisilli (AS Roma)’s right foot shot.Nahuel Molina assists.

76'

76' Attempt missed.Lorenzo Pellegrini (AS Roma)’s right foot shot.Donyell Malen assists.

75'

75' Leonardo Balerdi (AS Roma) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

75'

75' Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) foul.

73'

73' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Rodrigo Mora (AS Roma)’s left foot shot from from the right side of the box in the top centre of the goal by Thibaut Courtois (AS Roma).Donyell Malen assists.

72'

72' Leonardo Balerdi (AS Roma) foul.

72'

72' Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

70'

70' Substitution, Real Madrid.Substituton in Bernardo Silva,Substitution out Aurélien Tchouaméni.

69'

69' Yellow card by Wesley (AS Roma) for a bad foul.

69'

69' Wesley (AS Roma) foul.

69'

69' Yan Diomande (Real Madrid) gets a free kick on the left wing.

68'

68' Leonardo Balerdi (AS Roma) foul.

68'

68' Yan Diomande (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

66'

66' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)’s left foot shot from from the left side of the box in the top left corner by Pierluigi Gollini (Real Madrid).Aurélien Tchouaméni assists.

64'

64' Offside, Roma.Rodrigo Mora is caught offside.

64'

64' Wesley (AS Roma) gets a free kick on the right wing.

64'

64' Marc Cucurella (Real Madrid) foul.

63'

63' Lorenzo Pellegrini (AS Roma) gets a free kick on the right wing.

63'

63' Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid) foul.

63'

63' Substitution, Roma.Substituton in Leonardo Balerdi,Substitution out Gianluca Mancini.

63'

63' Substitution, Roma.Substituton in Lorenzo Pellegrini,Substitution out Matías Soulé.

62'

62' Attempt missed.Yan Diomande (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.

62'

62' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Pierluigi Gollini.

62'

62' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)’s left foot shot from from the left side of the box in the bottom right corner by Pierluigi Gollini (Real Madrid).

61'

61' Attempt missed.Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.

60'

60' Yellow card by Gianluca Mancini (AS Roma) for a bad foul.

59'

59' Gianluca Mancini (AS Roma) foul.

59'

59' Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

59'

59' Substitution, Real Madrid.Substituton in Arda Güler,Substitution out Denzel Dumfries.

59'

59' Substitution, Real Madrid.Substituton in Endrick,Substitution out Vinícius Júnior.

58'

58' VAR Decision: Goal Roma 3-1 Real Madrid (Real Madrid).

57'

57' Goal! Roma 3, Real Madrid 1.Donyell Malen (AS Roma)’s right foot shot to the centre of the goal.Matías Soulé with a through ball following a fast breakGoal awarded following VAR Review assists.

55'

55' Handball by Nahuel Molina (AS Roma).

54'

54' Corner, Roma.Conceded by Ibrahima Konaté.

53'

53' Evan Ndicka (AS Roma) gets a free kick on the left wing.

53'

53' Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) foul.

51'

51' Goal! Roma 2, Real Madrid 1.Donyell Malen (AS Roma)’s left foot shot.Rodrigo Mora assists.

46'

46' Mario Hermoso (AS Roma) foul.

46'

46' Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

45'+2'

45'+2' First Half ends, Roma 1, Real Madrid 1.

45'+2'

45'+2' Attempt missed.Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)’s left foot shot misses to the right.Vinícius Júnior following a fast break assists.

45'

45' Substitution, Roma.Substituton in Rodrigo Mora,Substitution out Paulo Dybala.

45'

45' Second Half begins Roma 1, Real Madrid 1.

45'

45' Fourth official has announced 1 minutes of added time.

43'

43' Evan Ndicka (AS Roma) foul.

43'

43' Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

42'

42' Attempt missed.Matías Soulé (AS Roma)’s left foot shot.Wesley following a corner assists.

42'

42' Corner, Roma.Conceded by Jude Bellingham.

40'

40' Corner, Roma.Conceded by Ibrahima Konaté.

39'

39' Paulo Dybala (AS Roma) gets a free kick on the left wing.

39'

39' Ibrahima Konaté (Real Madrid) foul.

38'

38' Matías Soulé (AS Roma) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

38'

38' Marc Cucurella (Real Madrid) foul.

37'

37' Donyell Malen (AS Roma) foul.

37'

37' Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

34'

34' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Marten de Roon.

33'

33' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Mario Hermoso.

32'

32' Attempt missed.Marc Cucurella (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot is close, but misses to the left.Thibaut Courtois assists.

30'

30' Mario Hermoso (AS Roma) foul.

30'

30' Yan Diomande (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

29'

29' Delay over.The match resumes.

29'

29' The match delays (AS Roma).

25'

25' Goal! Roma 1, Real Madrid 1.Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)’s right foot shot.Yan Diomande with a headed pass assists.

24'

24' Attempt blocked.Donyell Malen (AS Roma)’s right foot shot.Paulo Dybala assists.

23'

23' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Donyell Malen (AS Roma)’s right foot shot from from the right side of the box in the centre of the goal by Thibaut Courtois (AS Roma).Matías Soulé assists.

20'

20' Goal! Roma 1, Real Madrid 0.Marten de Roon (AS Roma)’s right foot shot.Matías Soulé assists.

19'

19' Marten de Roon (AS Roma) foul.

19'

19' Yan Diomande (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

18'

18' Offside, Real Madrid.Jude Bellingham is caught offside.

17'

17' Substitution, Roma.Substituton in Niccolò Pisilli,Substitution out Manu Koné because of an injury.

17'

17' Delay over.The match resumes.

16'

16' The match delays because Manu Koné (AS Roma) injured.

16'

16' Corner, Real Madrid.Conceded by Gianluca Mancini.

13'

13' Attempt missed.Yan Diomande (Real Madrid)’s left foot shot.Jude Bellingham assists.

12'

12' Attempt missed.Paulo Dybala (AS Roma)’s left foot shot is close, but misses to the left.Nahuel Molina assists.

7' Gianluca Mancini (AS Roma) foul.

7' Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

5' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Matías Soulé (AS Roma)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the top centre of the goal by Thibaut Courtois (AS Roma).Manu Koné assists.

4' Corner, Roma.Conceded by Thibaut Courtois.

4' Attempt saved.Mario Hermoso (AS Roma)’s left foot shot is saved in the bottom left corner by Thibaut Courtois (AS Roma).

3' Corner, Roma.Conceded by Ibrahima Konaté.

1' Attempt missed.Matías Soulé (AS Roma)’s left foot shot.Mario Hermoso assists.

HEAD TO HEAD

3 wins

25%

2 draws

17%

7 wins

58%

2-2