La Liga - Round 8

Alavés

10 Oct

1 - 2

Full time

Atletico Madrid

310

HT: 1-1FT: 1-2

Lucas Boyé45’+6 (P)

33’Alejandro Grimaldo

87’Cristian Romero

HOME

22%

DRAW

25%

AWAY

53%

AI Insights

True AI

53%

Better pick

Alavés +0.75

Handicap

Confidence LowMarkets 1Risk High

TrueAI figures are statistical probabilities for informational purposes only — not betting advice. 18+ only. Full disclaimer

Expected Goals

2.2Goals/match

Expected Total Corners

10.1Corners/match

10.17.65.12.5

015’45’90’

1x2

True AI

Home

Alavés Win

22%

Draw

25%

Away

Atletico Madrid Win

53%

The Away team is favoured at 53%.

Handicap

True AI

Alavés+0.75

53%

Atletico Madrid−0.75

47%

The bet favored by TrueAI: Alavés +0.75

Total Goals

True AI

Under 3

70%

Under 3.5

70%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Most likely: Under 3 (70%)

Total Corners

True AI

Over 8.5

69%

Over 9.5

61%

Under 10.5

57%

Over 10.5

43%

Most likely: Over 8.5 (69%)

How this AI prediction is made

TrueAI generates these probabilities from historical results, recent form, head-to-head records and market movements for Alavés and Atletico Madrid.

Informational purposes only. The probabilities on this page are model estimates, not certainties, and are published for informational and entertainment purposes. Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, and TrueScore does not accept or facilitate wagers.

18+ only (21+ where required by local law). Gamble responsibly and only where it is legal in your jurisdiction. Support is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.

See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use.

Prediction last updated: 29 Oct 2026, 15:04 (UTC)

Stats

Events Commentary

Full Time1-2

Start0-0

0-1

33’

Alejandro Grimaldo

Jonathan David

45’

Ademola Lookman

+1 minute of added time

45’+1

Robin Le Normand

Lucas Boyé

45’+6

1-1

HT 1-1

45’

Alejandro Baena RodríguezJonathan David

45’

Julián ÁlvarezAdemola Lookman

57’

Lee Kang-InPablo Barrios Rivas

Angel Pérez Hidalgo

60’

Angel Pérez Hidalgo

61’

62’

Dávid HanckoRobin Le Normand

Carlos ProtesoniAntonio Blanco

64’

Mariano DíazToni Martínez

64’

Ander GuevaraLucas Boyé

64’

Ville KoskiNicolas Valentini

71’

73’

Alexander SørlothGiuliano Simeone Baldini

Aitor MañasDenis Suárez

79’

1-2

87’

Cristian Romero

Alejandro Baena Rodríguez

+6 minute of added time

90’+2

Johnny Cardoso

Goal

Own Goal

Penalty

Penalty missed

Red card

Yellow card

Second yellow

Injury time

Substitution

Var

Offside

Match End.

90'+6'

90'+6' Second Half ends, Alaves 1, Atletico Madrid 2.

90'+6'

90'+6' Attempt missed.Julián Alvarez (Atletico Madrid)’s right foot shot.Lee Kang-In assists.

90'+4'

90'+4' Álex Baena (Atletico Madrid) foul.

90'+4'

90'+4' Nahuel Tenaglia (Alaves) gets a free kick on the right wing.

90'+2'

90'+2' Yellow card by Johnny Cardoso (Atletico Madrid) for a bad foul.

90'+2'

90'+2' Johnny Cardoso (Atletico Madrid) foul.

90'+2'

90'+2' Carlos Protesoni (Alaves) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

90'

90' Fourth official has announced 6 minutes of added time.

89'

89' Cristian Romero (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

89'

89' Mariano Díaz (Alaves) foul.

87'

87' Goal! Alaves 1, Atletico Madrid 2.Cristian Romero (Atletico Madrid)’s header from the right side of the six yard box to the bottom right corner.Álex Baena with a cross assists.

85'

85' Attempt missed.Mariano Díaz (Alaves)’s right foot shot.Aitor Mañas with a through ball assists.

84'

84' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Álex Baena (Atletico Madrid)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom right corner by Antonio Sivera (Atletico Madrid).Alejandro Grimaldo assists.

84'

84' Corner, Atletico Madrid.Conceded by Abde Rebbach.

80'

80' Attempt missed.Dávid Hancko (Atletico Madrid)’s right foot shot misses to the left.Álex Baena following a corner assists.

80'

80' Attempt blocked.Álex Baena (Atletico Madrid)’s right foot shot.Julián Alvarez assists.

80'

80' Corner, Atletico Madrid.Conceded by Pablo Ibáñez.

79'

79' Substitution, Alaves.Substituton in Aitor Mañas,Substitution out Denis Suárez.

79'

79' Corner, Atletico Madrid.Conceded by Antonio Sivera.

78'

78' Handball by Alejandro Grimaldo (Atletico Madrid).

77'

77' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Alejandro Grimaldo (Atletico Madrid)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the top centre of the goal by Antonio Sivera (Atletico Madrid).Koke assists.

77'

77' Corner, Atletico Madrid.Conceded by Ander Guevara.

77'

77' Attempt blocked.Julián Alvarez (Atletico Madrid)’s right foot shot.Álex Baena assists.

74'

74' Johnny Cardoso (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick on the right wing.

74'

74' Pablo Ibáñez (Alaves) foul.

74'

74' Attempt blocked.Marcos Llorente (Atletico Madrid)’s left foot shot.Álex Baena assists.

73'

73' Attempt blocked.Álex Baena (Atletico Madrid)’s right foot shot.Alejandro Grimaldo assists.

73'

73' Corner, Atletico Madrid.Conceded by Nahuel Tenaglia.

73'

73' Attempt blocked.Alexander Sørloth (Atletico Madrid)’s header from very close range Defensive player blocked.Lee Kang-In with a cross assists.

73'

73' Substitution, Atletico Madrid.Substituton in Alexander Sørloth,Substitution out Giuliano Simeone.

71'

71' Substitution, Alaves.Substituton in Ville Koski,Substitution out Nicolás Valentini.

67'

67' Handball by Mariano Díaz (Alaves).

66'

66' Attempt saved.Marcos Llorente (Atletico Madrid)’s left foot shot is saved in the centre of the goal by Antonio Sivera (Atletico Madrid).Alejandro Grimaldo assists.

65'

65' Attempt blocked.Mariano Díaz (Alaves)’s right foot shot.Denis Suárez assists.

64'

64' Substitution, Alaves.Substituton in Ander Guevara,Substitution out Lucas Boyé.

64'

64' Substitution, Alaves.Substituton in Mariano Díaz,Substitution out Toni Martínez.

64'

64' Substitution, Alaves.Substituton in Carlos Protesoni,Substitution out Antonio Blanco.

63'

63' Johnny Cardoso (Atletico Madrid) foul.

63'

63' Antonio Blanco (Alaves) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

62'

62' Julián Alvarez (Atletico Madrid) hits the left post with a’s right foot shot.

62'

62' Substitution, Atletico Madrid.Substituton in Dávid Hancko,Substitution out Robin Le Normand.

61'

61' Red card by Ángel Pérez (Alaves).

60'

60' Delay over.The match resumes.

60'

60' VAR Decision: Card upgraded Ángel Pérez (Alaves).

60'

60' The match delays (Alaves).VAR checking.

60'

60' The match delays because Julián Alvarez (Atletico Madrid) injured.

59'

59' Julián Alvarez (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

59'

59' Ángel Pérez (Alaves) foul.

57'

57' Substitution, Atletico Madrid.Substituton in Lee Kang-In,Substitution out Pablo Barrios.

56'

56' Corner, Atletico Madrid.Conceded by Nicolás Valentini.

55'

55' Attempt blocked.Cristian Romero (Atletico Madrid)’s header from very close range Defensive player blocked.Alejandro Grimaldo with a cross assists.

55'

55' Corner, Atletico Madrid.Conceded by Jonny Otto.

54'

54' Corner, Atletico Madrid.Conceded by Denis Suárez.

51'

51' Handball by Julián Alvarez (Atletico Madrid).

50'

50' Attempt blocked.Abde Rebbach (Alaves)’s right foot shot.

49'

49' Robin Le Normand (Atletico Madrid) foul.

49'

49' Lucas Boyé (Alaves) gets a free kick on the right wing.

49'

49' Johnny Cardoso (Atletico Madrid) foul.

49'

49' Lucas Boyé (Alaves) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

47'

47' Offside, Atletico Madrid.Giuliano Simeone is caught offside.

45'+7'

45'+7' First Half ends, Alaves 1, Atletico Madrid 1.

45'+6'

45'+6' Goal! Alaves 1, Atletico Madrid 1.Lucas Boyé (Alaves) takes a penalty kick with a’s right foot shot.

45'+1'

45'+1' Yellow card by Robin Le Normand (Atletico Madrid) for a bad foul.

45'+1'

45'+1' Robin Le Normand (Atletico Madrid) after a foul in the penalty area conceded the penalty.

45'+1'

45'+1' Penalty Alaves.Toni Martínez draws a foul in the penalty area.

45'

45' Second Half begins Alaves 1, Atletico Madrid 1.

45'

45' Substitution, Atletico Madrid.Substituton in Julián Alvarez,Substitution out Ademola Lookman.

45'

45' Substitution, Atletico Madrid.Substituton in Álex Baena,Substitution out Jonathan David.

45'

45' Fourth official has announced 1 minutes of added time.

45'

45' Yellow card by Ademola Lookman (Atletico Madrid) for a bad foul.

45'

45' Ademola Lookman (Atletico Madrid) foul.

45'

45' Ángel Pérez (Alaves) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

45'

45' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Ángel Pérez (Alaves)’s left foot shot from from the right side of the box in the bottom left corner by Jan Oblak (Alaves).

43'

43' Attempt blocked.Ademola Lookman (Atletico Madrid)’s left foot shot Defensive player blocked.Giuliano Simeone assists.

40'

40' Jonathan David (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

40'

40' Nicolás Valentini (Alaves) foul.

38'

38' Attempt blocked.Giuliano Simeone (Atletico Madrid)’s header from the centre of the box Defensive player blocked.

37'

37' Attempt saved.Toni Martínez (Alaves)’s header from the left side of the box is saved in the bottom right corner by Jan Oblak (Alaves).Denis Suárez assists.

36'

36' Cristian Romero (Atletico Madrid) foul.

36'

36' Lucas Boyé (Alaves) gets a free kick in the attacking half.

36'

36' Attempt missed.Alejandro Grimaldo (Atletico Madrid)’s left foot shot.Johnny Cardoso assists.

35'

35' Giuliano Simeone (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

35'

35' Abde Rebbach (Alaves) foul.

33'

33' Goal! Alaves 0, Atletico Madrid 1.Alejandro Grimaldo (Atletico Madrid)’s left foot shot.Jonathan David assists.

32'

32' Koke (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

32'

32' Pablo Ibáñez (Alaves) foul.

30'

30' Attempt missed.Pablo Barrios (Atletico Madrid)’s right foot shot.Alejandro Grimaldo following a corner assists.

29'

29' Corner, Atletico Madrid.Conceded by Nicolás Valentini.

26'

26' Alejandro Grimaldo (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

26'

26' Ángel Pérez (Alaves) foul.

23'

23' Attempt blocked.Ademola Lookman (Atletico Madrid)’s left foot shot.Pablo Barrios assists.

22'

22' Koke (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

22'

22' Abde Rebbach (Alaves) foul.

21'

21' Giuliano Simeone (Atletico Madrid) foul.

21'

21' Pablo Ibáñez (Alaves) gets a free kick on the left wing.

20'

20' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Marcos Llorente (Atletico Madrid)’s right foot shot from from outside the box in the centre of the goal by Antonio Sivera (Atletico Madrid).Koke assists.

16'

16' Koke (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

16'

16' Lucas Boyé (Alaves) foul.

16'

16' Attempt blocked.Ademola Lookman (Atletico Madrid)’s right foot shot.Alejandro Grimaldo assists.

14'

14' Corner, Atletico Madrid.Conceded by Antonio Sivera.

14'

14' Attempt saved.Goalkeeper saves Jonathan David (Atletico Madrid)’s left foot shot from from outside the box in the bottom right corner by Antonio Sivera (Atletico Madrid).Giuliano Simeone assists.

13'

13' Offside, Alaves.Toni Martínez is caught offside.

13'

13' Robin Le Normand (Atletico Madrid) foul.

13'

13' Toni Martínez (Alaves) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

7' Offside, Atletico Madrid.Giuliano Simeone is caught offside.

7' Jonathan David (Atletico Madrid) gets a free kick in the defensive half.

7' Lucas Boyé (Alaves) foul.

6' Attempt missed.Ángel Pérez (Alaves)’s right foot shot.Toni Martínez assists.

5' Attempt missed.Ángel Pérez (Alaves)’s right foot shot.

2' Ademola Lookman (Atletico Madrid) foul.